ineos: our role in improving uk competitiveness in bulk ... · pdf filethis has a major impact...

41
INEOS: Our Role in Improving UK Competitiveness in Bulk Chemicals and Beyond THOMAS CROTTY Director Communications and Corporate Affairs

Upload: truongquynh

Post on 01-Feb-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • INEOS: Our Role in Improving UK Competitiveness in Bulk Chemicals and Beyond

    THOMAS CROTTYDirector Communications and Corporate Affairs

  • INEOS Background

    A world scale producer of petrochemicals and speciality chemicals Turnover $54bn (2014) 18,600+ employees* 105 manufacturing sites worldwide in 22 countries Asset value of $55 billion 60 million tonnes of chemicals capacity 20 million tonnes of refinery products (400,000 bbls/day) Supplying natural gas to 1 in 10 UK homes

  • 320 470

    4500 54005800

    74009800

    35500

    43600

    47400

    28900

    36200

    43000 43000

    47000

    54000

    -

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    40,000

    45,000

    50,000

    55,000

    60,000

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Turn

    over

    -U

    SD M

    illio

    ns

    Acquired ICIschemicals

    businesses

    Acquired BPspetrochemicals

    businesses

    Over 20 acquisitions from blue chip companies including: BP, BASF, Bayer, Dow, ICI, NorskHydro, Solvay

    INEOS Growth

    Chart1

    210

    320

    470

    4500

    5400

    5800

    7400

    9800

    35500

    43600

    47400

    28900

    36200

    USD Millions

    Chart2

    320

    470

    4500

    5400

    5800

    7400

    9800

    35500

    43600

    47400

    28900

    36200

    43000

    43000

    47000

    54000

    Turnover - USD Millions

    Sheet1

    INEOS GROUP - PRO FORMA REVENUE

    mIGLEVCChlorEnterprisesParaformBorealisABSKerlingTOTAL INEOS

    1998149.1149.1

    1999230.6230.6

    2000337.0337.0

    20011,530.71,071.6594.63,196.9

    20022,235.81,053.8538.33,827.9

    20032,530.41,032.2553.121.34,137.0

    20043,396.11,222.0447.8174.150.65,290.6

    20054,958.21,222.0529.4211.052.06,972.6

    200626,587.4748.2295.8340.766.128,038.3

    2006 PF26,587.4748.2295.8340.766.1310.0865.0830.030,043.3

    GBP/EUR0.6744USD/EUR1.40

    $mIGLEVCChlorEnterprisesParaformBorealisABSKerlingTOTAL INEOS

    1998210.0

    1999320.0

    2000470.0

    20014,500.0

    20025,400.0

    20035,800.0

    20047,400.0

    20059,800.0

    200635,500.0

    200743,600.0

    200847,400.0

    200928,900

    201036,200

    201143,000

    201243,000

    201347,000

    201454,000

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

    Sheet4

    Sheet5

  • South Houston4.1 mtes

    North America

    22 sites: 12 mtes

    Mobile0.8 mtes

    Asia6 sites:

    Grangemouth11.9 mtes

    Runcorn4.0 mtes

    Antwerp2.4 mtes

    Lavra11.0 mtes

    Wilhelmshaven1.0 mtes

    Ruhr1.4 mtes

    Europe37 sites: 31.8

    mtes

    Kln5.5 mtes

    Rafnes2.3 mtes

    INEOS A Global Company

  • US Shale Gas

  • Unlocking the Barnett led to rapid development in other US plays

    US Shale Gas Revolution

  • One shale basin in the US (the Marcellus) has grown from 1 bcf/d in 2007 to over 15 bcf/day today

    For comparison, total UK gas demand is 8 bcf/day

    The US Shale Revolution

  • US gas prices have disconnected from European and global markets due to

    infrastructure and regulatory constraints

    Source UK NBP and Henry Hub wholesale prices

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    Sep-

    07

    Feb-

    08

    Jul-0

    8

    Dec-

    08

    May

    -09

    Oct

    -09

    Mar

    -10

    Aug-

    10

    Jan-

    11

    Jun-

    11

    Nov

    -11

    Apr-

    12

    Sep-

    12

    Feb-

    13

    Jul-1

    3

    Dec-

    13

    May

    -14

    Oct

    -14

    Mar

    -15

    Aug-

    15

    HH (usd/MMBTU) NBP (USD/MMBTU)

    Gas Pricing

  • Fuel, Power Costs (% of total costs) for Selected Chemical Products

    Fuel-based inputs are significant in chemicals production most sectors >50% of total costs

    This has a major impact on the competitivity of the industry

    Other energy intensive industries are similarly impacted (eg, Refining, Iron and Steel, Glass, Cement, Paper)

    Source - American Chemistry Council

    Influence of energy costs

  • Worldwide Chemicals 4.3 trillion dollars/year Automotive 2.8 trillion dollars/year

    Europe Chemicals 1.0 trillion dollars/year Automotive 1.0 trillion dollars/year

    Chemicals in Europe employs 1.7 million people direct 7.0 million people including indirects

    European Chemicals exports 70 billion dollars/year

    Most other major industry sectors rely on the European chemical industry for their raw materials

    A sense of scale

    Are chemicals important?

