improving air quality with energy efficiency and ......nancy l. seidman senior advisor the...

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Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP) ® Cambridge, Massachusetts United States +1 781 980 8006 [email protected] raponline.org November 2, 2017 Metro 4/SESARM Meeting Atlanta, GA Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and Beneficial Electrification

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Page 1: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Nancy L. Seidman

Senior Advisor

The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

Cambridge, Massachusetts

United States

+1 781 980 8006

[email protected]

raponline.org

November 2, 2017

Metro 4/SESARM Meeting – Atlanta, GA

Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency andBeneficial Electrification

Page 2: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 2

USEPA 2017

Page 3: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 3

Multiple Benefits of Energy Efficiency

Page 4: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org
Page 5: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Georgia

$129

• N. Carolina

$125

• Kentucky

$114

• Tennessee

$129

• Massachusetts

$119

5Photo: EE Image Database

Source: EIA 2105 data

Average bill per month

Page 6: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Georgia

1,122 kWh

• N. Carolina

1,113 kWh

• Kentucky

1,120 kWh

• Tennessee

1,248 kWh

• Massachusetts

602 kWh

6

Photo: EE Image Database

Source: EIA 2015 data But….look at their usage

Page 7: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

So what would bills

look like for the other

states if we used less?

Photo: EE Image Database

Page 8: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

Source: Nadel, ACEEE for Restructiurng Roundtable, 10/6/17

8

Energy Efficiency - Cost and Impact

Page 9: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 9

What’s 1,000 GWh?

750-1000 tons 100,000 homes

Six 690 MW natural gas combined cycle power plants

1,000

Source: RAP Shenot, MassDEP Footprint permit

Page 10: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 10

Air Quality Benefits of DOE’s Potential Study - NOx

39,000Tons NOx

48,000Tons NOx

7,400 Tons NOx

Page 11: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 11

Air Quality Benefits of DOE’s Potential Study – CO2

5.2 MillionTons CO2

73 MillionTons CO2

8.4 MilionTons CO2

Page 12: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 12

What’s 1,000,000 tons of CO2?

1,000,000 tons 136,000 homes

35% of a 690 MW natural gas combined cycle power plants

1,700 GWh

Source: EPA GHG calculator, MassDEP Footprint permit

Page 13: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Why do we care about energy?

• What’s Energy Efficiency got to do with it?

• How can the two be linked?

13

Linking Air Quality and Energy Efficiency

Page 14: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• NSR offsets

• Regional Haze Compliance Demonstrations

• EGU Emissions Forecasting

• Other Strategies – e.g., Ozone Advance

14

Energy Efficiency Improves Air Quality

Page 15: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Saving Facilities Money during Permitting

• Training for Permit Writers considering Energy

Efficiency

• Focused Commercial and Industrial Energy

Efficiency Efforts, Tailored to a State’s economy

15

Energy EfficiencyBenefits Facilities

Page 16: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

Source: National Grid MA EE Potential Study October 2015, pages 57 and 58

16

Massachusetts Manufacturer Energy End Use

Page 17: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Jointly Achieving State and Local Environmental

and Energy goals

• RAP’s E-Merge

• Peer to Peer conversations

• Modeling to demonstrate the value of EE

• ERTAC

• EPA’s AVERT – epa.gov/avert

17

Energy Efficiency’s Value can be Modeled

Page 18: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Reduces Air Pollution

• Helps avoid Additional Regulation

• Can Reduce Permitting Requirements

• Saves Money for Citizens and Businesses

• Has a Bright Future!

18

Conclusions

Energy Efficiency:

Page 19: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

2 Beneficial Electrification

Page 20: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• L - Load growth and more service

• E - Environmental benefits and

• G – Grid management

• While Energy Efficiency remains the first “fuel”

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Beneficial Electrification offers a “LEG-up”

Page 21: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 21

What’s at stake?

Page 22: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

New England’s Marginal Emission Rates

Source: https://www.iso-ne.com/static-assets/documents/2016/01/2014_emissions_report.pdf

Page 23: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® 23

PJM NOx Marginal Emission Rates

Source: https://www.pjm.com/~/media/library/reports-notices/special-reports/20170317-2016-emissions-report.ashx

Page 24: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

Electric Vehicle Energy Impact

Source: NW Energy Coalition research paper, ”Building “good load” to reduce carbon emissions”, 2016

Page 25: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Saves ~70% of kWh

• Can be controlled into low-cost and

low-emission hours

• Good for warm weather climates

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Heat Pump Water Heater

Page 27: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

• Electricity market transformation is happening fast

• Energy Efficiency is one way to ensure

Electrification is Beneficial

• Environmental Regulators can play a Key Role

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Conclusions

Page 28: Improving Air Quality with Energy Efficiency and ......Nancy L. Seidman Senior Advisor The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® +1 781 980 8006 nseidman@raponline.org raponline.org

Nancy L. Seidman

Senior Advisor

The Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)®

+1 781 980 8006

[email protected]

raponline.org

Cambridge, Massachusetts

United States

About RAPThe Regulatory Assistance Project (RAP)® is an

independent, non-partisan, non-governmental

organization dedicated to accelerating the transition

to a clean, reliable, and efficient energy future.

Learn more about our work at raponline.org