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    CHANGING TRADE PATTERN IN INDIA

    Submitted by: Varun Yadav

    (1270)

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    Indias International Trade:Indias International Trade:

    20082008--0909

    Exports in August 2008- US$ 16.0 billion- growth of26.9% (18.2% previous year).

    Imports in August 2008- US$ 29.9 billion- increase of51.2% (34.2% previous year).

    POL imports during April-August 2008-US$ 46.1 billion- growth of 60% (17.9% previousyear).

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    Trade : marine sectorTrade : marine sector

    Fisheries exempted from maintenance

    of average EO under EPCG Scheme

    (along with 7 sectors) however

    Fishing Trawlers, boats, ships and

    other similar items shall not be

    allowed for this exemption.

    Additional flexibility under Target

    Plus Scheme (TPS) / Duty Free

    Certificate of Entitlement (DFCE)

    Scheme for the marine sector.

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    Trade for agro exportTrade for agro export

    Introduction of a single window

    system to facilitate export of

    perishable agricultural produce

    with an aim to reduce transaction

    and handling cost.

    This system will involve creation

    of multi-functional nodal

    agencies. These agencies will be

    accredited by APEDA.

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    Trade : gems and jewelry sectorTrade : gems and jewelry sector

    Duty Drawback is allowed on Gold

    Jewellery exports to neutralize duty

    incidence.

    Plan to establish "Diamond Bourse (s)

    with an aim to make India and

    International Trading Hub announced.

    Introduction of a new facility to allow

    import on consignment basis of cut &

    polished diamonds for the purpose of

    grading/ certification.

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    TradeTrade Reforms to DateReforms to Date

    Prior to 1991, India was the archetypical import

    substituting regime with one of the most

    complicated and protectionist regime in the world.

    Indias, simple average tariff rate has come down

    significantly from 128 percent in 1991 to about 34

    percent in 2000

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    The trade-weighted tariffs declined from 87 percentin 1991 to around 30 percent by 2000.

    slight increase in the trade-weighted tariffs from a

    low of 25 percent in 1996 to 30 percent by 2000.

    Taxes on international trade as a proportion of total

    tax revenue far exceeded most of the Developing EastAsian (DEA) countries

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    While India continues to have one of the worlds mostrestrictive external sectors, significant progress has been made

    in recent years towards a compression and simplification of

    tariff structures; the tariff structures have become more

    uniform across goods, as observed by a decline in the

    dispersion of tariff rates over 1990-98.

    Indias export dependence on primary products, as indicated

    by its average share in Indias total merchandise exports,

    declined over the period (from 24 percent in 1988-90 to about20 percent in 1998-2000)

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    manufactured products increased slightly (from 71percent in 1988-90 to 77 percent by 1998-2000).

    the manufactured exports during the 1998-2000

    period, the largest share of exports consisted ofhandicrafts, primarily gems and jewellery (18.0

    percent), engineering goods (14.0 percent)

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    Emergence of the Services Sector in IndiaEmergence of the Services Sector in India

    First, in many service activities, problems of

    asymmetric information are especially acute as the

    purchaser does not know the quality of a

    professional service being purchased until after ithas been paid for and consumed.

    Second, services trade requires the consumer and

    service provider to interact simultaneously

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    value added by the services sector as a proportion ofGDP during the pre-reform period of 1980-89 was

    about 40 percent in India, it increased steadily over

    the post-reform years to a high of 45 percent in 1998.

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    Information and Communication Technology (ICT)Information and Communication Technology (ICT)

    Information and Communication Technology (ICT)

    and related services were viewed as being no

    tradable just a few years ago.

    they have in fact been the main thrust of rapid

    expansion of services trade in India, accounting for

    nearly 58 15 percent of service exports and about

    16 percent of total exports in 1998

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    Growth of Indias InternationalGrowth of Indias International

    TradeTrade

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    Indias Trading PartnersIndias Trading Partners

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    Indias Trade BasketIndias Trade Basket

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    Items 2007-08 2008-09P

    Exports 60.1 81.3

    (19.3) (35.3)

    Oil Exports* 4.7 9.0

    (6.2) (91.5)

    Non-Oil Exports* 26.0 39.1

    (5.5) (50.3)

    Imports 94.6 130.5

    (34.2) (38.0)

    Oil Imports 28.8 46.1

    (17.9) (60.0)

    Non-Oil Imports 65.8 84.5

    (42.7) (28.3)

    Trade Balance -34.6 -49.3Oil Trade Balance* -12.3 -20.5

    Non-Oil Trade Balance* -13.5 -9.0

    * : Figures pertain to April-June

    P: Provisional

    Note : All figures in US$ billion. Figures in parentheses show percentage change over the previous year.

    Source : DGCI & S

    Indias International Trade: 2008-09

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    Source: DGFT, Annual Report 2007-08

    17

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    (Percentage Shares)Commodity Group 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09

    Primary products 15.6 1 7 16.2

    1. Agriculture and

    allied products 10.0 11.4 11.4

    2. Ores and minerals 5.5 5.7 4.8

    Manufactured goods 67.2 63.6 58.31. Leather and

    manufactures 2.4 2.2 1.8

    2. Chemicals and

    related products 13.7 12.9 11.4

    3. Engineering goods 23.4 23.1 24.1

    4. Textile and textile

    products 13.7 12.0 10.4

    5. Gems and jewellery 12.6 12.4 9.7

    Petroleum products 14.8 15.6 18.7

    Others 2.4 3.8 6.8

    Total exports 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: Compiled from DGCI & S data.

    Indias Export: 2008-09

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    Indias Import: 2008-09

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    Services TradeServices Trade

    Services trade shares about 9% of GDP.

    Services export growing much faster than world

    services exports; In 2000-2006-

    India: 38.22%,World: 12.84%.

    Services trade contributes about 2.64% of worldservices trade.

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    Services Trade

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    Services ExportServices Export

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    Service ImportService Import

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    ConclusionConclusion

    Significant contribution to growth of economy.

    Creation of foreign currency pool.

    Local factors- political interests, culture & values

    Oil imports & unstable oil prices- negative tradebalance.

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