indian textile industry outlook_arpit nagda

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Indian Textile Industry Opportunities and Challenges An abstract of Indian Textile Industry vis-a- vis Global Textile Industry, India’s current trade situation and standing in the global T&A trade, Opportunities lying ahead and challenges that the sector is facing, big players of the industry and favouring Government policies including ATUFS.

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Page 1: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

Indian Textile Industry Opportunities and Challenges

An abstract of Indian Textile Industry vis-a- vis Global Textile Industry, India’s

current trade situation and standing in the global T&A trade, Opportunities lying

ahead and challenges that the sector is facing, big players of the industry and

favouring Government policies including ATUFS.

Page 2: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

1

Summer Project Report

On

Indian Textile Industry: Opportunities and Challenges

Under the Guidance of

Mr. Priyank Parekh

Manager

SBI Capital Markets Limited

Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the award of degree of

Master of Business Administration

By

Arpit Nagda

Roll No: 32004

Bharathidasan Institute of Management Tiruchirapalli

JUNE 2016

Page 3: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

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The Management Internship at SBI Capital Markets Limited, Mumbai has been a

great learning experience for me. The success of this internship cannot be stated

without mentioning the interest, support and guidance provided by the organization

and I hope to maintain a long standing relationship with the organization.

I would like to thank Mr. Priyank Parekh (Manager – Infra Division) for his

constant guidance and for helping me complete this summer project successfully. I

would like to extend my gratitude to Mr. Manish Kothary (VP- Infra division) and

his entire team for guiding me and providing some valuable inputs.

I am also thankful to my Faculty Guide, Prof. Abhishek and Prof. M. Sankaran for

the guidance and support during the entire internship program.

At last I would like to thank all who have been left unmentioned above for their

support and guidance in making this internship a success.

Acknowledgement

Page 4: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

3

Table of Contents Introduction .................................................................................................................................................. 5

History and Background ............................................................................................................................... 6

Global Textile and Apparel Industry ............................................................................................................ 8

Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 8

China’s Dominance.................................................................................................................................. 10

Upcoming Trends .................................................................................................................................... 11

Global Textile Value Chains ..................................................................................................................... 12

Indian Textile and Apparel Industry .......................................................................................................... 13

Industry Specifics ........................................................................................................................................ 17

Raw Material ........................................................................................................................................... 17

Natural ........................................................................................................................................... 17

Cotton .............................................................................................................................. 17

Jute ................................................................................................................................... 22

Silk ................................................................................................................................... 22

Wool ................................................................................................................................. 23

Man-Made/ Synthetic .................................................................................................................... 23

PTA .................................................................................................................................. 24

MEG .................................................................................................................................. 24

Process and Output ................................................................................................................................. 26

Technical Textiles .................................................................................................................................... 28

Trade ........................................................................................................................................................... 30

Exports .................................................................................................................................................... 30

Imports ................................................................................................................................................... 33

Challenges Faced ........................................................................................................................................ 35

TPP .......................................................................................................................................................... 35

Contents

Page 5: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

4

GSP+ Status to Pakistan ........................................................................................................................... 36

Emergence of Vietnam and growing competition .................................................................................. 37

Stringent Labor Laws ............................................................................................................................... 39

Complex Taxation System ....................................................................................................................... 40

Power and Infrastructure ........................................................................................................................ 40

Unskilled Workforce ................................................................................................................................ 42

Technology .............................................................................................................................................. 42

Sluggish Global Growth ........................................................................................................................... 44

Opportunities ............................................................................................................................................. 45

Strong growth in Domestic Retail Market .............................................................................................. 45

E-Commerce ............................................................................................................................................ 46

Policy Support ......................................................................................................................................... 47

ATUFS ............................................................................................................................................. 48

SITP ................................................................................................................................................. 49

Mega Cluster .................................................................................................................................. 50

ISDS ................................................................................................................................................ 50

Other Financial and Tax Incentives ......................................................................................................... 50

Wage Inflation in China ........................................................................................................................... 51

Porter’s Five Forces Model......................................................................................................................... 52

Industry Giants ........................................................................................................................................... 54

Mergers and Acquisitions in Industry ........................................................................................................ 59

Conclusion and Observations .................................................................................................................... 60

Reference .................................................................................................................................................... 62

Page 6: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

5

India has been in the midst of a great social, political and economic change ever

since reforms were introduced in various spheres of activity. The country has

greater confidence to take on the competition from developed countries and has

attracted global investors in ever increasing measure. The Textile industry is one of

the oldest industries in India. The sector has made significant contributions in

terms of forex earnings and employment and is one of the mainstays of the

economy.

Indian Textile Industry occupies a very important place in the economic life of

India. It contributes to the Indian Economy through generation of employment,

output and export earnings. Besides this, the contribution of this industry amounts

to 14% of the total output generation by the industrial sector. Indian Textile

industry's contribution towards GDP has been estimated to be hovering around 4-

5% which itself is a commendable one. Textile has been one of the main sources of

income for the Indian economy through export. The total share of the Indian

Textile Industry in the total earnings from export has been calculated to be 14%, as

estimated by Ministry Of Textiles, India. This industry has shown the potential of

being one of the largest employment generating industries of the Indian economy.

On a direct basis, Indian Textile Industry employs a whooping thirty five million

people and more. In terms of employment generation, textile industry has come up

to the second position, just after agriculture.

Introduction

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The history of textile is almost as old as that of human civilization and as time

moves on the history of textile has further enriched itself. In the 6th and 7th

century BC, the oldest recorded indication of using fiber comes with the invention

of flax and wool fabric at the excavation of Swiss lake inhabitants. In India the

culture of silk was introduced in 400AD, while spinning of cotton traces back to 2

3000BC. In China, the discovery and consequent development of sericulture and

spin silk methods got initiated at 2640 BC while in Egypt the art of spinning linen

and weaving developed in 3400 BC. The discovery of machines and their

widespread application in processing natural fibers was a direct outcome of the

industrial revolution of the 18th and 19th centuries. The discoveries of various

synthetic fibers like nylon created a wider market for textile products and gradually

led to the invention of new and improved sources of natural fiber. The

development of transportation and communication facilities facilitated the path of

transaction of localized skills and textile art among various countries.

As far as Indian Textile and Apparel (T&A) Industry is concerned, it is believed to

be close to 3000 years old. There is archaeological evidence of a cotton textile

industry at Mohenjo-Daro in the Indus Valley around 3000 B.C., and a few

fragments survive from much later periods.

During the colonial regime the traditional textile industry of India was virtually

decayed. However, in the early nineteenth century the modern textile industry

took birth in India when the first textile mill was established at Fort Gloster near

Calcutta in 1818. However, the real beginning of this industry only happened in

1850‟s when The Cotton Textile Mill of Bombay was established in the year

History & Background

Page 8: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

7

1854. The vast majority of early mills were the handiwork of Parsi merchants

engaged in yarn and cloth trade at home and Chinese and African Markets. Later

in 1861, another mill was set up in Ahmedabad which emerged as a major rival

center to Bombay and later spread the textile industry largely due to the Gujarati

trading class. The cotton textile Industry made rapid progress in the second half

of the nineteenth century and by the end of the century there were 178 cotton

textile mills; but during the year 1900 the cotton textile industry was in bad state

due to great famine and a number of mills of Bombay and Ahmedabad were to be

closed down for long periods.

Page 9: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

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Introduction

The current global Textile and apparel market is estimated at US$1,100bn with

trade value of US$700bn. EU is the largest consumer market, reaching US$350bn

per annum, whilst China is the largest exporter with US$288bn. Leading countries

such as U.S, EU and Japan focus solely on highest-value stages of textile and

apparel value chain, that are designing, marketing and distribution. Meanwhile,

manufacturing activities are concentrated in China, India and other developing

countries such as Bangladesh, Vietnam, Pakistan, Indonesia, etc. The connection

between manufacturers and the end-users created by traders from Hong Kong,

South Korea and Taiwan is a unique trait of global textile and apparel sector.

Global Textile Industry

Page 10: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

9

Global textile and apparel sector is forecast to develop with following

trends. Growing at a CAGR of 5% per year and reaching US$2,100bn by

2025.

The growth rate of the developed countries will slow down and the big

emerging economies like China, India will be the key driver of growth.

Processing activities for export will switch partly from China to other

countries. Bangladesh and Vietnam are 2 first destinations of this shift.

Global textile and apparel value chain attracts investment worth US$350bn

over the period of 2012- 2025.

