incentive structures for financial regulation

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    Lecture 2Poonam Mehra

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    Overview

    Financial markets involve allocation of resources

    Financial institutions are intermediaries

    Finance markets are unique

    y Financial operations are complexy High Technological Innovation

    y Three Premises: inter-temporal trade, risk andinformation

    Pervasive Market Failure

    Case for Intervention

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    External Regulation

    Financial Regulation could be external orinternal

    Until recently, most of financial regulation wasexternally imposed

    Monopoly of Regulators in decision making But with complexity in operation and speed of

    innovation , external regulation finds it difficult tomaintain pace

    Emphasis on internal controls Incentives??

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    Issues in Incentive Design

    Asymmetric Informationy Regulators and/or depositors do not have perfect

    information about risk taking behavior of managers

    y If regulators can observe the portfolio risks of a bank onlyimperfectly, is it possible to keep systemic risk low simplyby introducing regulation??

    Problem aggravated due to technical progressy Complex derivative products

    yTransfer of funds

    Traditional accounting practices inadequate

    Incentive Issues of Regulation design

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    Principal-Agent problem

    Principal: Owners of Capital, represented by Regulator

    Agent: Financial Institutions

    Example from the mutual fund Industry

    Issues:

    y

    Management Capability of the institutions unknownto regulator: Adverse Selection

    y Inability to monitor the Institutions: Moral Hazard

    y Residual Risk

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    Adverse Selection

    Principal lacks information about the type of the agent

    It refers to the case of hidden information

    Example: Quality of risk management techniquesvaries across institutions

    Should the same regulation apply to all?

    Solution:

    y Screening

    y Signaling

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    Screening

    Uninformed party (regulator ) offers a contract

    Tries to screen the different pieces ofinformation the

    informed party (financial institutions) has

    Menu of Contracts: Self-select Group

    All choose the same: Bad may mimic the good

    Carrot and Stick Approach

    Problem: bad drives out the good

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    Signaling

    Signaling: contract offered by informed party, tries tosignal its abilities

    y Adoption ofBest Practices

    y Ongoing relationship: Reputation

    y Contract with right incentives and credibility

    y Delegation

    Internal Audit

    External Audit

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    Moral Hazards

    Moral Hazardarises when the principal cannotmonitor what the agent does

    Moral Hazard gets reflected in the form of hiddenaction

    There is no perfect solution to the problem

    Solution to Moral Hazardy Use of Incentives : Pay Structure

    y Regulation

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    Pay Structures and Risk

    Established controls may not induce favorable actionby agents

    A

    gents respond to pay off structure

    Loss due to downward risk < potential upward gain

    i.e. a convex pay structure induces agents to take morerisk

    Typical pay structure induces differential response torisk and return

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    Pay offstructure and Risk

    Red: risk averseYellow: risk lover

    Success of risky action

    Reward to Agent

    Minimum bonus outcome

    BasicSalary

    BonusCap

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    Regulation

    In bankingindustry, moral hazard could arise due toaction of

    y managers

    y

    investors

    Possible solution

    y Official regulation

    y Encouragement of Private sector lending

    y Impose cost on those who commit mistakes

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    Forbearance

    Ex ante: high punishment and strongincentive required toensure good governance

    Ex post: is it always sensible for regulators to stick to originalrules

    May be not

    Other factors affect decision of the regulator

    y Political: an election year

    y International reputation

    y Other parties affected

    A

    ll this factors may lead to forbearance Forms of forbearance

    y Delayed intervention and disclosure

    y Financial aid

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    Cost Benefit Analysis ofForbearance

    Advantage Disadvantage

    Systemic Consequence

    Forced liquidity may notalways yield proper value

    Going Concern Value

    Bankruptcy entails highcost

    If forbearance failsy Actual cost to public

    increases

    y Lock in effect

    Reduces future Incentiveto follow regulation

    A cost benefit analysis offorbearance is notpossible ex ante

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    Size Matters

    Forbearance applies more to large/ core sectors

    BigFirms feel regulation is more for SmallerFirms

    Large Firms are more diversified and more creditworthy

    Too Big to Fail- doctrine

    Medium Sized Firms may be induced to expand thebalance sheet

    Large Firms may take excessive risk

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    Example: Bail outto RBS

    RBS bailout costliest worldwide

    Government's total bailout of the bank equals 45.5billion pounds or about 74 billion dollars.

