ineos: our role in improving uk competitiveness in bulk ... · pdf filethis has a major impact...
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INEOS: Our Role in Improving UK Competitiveness in Bulk Chemicals and Beyond
THOMAS CROTTYDirector Communications and Corporate Affairs
INEOS Background
A world scale producer of petrochemicals and speciality chemicals Turnover $54bn (2014) 18,600+ employees* 105 manufacturing sites worldwide in 22 countries Asset value of $55 billion 60 million tonnes of chemicals capacity 20 million tonnes of refinery products (400,000 bbls/day) Supplying natural gas to 1 in 10 UK homes
320 470
4500 54005800
74009800
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54000
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5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
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45,000
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55,000
60,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Turn
over
-U
SD M
illio
ns
Acquired ICIschemicals
businesses
Acquired BPspetrochemicals
businesses
Over 20 acquisitions from blue chip companies including: BP, BASF, Bayer, Dow, ICI, NorskHydro, Solvay
INEOS Growth
Chart1
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320
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5400
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USD Millions
Chart2
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Turnover - USD Millions
Sheet1
INEOS GROUP - PRO FORMA REVENUE
mIGLEVCChlorEnterprisesParaformBorealisABSKerlingTOTAL INEOS
1998149.1149.1
1999230.6230.6
2000337.0337.0
20011,530.71,071.6594.63,196.9
20022,235.81,053.8538.33,827.9
20032,530.41,032.2553.121.34,137.0
20043,396.11,222.0447.8174.150.65,290.6
20054,958.21,222.0529.4211.052.06,972.6
200626,587.4748.2295.8340.766.128,038.3
2006 PF26,587.4748.2295.8340.766.1310.0865.0830.030,043.3
GBP/EUR0.6744USD/EUR1.40
$mIGLEVCChlorEnterprisesParaformBorealisABSKerlingTOTAL INEOS
1998210.0
1999320.0
2000470.0
20014,500.0
20025,400.0
20035,800.0
20047,400.0
20059,800.0
200635,500.0
200743,600.0
200847,400.0
200928,900
201036,200
201143,000
201243,000
201347,000
201454,000
Sheet2
Sheet3
Sheet4
Sheet5
South Houston4.1 mtes
North America
22 sites: 12 mtes
Mobile0.8 mtes
Asia6 sites:
Grangemouth11.9 mtes
Runcorn4.0 mtes
Antwerp2.4 mtes
Lavra11.0 mtes
Wilhelmshaven1.0 mtes
Ruhr1.4 mtes
Europe37 sites: 31.8
mtes
Kln5.5 mtes
Rafnes2.3 mtes
INEOS A Global Company
US Shale Gas
Unlocking the Barnett led to rapid development in other US plays
US Shale Gas Revolution
One shale basin in the US (the Marcellus) has grown from 1 bcf/d in 2007 to over 15 bcf/day today
For comparison, total UK gas demand is 8 bcf/day
The US Shale Revolution
US gas prices have disconnected from European and global markets due to
infrastructure and regulatory constraints
Source UK NBP and Henry Hub wholesale prices
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Sep-
07
Feb-
08
Jul-0
8
Dec-
08
May
-09
Oct
-09
Mar
-10
Aug-
10
Jan-
11
Jun-
11
Nov
-11
Apr-
12
Sep-
12
Feb-
13
Jul-1
3
Dec-
13
May
-14
Oct
-14
Mar
-15
Aug-
15
HH (usd/MMBTU) NBP (USD/MMBTU)
Gas Pricing
Fuel, Power Costs (% of total costs) for Selected Chemical Products
Fuel-based inputs are significant in chemicals production most sectors >50% of total costs
This has a major impact on the competitivity of the industry
Other energy intensive industries are similarly impacted (eg, Refining, Iron and Steel, Glass, Cement, Paper)
Source - American Chemistry Council
Influence of energy costs
Worldwide Chemicals 4.3 trillion dollars/year Automotive 2.8 trillion dollars/year
Europe Chemicals 1.0 trillion dollars/year Automotive 1.0 trillion dollars/year
Chemicals in Europe employs 1.7 million people direct 7.0 million people including indirects
European Chemicals exports 70 billion dollars/year
Most other major industry sectors rely on the European chemical industry for their raw materials
A sense of scale
Are chemicals important?