T&A industry accounted for 1.8% of global GDP in 2012. It is forecast to reach

US$2,110bn by 2025, equivalent to CAGR at about 5% per year for the period of

2012-2025. 4 main consumer markets are the EU-27, U.S, China and Japan; with a

population of only about one third of the global population, these markets account

for over 75% of global apparel value. EU-27 is currently the largest market with a

value of US$350bn per year. However, China is forecast to become the largest

market by 2025 with a value of US$540bn, equivalent to CAGR of 10% per year

for the period of 2012-2025. Brazil, India, Russia, Canada and Australia are also

the largest markets on the list. Indian market is forecast to have the highest growth

rate with CAGR of 12% per year and value of US$200bn by 2025, thus, India will

surpass Japan and Brazil to become the country with the 4th largest scale in the

Sou

rce: Wazir A

dviso

rs, FPTS

Page 11: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

10

world. Other countries account for about 44% of the world population but only

about 7% of global apparel market.

China’s Dominance:

36 109

272 273

663 686 814 831

1050

153 138

377 454

740 781 804

1080

1221

1643

247

India China Brazil Russia EU-27 US Canada Japan Australia WorldAverage

Apparel spending per Person (USD/Person)

2012 2025

Global Trade Share (in USD Billion)

Sou

rce: Wazir A

dviso

rs, FTPS

Sou

rce:

Waz

ir A

dvi

sors

Page 12: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

11

China holds a 40% share of this astounding USD 1.1 Trillion global Textiles

market. It is estimated that the share of China in the global textile trade would

come down to 30-35% by 2025, majorly due to it‟s rising lobor costs; however, it

would still be the largest player of an increased (Almost doubled) market size.

Upcoming Trends

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, FTP

S

Page 13: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

12

As China starts leaving some space because of soaring labor costs, it‟s the time for

lesser developed countries to jump in the fray. Hence it won‟t be a challenging task

to predict the upcoming trend. Clearly, cost and proximity would be the two factors

to look at. However, technological advancements, basic infrastructure and skilled/

semi-skilled work force is equally important. This being the reason, it is estimated

that Asia would remain a big textile supplier to the world as it weighs better than

it‟s African counterparts on all the parameters except for Labor Cost.

Global Textile Value Chain:

The greater value in the textiles chain is generally created at the Marketing

Networks. Branded items fetch higher margins and hence it becomes lucrative for a

producer to aim for forward vertical integration. Many Indian and Chinese

Producers are now aiming for it.

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3

Page 14: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

13

Today, the Indian textile industry has earned a unique place in our country. It has

become a great pillar of strength for Indian Economy and its overall exports. It

accounts for almost 14% of total industrial production and contributes nearly 13%

to the total Exports of India. It is also the second largest employment generating

sector after agriculture. Not just that, share of T&A industry in Indian GDP is close

to 5%. The size of Indian Textile and Apparel Industry (T & A Industry) as of

2014 was approximately US $107 Billion. Out of this, domestic market aggregates

to US $67 Billion while the export market stands at US $40 Billion.

Indian Textile Industry

67

40

Indian Textile Industry

Domestic Market

Exports Market

Numbers are in Billion USD

Total Industry size: US $107 Billion

*As of 2014

Sou

rce:

IBEF

Page 15: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

14

Key Facts:

The fundamental strength of the textile industry in India is its strong

production base of wide range of fibre/yarns from natural fibres like cotton,

jute, silk and wool to synthetic/man-made raw material.

Fibres like polyester, viscose, nylon and acrylic.

According to UN Comtrade data released in June, 2014, India/India‟s:

Was announced as the world‟s second largest exporter of textiles and

clothing

Is 6th largest exporter of clothing only

Accounts 63 percent of the market share of textiles and garments

Is the 2nd

biggest producer of silk and cotton

0.8%

0.5% 0.6% 0.6%

0.5% 0.4%

0.8%

0.6%

1.4%

FDI in Textile

As a % of total FDI flows in India

*Jan-Jun

0.19

0.16 0.15

0.13

0.16

0.1

0.2 0.2

0.13

FDI in Indian Textile

In USD Billion

Sou

rce:

Min

istr

y o

f Te

xtile

(M

oT)

Page 16: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

15

Textile industry accounts for about 24 percent of the world‟s spindle

capacity and 8 percent of global rotor capacity

Has the highest loom capacity(including handlooms) with 63 percent of the

world‟s market share

Accounts for about 14 percent of the world‟s production of textile fibres and

yarns(largest producer of jute, second largest producer of silk and cotton;

and third largest in cellulosic fibre)

24%

8%

14%

Spindle Capacity Rotor Capacity Textile Fibres and Yarn

India's share (2014)

As a % of Global Market

106 115

126 136

148 161

175 190

207 225

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Indian T & A Industry

USD Billion

Sou

rce: IB

EF

Sou

rce

: ITA

Page 17: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

16

India is today world’s fastest growing established T&A Industry. It is expected to grow at the rate of 9-10% and reach USD 225 Billion by the 2025. That would mean a lot of investment would be required by this sector. Reaching this mark isn’t going to be difficult for Indian T&A Market, however, what matters is that India emerges as an established brand for the sourcing of all kind of Apparels and Textiles. This would need an increased focus towards changing global demand. The world is moving towards higher consumption of synthetic and Technical textiles. Technical textiles, specifically, is going to grow at much larger pace than other most of the other textile items. Hence, an increased focus on Technical Textile would only establish India as a key destination to source it from. This would further help India in not just meeting this ambitious target, but to ensure a solid base for further growth in upcoming years and years post that. Indian policies and labor laws would also play a vital role here. It would be interesting to observe the direction these factors take, as there exist an strong correlation of these factors with T&A industry. An Increased focus on Technology through ATUFS is an step in right direction at the right time. However, India should reconsider the upper limit, fixed for the permissible incentives under this scheme. There should be no such scheme that would limit India in achieving scale and thus becoming more competitive in Global market. Advances on all these fronts by India would have a direct impact on how fast China’s dominance would come down.

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Raw Material:

Raw Material for the T&A Industry can be broadly classified into two categories,

namely:

Natural Raw Materials

Man Made Raw Materials

Natural Raw Material:

Cotton

Cotton is one of the most important commercial crop cultivated in India. It plays a

major role in sustaining the livelihood of an estimated 5.8 million cotton farmers

and 40-50 million people engaged in related activities such as cotton processing

and trade. The Indian Textile Industry consumes a diverse range of fibres and yarn.

In the raw material consumption of the Industry, the ratio of the use of the cotton to man –made fibres and filament yarn is 69:41. Hence, growth and all around development of cotton and cotton industry has a vital bearing on the overall

Industry Specifics:

Cotton

Jute

Silk

Wool

Page 19: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

18

development of the Indian economy. The consumption of cotton is more than 300 Lakh Bales(170 Kg) per year. To support the cotton industry, GoI announces Minimum support price (MSP) for two basic staples groups viz., medium and Medium long staple cotton. Cotton Corporation of India (CCI) under the Textile Ministry is one of the nominated agencies of GoI for undertaking MSP operations in the event of prevailing Kapas price touching MSP Level. As per the mandate and in order to avoid distress selling by cotton farmers, CCI purchases raw cotton(Kapas) directly from the cotton farmers, under the MSP operations at the designated market yards, without any quantitative restrictions.

Cotton Production:

While Tamil Nadu has set a record of exceptionally high yield of 1214 Kg/Ha (As

far as other Indian States are concerned), It is Gujarat which wins the title of

highest Cotton producing state of India, primarily due to its large area under

707

345

515

626 624 665

528

695

529

1214

Yield (Kg/Ha)

125

85

50

28 28 25 18 17 14

5

Production (lakh Bales)

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CC

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, Tex

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issi

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Page 20: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

19

cultivation. Sadly, Maharashtra stands a distant second despite having the largest

area under cultivation, primarily, due its poor yield.

Cotton Production: Global Comparison

If India was to be ranked on the basis of cotton yield among its peers globally,

India would stand far at 31st place. In fact, even Bangladesh would precede India.

However, what is interesting to observe is the yield and crop cultivation area trend

of world‟s largest cotton producing country, China. China‟s success on this front is

remarkable.

30.06

41.92

16.51

7.6 7.36 6.39 5.79 4.16 4.5

0.7

Area under cultivation (in Lakh Ha)

Source: Textile Commissioner, Mumbai

Page 21: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

20

From the above figure it becomes very clear why India need to work on Technical

advancements in Cotton Production, which is nothing but upgrading the process

employed in cultivation of cotton. Despite having an area under cultivation twice

as large (even 2.5 or more during certain years) as that of China, India‟s yield is

merely1/3rd

of what China is capable of. And this is what that has dragged India to

second spot in World‟s leading Cotton producing countries. No doubt, India needs

to bring in some great reforms.

111 122 120 120

130 117

53 55 53 48 44

38

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Cotton Cultivation Area (Lakh Ha)

India China

496 496 525 566

511 535

1,265 1,346

1,438 1,486 1,484 1,562

2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Cotton Yield (kg/Ha)

National Average China

Note: State-wise yield for 2015-16 is yet to be estimated by CAB Source: CAB, USDA, ICAC

Page 22: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

21

Cotton Price trends: (Values are in Rs/Kg)

Cotton is an important cash crop and amounts for nearly a third of the Indian farm

Sector GDP. The modest prices during past couple of years has, therefore hurt the

Agriculture Sector. However, the textile industry has largely benefited from this.

