in theory, an easy budget year · bba made budgeting easy non-defense non-defense defense defense...
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Federal Funds Information for States www.ffis.org
In Theory, an Easy Budget Year
NCSL Legislative Summit2018
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Pieces of the pie
$ in billions
Federal Outlays, FY 2016$ in billionsSource: OMB Historical Tables, FY 2018
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Framing the issues
FY 2019 Budget Expiring Programs
Cats and dogs
• President’s budget• BBA• Budget resolution• Appropriations
• Opioid response• Infrastructure? Or
not?• November election
• FAA• TANF• Farm Bill
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BBA has broad reach
Discretionary caps
Side agreement for extra funding
Mandatory sequestration
Disaster relief
Debt limit suspension (March 2019)
HHS programs
Budget reform committee
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BBA made budgeting easy
Non-Defense
Non-Defense
Defense
Defense
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
FY 17 to FY 18 FY 18 to FY 19
Increases in Discretionary Spending Under BBA 2018
Source: CBO
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Side agreement funding
Infrastructure, $20B
Opioids, $6B
Child care, $5.8B
Veterans' health, $4B
Higher ed, $4B
NIH, $2B
$42B/two years
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$2+ billion in new spending
$5
$5
$5
$8
$8
$10
$10
$10
$20
$20
$25
$75
$100
$100
$100
$130
$225
$300
$380
$600
Maternal depression
Serious mental illness
Infant/early childhood mental health
Foster family homes
Opioid youth Initiative
ED-family engagement centers
Lead in drinking water
Pediatric mental health
Lead testing
EPA-small & disadvantaged communities
Criminal background checks
School violence
Social Impact Partnerships
Community behavioral health
Highly automated vehicles
Rural communities opioid response
Competitive bridge funding
Federal lands/tribal transportation
Election reform
USDA-Rural broadband
New Funding in FY 18 ($ in millions)
Source: FFIS new grants tracker
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President, Congress out of sync
• President’s budget on the sidelines
• BBA to serve as budget resolution
– House acted for political purposes
– Senate will stick with BBA
• No budget resolution, no reconciliation
• November election an important backdrop
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House, Senate out of sync too
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Lots of individual progress
Appropriations Subcommittee House Senate
Energy and Water ✓ ✓
Legislative Branch ✓ ✓
Military/Veterans ✓ ✓
Interior and Environment ✓ C
Financial Services/General gov. ✓ C
Agriculture C C
Commerce/Justice/Science C C
Defense ✓ C
Homeland Security C C
Labor/HHS/Education C C
State/Foreign Operations C C
Transportation/HUD C C
C=Committee
FY 2019 Appropriations Progress
Status
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House, Senate actions of note
• Jim Martin table has details
• Few eliminations, targeted reductions
• Reductions more likely in House
• Lots of programs level funded
• FY 2018 priorities remain: opioids, child care, infrastructure, etc. (from side agreement)
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Other agenda itemsOpioids
• Medicaid, new grants, grant reauthorizations
• Major differences between House and Senate bills
Farm Bill
• Expires 9/30/18
• Conference: SNAP work rules, eligibility, performance bonuses
TANF
• Expires 9/30/18
• House bill: work requirements, outcomes, limits on how states spend funds
Others
• FAA, Perkins, water resources, public health preparedness, government reorganization
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What’s in play?FY 2019 appropriations
• Higher caps
• Most progress in years
• May enact a few spending bills; CR likely
Other stuff…
• Supreme Court nomination
• Opioids: likely
• Farm Bill, TANF: require bipartisan support
Election-year budgeting is always tricky
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Spending Frenzy + Tax Cuts =
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FFIS resources
• FY 2019 national totals: Jim Martin Table
• Opioids: Issue Brief 18-26
• Supplemental highway funding: Issue Brief 18-18
• New spending: New Grants Tracker
• Appropriations updates on the FFIS website