in ves ments
TRANSCRIPT
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"It seems clear that in the next five to 10 years, there will be more spending on defense," even without
Peter Ricchiuti, a professor of finance at Tulane University in New Orleans. "It's a more dangerous worl
thought."
Oil stocks, particularly shares of oil producers, are also likely to get a boost at the beginning of a war as
seek safety, said Kate Warne, senior energy analyst with Edward Jones in St. Louis.
"In general, people tend to buy them in times of world uncertainty," she said.
Shares of health care and consumer staples companies probably would hold up well during a war, as th
other times of uncertainty, Lauer said. "No matter what happens, people will have to still brush their te
the grocery," Lauer said.
Gold has done well in the past two years as investors, particularly those overseas, have seen it as a hav
jittery markets and currency concerns, Tjornehoj said. In war, gold stocks and mutual funds probably w
to do well, he said.
Industries that experts consider likely to be hurt during a war include those that make big-ticket items
refri erators and other a liances.
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Hence the private banks are able to confidently issue loans to people
No debt = no money
Government debt + size of banking system > 5x government revenue (problem)
Current account surplus = more export than import = more foreign capital flowing = easier to servic
Hence even though
Government size + banking system > 5x government revenue (problem)
Germany 9x
Italy 7.5xGermany is easier to service debt
Japan's current account even though there is a surplus, it is shrinking.
Japan US
Japan : trade surplus of 56b
US: trade deficit of 374b
Japan will be able to pay for goods
But US is exporting inflation to pay for goods
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The Dow is comprised of 30 of the largest companies in the U.S. across a range of industries except
and utilities. The criteria for a company to get on the Dow is vague; the companies are leaders in th
and very large. The components in the DJIA do not change often as it takes an important change in
it to be removed from the index, and if the index comes up for review, the Wall Street Journal edito
replace more than one company at a time.
Dow Jones 65 Composite Average'
A composite index that measures changes within the 65 companies that make up three Dow Jones
30 stocks that form the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), the 20 stocks that make up the Dow JoTransportation Average (DJTA) and the 15 stocks of the Dow Jones Utility Average (DJUA). The Dow
Composite, like the three sub-indexes, is price-weighted.
All of the Dow Jones averages are price-weighted indexes. For this type of index, stocks with higher
influence the direction of the average more than lower prices, regardless of the actual size of the co
broad market indexes are market-cap weighted, such as the Nasdaq-100 and Standard & Poor's 500
The combination of the Dow Jones Industrial, Transportation and Utility averages used to be a broa
the U.S. economy, as those sectors were once the lion's share of economic production. This is no lo
as industries such as healthcare, technology and finance now include some of the largest companie
While the DJIA has, in recent ears, included some modern com anies in its "industrial" avera e su
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very common to ear t e c osing price o t e Nas aq Composite In ex reporte in t e inancia pres
of the evening news.
'NYSE Amex Composite Index'
An index made up of stocks that represent the NYSE Amex equities market. The NYSE Amex Compo
market capitalization-weighted index, so the weight of each stock depends on the price of the share
many are outstanding.
The index is used to quickly judge the overall movement of the NYSE Amex equities market. It was p
known as the American Stock Exchange (Amex) Composite Index and can be found under the symb
NYSE Euronext acquired the American Stock Exchange on October 1, 2008, and branded it as NYSE
which was then changed to the NYSE Amex Equities in 2009. It is primarily an equity market for eme
companies.
'Footsie'
A slang term for the Financial Times Actuaries 100 index (FTSE 100). The FTSE 100 index represents
of the market capitalization of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) as a whole. While other indices hav
popularity within the LSE, such as the FTSE All-Share Index, the FTSE 100 is still by far the most widel
market index globally.
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Parabolic SARDoesnt not work well in ranges, will get whipsawed
It is mostly used for identifying enter/exit positions
Rather than showing trends
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The parabolic SAR is extremely valuable because it is one of the easiest methods available for strate
the position of a stop-loss order. As you become more acquainted with technical indicators, you'll fi
parabolic SAR has built up quite the positive reputation for its role in helping many traders lock-in p
that have been realized in a trending environment. You can also see that professional traders who s
market will use this indicator to help determine the time to cover their short positions.
