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INDEPENDENCE LOCAL SCHOOLS FISCAL YEAR 2019 MAY FORECAST SUMMARY 1

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  • INDEPENDENCE LOCAL SCHOOLS

    FISCAL YEAR 2019MAY FORECAST SUMMARY

    1

  • Revenue/Expenditure SummaryIncome and Expense Simplified Statement ‐ Projected Fiscal Years

    2

    Continuously trying to push deficit spending out one year at a time. 

    Includes Steps, Education & Base adjustments.

    Fy‐19 ‐ 2.25%,      Fy‐20‐ 2.5%,              

    Minimal level of operating day = 90

    FiscalYear FiscalYear FiscalYear FiscalYear FiscalYear2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    Beginning Balance 10,627,489 11,086,966 10,578,995 9,351,104 7,779,980

    + Revenue 18,820,115 18,755,835 18,502,802 18,778,288 18,916,575 + Proposed Renew/Replacement Levies - - - - - + Proposed New Levies - - - - - - Expenditures (18,360,638) (19,263,806) (19,730,693) (20,349,412) (20,984,567) = Revenue Surplus or Deficit 459,477 (507,971) (1,227,891) (1,571,124) (2,067,992)

    Ending Balance 11,086,966 10,578,995 9,351,104 7,779,980 5,711,988

    Operating Days Available: 219 200 171 138 98

  • Revenue & Expenditure Comparison

    3

  • BOR/BTA REFUNDS

    4

    Current BOR/BTA Outstanding:*27  Decrease     *42  Increase

    General Fund  Refund Projection –Including TIF Refund Estimates:

    • FY‐20 $310k• FY‐21 $300k• FY‐22 $300k• Fy‐23 $300k

    ESC – Refund FY‐19:• Education Service Center exempt status refund $201k.

    • ESC will reimburse district in full after receipt of refund.• Contribution will be reflected in line 1.06 “Other Revenue” 

    of forecast. 

    Refunds History – All Funds

  • Tax Duplicate Property Valuation Projections(Not including TIF Values)

    Class I Assumptions:• 2018 county reappraisal  ‐ 3.5% ‐ I & II• 2021 county update. – 2.4%. – I & II• Residential is at 20 mil floor.

    • Revenue growth on full millage.• Increased new construction – approximately 

    $2.m per year.

    Class II Assumptions:• 2018 county reappraisal.• 2021 county update.• Revenue growth on Inside millage (6.1).• New construction growth in TIF projections.• Modest growth projections.

    ACTUAL Agricultura #A Residential #P Class II (All)#R PP/PUPP #OJ

    YOY%

    -4.9%

    458,014,830453,851,680448,766,240459,545,250475,643,560481,130,965486,617,199498,062,708503,137,708

    YOY $Change

    (23,500,040)

    2018 Property Valuation Class % of Total

    2012 346,030

    2014 347,530

    11,445,5085,075,000

    2018

    2018

    17,533,550 456,374,110 654,440 0.1%0.4%-0.9%-1.1%2.4%3.5%1.2%1.1%2.4%1.0%

    5,487,4055,486,234

    177,796,484178,821,484

    2013

    Total455,719,670239,228,070

    240,264,230251,360,430252,462,460253,806,850271,261,170274,560,243277,900,554285,429,793288,004,793

    Total Class I239,574,100239,083,160240,611,760251,749,270252,851,300254,195,690271,635,690274,934,763278,275,074285,804,313288,379,313

    Tax Year Agricultural PP/PUPP

    198,450,590181,909,760173,393,940180,737,320174,509,960

    199,757,400238,735,630347,530

    Class II (All)200,039,350 16,106,220

    18,952,48020,192,65022,521,00024,612,24029,497,91031,241,910

    1,640,720(4,163,150)(5,085,440)

    Residential

    2019

    10,779,01016,098,310

    2020 374,520

    374,520174,954,292175,400,215

    374,520

    2015 388,8402016 388,8402017 388,840

    2021 374,5202022 374,520

    Total Valuations by Property Classification

    32,941,91034,461,91035,936,910

    Agricultural0.08%

    Residential57.03%

    Class II (All)36.69%

    PP/PUPP6.20%

  • TIF Valuation Estimates

    6

    • Fy‐2019 Inflated TIF payment.• New TIF’s 1st and 2nd half payments 

    received on Fall 2018 settlement. 