These modest price trends are supposed to continue for the time being as global

production remains high. And as large amount of supplies available in countries

like Bangladesh and Vietnam‟s renewed focus on self-reliance on cotton

production (Because of Yarn Forward clause in TPP), Indian cotton is bound to see

a decline, may be a small decline if not big.

There‟s a small jolt from CAB (The Cotton Advisory Board) which has forecasted

that cotton production in India will fall by over 7% to around 35.2 million bales

(170 kg each) for the October 2015-September 2016 crop year against 38 million

bales in the previous year. However, there pretty less that Industry needs to worry

about as despite a drop in production, cotton prices are expected to remain in a

bear grip owing to higher carryover stocks.

1,833.00

1,633.00

1,591.00

1,559.00

1,530.00

1,524.00

1,234.00

1,197.00

1,089.00

1,089.00

653

605

560

517

Australia

Israel

Mexico

Turkey

Brazil

China

Venezuela

Syrian Arab Republic

Bulgaria

Tunisia

Vietnam

Bangladesh

Pakistan

India

Sou

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exmu

nd

i

Country wise Cotton Yield (Kg/Ha)

Page 23: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

22

Item Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Raw Cotton

Wt. Avg.

2015-2016

88.78 86.6

87.44

89.46

89.86

88.65

85.91

PV(M) -2 -2 1 2 Nil -1 -3 PV(Y) -9 -4 -2 -2 6 6 -1 2014-

2015 97.55

89.92

89.09

91.29

84.66

83.56

87.13

91.85

93.68

91.42

90.89

90.68

PV(M) -9 -8 -1 2 -7 -1 4 5 2 -2 -1 Nil

PV(Y) -18 -21 -18 -17 -27 -28 -22 -17 -16 -19 -18 -15 2013-2014

118.3

113.82

108.66

109.79

116.03

115.99

111.79

111.29

111.23

113.44

110.77

107.13

PV(M) -3 -4 -5 1 6 Nil -4 Nil Nil 2 -2 -3

PV(Y) 23 38 19 18 25 20 8 12 11 6 Nil -13 2012-2013

96.35

82.27

90.96

93.11

92.75

96.27

103.42

99.45

99.84

106.64

110.49

122.4

PV(M): % Variation w.r.t. previous month. PV(Y): % Variation w.r.t. same month of the previous year.

N.A: Not Available

Source: CAB, MoT

Jute

The Jute industry occupies an important place in the national economy of India. It

is one of the major industries in West Bengal. Jute, the golden fibre meets all the

standards for „safe‟ packaging in view of it being a natural renewable,

biodegradable and eco-friendly product. It is estimated that the Jute industry

provides direct employment to 0.37 million workers in the organized mills and in

diversified units including tertiary sector and allied activities and supports the

livelihood of around 4.0 million farm families. In addition, there are a large

number of persons engaged in the trade of jute. The Jute sector is supported by a

host of policy initiatives including the statutory mandatory jute packaging norms,

the MSP operations, and the promotion of modernization and diversification of the

Jute Industry.

Silk

India continues to be the second largest producer of Silk in the world. Among the

four varieties of Silk produced, for 2014-15, Mulberry accounted for 74.5%(21390

Prices are in INR/Kg

Page 24: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

23

MT), Tasar 8.5% (2434 MT), Eri 16.5% (4726 MT) and Muga 0.5% (158 MT) of

the total raw silk production of 28,708 MT. This is against the production of

26.480 MT Silk during the 2013-14 in India. The CSB (Central Silk Board)

implements a large number of schemes and policy for promotion of sericulture and

silk in the country. There has been a significant increase in raw silk production in

2014-15. Silk production has shown remarkable progress during the year 2014-15

in-spite of drought, un-seasonal rain, Cyclone etc. The target set for the year has

been fully achieved. The silk production in the country increased to 28,708 MT by

end of 2014-15 from the level of 26,480 MTs during the year 2013-14, registering

increase of 8.4% growth. The important substitute Bivoltine silk production has

increased from 2559 MTS to 3870 MTs registering an increase of 51%. Vanya Silk

production has increased from 7004 MTs to 7318 MT showing an increase of

4.5%. Muga silk has recorded highest ever production of 158 MTs and has set a

new momentum of growth.

Wool

The Central Wool Development Board works under overall guidance of governing

body of Board and under administrative control of the Ministry of Textiles, GoI.

The Board also functions as an Advisory Body to the Ministry of Textiles on the

matters relating to growth and development of wool sector. Shri Jaswant Singh

Bishnoi is the current Chairman of the Board. There are total 29 members in

governing body of the Board. Out of total financial outlay of Rs.96 Crore for 12th

Five Year Plan, the Ministry of Textiles has allocated Rs. 36.62 Crore to the

Central Wool Development Board (CWDB), Jodhpur for annual Plan schemes and

programmes for the holistic growth and development of wool sector.

Apart for this, MoT is also implementing Pashmina Wool Development

Programme (PWDP) through Central Wool Development Board in the Ladakh and

Kargil region of J&K State for further development of Pashmina Wool with a

budget provision of Rs.30 Crore.

Man Made/ Synthetic Raw Materials

There are numerous synthetic raw materials and fibers which are being used in the

industry. Synthetic fibers are made from organic synthetic high-molecular

compounds and are made synthetically from raw materials such as petroleum oil.

Using this fiber alone or mixing it with natural pulp provides products with the

Page 25: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

24

useful characteristics of fiber. Some of the commonly used raw materials are as

follows:

PTA (Purified Terephthalic Acid)

Purified terephthalic acid (PTA) is a raw material used in making high-

performance multi-purpose plastics such as polybutyl terephthalate(PBT),

polyethylene terephthalate(PET), and the new bioplastic that has been garnering

attention in recent years, polytrimethylene terephthalate(PTT). Purified

terephthalic acid (PTA) is made by causing a reaction between the secondary

petroleum product paraxylene (PX) and acetic acid.

The picture above explains briefly the process to production employed for PTA.

There are many suppliers of PTA around the world. The PTA prices have a

dependency on Crude Oil. The price trends of PTA are presented in the later part

of this report.

MEG (Mono-Ethylene-Glycol)

MEG is a vital ingredient for the production of polyester fibres and film,

polyethylene terephthalate (PET) resins. It is also used for packaging, kitchenware,

Polyester and fleece fabrics, upholstery, carpets pillows and etc. It is basically a

Co

urtesy: H

itachi So

lutio

ns

Page 26: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

25

colorless, odorless liquid with a syrup-like consistency. China amounts for close to

40% of global MEG Consumption.

Ethylene glycol is produced from ethylene, via the intermediate ethylene oxide

Ethylene oxide reacts with water to produce ethylene glycol according to the

chemical equation

C2H4O + H2O → HOCH2CH2OH

This reaction can be catalyzed by either acids or bases, or can occur at neutral pH

under elevated temperatures. The highest yields of ethylene glycol occur at acidic

or neutral pH with a large excess of water. Under these conditions, ethylene glycol

yields of 90% can be achieved. The major byproducts are the ethylene glycol

oligomers diethylene glycol, triethylene glycol, and tetraethylene glycol.

Price Trends

Raw material prices of PTA and MEG were hovering around INR 60,000 per ton.

PTA and MEG prices started going up and reached a peak of about USD 1,500 and

USD 1,250 per metric tons respectively in March 2011 (1 USD= 44.826 INR as of

March 30, 2011).The prices started to taper down from May 2011 and reached a

low of USD 945 and USD 908 per metric tons respectively in June 2012, however,

weakening of Indian Rupee against USD has kept prices balanced in Indian

currency (As can be observed in the chart above).

Source: MCPI PTA India Inc

Page 27: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

26

Process and Output:

Ginning:

Cotton Ginning is the process of separating the cotton fibers from the cotton seeds.

Perfect ginning operation would be performed if the separation of fibers from seed

was effected without the slightest injury to either seeds or to the fiber. A cotton gin

is a machine that quickly and easily separates the cotton fibers from the seeds, a

job previously done by hand. These seeds are either used again to grow more

cotton or, if badly damaged, are disposed of. It uses a combination of a wire screen

and small wire hooks to pull the cotton through the screen, while brushes

continuously remove the loose cotton lint to prevent jams. The term "gin" is an

abbreviation for engine, and means "machine". Spinning:

Yarn spinning is a process of making or converting fiber materials into yarns.

Spinning process might differ based on what yarn is to be produced. Of course

there are many varieties of Yarn that can be produced. However two broad

Raw Material

Ginning

Spinning

Weaving/Knitting

Processing

Garments Production

Fibre

Yarn

Processed Fabric

Fabric

Clothes

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varieties which cover the majority among Yarn production are: (i) Staple Yarn (ii)

Filament Yarn.

