indicators for ecosystem based management: methods and applications verena trenkel, anik brindamour,...

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Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik Brind’Amour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet Ecology and Models for Fisheries Science Ifremer, Nantes, France

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Page 1: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Indicators for ecosystem based management:

Methods and applications

Verena Trenkel, Anik Brind’Amour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Ecology and Models for Fisheries Science

Ifremer, Nantes, France

Page 2: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Definition

An indicator is a variable which quantifies how well a human activity is managed, in relation to specified objectives. A structured suite of indicators will reveal important system changes.

Page 3: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Reduce quota

Fishingmortality

Demand for food &

wealth

Less fish

Fish biomass

Ecosystem based fisheries management

Page 4: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

DPSIR framework

Objectives

Response

PressuresDrivers

Impacts

States

Reference points, directions & enveloppes

Page 5: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Indicator development

Objectives

Response

PressuresDrivers

Impacts

States

Reference points, directions & enveloppes

Indicators

Indicators

Indicators

Indicator development, selection, calculation, testing…

Page 6: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Methods development

Objectives

Response

PressuresDrivers

Impacts

States

Reference points, directions & enveloppes

MethodsMethods

MethodsMethods

MethodsMethods

MethodsMethods

MethodsMethods

Modelling pressure-state links, combining indicators, detecting trends, evaluating impacts…

Page 7: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Recent examples

Page 8: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Example: Developing food web indicatorsExample: Developing food web indicators

Has the food web structure changed in the Mediterranean?

Albouy et al. (2011)Albouy et al. (2011)

Morphometrics= diet & habitat

Food web

Po

siti

on

in

wat

er c

olu

mn

1

Species type

PA

GE

BO

GP

AG

EE

RY

SP

ON

DC

AN

PA

GE

AC

A

DIP

LA

NN

DIP

LV

UL

MA

CO

SC

OC

AP

OA

PE

ZE

US

FA

B

AR

GE

SP

YP

HY

IBL

ES

CO

MS

CO

SP

ICS

MA

SA

RD

PIL

SP

RA

SP

RG

AD

IAR

GM

ICM

PO

UT

RIS

CA

P

AP

HIM

INM

ER

LM

ER

SP

ICF

LE

TR

AC

ME

DT

RA

CT

RA

BO

OP

BO

OE

NG

RE

NC

PE

RIC

AT

CH

EL

LU

CE

UT

RG

UR

AS

PIC

UC

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PT

CA

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23

Cluster analysis on mean individual species : All traits

hclust (*, "ward")speD

He

igh

t

FG1FG5 FG3 FG4 FG2 FG6 FG7

7 Functional groups

Page 9: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Temporal changes in food webs

10% 50% 100% 200%Increase Decrease

Golf of LionsIonian Sea

Aegean Sea

Example: Developing food web indicatorsExample: Developing food web indicators

Page 10: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

1010

Ecological objective: Maintain pelagic food supply for higher trophic levelsKnowledgeFew top predators & piscivores have strong pelagic prey

dependance Operational objectives

Maintain herring and sprat in the Baltic Sea as prey for cod Maintain total forage fish biomass in North Sea

State & impact indicators Prey biomass in critical area Proxy: predator condition/growth/productivity

Reference level >x tons of prey species

Pressure management TAC, effort control, escapement rules

Example: Selecting indicators for pelagic ecosystemsExample: Selecting indicators for pelagic ecosystems

Page 11: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Is occupancy a sensitive indicator for population abundance?

In certain cases only:• occupancy can change much less than abundance• uncertainty in catches or effort can mask changes

Example: Simulation testing population indicatorsExample: Simulation testing population indicators

Demographic rates

DepthDepth

r, K

Demographic rates1

Spatial population dynamics

2

Spatiotemporal catch & effort distribution

Spatiotemporal abundance distribution

Observations4

Time

Occ

upan

cy

5 Indicator calculation

Fishery dynamics

Eff

ort

3

Density

Trenkel et al In Press, Testing CPUE-derived spatial occupancy as an indicator for stock abundance: application to deep-sea stocks. Aquatic Living Resources DOI: 10.1051/alr/2013060 Trenkel et al In Press, Testing CPUE-derived spatial occupancy as an indicator for stock abundance: application to deep-sea stocks. Aquatic Living Resources DOI: 10.1051/alr/2013060 Trenkel et al In Press, Testing CPUE-derived spatial occupancy as an indicator for stock abundance: application to deep-sea stocks. Aquatic Living Resources DOI: 10.1051/alr/2013060

Page 12: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Which management indicators are sensitive and robust to uncertainty?

Example: Simulation testing management indicatorsExample: Simulation testing management indicators

ModelManagement scenarios

+

Uncertainties

Indicators

SENSITIVE to management?ROBUST to uncertainty?

Page 13: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Which management indicators are sensitive and robust to uncertainty?

Example: Simulation testing management indicatorsExample: Simulation testing management indicators

-5 -4 -3 -2 -1

43

44

45

46

47

Huret et al. 2010.

Spatialized recruitment and natural mortality

ECOMARSIBM Larvaire

Mahévas et al. 2011

Vermard et al 2008

Spatial and seasonal distribution of populations

Pelletier et al 2009

Assessing indicator performance for management

Spatial and seasonal distribution of fleets and economic behavior

Spatial modelling of fisheries dynamics Lehuta et al 2010. IJMS & 2012. FR

-6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

CB

D

A

E

Lehuta et al 2013.

Page 14: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Do fishing pressure differences affect differentially fish community states?

Example: Developing fishing pressure indicatorsExample: Developing fishing pressure indicators

Input Fishing intensity Fishing selectivity

Fishing mortality

Average F across species

SD(F) across species or size-classes

Catch Total catch per unit area CV(catch) across species; No species => 85%;% piscivores

Page 15: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

Do fishing pressure differences affect differentially fish community states?

Example: Developing fishing pressure indicatorsExample: Developing fishing pressure indicators

Fishing pressure varies in space & time, but differential impacts are difficult to detect

High &selectiveremovals

Diverse catch

Piscivores preferred

Page 16: Indicators for ecosystem based management: Methods and applications Verena Trenkel, Anik BrindAmour, Pascal Lorance, Stéphanie Mahevas, Marie-Joëlle Rochet

For more information on our work on indicators

Come and see me

Read our publicationshttp://wwz.ifremer.fr/emh/Publications-EMH