     

    Actual TY 2011     

    Taxable Value

    Actual TY 2012 Taxable 

    Value

    Actual TY 2013 Taxable 

    Value

    Actual TY 2014 Taxable 

    Value

    Actual TY 2015 Taxable 

    Value

    Actual TY 2016 Taxable 

    Value

    Actual TY 2017 Taxable 

    value

    Actual TY 2018 Taxable 

    value

    Estimated TY 2019 Taxable 

    value

    Estimated TY 2020 Taxable 

    value

    Estimated TY 2021 Taxable 

    value

    Estimated TY 2022 Taxable 

    value

    310005 0 2,311,260 2,334,373 2,357,716 2,371,309 2,371,309310010 8,147,930 6,594,805 6,594,805 6,856,570 7,779,205 6,324,920 8,435,980 14,564,060 14,709,701 14,856,798 14,942,447 14,942,447310015 0 19,145 19,336 19,530 19,642 19,642310020 6,758,955 5,775,455 5,775,455 5,811,295 4,799,270 3,668,665 3,792,915 4,831,190 4,879,502 4,928,297 4,956,709 4,956,709310025 0 3,333,715 3,367,052 3,400,723 3,420,328 3,420,328310030 5,381,600 8,767,150 9,442,790 8,594,320 7,445,305 8,267,735 8,111,390 10,938,340 11,047,723 11,158,201 11,222,528 11,222,528310035 0 3,806,670 3,844,737 3,883,184 3,905,571 3,905,571310040 3,120,740 4,426,240 4,742,780 3,911,845 3,646,825 3,905,405 3,662,295 4,275,425 4,318,179 4,361,361 4,386,504 4,386,504310050 5,138,735 10,738,735 10,808,735 13,363,735 13,363,735 13,363,735 13,363,735 13,363,735 13,497,372 13,632,346 13,710,937 13,710,937310060 1,753,535 1,960,840 1,960,840 1,960,840 1,657,390 1,657,390 1,657,390 1,951,565 1,971,081 1,990,791 2,002,268 2,002,268310070 3,777,760 3,820,005 3,886,330 3,735,165 2,865,695 2,410,975 2,982,175 6,383,195 6,447,027 6,511,497 6,549,036 6,549,036310080 7,328,790 7,606,690 7,606,690 7,601,125 7,211,225 7,211,225 7,102,270 6,840,400 6,908,804 6,977,892 7,018,120 7,018,120310090 909,055 942,585 945,945 945,945 913,080 913,080 913,080 998,095 1,008,076 1,018,157 1,024,026 1,024,026310100 2,037,210 2,074,800 2,119,040 2,120,790 2,473,275 2,579,780 2,583,735 3,024,315 3,175,531 3,302,552 3,434,654 3,469,001310120 491,575 684,530 995,260 1,053,360 1,282,050 1,397,410 1,407,035 1,483,020 1,557,171 1,619,458 1,684,236 1,701,079310130 0 0 0 0 0 0310135 0 1,974,669 2,073,402 2,101,728 2,185,797 2,198,399

    Assessed Valuation: 44,845,885$  53,391,835$  54,878,670$  55,954,990$  53,437,055$  51,700,320$  54,012,000$  80,098,799$  81,159,067$  82,120,231$  82,834,113$  82,897,903$    

    New TIF Residential (Chestnut woods)

    New TIF (Bowl)

    New TIF (Home‐2‐Suites)

    New TIF (Spring Hill)

    New TIF ‐ VistaNew TIF ‐ Involta

    FY Operating EstimateActual FY 2013 1,548,417Actual FY 2014 1,871,362Actual FY 2015 1,699,558Actual FY 2016 1,279,262Actual FY 2017 1,785,292Actual FY 2018 1,882,671Actual FY 2019 2,866,433Projection FY 2020 2,660,031Projection FY 2021 2,606,589Projection FY 2022 2,633,493Projection FY 2023 2,644,337

    Actual FY 2015 385,093Actual FY 2016 536,895Actual FY 2017 181,200Actual FY 2018 112,006Actual FY 2019 167,347Projection FY 2020 110,000Projection FY 2021 100,000Projection FY 2022 100,000Projection FY 2023 100,000

    TIF Refund Estimate

  • Collection Rate/Splits Analysis

    7

    SettlementSheetAnalysis Actual Actual Actual Actual ActualCollection Year> 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

    CurrentCollectionRate(CurrentLeviedLocalTaxes):Class I Potential Tax Revenue Levied 6,699,503 6,654,938 6,542,990 6,304,097 6,278,022