Staple Yarn Filament Yarn

Weaving

The method or process of interlacing two yarns of similar materials so that they

cross each other at right angles to produce woven fabric. The warp yarns, or ends,

run lengthwise in the fabric, and the filling threads (weft), or picks, run from side

to side. Weaving can be done on a power or hand loom or by several hand

methods.

Knitting

It is a method of constructing fabric by interlocking series of loops of one or more

yarns. There are many classes of Knitting; the two major classes of these are Warp

knitting and Weft knitting.

Ring Spinning

Rotor Spinning

Friction Spinning

Self twist Spinning

Electro-static

Spinning

Vortex Spinning

Air Jet Spinning

Twist Less Spinning

Wet Spinning

Dry Spinning

Melt Spinning

Bi-Component

Spinning

Film Splitting

Reaction Spinning

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Technical Textiles:

Technical Textiles are defined as Textile Material and products manufactured

primarily for their Technical performance and functional properties rather than

aesthetic and decorative characteristics.

The Technical textiles can be classified under many categories, listed below are

few of them:

Technical Textiles

Agrotech

Meditech

Buildtech

Mobitech

Clothtech

Oekotech

Geotech

Packtech

Hometech

Protech

Indutech

Sporttech

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The technical textiles segment is a relatively new one for Indian textiles industry.

Its applications have provided scope for making various products – from Car

Upholstery to Parachutes, Shelter Fabric to Home Furnishing, Infrastructure to

Environmental and Hospitals too. The cost-effectiveness, durability and versatility

of technical textiles along with health and safety compliance and user friendliness

will make it a force to reckon with in the coming years.

Currently, India‟s technical textile industry is based on producing commodity

products that are not very R&D intensive (i.e. tarpaulins), and therefore unlike

conventional textiles, technical textiles is an import intensive industry. Many

products, like disposable diapers, wipes, protective clothing, fabric for disposables

and webbings, are imported to a large extent. The domestic technical textile

industry currently lacks the ability to domestically fulfill the rising demand for

technical textiles. Currently, 12 percent of the technical textile products are

manufactured by non-woven technology in India, as compared to 24 percent in the

rest of the world. Therefore, India‟s technical textile Industry has a long way to go

in order to be globally competitive in the technical textile sector.

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Export Scenario:

The outsourcing apparel businesses for garment export often apply 4 methods of

export, that are, CMT, FOB, ODM and OBM.

1. CMT (Cut - Make - Trim)

This is the easiest export method of apparel industry and brings the lowest

added value. When cooperation under this method, purchasers offer entire

input to outsourcing businesses for production including raw materials,

transportation, design and specific requirements; manufacturers only carry

out stages of cutting, sewing and finishing products. Businesses following

export method of CMT only need the basic understanding of design patterns

and the ability to produce finished product.

Trade

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31

2. OEM/FOB (Original Equipment Manufacturing)

FOB export method creates higher value compared to CMT; which is

the production method of "buying raw materials, selling products".

Businesses are actively involved in the production process on FOB,

from acquisition of raw materials to production of final products.

Unlike CMT, exporters using FOB actively buy necessary material

inputs instead of being supplied directly from their buyers. The

activities under the FOB have significantly changed based on forms of

the actual contractual relations between suppliers and foreign buyers

and are divided into 2 types.

FOB level I. Businesses following this method will purchase inputs

from a group of suppliers specified by buyers. This method requires

garment enterprises to bear the financial responsibility for the

procurement and transportation of materials.

FOB level II. Businesses following this method will receive product

designs from foreign buyers and take full responsibility for sources of

raw materials, production, and transportation of raw materials and

finished goods to ports specified by buyers. The bottom line is that

businesses must find the material suppliers with capability of

providing special materials, and having confidence in the quality and

delivery time. Risks from this method are higher but manufacturing

companies also receive higher added value.

3. ODM (Original Design Manufacturing)

This method of production for export includes the design and production

process of purchasing fabric and materials, cutting, sewing, finishing,

packaging and shipping products. The ability to design reflects the higher

level of knowledge of the providers and therefore will bring higher added

value for products. ODM businesses create designs, finish products and sell

them to buyers, which are most of the owners of major brands in the world.

4. OBM (Original Brand Manufacturing)

This method of production is improved based on method of OEM, but the

manufacturers are responsible for their own designs, and sign domestic and

foreign goods‟ supply contracts for their own brands. Manufacturers in

developing economies following OBM method mainly distribute products in

their domestic market and markets of neighboring countries.

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32

India‟s exports have soared at a good pace of close to 10% over the past decade.

India‟s exports for the year 2014-15 were USD 40 Billion and it is estimated to

remain flat for the year 2015-16 (As per Minister of textile in his latest Press

Conference in June, 2016). However, in the long term, it is estimated that the

exports will soar to USD 80 Billion by 2021. Of course it would need favorable

trade practices and superior quality for India to achieve this ambitious target.

Majority of the export in 2014 constituted of Textile Items, weighing 61% of the

total exports; the apparel exports constituted the remaining 39% of the total

exports. As more and more Indian fabric producers are planning for forward

19.2 22.2 21.2 22.4

27.8

33.3 33.2

37.5 40 40

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

USD Billion

Indian Exports (USD Bn)

Source: IBEF, and MoT

9%

23%

14%

39%

11%

4%

Indian Export Split (2014)

Cotton Fibre

Cotton Yarn, Fabrics and Made ups

Man-made Textiles

Garments

Handlooms & Handicrafts

Others

Sou

rce:

IBEF

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33

integration, it is expected that share of apparel exports would go up gradually to

overtake Textile‟s share by 2021.

Partner Country

Million United States Dollars % Share

2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15

United States 6,137 6,713 7,155 18.5% 17.9% 19.0%

UAE 2,192 2,680 3,774 6.6% 7.1% 10.0%

China 3,617 4,075 2,594 10.9% 10.9% 6.9%

United Kingdom 2,104 2,271 2,484 6.3% 6.1% 6.6%

Bangladesh 1,772 1,928 1,974 5.3% 5.1% 5.2%

Germany 1,593 1,823 1,828 4.8% 4.9% 4.9%

France 846 974 1,102 2.5% 2.6% 2.9%

Spain 754 828 907 2.3% 2.2% 2.4%

Italy 766 872 862 2.3% 2.3% 2.3%

Turkey 669 868 737 2.0% 2.3% 2.0%

World 33,228 37,517 37,661 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

USA remains to be one of the biggest destinations for Indian Exports. However,

over the past couple of years, UAE has emerged as a large textile exports market

for India and has balanced the decreasing exports to China. Meanwhile, UK and

other European nations have been more or less having the same share in India‟s

export split.

Imports:

India‟s T&A import has grown at a modest pace during past years. Fibre, Yarn and

Fabric put together held a large representation constituting to around 62% of the

total Indian T&A imports. Producing high quality Fabric remains to be a big

challenge for India. It needs to invest heavily in R&D so that the import bill on

Fabric can be reduced by producing high quality fabric locally.

Sou

rce: textile Co

mm

ission

er, Mu

mb

ai

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34

India‟s rising Fiber import is another issue to be addressed. As per the data

compiled by Synthetic and Rayon Textile Export Promotion Council (SRTEPC), In

the first 11 month of 2014-15, staple fibre import rose to $197 million as compared

to $149 mn in the same period of 2013-14. SRTEPC‟s Chairman, in a separate

comment also mentioned that it is very imperative to reduce excise duty on all

synthetic textile raw materials and fabric, to enable Indian producers to become

globally competitive and grab the global opportunity vacated by China. As this

12.5% Excise duty on Synthetic fibres is making local produce costlier than the

imported ones.

2.7 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.4

4.2

5.2 5.4

2.7 3.04

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15Source: Ministry of Textiles, Budget 2015, TechSci Research

Note: * FY15 Export data till November’14 FY15 Import (April-Oct’14)

Indian T&A Imports (in USD Billion)

23.4%

0.5%

17.0%

21.3%

9.6%

9.8%

18.4%

India's Import Breakup

FIBRE

FIBRE WASTE

YARN

FABRICS

RMG

MADEUPS

OTHER TEXTILES

Sou

rce:

IBEF

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35

Trans Pacific Treaty: The Trans Pacific partnership is the free trade partnership

(Currently under negotiation) between USA and 11 other countries, namely:

Australia, Peru, Vietnam, New Zealand, Mexico, Canada, Japan, Singapore, Chile,

Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia. It is intended to boost the trade volume amongst

the member countries by

offering duty concessions or

relaxed duties on majority of

the goods. It is touted as the

most ambitious of trade deals

between these countries that

have about

800 million people and account

for 40 per cent of the global

trade. It began with the P4

trade agreement between just

four nations: Brunei, Chile,

New Zealand and Singapore –

that came into effect in 2005.

