imta 2011 technical aptitude pres ii

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Predicting Technical Aptitude: Relations between Predictor Variables, Technical Aptitude and Technical Training Performance (O.N.R. Contracts Nr. N00014-10-M-0087 & N00014-10-C-0505) Ryan Glaze & Martin J. Ippel CogniMetrics, Inc., San Antonio, TX 1 Paper presented at the 53 rd Annual Conference of the International Military Testing Association, Bali (Indonesia). October 31 November 4, 2011

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Predicting Technical Aptitude: Relations between Predictor Variables,

Technical Aptitude and Technical Training Performance

(O.N.R. Contracts Nr. N00014-10-M-0087 & N00014-10-C-0505)

Ryan Glaze & Martin J. Ippel

CogniMetrics, Inc., San Antonio, TX

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Paper presented at the 53rd Annual Conference of the International Military Testing Association, Bali (Indonesia).

October 31 – November 4, 2011

Preview

Analysis I

Overview of ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Tests

Introduction to Technical Aptitude

Proposed Model

Methods, Results, and Discussion

Analysis II

Incremental Validity Analysis Predicting Technical Aptitude with ASVAB Selection Composites and the ITAB

Methods, Results, and Discussion

2

ASVAB

US Armed Forces must select, classify, and train personnel to work in highly technical work environment

ASVAB and Technical Knowledge Subtests used for technical Navy Ratings

General Science (GS)

Mechanical Comprehension (MC)

Auto Shop (AS)

Electrical Information (EI)

3

Technical Knowledge Subtests

Technical Knowledge Subtests have several limitations:

Represent arbitrary and limited sample of domain

Measures Technical Knowledge but not Technical Skills

Provide modest predictive validity

4

Technical Aptitude

Technical Aptitude (Ippel & Glaze, 2011)

Technical Knowledge Aptitude (TKA) Aptitude to learn technical knowledge (concepts)

Derived from performance on eight common knowledge tests

Technical Skill Aptitude (TSA) Aptitude to learn technical skills

Derived from performance on seven common skill tests

5

Technical Aptitude

Technical Aptitude (TA)

Represents a construct with a short logical distance to criterion performance in Apprentice Technical Training (ATT) performance

Will be used to assess construct validity of TK subtests

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7

GS

Post-Test

Analysis I

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Post-Test

GS

Technical Aptitude

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS

Post-Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Method

410 Navy Recruits participating in A.T.T. program

ASVAB

TK Subtests: GS, MC, AS, EI

AFQT Considered a measure of crystallized intelligence

A.T.T. post-training test scores

Eight common knowledge tests

Seven common skill tests

Dichotomously scored (Pass/Fail with 70 point cut score)

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Method

Technical Knowledge Aptitude

IRT-based ability estimate derived from common eight knowledge tests

Technical Skill Aptitude

IRT-based ability estimate derived from common seven skill tests

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Results: First Knowledge Test

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RMSEA = 0.000 PClose = 0.886 WRMR = 0.040

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Results: First Knowledge Test

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.508*

.316* .189*

.226*

.084

.352*

Results: First Knowledge Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.137 .130

.175 .530*

Results: First Knowledge Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.217* .017 -.119 -.021

Results: All Knowledge Tests

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MeanRMSEA = 0.000 MeanPClose = 0.868 MeanWRMR = 0.039

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Results: All Knowledge Tests

The paths between Technical Knowledge Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were nearly identical for all knowledge tests

Focus will be on:

AFQT → Post-test

TA → Post-test

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Results: All Knowledge Tests

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.530* .084

Results: All Knowledge Tests

AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge Tests, but not post-training test scores

Technical Knowledge Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test scores

Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK subtests were not significant

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Results: First Skill Test

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RMSEA = 0.024 PClose = 0.477 WRMR = 0.187

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Results: First Skill Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.066

.373* .536* .179* .267*

Results: First Skill Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.218*

.174* .032 .064

Results: First Skill Test

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.076 .062 -.029 .062

Results: All Skill Tests

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MeanRMSEA = 0.024 MeanPClose = 0.477 MeanWRMR = 0.187

Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

Results: All Skill Tests

The paths between Technical Skill Aptitude, Technical Knowledge Subtests, AFQT were nearly identical for all skill tests

Focus will be on:

AFQT → Post-test

TA → Post-test

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Results: All Skill Tests

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Technical Aptitude

AFQT

GS MC AS EI

Post-Test

.218* .066

Results: All Skill Tests

AFQT was related to all Technical Knowledge Tests, but not post-training test scores

Technical Skill Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test scores

Indirect effects of Technical Knowledge Aptitude on post-training test scores via TK subtests were not significant

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Results: Technical Aptitude

Technical Knowledge Aptitude was only slightly related to Technical Skill Aptitude (r = .136)

Technical Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but not Technical Knowledge test

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Analysis II

Results of Analysis I suggest Technical Aptitude was related to post-training test scores, but Technical Knowledge was not

Analysis II seeks to identify predictors of Technical Aptitude

Current predictors of training performance consist of various ASVAB Selection Composites (ASC)

I.T. Aptitude Battery (ITAB) was designed to measure technical aptitude

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Method

Two selection composites that the Navy currently uses to assign recruits to ratings

ASC01 consists of WK, PC, AR, and MC

ASC02 consists of MK, AR, GS, and EI

ITAB consists of two fully interactive tests

Hidden Target Test

Battery Test

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Results

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Variable 1. 2. 3. 4.

1. ITAB

2. ASC01 .33

3. ASC02 .31 .78

4. TSA .17 .16 .34

5. TKA .30 .44 .69 0.14

All Correlations significant at p < .01.

Results

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Predictors Multiple R Incremental Validity

Selection

Composite Test ASC ITAB R2 F Sig ΔR2 %ΔR2 F sig

ASC01 TKA 0.383 0.174 0.22 57.66 p < .0001 0.027 13.99% 14.11 p < .001

ASC02 TKA 0.66 0.095 0.484 191.1 p < .0001 0.008 1.68% 6.504 p < .05

ASC01 TSA 0.117 0.132 0.041 8.703 p < .01 0.015 57.69% 6.574 p < .05

ASC02 TSA 0.318 0.071 0.12 27.81 p < .0001 0.005 4.35% 2.146 p > .05

Results

Selection composites (ASC01 and ASC02) significantly predicted Technical Knowledge Aptitude and Technical Skill Aptitude

Technical Knowledge Aptitude

ITAB provided incremental validity over selection composites for Technical Knowledge Aptitude

Technical Skill Aptitude

ITAB provided incremental validity over ASC01, but not ASC02, for Technical Skill Aptitude

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Thank You

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