    Class I Current Collections per Settlement Sheet 6,553,723 6,512,567 6,408,398 6,182,757 6,159,363 Class I Collection Rate 97.8% 97.9% 97.9% 98.1% 98.1%

    Class II Potential Tax Revenue Levied 5,752,345 5,646,015 5,884,598 6,380,186 6,462,152 Class II Current Collections per Settlement Sheet 5,360,010 5,514,418 5,436,294 5,664,550 6,000,166

    Class II Collection Rate 93.2% 97.7% 92.4% 88.8% 92.9%

    Combined Current Collection Rate both Class I and Class II 95.7% 97.8% 95.3% 93.4% 95.4%

    Collection Yr. Rate: 1stHalfSplit Rate: 2ndHalfSplitActual 2014 98.1% 54.1% 92.9% 51.2%

    2015 98.1% 54.1% 88.8% 56.6%2016 97.9% 54.2% 92.4% 53.1%2017 97.9% 54.4% 97.7% 58.3%2018 97.8% 58.6% 93.2% 56.7%

    Estimated 2019 98.0% 54.0% 95.0% 56.0%2020 98.0% 54.0% 95.0% 56.0%2021 98.0% 54.0% 95.0% 56.0%2022 98.0% 54.0% 95.0% 56.0%2023 98.0% 54.0% 95.0% 56.0%

    Class II CollectionsClass I Collections

    SettlementSheetAnalysis Actual Actual Actual Actual ActualCollection Year> 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

    Delinquencies: Gross Delinquencies Collected 1st half 337,796 189,647 255,495 264,664 361,320 Gross Delinquencies Collected 2nd half 22,640 27,560 16,196 58,979 129,654

    Total Annual Gross Delinquencies Collected 360,436 217,207 271,692 323,643 490,974 Delinquencies as % of Total Current Collections 3.0% 1.8% 2.3% 2.7% 4.0%

    Class I Class IIParcels Residential Parcels Com./Ind.36 284,476.41$  9 236,011.29$    

    6 Parcels = 201,946.70$  8 Parcels = 232,747$         71% 99%

    Delinquent Tax Report Spring 2019

  • 1.01 Real Estate Estimates

    8

    Changes from 2018 to 2019• 18 – Increased collection – tax law changes.• 18 – Increased Delinquent collections.• 18 – Decreased refunds. 

    o Projections: Reappraisal 2018 collection 2019. Fy‐19 ESC refund $201k. Delinquencies estimated @ $250k. Refunds estimated @ $200k. Class I (residential) at 20 mil floor. Emergency Levy millage decrease 9.7 mill in second 

    half of Fy‐20.

    TaxRevenue FiscalYear>> 2018Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023Total Residential, Ag, and Business Current Taxes 12,149,801 11,682,316 12,154,398 12,016,985 12,129,442 12,221,662

    Prior Year Delinquencies 365,356 260,358 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 Net Fiscal Year Advances - - - - - -

    Refunds (161,431) (217,818) (200,000) (200,000) (200,000) (200,000) Other Adjustments - - - - - -

    Total 13,423,583 12,353,726 11,724,856 12,204,398 12,066,985 12,179,442 12,271,662 Dollar Change over Prior year (628,870) 479,542 (137,413) 112,457 92,220 Percentage Change over Prior Year -5.09% 4.09% -1.13% 0.93% 0.76%

  • 1.02 Tangible Personal Property

    PUPP Includes:

    Telephone companiesTelegraph companiesElectric companiesNatural gas companiesPipe‐Line companies  RailroadsWater worksWater transportationHeating companiesRural electric companies

    9

    PUPP Valuation ProjectionsTax Year P.U. Personal

    Actual 2011 14,613,270$       Actual 2012 16,106,220$        10.2%Actual 2013 17,533,550$        8.9%Actual 2014 18,952,480$        8.1%Actual 2015 20,192,650$        6.5%Actual 2016 22,521,000$        11.5%Actual 2017 24,612,240$        9.3%Actual 2018 29,497,910$        19.9%

    Estimated 2019 31,241,910$        5.9%Estimated 2020 32,941,910$        5.4%Estimated 2021 34,461,910$        4.6%Estimated 2022 35,936,910$        4.3%

    Anticipate continued growth due to new TIF developments.