That deal removed tariffs on

most goods traded between the

member countries, promised to cut more and to co-operate on wider issues such

as employment practices, intellectual property and competition policies. It involves

most goods and services, but not all tariffs are going to be removed and some

will take longer than others. In all, some 18,000 tariffs are affected.

On textiles and clothing, they will be removing all tariffs, but while the US Trade

Representative says most tariffs will be removed immediately after the deal is

ratified, "tariffs on some sensitive products will be eliminated over longer

timeframes as agreed by the TPP Parties".

Challenges:

Trade ministers from a dozen Pacific nations in Trans-Pacific

Partnership ministers meeting in Atlanta on 1 October 2015.

Photo: Reuters

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36

What’s the worry?

Indian exports of textile and apparel products have been growing steadily; but they

have been limited to only a few markets. The EU and the US remain the major

export destinations with 50% share of the Indian export market. Now, with the TPP

in pipe line, emerging textile hubs like Vietnam which is a part of this would enjoy

Tariff exemption on it‟s textile exports to USA and other markets. This would

make Indian textile exports 14 to 35% expensive compared to Vietnamese exports.

Hence, USA is prone to shift towards imports from Vietnam. With USA being

such a big contributor for the Indian Textile Industry, it would be interesting to see

what all developments happen in the days to come and how would they impact

India. As of now, things look a bit gloomy for the Indian Textile sector.

GSP+ Status awarded to Pakistan:

Though well expected, it has come as a potential threat to Indian Textile Industry

which is already speculating a grim future as far as exports to U.S. are concerned,

because of TPP. This would not bring any direct impact to Indian exports to EU

(Considering the clause of 7% trade share of EU, which says that the country

which has been awarded the GSP+ status, should not contribute to more than 7% of

total EU imports). However, what is worrisome is it‟s long terms impacts. Pakistan

and Indian Textile Industry are almost alike in nature and that means there is less

distinction available, hence, India would have a tough fight in clinching back it‟s

share from Pakistan, and Pakistan would have an upper hand in increasing its share

in EU market even after GSP+ status is lifted.

Naturally, the size of this market is large enough to concern any country. And

when it comes to India, EU put together become a larger export Market than US.

Top 10 exporters of Textiles and Clothing to EU (28)

Country

Value in Billion USD % Growth % Share

2012 2013 2014 2013/2012 2014/13 2013 2014

China 45.57 45.75 48.95 0.39 7 37.55 37.05

Turkey 16.21 17.25 18.22 6.38 5.6 14.16 13.79

Bangladesh 11.87 13.49 15.16 13.63 12.35 11.07 11.47

India 8.26 8.63 9.48 4.51 9.88 7.08 7.18

Pakistan 3.71 4.18 5.17 12.78 23.6 3.43 3.91

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37

Vietnam 2.61 2.77 3.34 6.14 20.7 2.27 2.53

Morocco 3.02 3.01 3.33 -0.36 10.43 2.47 2.52

Tunisia 3.09 3.08 3.11 -0.58 0.94 2.52 2.35

Cambodia 1.89 2.36 2.96 24.88 25.58 1.94 2.24

Indonesia 2.17 2.16 2.2 -0.6 2.11 1.77 1.67

World 117.24 121.83 132.1 3.92 8.42 100 100

Imports of Textiles and Clothing EU (28)

Details 2012 2013 2014

Textile (Bn. USD) 30.46 32.56 35.07

% Growth -14.60% 6.89% 7.70%

Clothing (Bn. USD) 86.78 89.27 97.04

% Growth -10.83% 2.87% 8.70%

T&C (Bn. USD) 117.24 121.83 132.1

% Growth -11.84% 3.91% 8.42%

Emergence of Vietnam and Growing Competition:

It is clear that China‟s dominance in the Textile Sector is for here to stay, at least

for a decade if not longer. However, there‟s least doubt that China‟s share would

be on a declining ride given the rising wage inflation and other cost elevating

phenomenon occurring in Chinese economy including a shift in the Governments

focus towards service sector from the manufacturing sector which has for long

been the major growth driver for the Economy.

China‟s graduation/elimination from the GSP beneficiary countries is just a start of

this phase. This is bound to create a new opportunity for the developing countries

like India, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Pakistan and etc., with all these countries

competing to snatch a larger share of this surpassed opportunity. For a long time,

world has been considering India as a rightful heir of this space considering its

capabilities in textile Industry and availability of a cheap & large workforce.

However, in recent years textile Industry has witnessed entry and rise of two new

players namely: Bangladesh and Vietnam. Both these countries holds the same

advantage of availability of Cheap labor. While Bangladesh is an old player with

big players and a considerable expertise in textile industry, Vietnam is

comparatively a new player and lacks Vertical integration (both Backward and

Forward).

Source: European Commission (Trade)

Page 39: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

38

However, recent surge in FDI in the textile sector of Vietnam, it‟s inclusion in

Trans Pacific Partnership has opened new doors of opportunity for this small

nation.

48%

15%

13%

9%

15%

50%

17%

13%

7%

13% U.S

EU

Japan

Korea

Others

Vietnam: Export Structure in Major Markets

Source: Wazir Advisors, FTPS

Sou

rce:

Blo

om

ber

g, F

TPS

Page 40: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

39

Hence, it is obvious that Trans Pacific Partnership is going to hurt Indian interest

and Vietnam is going preparing to ride on this wave to benefit from this. What acts

like salt on the wound is the clause of “Yarn Forward” included in TPP, which

means that stages of spinning, weaving - dyeing - finishing and sewing have to be

done at TPP member countries. Thereby hurting Indian exports even more as

currently India supplies a good deal of Raw Materials like Cotton, Yarn and

Fabrics to Vietnam. Now, in order to receive TPP benefits, Vietnam would be

compelled to reduce its dependence on India and locally produce all of these.

Stringent labor Laws:

The current Indian labor laws are outdated with most of them dating back to pre-

colonial era. The too many and too complicated labor laws have only resulted into

either Labor exploitation or Labor aristocracy and has failed to benefit both the

parties in the picture, the labors and the Industry. Things are no different for

Textile Industry as labor related issues such as threat to safety and health of

workers, poor working environment, and exploitation of children, strict labor laws

and skills gap keep haunting the industry.

Also, these restrictive labor laws prevent companies from recruiting large numbers

of workers. When the enterprises hire more than 100 workers, they have to deal

with worker unions. Under the unions‟ pressure, only 2% of Indian textile 7

factories have three shifts, whereas about 20% of Chinese counterparts are

operating 24 hours a day.

Vietnam’s Garment Exports to USA

Source: VITAS, FTPS Vietnam

Page 41: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

40

Complex Taxation System and uncertainty over GST:

India‟s complex tax regime continues to be a pinch point for the manufacturing

sector. Some of the issues that hurt specifically Textile Industry are:

12.5% Excise duty on Synthetic/ Man Made Fiber.

Threat of imposition of Anti-dumping duty on VSF (Viscose Staple

Fiber).

5% tax on Technical Textiles by major producing state, Gujarat.

Anil Rajvanshi, chairman of the Synthetic and Rayon Textiles Export Promotion

Council (SRTEPC) in a letter to Union Textile Minister, Santosh Kumar Gangwar

writes: “A poor man wearing synthetic shirt of Rs 200 bears highest excise and tax

burden, whereas a rich man wearing cotton shirt of Rs. 1,000 bears no excise or

taxes, This has fragmented and weakened the industry. You have to save this

industry or else we will not be able to sustain and give way to countries like China,

Vietnam and Bangladesh to march past India,”.

All hopes are now tied to implementation of long pending Goods and Services Tax

(GST). However there is a big uncertainty about the implementation date of GST

as it keeps getting deferred because of lack of upper Parliamentary support.

However, Finance Minister, Mr. Arun Jaitely is confident that the GST Bill will

sail through all the negotiation in FY 17. Whatever the outcome be, the fact is that

not just textile industry but the whole manufacturing sector of India continues to be

hopeful of GST.

Power and Infrastructure:

Textile mills face acute power shortage. Frequent electricity cuts and load

shedding lead to loss of man hours and low production in the mills. Textile SMEs

are severely affected by power shortage and are forced to use manual machines,

which produce lower quality products and are more costly to maintain.

There are many reasons which can be blamed for lack of power supply, however

one of the major reason that has affected the power supply in recent past is the

shortage of coal faced by Thermal plants across the country, given the fact that

65% of the power produced by India comes from coal powered thermal plants. The

coal production during the past couple of years has failed to match the pace of the

demand; some of this can be attributed to the exposed Coal Scam which reduced

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41

the speed of awarding of new contracts for Coal Mining. However, with new

energy minister Mr. Piyush Goyal having taken the charge of expediting the entire

process, the power sector can be hopeful of improved situation.