    Consequently 84.4. percent of the stakes of the bankwere held by the government

    Issues:

    Series of bailout: example of lock in effect

    Provide stability

    Alternative was bankruptcy

    Ex post: bank survived

    Tax payers as stakeholders may gain in themedium and long term

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    Individual vs. System

    Erosion can be caused by

    y Behavior ofinstitutions managers

    y Adverse Market Movement

    Manager should be blamed more for theirindividualfault, whether due to lack of effort, lack of skill,willingness to take excessive risk

    Not punishing a managerin case of market movementmay encourage herdingbehavior

    Extreme outcomes cannot be predicted

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    Case Study: Satyam

    Satyam Scam in the contemporary corporate

    world:A Case Study in Indian Perspective

    Founded in 1987 by B. Ramalinga Raju

    Provides IT services

    Listed in NYSE & Euronext

    7th Jan, 2009 Raju confessed of manipulating accountsby $ 1.47 billion & resigned

    In the study, we try to look at liability of:

    y Promoter, Director

    y Independent Directors

    y Auditors

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    Confessions ofMr. Raju

    Inflated (non-existent) cash & bank balances of Rs.5040 crores on the balance sheet as of September 30,2008

    Non-existent interest of Rs. 376 crores accrued

    Understated liability of Rs. 1230 crores on account offunds

    Overstated debtor position to the tune of Rs. 490crores

    For 2nd quarter of 2008 alone, artificial cash and bankbalances were raised by Rs. 588 crores

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    History of Ownership Pattern (%

    ofEquity Holding)Date Promoter

    s holding(%)

    Mutual

    Funds

    (%) - Non-

    Promoters

    Banks,

    FI's,

    Insurance

    Cos. (%) -Non-

    Promoter

    s

    Foreign

    Institutio

    nal

    Investors(%) - Non-

    Promoter

    s

    Corporate

    Bodies

    (%) - Non-

    Promoters

    Individual

    s (%) -

    Non-

    Promoters

    Other

    Non-

    institutio

    ns (%) -Non-

    Promoter

    s

    Custodians

    Totalequity

    holding

    (%)

    Mar 2001 25.60 17.24 1.90 33.76 4.46 15.98 1.05 0.00 100.00

    Mar 2002 22.26 12.11 2.33 37.67 4.08 10.94 10.60 0.00 100.00

    Mar 2003 20.74 8.88 4.37 43.02 3.90 8.47 10.61 0.00 100.00

    Mar 2004 17.35 7.39 4.33 51.27 2.95 6.06 10.65 0.00 100.00

    Mar 2005 15.67 7.58 3.32 56.06 2.24 4.47 10.65 0.00 100.00

    Mar 2006 14.02 5.70 1.74 52.48 2.06 4.06 19.94 0.00 100.00

    Mar 2007 8.79 6.00 5.63 47.22 0.94 10.64 1.27 19.52 100.00

    Mar 2008 8.74 4.88 8.13 48.22 0.59 8.75 1.24 19.46 100.00

    Source: Study by Prof. Subrata Sarkar, IGIDR

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    Liability as a Director, Promoter

    Criminal Conspiracy

    Cheating

    Criminal breach of trust

    Forgery

    Falsification of records

    Additional chargesy Breach of fiduciary duty

    y Violation of companies Act

    y Misrepresentation ofBS and P&L statementy Omission & falsification of company documents

    y Serious Frauds Investigation Office

    y US shareholders can file law suit

    Arrested on these charges Non-bailable

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    Liability ofIndependent Directors

    Counterbalance weakness of management

    Ensure legal and ethical behavior

    Extend the reach of company

    Clause 49 of listing Agreement

    y At least 50% of the board should comprise of non-executive directors

    y Independence of Judgment

    y No material Relationship

    y No Pecuniary Relationship

    Under SEBI and Company Law, all directors cannot be heldresponsible as institutional and independent directors arenominated and nominated directors are not legally liable

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    Liability ofPWC in Satyam Case

    PWC was paid double the normal fees usually paid toauditors

    Re-appointed seven times

    Section 227, 233 require auditors to accurately, fairly and

    diligently review and audit company account Failure results in a penalty upto Rs. 10,000

    Section 62, 63 says any persons issuing false propsectus isliable to 2 years imprisonment and fine upto Rs. 50,000

    ICAI can initiate disciplinary proceedings against an audit

    firmy Leading to disqualification from eligibility to act as

    statutory auditors

    y Suspension/debarment

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    Conclusion

    Satyam: one of the very successful and sought aftercompanies can also go wrong

    y Questions the belief large or successful institutionsshould be above regulation

    Moral Hazard

    y Monitoring difficult

    y Independent directors need to be made liable

    y Auditors: How reliable they are?

