in v e s tm e n t fo r a fric a n p ro d u c tiv e c a p a c ity · 2007-11-14 · @: r unlq j z...
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Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Donor Committee for Enterprise DevelopmentAccra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Monitoring Investment Flows
Calibrating Investment Governance
Enhancing Investment Impact on Local Economies
Investment for Investment for African Productive CapacityAfrican Productive Capacity
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
UNIDO African Foreign Investor Surveys
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Organizational Str.L TNC - S TNC - FE
Investor originNorth - South
Market orientationLocal - Regional - Global
Share structureJV - WOE
Sub-SectorsAge
Categories
Analysis of groups in terms of
impact,performance,
perception
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
55
23135
85
132
3211527
100
62251
175
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1980 and
before
1981-1990 1991-2000 2001 and
after
L-TNC S-TNC FE
58
41
255184
69 237
108
221
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1980 and
before
1981-1990 1991-2000 2001 and
after
North South
Growing presence of entrepreneurs and South investors
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Pre-1980 manufacturing
L-TNCs
Post-1990 manufacturing
global exporters from South
Post-1990
local market-oriented
L-TNCs Post-1990
regional exporters
Post-1990
local market-oriented
FEs
Post-1990
local market-oriented
S-TNCs
Other firms
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%
Future annual employment growth (over next 3 years)
Fu
ture
in
ve
stm
en
t o
ve
r n
ex
t 3
ye
ars
(a
s %
of
cu
rre
Note: Numbers in parentheses indicate the frequencies of firms in the respective group, the bubble size indicates total employment of the respective group. Only companies that answered both variables, future
annual investment rate (as % of sales) and future annual employment growth were included.
Filtered out were firms with < 50,000 USD sales, with < 20 employees and established in 2003 and after.
StagnationEmployment-intensive growth
“Jobless” growth High investment- high employment growth firms
Investment vs. employment growth
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Burkina Faso
Ghana
Tanzania, UR
Uganda
Cameroon
Cote d'Ivoire
Ethiopia Guinea
Kenya
Nigeria
Senegal
Mozambique
Malawi
Mali
Madagascar
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14%
Future compound annual employment growth (over next 3 years)
Fu
ture
in
ve
stm
en
t o
ve
r n
ex
t 3
ye
ars
(a
s %
of
cu
rre
nt
sa
les
)
Note: Numbers in parentheses indicate the frequencies of firms in the respective group, the bubble size indicates total employment of the respective group. Only companies that answered
both variables, future annual investment rate (as % of sales) and future annual employment growth were included.
Filtered out were firms with < 50,000 USD sales, with < 20 employees and established in 2003 and after.
Investment vs. employment growth
Employment-intensive growth
“Jobless” growthHigh investment-high employment growth firms
Stagnation
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Mali CameroonUganda
Ethiopia
Nigeria
Tanzania, UR KenyaGhana
Mozambique
Malawi
SenegalGuinea
Madagascar
Cote d'ivoire
Burkina Faso
Investors’ evaluations of skilled labour availability
Factorimportance
Factor got worse Factor got better
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Responding to the diversity of investors
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Intermediary
Agencies
Political willPolitical willINVESTMENTINVESTMENT
CLIMATECLIMATEPERFORMANCEPERFORMANCE IMPACTIMPACT
Managementof FDI-Local
economy
GrowthEmploymentInvestment
Local supply chainTrainingTechnology diffusionExport
Output growthInvestor satisfactionProductivity
Market conditionsLocal resourcesOperational and regulatory impediments
Priority issues to be addressed Investor
support services
Political willPolitical will
Policy Policy InterventionIntervention
Managing investment promotion
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Indicators
PolicyStrategy/services
Measure policy impactCalibration
Survey Data (20,000+ firms)
CountryData
Country(Gov. inst.)
Civilsociety
RECs &Development
partners
FinancialInstitutions
Companies
Investment opportunities
Trends
Suppliers/buyers partners
Support services
Growth areasSpecific opportunities
Technical assistance
needs
Transparency
TrainingAnalysis
Investment Monitoring Platform
Benchmarking
Donor Committee for Enterprise Development Accra (Ghana), 5-7 November 2007
Thank you
Prof. John Henley
Platform prototype will be presented jointly with Microsoft at the resource fair tomorrow (UNIDO table)
www.unido.org/afripanet