On the infrastructure front, when compared with China, external conditions in

India are not friendly to mass production. The road traffic, train transportation, and

harbor facilities in India are of poor quality.

261

306 324

343 361

379 404

431 431 436 452 462

494

536

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

MM

T

Financial YearSource: Ministry of Power

17.5%

5.6% 6.1% 5.1% 5.1%

6.4% 6.8%

0.0% 1.0%

3.8% 2.3%

6.9%

8.5%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Financial Year

CIL Output growth

Source: CIL

Production: Coal India Limited

Page 43: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

42

Unskilled Workforce:

India is a country with the largest workforce. Hence, availability of workers for

textile industry is not a big challenge. However, there is a serious problem of skills

with this workforce. Also, as literacy level remains low, it becomes pretty

challenging in training the workforce, especially when dealing with machines.

Over the years the scarcity of skilled workforce has only increased which has led

to lower productivity per personal. India remains to be one of the lowest

productive nations in the world.

Technology:

India has ended up converting its strength into its weakness. India‟s strength of

being one of the oldest textile producers amongst its competitors has now become

one of its core problems. Comparing with China, where most of the competitive

private textile mills and garment factories were set up only after the economic

reform in 1978, while the old state-owned textile enterprises lost their competence

and went bankrupt and hardly exist today. On the other hand, today‟s Indian textile

giants are much older than their Chinese counterparts. For example: Arvind Mills

was founded in 1931; Premier Mills was set up in 1949; The Raymond Group was

incorporated in 1925; Lakshmi Mills was established in 1910. Even the “younger

Global Labor Productivity Index: Manufacturing Sector

Source: UNIDO China, FPTS

Page 44: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

43

brother” Vardhman, established in 1962, is almost two decades older than its

Chinese counterparts.

Now, what is wrong with this experience is that most of these old companies have

their stable process and have been very slow to external changes relative to the

Chinese Textile sector. While these established Indian companies like to play more

with the margins than on the lower cost and market share front, Chinese like to

exploit on the market share and low cost by attracting large orders at comparatively

lower margins. Result? In order to remain cost effective, Chinese firms need to

reinvent entire process, scale up production and seek for latest technology to bring

their cost down while their Indian counterpart are happy with smaller orders with

better margins. Hence, they hardly find a need to reinvent themselves as frequently

as their Chinese counterparts do.

For example, China‟s export of textile products to the US in 2010 was $ 38.47

billion in value and 26.00 billion square meters in volume. The average value of

the Chinese exports is US$1.48 per square meter. India‟s textile exports to the US

in 2010 were US$5.38 billion in value and 3.26 million square meters in volume.

The average value of the Indian exports is US$1.65 per square meter,5 about 12%

higher than the Chinese products.

One of the demonstrations of China‟s splendid success on the technological

advancements in the textile sector is that between 2000 and 2010 over 55% of

spinning machines and over 68% of weaving machines delivered worldwide went

to China (According to the International Textile Manufacturers Federation).

Also, today more and more Chinese companies are planning to adopt technologies

like ERP and CRM, Indian companies are still struggling with the core issues of

replacing Handlooms with Power looms and scaling up the production.

Today, technology is the reason that the biggest factories in India look like

lightweight players in China. For example, the largest spinning company in India,

Vardhman Group, has a capacity of 500,000 spindles. In contrast, the largest

Chinese spinning company, Weiqiao Textile, is running 3,000,000 spindles. The

largest weaving company in India, Arvind Mills produces 110 million meters of

denim and 30 million meters of fabric per year, while Weiqiao Textile has a

capacity of 157 million meters of denim and 844 million meters of fabric in total.

On average, the size of Chinese textile companies is five times larger than that of

the Indian ones. It is high time Indian government take note of these issues and

start addressing the problems. Though TUFS has been rolled out, it‟s only time that

will tell how effective it proves to be.

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44

Sluggish global growth:

Declining global growth globally has become a big cause of worry, especially in

the Consuming markets (mostly developed nations). This has had a considerable

impact on the global trade growth rate and thus the textile and apparel industry.

Since, close to 40% of Indian Textile industry depends upon exports, It wouldn‟t

be wrong to speculate it‟s negative impact on Indian textile market. However,

optimistic projections from IMF about Global Growth rate and China‟s emergence

as a Textile market has kept the global balance going as economic growth in China

is still close to 6.5% per year.

4.08%

2.85% 2.26% 2.37% 2.49%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Source: World Bank

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45

Apparel retail growth in Domestic Market:

The Indian retail market is expected to demonstrate a promising year-on-year

growth of 6% to reach USD 865 billion, by 2023, from the current USD 490

billion. The share of apparel in India‟s retail market is 8%, corresponding to a

value of USD 40 billion. In addition to fashion apparel, the growing demand for

fashion accessories makes the Indian fashion market both interesting and lucrative.

The major positives for Indian Retails market that would be beneficial for T & A

Industry are as follows:

India’s Demographic Dividend

The demographic dividend of India is tilted in favor of the consuming age group.

This young consuming class has new aspirations and is more open to

experimenting with fashion brands and modern designs.

Retail specific policies

The government‟s decision to allow Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in multi-

brand retail is considered one of the most radical and reform-oriented decisions

taken in recent times.

Shift in Consumer’s buying behavior

The Indian fashion consumer is undergoing an evolution and is rapidly adapting

to international fashion statements. Increasing disposable incomes, exposure to

international events and fashion icons, and rising confidence levels are driving the

changes in the consumer purchase behavior.

Corporatized Retail

Corporatized retail is expected to grow in India, from a share of 8% in 2013 to

24% by 2023. The drivers of the growth are expected to be the continued large

share of private consumption in India‟s economy, the growth of alternative retail,

and the continued growth of brands and retailers.

Opportunities:

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E-Commerce:

Indian E Retail market totaled USD 500 Million and accounted for a meager 0.1%

of total retail market of India. However, it is projected to grow to USD 70 Billion

by 2020. The size of fashion or apparel retail in this is around 26% of USD 130

Million. Apparel E-tailers fetched 40% of the total funding received by Indian

Ecommerce space in past two years. Local Textile and Apparel Industry

understands this situation and many apparel brands are all set to ride this growth

wave. Some of the brands have already started investing or have made

commitments to increase their online presence.

The surge in online retail and attention being paid to it by apparel industry is due to

the fact that online retail tends to do away with the concept of geographic bounds;

Thereby creating a whole new market which might have been untapped till now

because of no physical presence.

Hence, the rationale behind heavy investments in E-Commerce platforms by local

apparel industry is well justifiable. Ease of convenience and mobility are other plus

69%

8%

6%

6%

2% 2%

1%

6%

Food & Grocery ApparelApparelConsumer Durables & ITJewelry & WatchesPharmacy & WellnessFurniture & Furnishings

Share of Retail Market

Sou

rce:

Tec

hn

op

ak A

nal

ysis

490

689

865

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2013 2019(P) 2023(P)

Indian Retail Market (USD Bn)

Page 48: Indian Textile Industry Outlook_Arpit Nagda

47

points of this segment apart from new market access. As of 2015, India witnessed

dozens of Fashion E-tailers; some of them, as shown below, have gained a

considerable share of the market.

Myntra with its parent company Flipkart holds around

50% of the total Apparel Ecommerce market. In 2014,

Myntra alone clocked revenues of INR 560 Crores

(Excluding Flipkart)

Jabong is the second largest player in this segment. It

clocked revenues worth INR 520 Crores in FY 14

Amazon has got acquired a big share in Indian E

Commerce segment. It is burning lots of cash to keep

its growth going. It sells close to 11,000 brands with

around 2 Million Fashion items.

Snapdeal is eyeing big on Apparel retail and recently

tied up with Shoppers Stop and Madura Garments for

apparel sales online. It has recently launched its own

design studio in partnership with FDCI

Yepme is relatively smaller player in this market.

However it‟s not a multibrand marketplace; It sells

only one brand. It had revenues of INR 140 Crores in

FY 14

Policy/State Support:

Policy support is key to nourishment of any industry. Policy support includes

incentives for enhancement of technology, scaling up the production, favorable tax

regime, Export promotion schemes, focus on overall infrastructure for the sector

specific and addressing key concerns. Textile industry has received all good in this

regard. Thanks to its sensitivity for Indian Economy and impact index

(Employment, share of Manufacturing and Exports), that it has always been in for

fonts for the reception of policy support. Many things still need to be done,

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48

however, it is important to appreciate the efforts taken so far which have resulted

in the phenomenal growth of this industry. Some of the policies, implementation of

which would prove instrumental in deciding the fate of Textile Industry in India

are discussed below.

