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Indicators for decision making and policy monitoring Marleen De Smedt Adviser to the DG Eurostat EMOS Open Day Eurostat, 21 April 2016 1

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Page 1: Indicators for decision making and policy monitoring · Eurostat Indicators – what's in a name • Indicate (index finger, indicare..) • Synthesize complex information and simplify

Indicators for decision

making and policy

monitoring

Marleen De Smedt

Adviser to the DG Eurostat

EMOS Open Day

Eurostat, 21 April 2016

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Page 2: Indicators for decision making and policy monitoring · Eurostat Indicators – what's in a name • Indicate (index finger, indicare..) • Synthesize complex information and simplify

Eurostat

Indicators – what's in a name

• Indicate (index finger, indicare..)

• Synthesize complex information and simplify reality

• Bring knowledge with themselves

• Reveal various phenomena to different users – policy makers, researchers, citizens, journalists, statisticians, specialists in different domains.

• Speak to various types of audiences

2 Marleen De Smedt

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Indicators – public dialogue

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Indicators – key questions

-What is the purpose ? What will I use the indicators for ?

-What do I want to know, which questions need an answer ?

-What needs to be indicated ?

-What is the context ? Policy, programme, domain?

-Who is my audience?

-What is the time - and geographical setting,?

-How detailed would the information need to be ? Dis-

aggregations ?

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Indicators – necessary elements

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Indicators at EU level

-Context: EU policies/programmes – EU in the world

-Target audience: EU institutions, Member States

-Geographical setting: EU, Euro-area, Member States, regions

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Indicators – necessary elements

1. Clear purpose and context (framework)

2. Robust methodology - typology

3. Quality assured statistical data

4. Core set - priorities

5. Good communication

6. Feedback loop – stability while improvement

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• Robust methodological basement

• Clearly defined conceptual framework

• Structure clear and easy to communicate

Bridge between data producers and stakeholders

Marleen De Smedt

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1. Indicator systems do not exist without a conceptual framework: A combination of a frame of reference - “what to measure” and of a typology ”how to measure”

The “real” world Indicator system Statistical data Sources: Van Gogh: www.kunstbilder-galerie.de; Klee: Wehrli, Ursus 2002: Kunst aufräumen. Verlag Kein & Aber, Königstein im Taurus

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2. Methodology and indicator typology is useful to to reflect on the choice of indicators and to tell a story with them to justify the choice of indicators to address gaps in the measurement of a particular topic

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Response Impact State Pressure Drivers

e.g. the DPSIR Framework

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3. Quality: good basic statistics and accounts

Marleen De Smedt 11

Indicators

Accounts

Basic Statistics

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4. Be parsimonious with indicators

Core/headline

Dashboard (for overview)

Scoreboard (with targets)

Synthetic (same measuring unit)

Composite (different measuring units)

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5. Communication Indicators convey knowledge They should always be interpreted according to their context. There is not only one truth! Communication is more than just dissemination. It's a two-way street.

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6. Maintenance

Regular reviews are necessary

and should involve

the stakeholders concerned

policy makers (EC services)

ES Advisory Committee

(academici, citizens, social

partners, Council, EP….)

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Statistics 4.0

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Main Eurostat’s specific indicator initiatives

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Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure

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Indicators and official statistics

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Europe2020 indicators

1. Framework: Europe2020 strategy (2010), linked to Annual Growth

Survey (AGS)

2. Typology: pressure and impact indicators

3. European statistics (environment and social statistics)

4. Scoreboard: headline indicators with baseline + targets' 1 synthetic

indicator (AROPE)

5. Dissemination: dedicated (EC and Eurostat) websites – Eurostat

flagship publication 2013 (update in 2015)

6. Feedback loop: EESC, DGINS, ESAC, CoR, public consultation (2014)

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EU Sustainable Development indicators

1. Framework: EU SD strategy (2001/6), 2030 SDG agenda

2. Typology: pressure and impact indicators

3. European statistics (environment and social statistics)

4. Dashboard: 11 thematic areas with headline indicators + longer list;

evaluation long (since 2000/2) and short (since 2008/9) term with

weather symbols

5. Dissemination: Eurostat: dedicated website, bi-annual monitoring

reports (since 2009), citizens' guide, videos

6. Feedback loop: ESAC, EESC, CoR,

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Quality of life indicators

1.Framework: GDP and beyond communication

2.Typology: various

3.European statistics (mainly social statistics) + other

statistics as placeholders

4.Dashboard: headline indicators – but also longer list

5.Dissemination: dedicated Eurostat websites – Eurostat

publication

6.Feedback loop: ESAC, academics, OECD, Eurofound

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Eurostat's involvement on indicators

• To provide methodological support in the process of developing indicators.

• To liaise with other Commission DGs (and with other partners OECD and UNECE) in particular on the definition and choice of indicators).

• To produce and supply the relevant detailed statistical data as a common basis for various different sets of indicators - some cases through 'joint data collections' (OECD-UNECE).

• To ensure high quality standards for data - that is guaranteed through a Code of practice, a legal framework and a communication on quality of statistics.

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DGINS 2015 on «Indicators for decision making and monitoring»

Purpose

• Raise awareness

• Identify and discuss outstanding issues

• Pave the way forward

Participants

• Mainly official statisticians

• Policy-makers

• Academics

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Outcome document: Lisbon memorandum

• Adopted by ESSC

• 12 recommendations

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Closer cooperation between policy-making and statistical spheres (LM point 1)

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http://www.forbes.com/sites/lizryan/2014/02/10/if-you-cant-measure-it-you-cant-manage-it-is-bs/

http://www.forbes.com/sites/lizryan/2014/02/10/if-you-cant-measure-it-you-cant-manage-it-is-bs/

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Scaling-up research on the interaction between statistical indicators and public policies (LM point 6)

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Need to move from the jungle to a zoo

Establishing a common understanding on indicators (LM points 7 and 10)

• Terminologies

• Typologies

• Aggregations

• Use

• Communication

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Closing data gaps and improving timeliness (LM point 9)

Work already in progress… • Big data

• System of Environmental-Economic Accounting (SEEA)

• Geospatial information

• Poverty indicators

… but more is needed. Open questions: • Modelling, composite indicators?

• How to integrate new sources?

• How to ensure quality?

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Promoting statistical literacy (LM point 12)

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http://memespp.com/homer-gdp-meme-generator-gdp-what-is-gdp-ea675c-jpg-1327467092-jpg/assets.diylol.com*hfs*d39*9e2*f7e*resized*homer-gdp-meme-generator-gdp-what-is-gdp-ea675c.jpg1327467092.jpg/diylol.com*memegenerator*homergdp2*memes*gdpwhatisgdp3/

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Eurostat Action Plan (2015-2017) on indicators

1. Indicator methodology, policy use: i.e. Statistical standards, quality criteria, typologies and terminology – updating of guidelines/handbook

2. Indicator sets

i.e. Inventory of indicators, identification of gaps/overlap Monitoring and reporting

3. Communication and training i.e. ESAC Workshop – 11 May 2016- The Hague In-house meetings with other DGs (JRC) and

cooperation with agencies (EIGE)

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European statistics and indicators - tools

Handbooks: 1. Handbook: Getting messages across using indicators (2014)

2. Manual

Part 1: Indicator typologies and terminologies (2014)

Part 2: Communicating with indicators (foreseen for mid-2016)

Part 3: Indicators in policy-making ? (foreseen for end 2016)

(Handbook on Composite indicators: OECD-JRC)

Infografics:

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European statistics and indicators - tools

Eurostat website start-page shows EU indicator sets

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http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat

Thank you for your attention!

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