    Relook at Regulation

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    History of Board of DirectorsClassificationMarch 2008 March 2007 March 2006 March 2005 March 2004

    B Ramalinga Raju Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    B Rama Raju Promoter ExecutiveDirector,

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector,

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    Ram Mynampati Directorin wholetime employment

    Directorin wholetime employment

    MangalamSrinivasan (Dr.)

    (Mrs.)

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    Krishna G Palepu Non-executive,Gray Director

    Non-executive,Gray Director

    Non-executive,Gray Director

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    Vinod Dham IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    M Rammohan Rao(Prof.)

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    T R Prasad IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    V (Prof.) IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    V P Rama Rao(Retd.) (I.A.S.)

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    IndependentDirector

    C Satyanarayana(Retd.) (I.A.S.)

    IndependentDirector

    Board Size

    9 10 7 6 7% of IndependentDirectors

    55.56 60.00 57.14 66.67 71.43

    Source: Study by Prof. Subrata Sarkar, IGIDR

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    Board of Directors: Financial Year 2008

    Directors Name Director

    Designation

    Director

    Classification

    Board MeetingsAttended

    Total Number of

    Directorships

    Total Number of

    CommitteeMemberships

    B Ramalinga Raju Ch Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    4 3 0

    B Rama Raju MD Promoter ExecutiveDirector

    3 4 1

    Ram Mynampati Exec. Director &President

    Directorin wholetime employment

    4 4 0

    MangalamSrinivasan (Dr.)(Mrs.)

    Director IndependentDirector

    3 2 0

    G Palepu Director Non-executive,Gray Director

    4 3 0

    Vinod Dham Director IndependentDirector

    1 9 0

    M Rammohan Rao(Prof.)Director

    IndependentDirector4 6 4

    T R Prasad Director IndependentDirector

    4 9 4

    V. S. Raju (Prof.) Director IndependentDirector

    4 4 2

    Source: Study by Prof. Subrata Sarkar, IGIDR

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    Directors Remuneration: Financial Year

    2008

    DirectorsName

    Designation Salary Sitting Fees Bonus/Commission

    Otherpayments

    TotalRemuneration

    B RamalingaRaju

    Ch 18,00,000 18,00,000 24,43,355 60,43,355

    B Rama Raju Md 16,80,000 16,80,000 10,47,725 44,07,725

    Ram Mynampati Exec. Director &President

    3,52,28,512 3,52,28,512

    MangalamSrinivasan (Dr.)(Mrs.)

    Director 80,000 12,00,000 12,80,000

    Krishna GPalepu

    Director 40,000 12,00,000 79,51,000* 91,91,000

    Vinod Dham Director 10,000 12,00,000 12,10,000

    M RammohanRao (Prof.)

    Director 1,20,000 12,00,000 13,20,000

    T R Prasad Director 1,20,000 11,33,333 12,53,333

    V. S. Raju(Prof.)

    IDirector 1,30,000 11,33,333 12,63,333

    Source: Study by Prof. Subrata Sarkar, IGIDR

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    Auditor Details for Satyam

    TotalAuditFees ( in lakhs)

    Out of PocketExpenses*

    Non-AuditFees*

    TotalPayments

    to Auditors*

    Non-Audit Fee%

    Mar 2001 PriceWaterhouse &Co.

    21.00 0.00 21.00 42.00

    50.00Mar 2002 Price

    Waterhouse &Co.

    21.00 3.03 23.22 47.25

    49.14Mar 2003 Price

    Waterhouse &Co.

    55.00 1.83 9.00 65.83

    13.67Mar 2004 Price

    Waterhouse &Co.

    55.00 1.28 9.00 65.28

    13.79Mar 2005 Price

    Waterhouse &Co.

    55.00 1.37 9.00 65.37

    13.77Mar 2006 Price

    Waterhouse &Co.

    100.00 1.00 14.00 115.00

    12.17

    Mar 2007 PriceWaterhouse &Co.

    248.00 1.00 118.00 367.00

    32.15Mar 2008 Price

    Waterhouse &Co.

    362.00 5.00 6.00 373.00

    1.61

    Source: Study by Prof. Subrata Sarkar, IGIDR