improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through multi sectoral...
TRANSCRIPT
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Improving the resilience of society to catastrophic natural hazards through
Multi Sectoral Partnerships (MSPs)
Jeroen Aerts
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Hurricane Sandy, October 2012
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Hurricane Irene, August 2011
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> U$ 50 Bn Damage
> 200 Deaths
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Manhattan (1664)
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Manhattan (~1850)
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Manhattan (~1915)
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Manhattan (~1930)
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Manhattan (~2007)
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FEMA Floodzones (1/100 and 1/500)
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Risk from hazard
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
€Vulnerability / exposure
Probability
Risk Governance
Private
People
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Risk from hazard
Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
€Vulnerability / exposure
Probability
Risk Governance
Private
People
NYC : 6 billion Euro -> Sandy: 50 bn Euro
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Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
Risk Governance
Private
People
Capacity /knowlegde
Perception
Insitutions /legislation
Risk from hazard€
Vulnerability / exposure
Probability
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Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
Public
Risk Governance
Private
People
Risk Assessment
Risk from hazard
How to organize institutions, such they lower risk?
Risk from hazard
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Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
PublicRisk from
hazard
Risk Governance
Private
People
DRR measures
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Multi Sectoral Partnerships, MSPs
PublicRisk from hazard
Which MSPs are most effective in lowering risk?
Private
People
DRR measures
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Core: 10 Case studies
UK: Greater London
PT: Chamusca
ES: Jucar RBD
IT: PO RBD
DE+: Wadden Sea
AT+: Austrian railwaysNL: Rotterdam Port
7 regional case studies
3 pan European case studies
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Forest FiresChamusca, Postugal: Forest Fires
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Forest FiresChamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires
Risk Public
People
Building code
Restriction urbanization
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Forest FiresChamusca, Portugal: Forest Fires
Risk Public
People
Building code
Restriction urbanization
Insurers
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Port Cities & Flood risk
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Rotterdam: no Insurance
Port Cities & Flood risk
London: Insurance
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Rotterdam: no Insurance
Port Cities & Flood risk
London: Flood Insurance
Public
People
InsurersPublic
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Risk Cascades : Po River Basin, Italy
Low Flows Droughts Salt intrusion from the sea drinking water
Earth quake Dike breach Flood -> Damage
Public
People
Insurers
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Pan European CasesHeath Waves & Health
Flood damage & EU Solidarity fund
Volcanic ash & air traffic
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0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Solidarity Fund paymentsFlood risk - upper 90%Flood risk - EADFlood risk - upper 10%EUSF limit
Euro
s
Stress test : EU Solidarity Fund
EU SFMember
stateRE-
Insurers?
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Volcanic Eruption & Aviation
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Volcanic Eruption & Aviation
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Volcanic Eruption & Aviation
Public
People
Insurers
Eurocontrol
Meteo -services Airlines
Limit cancelled
flights
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Outlook
Public
People
Private
Testing MSPs using extreme scenarios
What if scenario? Cascades/ Multi hazard Scenarios & Hazard models
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Outlook: Recommendations
Input Hyogo framework
Role EU policies in effective MSPs
Special Focus on role Insurance in MSPs
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Thanks for your attention!
Website: www.enhanceproject.eu
Coordinator: [email protected]
Communication: [email protected]