Source: ICIS
US and Western European costs were comparable in 2005
US shale gas has been a game changer
Impact on global chemicalseconomics
Source: ICIS
US and Western European costs were comparable in 2005
Ethylene costs are now 3x higher in Western Europe
Western European manufacturers are struggling to compete
US ethylene costs are now comparable with the Middle East
US shale gas has been a game changer
Impact on global chemicals economics
Source: ACC 2012
>$120bn planned spend on chemical capacity to 2022
485,000 new jobs during construction, and over 500,000 new permanent jobs
Adding $80-120bn in economic output
A long term threat to the European chemicals business
US Chemical Industry response
Rationalisation- closure of uneconomical sites- mergers
Performance improvement- Invest to improve cost of production - Concentrate on specific specialty sectors
Access improved feedstock and energy costs
- Import feedstocks- Produce shale gas locally
There will be an impact, but we need to respond and
mitigate the impact
What can European Petrochem manufacturers do?
Shale Gas to Europe
The Ineos US Ethane Project
Rafnes (Norway)
600 ktonnes/y of ethylene capacity Largest worldwide seaborne ethane importer One of the few facilities worldwide that can import
and crack LPG mixes New ethane tank built
* pressurised
700 ktonnes/year of ethylene capacity
Flexible gas steam cracker
New ethane import terminal & tank being built
Grangemouth (UK)
Source: Wood Mackenzie
North Sea Gas Decline
Chart1
85
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51.5
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Gas (cm/y)
North Sea Gas Decline (billion cm/y)
Sheet1
Gas (cm/y)
200585
200676
200768
200865
200955
201051.5
201145
201248
201348
201447.5
201549
To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.
Utilise a national asset for national benefit- Exchequer revenue- Balance of payments- Wealth and job creation- Downward pressure on gas price- Security of supply
Play a part in making European energy and feedstock prices competitive
The very survival of the Chemicals industry and other energy intensive industries is at stake
Source: BGS 2013
What can UK and EU shale production deliver?
What is shale gas? Shale gas is natural gas trapped in fine sedimentary rock known as shale
Shale is generally the source rock for conventional gas deposits gas migrates over long periods to form conventional reservoirs
Most of the worlds gas and oil production has been from conventional deposits
Shale gas can vary from dry (mostly methane) to NGL rich (ie, contains ethane and heavier hydrocarbons)
Shale gas - what is it?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:GasDepositDiagram.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:GasDepositDiagram.jpg
Horizontal Well Construction
Injection of 95-98% water, 1.5-4.5% sand and 0.5% additives into the shale At high pressure To fracture the shale and release the trapped gas Well is hydraulically fractured in stages taking 1 hour for each stage The sand carried in the fluid props open the fissures created during the fracturing process
Hydraulic Fracturing
GUAR GUMThickens water and found in cooking sauces, toothpaste and ice cream
CROSSLINKERSUsed in soap and cosmetics
BRINETypically produced with potassium chloride, a low sodium table salt substitute
SCALE INHIBITORSUsed in antifreeze
BIOCIDESUsed to sterilise medical and dental equipment. Prevents bacteria from forming
FRICTION REDUCERSUsed in water treatment and face creams
HYDROCHLORIC ACIDUsed in food production, cleaning swimming pools and created naturally in the stomach
BREAKERSUsed in detergent and hair cosmetics
CORROSION INHIBITORSPrevents corrosion of pipes. Used in pharmaceuticals, food flavouring, cosmetics and beverage production
ADJUSTING AGENTSUsed in soap, water softener, glass and ceramics
Fracking additives uses in everyday life
Drilling Rig
Hydraulic Fracture Spread
Production Site
The industry needs to win the general support of the public
Well never convince everyone But we must ensure that we dont kill the
opportunity without proper scientific assessment of the facts
There is much expert third party evidence that says we can develop this resource safely and without harm to the environment
Can we extract Shale Gas safely?
INEOS committed to working with and properly consulting hos