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    1.02 Public Utility Personal 773,807 901,787 984,891 1,027,313 1,073,200 1,115,997 Dollar Change over Prior Year 76,402 127,980 83,104 42,422 45,887 42,797

  • 1.035 Unrestricted (Foundation)

    10

    The elimination of 50% of regular transportation funding ($123k) over the next two fiscal years (2018 & 2019) has moved the district from a CAP funded district to a Guarantee or formula funded district.  Eliminates any growth  potential in State funding.  

    Projected2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    FinalFundingAmount 629,806 612,099 612,099 615,965 632,259 643,252UnfundedFormulaAboveCap $46,616 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

    Preschool 76,514 95,725 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 Special Education Transportation 50,979 51,765 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000

    Per Pupil, FY19: $52.00 Casino Funding 54,138 55,798 54,441 56,414 58,585 59,977 2016 TPP Hold Harmless 80% -

    Career Tech - Negative Adj to Restricted (843) (843) (843) (843) (843) (843) n Disadvantaged - Negative Adj to Restricted (583) (707) (639) (651) (676) (692)

    Adjustments TPP 20% 81,560 - - - - Adjustment for Current Cash Flow Trend: 2,265 9,490

    893,836 823,327 795,059 800,886 819,324 831,694

  • 1.05 Property tax Allocation

    • Fy‐18 – Fy‐22 fixed‐sum emergency phase out.• Revenue remaining flat.• Reduction in Emergency levy millage second 

    half of Fy‐2020.

    1.050‐PropertyTaxAllocation Actual Projected2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    Projections are not Based Upon Previous Fiscal Year10% Rollback Total Dollars 776,089 796,874 820,686 828,706 841,478 852,606

    2.5% Residential Rollback Total Dollars 162,740 168,271 173,299 174,993 177,690 180,040 Homestead Total Dollars 175,319 177,513 181,405 180,984 183,774 186,204

    18,427 - - - - - Total Rollback and Homestead 1,132,575 1,142,658 1,175,389 1,184,683 1,202,942 1,218,849

    - TPPFixed‐RateDirectReimbursementRevenue - - - -

    TPPFixed‐SumEmergencyLevyReimbursementRevenue 95,551 74,317 53,084 31,850 10,617 - Total 1,228,126 1,216,975 1,228,473 1,216,534 1,213,559 1,218,849

  • 1.06 Other Revenue

    12

    Property Tax Settlements

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    1.06OtherRevenue 2,721,716 4,074,261 3,501,532 3,349,590 3,451,244 2,436,838

    Projections Projections Actual Actual ActualSettlements: Fy‐20 Fy‐19 Fy‐18 Fy‐17 Fy‐16

    Cleveland Clinic ‐$                 ‐$              ‐$                     618,483$        ‐$             ESC Return of Refund ‐$                 201,465$     Corp. Plaza (Pending) ‐$                 53,649$         54,822$              

     Park Center Plaza (Pending) ‐$                 30,710$         31,381                 Rockside Square I & II 20,000             15,000           15,000                  ‐                       ‐                    

    Top Golf Payment   ‐                        ‐                     JDI Tax yr. 2013 & 14 ‐                        ‐                      36,633            36,633         

    JDI Tax yr. 2015 & 16 & 17 ‐                        57,868           59,133                  58,332           JAGI Cleveland Holiday Inn 35,000             35,000           30,000                  ‐                       ‐                    

    JAGI Springhill ‐                        52,729          Rockside 77 (Crown Center) 50,000             45,000          

    Kent State ‐                        ‐                      ‐                            25,000            25,000         Hampton Inn ‐                        17,985           17,750                  20,000            20,000         Double Tree 37,500             37,500           37,500                  37,500            37,500         

    Estimated Receivables: 142,500$        546,906$      245,586$             795,948$        119,133$     

    Description 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20231190- Other Local -TIF 1,882,671 2,866,433 2,660,031 2,606,589 2,633,493 2,644,337

    Includes TopGolf settlement starting in 2nd half Fy‐21 ($100k)• Fy‐22 and beyond ‐ Full settlement $200k.

  • 3.01 Personnel 

    Include steps & Ed. movement + 2% ‐ 2.25% ‐ 2.5% base raises 2018‐20.

    2019 Includes additional employees. Intervention Specialist. Computer Ed. Kdg.  Maintenance

    2019 Includes two RIF positions.  2019 Total +2 FTE employees.

    13

    Fixed Base Increases:2% 2.25% 2.5%

    Forecasted Base Increases:1%  1%                                1%              

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    3.01Personnel 9,177,284 9,654,801 10,297,549 10,574,031 10,832,554 11,097,488264,648 477,517 642,748 276,482 258,523 264,9342.97% 5.20% 6.66% 2.68% 2.44% 2.45%

    ESC Personnel Transfers: 2019 Movement of 1 ESC to ILS personnel. 2020 Movement of 3 ESC to ILS personnel.