  • Source: ICIS

    US and Western European costs were comparable in 2005

    US shale gas has been a game changer

    Impact on global chemicalseconomics

  • Source: ICIS

    US and Western European costs were comparable in 2005

    Ethylene costs are now 3x higher in Western Europe

    Western European manufacturers are struggling to compete

    US ethylene costs are now comparable with the Middle East

    US shale gas has been a game changer

    Impact on global chemicals economics

  • Source: ACC 2012

    >$120bn planned spend on chemical capacity to 2022

    485,000 new jobs during construction, and over 500,000 new permanent jobs

    Adding $80-120bn in economic output

    A long term threat to the European chemicals business

    US Chemical Industry response

  • Rationalisation- closure of uneconomical sites- mergers

    Performance improvement- Invest to improve cost of production - Concentrate on specific specialty sectors

    Access improved feedstock and energy costs

    - Import feedstocks- Produce shale gas locally

    There will be an impact, but we need to respond and

    mitigate the impact

    What can European Petrochem manufacturers do?

  • Shale Gas to Europe

  • The Ineos US Ethane Project

  • Rafnes (Norway)

    600 ktonnes/y of ethylene capacity Largest worldwide seaborne ethane importer One of the few facilities worldwide that can import

    and crack LPG mixes New ethane tank built

    * pressurised

  • 700 ktonnes/year of ethylene capacity

    Flexible gas steam cracker

    New ethane import terminal & tank being built

    Grangemouth (UK)

  • Source: Wood Mackenzie

    North Sea Gas Decline

    Chart1

    85

    76

    68

    65

    55

    51.5

    45

    48

    48

    47.5

    49

    Gas (cm/y)

    North Sea Gas Decline (billion cm/y)

    Sheet1

    Gas (cm/y)

    200585

    200676

    200768

    200865

    200955

    201051.5

    201145

    201248

    201348

    201447.5

    201549

    To resize chart data range, drag lower right corner of range.

  • Utilise a national asset for national benefit- Exchequer revenue- Balance of payments- Wealth and job creation- Downward pressure on gas price- Security of supply

    Play a part in making European energy and feedstock prices competitive

    The very survival of the Chemicals industry and other energy intensive industries is at stake

    Source: BGS 2013

    What can UK and EU shale production deliver?

  • What is shale gas? Shale gas is natural gas trapped in fine sedimentary rock known as shale

    Shale is generally the source rock for conventional gas deposits gas migrates over long periods to form conventional reservoirs

    Most of the worlds gas and oil production has been from conventional deposits

    Shale gas can vary from dry (mostly methane) to NGL rich (ie, contains ethane and heavier hydrocarbons)

    Shale gas - what is it?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:GasDepositDiagram.jpghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:GasDepositDiagram.jpg

  • Horizontal Well Construction

  • Injection of 95-98% water, 1.5-4.5% sand and 0.5% additives into the shale At high pressure To fracture the shale and release the trapped gas Well is hydraulically fractured in stages taking 1 hour for each stage The sand carried in the fluid props open the fissures created during the fracturing process

    Hydraulic Fracturing

  • GUAR GUMThickens water and found in cooking sauces, toothpaste and ice cream

    CROSSLINKERSUsed in soap and cosmetics

    BRINETypically produced with potassium chloride, a low sodium table salt substitute

    SCALE INHIBITORSUsed in antifreeze

    BIOCIDESUsed to sterilise medical and dental equipment. Prevents bacteria from forming

    FRICTION REDUCERSUsed in water treatment and face creams

    HYDROCHLORIC ACIDUsed in food production, cleaning swimming pools and created naturally in the stomach

    BREAKERSUsed in detergent and hair cosmetics

    CORROSION INHIBITORSPrevents corrosion of pipes. Used in pharmaceuticals, food flavouring, cosmetics and beverage production

    ADJUSTING AGENTSUsed in soap, water softener, glass and ceramics

    Fracking additives uses in everyday life

  • Drilling Rig

  • Hydraulic Fracture Spread

  • Production Site

  • The industry needs to win the general support of the public

    Well never convince everyone But we must ensure that we dont kill the

    opportunity without proper scientific assessment of the facts

    There is much expert third party evidence that says we can develop this resource safely and without harm to the environment

    Can we extract Shale Gas safely?

  • INEOS committed to working with and properly consulting hos