ATUFS (Formerly: RR-TUFS/TUFS):

The Technology Upgradation Fund Scheme (TUFS), was launched in 1999 by

Ministry of Textiles for modernization and technology upgradation in the textile

sector. This scheme was launched for making available funds to the domestic

textile industry for technology upgradation of existing units as well as to set up

new units with state-of-the-art technology so that its viability and competitiveness

in the domestic as well as international markets may enhance. Over the years, it

has seen many improvements based on inputs from Textile industry bodies. In

2011, it was restructured and became R-TUFS (Restructured TUFS) and it

continued till March 2013, after it was extended to the 12th

Five Year plan. W.E.F

April 1 2013, Govt. launched the updated TUFS and it was now called RR-TUFS

(Revised Restructured TUFS). In April 2015, RR-TUFS was amended keeping the

demand of Industry in mind and ATUFS was rolled out replacing RR-TUFS.

The new scheme specifically targets employment generation and export, promotion

of technical textiles, conversion of existing looms to better technology looms and

encouraging quality in processing industry. ATUFS is not only expected to give a

boost to “Make in India” initiatives in the textiles sector but also attract investment

and create employment potential.

A budget provision of INR 17822 cr has been approved of which INR 12671 cr is

for committed liabilities under the ongoing scheme and INR 5151 cr for new cases

under ATUFS.

Implementation Status:

Year-wise Progress of TUFS (Position as on 05.04.2016)

(Amount in Rs. Crore) Sr. No. Year

No. of Cases Project Cost

Term Loan Sanctioned

Subsidy Released (By MoT)

1 1999-2000 309 5,074 2,421 1

2 2000-2001 616 4,380 2,090 70

3 2001-2002 444 1,320 630 200

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49

4 2002-2003 456 1,438 839 203

5 2003-2004 884 3,289 1,341 249

6 2004-2005 986 7,349 2,990 284

7 2005-2006 1,078 15,032 6,776 485

8 2006-2007 12,589 66,233 29,073 824

9 2007-2008 2,260 19,917 8,058 1,143

10 2008-2009 6,072 55,707 24,007 2,632

11 2009-2010 2,352 27,611 6,612 2,886

12 2010-2011* 256 397 254 2,784

13 2011-2012 1,794 24,364 13,619 2,938

14 2012-2013 2,163 13,154 8,276 2,151

15 2013-2014** 585 6,387 4,328 1,731

16 2014-2015 4,005 17,021 10,769 1,885

17 2015-2016 … … …. 1,394

Total 36,849 268,673 122,083 21,859

* The scheme was under suspension from 29.06.2010 to 28.042011 **The scheme was started w.e.f. 04.10.2013

Scheme for Integrated Textile Parks (SITP)

The Scheme for Integrated Textile Parks (SITP) was launched in 2005 with

primary objective of the SITP is to provide the industry with world class state of

the art infrastructure facilities for setting up their textile units. SITP would create

new parks of international standards at potential growth centers. This scheme

envisages engaging of a panel of professional agencies for project identification

and execution.

Each Integrated Textile Park (ITP) under the scheme would normally have 50

units. The number of entrepreneurs and the resultant investments in each ITP could

vary from project to project. However, aggregate investment in land, factory

buildings and Plant & Machinery by the entrepreneurs in a Park shall be at least

twice the cost of common infrastructure proposed for the Park. The scheme targets

industrial clusters/locations with high growth potential, which require strategic

interventions by way of providing world-class infrastructure support. The project

cost will cover common infrastructure and buildings for production/support

activities (including textiles engineering, accessories. packaging), depending on the

Source: MoT

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50

needs of the ITP. There will be flexibility in setting up ITPs to suit the local

requirements.

As of 2016, Government has already sanctioned 40 Projects under this scheme.

Out of these 40 Projects, 27 have started functioning while the rest 13 have

received in principle approval. Additionally, in Budget 2015-16 another layout of

$21.96 Million has been proposed for setting up 21 more parks under this scheme.

Mega Cluster

Mega cluster approach is a Drive to scale up the infrastructural and production

chain at Handicrafts clusters which have remained unorganized and have not kept

pace with the modernization and development that have been taking place so far.

Two clusters i.e Moradabad (Uttar Pradesh) and Narasapur (Andhra Pradesh) with

more than 20000 artisans have been identified for scaling up infrastructure and

production base.

Integrated Skill Development Skill (ISDS)

With low labor productivity and unskilled productivity being the core laggards in

the industry, it has become pivotal for Indian Textile Industry to address these

issues which would result improved efficiencies of the Textile Units and hence

increased outcome. ISDS has been introduced to address the problem.

. The scheme envisages three Components:

(i) Component I for Institutions /TRAs under MoT

(ii) Component II for private bodies in PPP mode

(iii) Component III for State Government Agencies.

Other Financial and Tax incentives

BCD (Basic Custom Duty) on raw materials for manufacture of spandex

yarn viz. Polytetramethylene ether glycol and diphenylmethane 4,4 di-

isocyanate is being reduced from 5% to NIL.

A weighted tax deduction of 200% under Section 35 (2AB) of the Income

Tax Act for both capital and revenue expenditure incurred on scientific

research and development. Expenditure on land and buildings are not

eligible for deductions.

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51

Incentives for units in SEZ/NIMZ as specified in respective acts or the

setting up of projects in special areas such as the North-east, Jammu &

Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh & Uttarakhand.

Export Incentives: Export Promotion Capital Goods (EPCGS), Duty

Remission Scheme (DRS), Focus Product Scheme, Special Focus Product

Scheme and Focus Market Scheme.

Wage Inflation in China

Chinese economy is going through a transition phase. It‟s trying to evolve as a

Domestic Consumption based economy from the current Exports based economy.

This would also mean a shift in the focus from Manufacturing to Service sectors.

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Competitive Rivalry Competitive rivalry in the textile sector in un-organized sector is low. However, in

the organized branded sector rivalry is intense among established players. Also, in

Porter's Five Forces Model

Competitive Rivalry

Threat of new

entrants

Bargaining power of Suppliers

Substitute Products

Bargaining Power of

Customers

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53

the exports markets Indian industry faces a high competition from various other

markets like Bangladesh, China and Pakistan.

Threat of new Entrants

This is relatively moderate. Large initial investment required is one of the setbacks

for new entrants. Also, the reason behind despite of having 100% FDI approval,

sector continues to enjoy a moderate threat of new entrants is the other emerging

markets and their proximity or partnerships with established markets which lures

much large chunk of foreign investors.

Substitute Products

This is a high impact area. Of course there is no switching cost involved and low

cost producers from countries like China, Bangladesh and Vietnam offers these

easy substitutes. Unorganized sector, which represents a large chunk of domestic

Textile market, also provides cheap alternatives.

Bargaining Power of Suppliers

Presence of large number of players, with relatively smaller scale of production

leaves suppliers with very less power. Industry generally has many suppliers

providing in little quantities.

Bargaining Power of Customers

Low scale of production and many available suppliers with little product

differentiation means customers would have a relatively higher bargaining power.

This phenomenon is very evident in Indian Textile industry. Also, on the exports

front, buyers remain more empowered compared to domestic suppliers. Even in

Domestic markets, established brands have a high bargaining power.

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Name of the Company

Revenues (2015)

CAGR (Last 5 Years)

D/E Ratio

(2015)

Promotor Holding (Share)

PBT Margin (5Yrs Avg)

Quick Ratio (5 Yrs Avg)

Vardhman Textiles 5,607 12% 0.58 0.6221 11.406 0.896

Welspun India 4,197 23% 1.41 0.7348 7.53 0.522

Trident 3,708 11% 1.52 0.6651 3.034 0.306

Arvind 4,978 19% 0.97 0.4378 7.276 0.598

Alok Industries 14,897 25% 2.45 0.3702 6.91 1.094

Vardhman Textiles

Vardhaman Textiles commissioned its first plant in Punjab, India in 1975. It

currently has 12 production plants located in the states of Punjab, Himachal

Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. Currently the group has manufacturing capacity of

approximately 25 metric ton/per day of sewing thread in its plant at Hoshiarpur,

Ludhiana, Baddi and Perundurai. Currently the group employs 20,000 people.

It is also undertaking Research and Development activities in order to develop of

new products and for improvement in the production process and quality of

products.

Vardhman Textiles, exports its products to more than 25 countries and has a strong

presence in markets like the EEC, USA, Canada, China, Japan, Korea, Mexico,

Brazil and Mauritius, Middle East. The company has an annual turnover of INR

Indian Textile Giants

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55

5,607 Crore (2015) and has received ISO 9002/ ISO 14002 certification for its

quality management.

Welspun India Ltd.

Started in 1985 at Palgadh, Maharashtra, it is primarily engaged in Home Textiles

segment and has presence in over 50 Countries. Welspun India is largely an Export

driven company with USA being its largest exports market. Welspun is also one of

the largest Home Textile Manufacturing Company in the world. Welspun is one of

India‟s biggest examples of forward integration and has established itself as a big

brand in USA through its U.S based subsidiary Welspun Global Brands Limited.