  • 3.02 Benefits

    Estimated 10% increase in health costs for fiscal years 2020 – 2023. 

    14

    FY‐20198.5% health insurance rate increase.

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    3.02 Employee Benefits 3,402,806 3,662,750 4,027,559 4,273,385 4,545,369 4,840,785282,003 259,944 364,809 245,826 271,984 295,4169.04% 7.64% 9.96% 6.10% 6.36% 6.50%

  • 3.03 Purchase Services

    15

    Purchase Services Include: Utilities. Professional development. Legal services. ESC services. Building‐transportation 

    contracted services. Special ed. services, etc.

    Purposed Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual ActualFy‐19 Fy‐18 Fy‐17 Fy‐16 Fy‐15 Fy‐14 Fy‐13

    Utilities 482,500              420,367                420,555                356,846             485,691           449,946          425,916         ESC Personnel  1,073,625          1,143,164             1,084,227             1,017,443         1,048,293        1,032,193      988,487         Building repairs 172,000              134,453                122,653                176,105             247,501           133,500          161,649         

    Legal/PR/Evaluations 145,000              131,285                115,044                100,123             121,540           122,484          115,940         

    Noteworthy Purchase Services

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    3.03 Purchase Services 3,468,319 3,511,234 3,349,127 3,466,346 3,570,336 3,677,446249,153 42,915 (162,107) 117,219 103,990 107,1107.74% 1.24% ‐4.62% 3.50% 3.00% 3.00%

  • 3.04 Supplies3.05 Equipment

    16

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    3.04 Supplies 653,368 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000 600,000

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    3.05 Capital Outlay 204,717 285,258 293,202 150,002 150,002 150,002

    Technology Projects:• Network switch's, severs, backup systems and additional Access points @ buildings.• Security camera updates – H.S.• Infrastructure updates @ M.S. to support new broadcast equip.• Data projector replacement in all buildings.• New CleverTouch devices for 4th & 7th grade i‐teams & H.S. media center.• Technology infrastructure for HIS media center – microphones, sound, command system, 

    motorized projection screen & High‐resolution projector.

    Curriculum• No major textbook adoption.• Random replacement.• AP and Physics replacement.

  • Debt Service H.B. 264Energy Conservation Improvement Bonds

    17

    2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Projections are not Based Upon Previous Fiscal Year

    4.050‐Principal‐HB264Loan 85,000 85,000 90,000 90,000 90,000 95,000 4.060‐InterestandFiscalCharge 22,456 20,544 18,418 16,100 13,700 11,200

    Total[4.060] 107,456$ 105,544$ 108,418$ 106,100$ 103,700$ 106,200$

  • 4.3 Other

    • Looked at historical data & trends.• Includes: 

    • Liability insurance.• Board expenses.• Organizational dues/fees• County auditor/treasurer 

    fees.• Yearly financial report.• Auditing services (2yr. Cycle).

    18

    Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year Fiscal Year

    2018 Actual 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    4.3 Other Objects 275,358 251,051 297,951 270,851 307,451 272,651

    Purposed Actual  Actual  Actual  Actual  Actual

    Fy‐19 Fy‐18  Fy‐17 Fy‐16 Fy‐15 Fy‐14

    County Auditor/Treas. Fees 191,493$    205,978$    179,588$    183,224$    214,993$    225,309$   

    Financial Rpt./Audit Fee 5,200           30,840        6,000           46,300        5,000           43,000       

    ESC Deductions 6,750           6,716           6,578           6,416           6,630           6,769          

    Liability Ins.   6,865           6,710           19,892        19,670        20,354        21,371       

  • 5.01 Transfer Out

    19

    Manuscript debt payments 2012‐2015.

    2018 – Increase café & athletic transfer to avoid deficit spending in Fy‐2019.• Auditors recommendations.

    Actual2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

    5.010‐OperatingTransfers‐OutCafeteria 80,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 50,000 Athletic 100,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000

    Capital Projects - 200,000 200,000 200,000 150,000 150,000 Total[5.010] 180,000$ 290,000$ 290,000$ 290,000$ 240,000$ 240,000$

    Projected