MACDAbove 0
12EMA is above the 26EMA
Below 0 :
12EMA is below the 26EMA
Hence when the MACD line is = 0
It is when 26EMA intersects 12EMA
The more positive is the MACD, the larger the distance between 12EMA and 26EMA
When MACD is going down, it means 12EMA is losing acceleration, and converging with 26EMA
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ADX = 100 times t e exponentia moving average o t e a so ute va ue o +DI DI ivi e y +DI +
The ADX does not indicate trend direction or momentum, only trend strength.[3] It is a lagging indicato
trend must have established itself before the ADX will generate a signal that a trend is under way. ADX
between 0 and 100. Generally, ADX readings below 20 indicate trend weakness, and readings above 40
trend strength. An extremely strong trend is indicated by readings above 50. Alternative interpretation
been proposed and accepted among technical analysts. For example it has been shown how ADX is a re
coincident indicator of classical chart pattern development, whereby ADX readings below 20 occur just
pattern breakouts.[4]
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ADX above 20 = trend
Force index (momentum indicator that takes volume into account)
The force index is calculated by subtracting yesterday's close from today's close and multiplying the
today's volume. If closing prices are higher today than yesterday, the force is positive. If closing pric
than yesterday's, the force is negative. The strength of the force is determined either by a larger ch
or a larger volume; either situation can independently influence the value and the change in force i
Subtracting ytd close with today close to get ROC
Force index = ROC *Volume
Although it might be positive, but if it is not making new highs, then the trend is not strong
Need to look at volume also.
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P/E ratio average = 15 = price per share
Price = valuation of company = how much it is worth = 15
Takes 15 Years to recover the value of the company
Besides looking at PE
Look at PEG
PEG = PE divided by growth
Under 1 = under valued
Above 1 = overvalued
Most good companies are more than 1 .
Doesnt mean that more than 1 = 1 overvalued
Ford P/E 2.95
PEG 0.28
But highly in debt
General motors
Yahoo 6.39
If not for USD as the world reserved currency,
The couldnt bail out GM and ford
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se at a ig er price. On y w en ot parties agree, t en t ere wi e a tra e.
Buy vol No. of buyers!!! Buy vol. means total number of lots of shares the queued potential buyers
the price under "buy" column.
Similar: Sell vol No. of sellers!!! Sell vol. means total number of lots of shares the queued potential s
sell at the price under the "sell" column.
Sometimes I notice that the buying volume is very high, says 1000 lots at 28 cents. Then later when I
screen, the buying queue becomes 200 lots at 28 cents but I do not see the volume transacted increlots. Why is this so? Can someone please explain.
Someone trying to play trickS
for sell vol high & buy vol low - it will made you rush in to sell low while for sell vol low & buy vol hig
trigger you rush in to buy high absolutely. but if that guy is not fast enough someone may actually t
his offer. only works for low volume counters to fool the unsuspecting.
I do think that institutions can also do this pretty convincingly. Assume that they are now keen to p
warrants. They show hugh selling volumes and folks like you and I then think we are smart to see th
and naturally will sell as quickly as we can.
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ut usua y eep it at 40%
sorry 30%
btu anyway from a company perspective
usually if you can raise funds
first choice is debt
followed by equity
cause debt is cheaper than equity
but keppel can no longer raise debt
cause 40% quite dangerous
hence they turned to rights issue (equity)
But you need the uninformed in order to make money
Thats why for reits
The first sign is
The company say like oh we looking around at xxx properties
You know that means either they gonna acquire debt
If debt capacity not enough
Means rights issue
So if the asset they are looking to buy
You dont like
Better pull out before they go forward
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Ba goo wi
Cant borrow money
Pre-market and after hours trading
If the highest bid is $1.1
Can I buy get $2?
Or it will automatically change to $1.1
What happens during the pre and after hours trading
How can we access them?
And observe the volume
http://www.poems.com.sg/testing/HelpCentre/tradehrsSS.asp?value=hour