Welspun clocked revenues of INR 4197 Crore in 2015 and has an impressive

CAGR of over 20% in past 5 years. Company has a capacity to manufacture

40,000 tons in towels and 45 million metres flat sheeting fabric which it wish to

grow to 60,000 tons and 72 million metres respectively in the next three years (By

2019). Company is also adding 250,000 new spindles, apart from modernizing all

the existing spindles. It has plans to invest in automation processes to make the

process more efficient. Towards this, a contract worth $100 million has already

been signed with HP for IT solutions.

Trident

Headquartered in Ludhiana, it is one of the Indian giants in Home Textile segment.

Trident is a quality producer and exporter of Terry Towels and other Home textiles

items. Its customer base is widespread in close to 100 countries. It has its

manufacturing base in Punjab and Madhya Pradesh.

It is ISO 9001:2008 & OHSAS 18001:2007 certified for quality management

accredited by DNV, the Netherlands.

It has a large capacity of 688 Looms of Tery Towels, 500 Looms of Bed Linen

(Once the M.P Plant is functional), 555,000 Spindles for Yarn and 6,825 TPA of

Dyed Yarn. The company has achieved a sound growth despite a modest beginning

in 1991.

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Though the share of Home Textile segment in the Global T&A Industry is

relatively very small, close to 8%. However, two if India‟s largest textile

companies are largely catering to this segment. It hints towards an interesting

phenomenon. Over the years India has evolved as a global leader in Home Textile

sourcing destination, an status which was enjoyed by Turkey earlier. However, it‟s

European markets where turkey continues to hold its leading position, losing

slowly.

Looking at the current size and the growth rate of the Home Textile segment, it

would not be an easy guess that there lies a great opportunity for India and

25%

23% 16%

36%

China

Pakistan

ROW

India

Country-wise market share(by Value) in US cotton Towel Imports

46%

24%

18%

12% India

China

Pakistan

ROW

Country-wise market share in US Sheet Imports

13%

19%

13% 17%

38%

China

Pakistan

ROW

India

Turkey

Country-wise market share(by Value) in Europe cotton Towel Imports

11%

16%

34%

19%

20%

India

Bangladesh

Pakistan

Turkey

ROW

Country-wise market share in Europe Sheets Imports

Sou

rce: Triden

t Ind

ia

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57

companies like Welspun and Trident have a lot to cover. That is a good sign for

their business.

Arvind Textile Mills

Arvind is India‟s largest Denim wear producer and Exporter and stands 4th

in the

world. Arvind can also be credited to be the first Indian company which looked up

for the Production of Fine and Superfine fabrics in 1931. With 52,560 ring

spindles, 2552 doubling spindles and 1122 looms it was one of the few companies

in those days to start along with spinning and weaving facilities in addition to full-

fledged facilities for dyeing, bleaching, finishing and mercerizing.

Arvind is also the largest producer of Fire protection fabrics in India. Arvind is

well committed towards ensuring a good quality and use of Technology. It adopted

ERP from SAP in 1997. To expand its foothold it has formed JVs with many

foreign players like: PD Group, Germany (2012, Glass Fabrics), PVH Corp for

Calvin Klein (2014), Goodhill Corporation Limited of Japan for Formal suits

(2014) and OG Corp, Japan, for manufacture and sale of non-woven fabrics

(2014). In 2014, it also forayed into E-Commerce segment with custom clothing

brand “Creyate”.

Today, Arvind holds many brands under its portfolio, some of them are:

Owned: Flying Machine, New Port, Excalibur, Ruf & Tuf

Licensed: Arrow, Lee, Wrangler, EdHardy, Billabong, Nautica and U.S. Polo

Assn.

Alok Industries

With its exports clients in around 90 countries and close to 1/4th of its produce

getting exported, Arvind is surely that one big shot in Indian Textile and Apparel

Industry. It started in 1986 in Mumbai. Its main business involves weaving,

knitting, processing, home textiles, ready-made garments and polyester yarns.

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Today, it owns many foreign brands such as Store Twenty One (Based in U.K),

Mileta (Czech).

It has achieved a high growth during the past decade. Much of this growth has

invited a large debt. Today, it sits on a pile of debt and the consortium of lenders is

considering SDR.

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Over the past decade India has seen many mergers and Acquisition activities

happening around the Textile and Apparel Industry. On having a look at the deals

would suggest the maturity towards which Indian T&A industry is heading. It

suggests the lure of producers for Forward Integration as Fashion Retail forms a

big chunk of all these deals.

Listed below is a brief account of all the deals during the past decade ending in

2015. Of-course, there were many deals that took place apart from the one‟s listed

below, and it is not claimed to be an exhaustive list. However, this list contains all

the large deals and represents the very idea of the new direction that these Mergers

and Acquisition are shaping the industry towards.

Acquiring Company Target Company Deal Size

(USD Million)

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Aditya Birla Nuvo (Apparel Business) NA

Grasim Industries Aditya Birla Chemicals NA

PremjiInvest Future Lifestyle Fashion 21

Future Lifestyle Fashions Ltd Unico Retail Pvt. Ltd NA

Grasim Industries Terrace BayPulp 110

Pantaloons Fashion Madura Garments NA

Himachal Fibres BalmukhiTextiles Pvt Ltd NA

BR Machine Tools Pvt Ltd Bombay Rayon Fashions Ltd 721.1

Group of investors Provogue (India)Ltd 526.9

M C Spinners Pvt Ltd Maxwell Industries 8.5

Bombay Rayon Leela Scottish Lace 35 Source: Various Business Articles, IBEF

Mergers and Acquisitions

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Having grown at a bullish pace of around 10%, Indian textile industry continues to

be the fastest growing textile industry among large markets. While there are many

factors of the Indian economy that works in the favor of this industry, industry still

seems to be in need of urgent and large scale reforms. Removal of Excise Duty on

Synthetic Textile so as to make the exports more viable is one of them. T & A

Industry in India faces challenges like Poor Infrastructure, Power Shortages,

Unskilled labor, Tedious Labor laws that have worked against the nourishment of

this industry. The fact is that the industry has a huge potential. Having grown at

double digit pace despite the above mentioned challenges is an achievement in

itself. However, the maturity in the industry has already been achieved and to keep

the momentum of growth going we need to work on addressing these key issues so

that a saturation alike situation can be avoided. As discussed in the report, the

schemes initiated by GoI wouldn‟t just address these issues, but also improve the

ease of doing business in this industry, which is a primary drag for the industry.

Encouraging entrepreneurship would be very important if India wish to watch the

industry towards it‟s next phase. With new entrepreneurs would come new ideas,

zeal for innovation and healthy competition. Currently, the average age of Indian

Textile Industry is close to double of that of its Chinese counterparts. This suggests

that Textile Manufacturing has not lured the new generation and is being seen as

not so good business by younger generation. Involvement of younger generation

has led to the massive transformation of Chinese Textile Industry. Government

needs to create more and more first generation entrepreneurs in this sector.

Proposed Freight corridors, Power capacity expansion and Focus (and incentives)

for renewable energy are steps in right direction towards solving core issues of the

industry. Recently modified and launched ATUFS, ISDS, SITP and other schemes

Conclusion and Observations

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all are a welcome step, however the key would be the implementation part. It will

be interesting to see how do these initiatives mold the industry.

Slowing growth in the export seems to be another concern. In the press meet held

in June 2016, the textile minister Mr. Snatosh Gangwar himself hinted towards flat

exports of approx. $40 Billion for 2015-16, which is a slight decline compared to

2014-15. However, there is nothing to worry about as it is just a mere reflection of

low global demand which seems to be an aftermath of slowing Chinese and Global

Economy. With Crude surging ahead, there are strong hints towards a slight

recovery in global economy. As consumption in the developed countries grow,

macro-economic indicators would start showing signs of recovery. India, though

has a huge potential in the domestic market as well and it would be very important

to focus on structuring it. A big chunk of the Domestic textile market remains to be

un organized which is a golden opportunity for the Textile Industry. Atleast, this

can be a good hedge against the unpredictable global market. Emergence of

Vietnam would be a threat for short term, provided India works towards large scale

technological upgrades and Economy of scale. We will also have to work towards

forward integration in the global markets (exports markets). Overall, the prospect

of the Indian Textile industry looks good in the upcoming future and it is highly

recommended to be a part of this growth story.

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http://trade.gov/topmarkets/pdf/Textiles_Top_Markets_Report.pdf

http://ministryoftextiles.gov.in/textile-data

http://txcindia.gov.in/expimp/scr_import_export.htm

http://commerce.nic.in/eidb/ecomcntq.asp

http://wits.worldbank.org/CountryProfile/en/Country/IND/Year/2014/TradeF

low/Import/Partner/all/Product/50-63_TextCloth

http://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?commodity=cotton&graph=yield

References