information explosion and creation of information explosion and … · 2010-05-20 · research...
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Global Focus on Knowledge Lecture Series Global Focus on Knowledge Lecture Series ““Information Changes the WorldInformation Changes the World””SudohSudoh--01 Nov. 8, 200701 Nov. 8, 2007
Osamu Osamu SudohSudoh
Professor, Ph.D.Professor, Ph.D.
The University of TokyoThe University of Tokyo
Information Explosion and Creation ofInformation Explosion and Creation of aa New Network SocietyNew Network Society
#1#1 Information Explosion and Structural Change of InnovationInformation Explosion and Structural Change of Innovation
Osamu Sudoh 2007OECD International Conference, Paris, May 2006
The figures, photos and moving images with ‡marks attached belong to their copyright holders. Reusing or reproducing them is prohibited unless permission is obtained directly from such copyright holders
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It is said that students are moving away from the sciences.
Is economic influence among the information industries declining?
Are information-related sciences and technology losing their impact on society?
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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ICT industry-related data
resources:•Report in Information & Communication, 2006•OECD Information & Technology Outlook, 2006
published:June, 2007
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Real GNPs of Industries in Japan (by sector)
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Transition of Employees Numbers in Industries in Japan
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Investment in Informatization in Private Businesses
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Investment to Informatization(%)
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Industry Incentives
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
14,000,000
16,000,000
単位
:100万円
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Employees Incentives
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
情報
通信
産業
製造
業
対事
業所
サー
ビス
商業
金融
・保険
運輸
その
他産
業
単位
:1
00
万円
Series1
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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GDP Incentives
0
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000
情報
通信
産業
製造
業
対事
業所
サー
ビス
商業
金融
・保険
運輸
その
他産
業
単位:100万円
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Transition of Real Investment in Informatization in Japan
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,0001
98
0年
19
81年
19
82年
19
83年
19
84年
19
85年
19
86年
19
87年
19
88年
19
89年
19
90年
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91年
19
92年
19
93年
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94年
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95年
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96年
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97年
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98年
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99年
20
00年
20
01年
20
02年
20
03年
20
04年
un
it:
bil
lio
n y
en
Transition of Real Investment
ソフトウェア
電子計算機
本体・同付属装置
電気通信
機器
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Sales of Major ICT
Companies: by sector
Osamu Sudoh 2007
Major sectors:
IT services
ASP(Application Service
Providers)
SaaS(Software Services)
SOA(Service-Oriented
Architecture)
Java. J-Ruby, etc.(Open Source Development)
Information and Communications Technologies OECD Information Technology Outlook 2006:(Complete Edition - ISBN 9264026436)
Science & Information Technology , ©OECD, 2006
‡
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Transition of Major ICT Companies’ Sales
Osamu Sudoh 2007
Important sectors:
IT services
ASP(Application Service Providers)
SaaS(Software Services)
SOA(Service-Oriented Architecture)
Open Source Development (Java, J-Ruby)
Information and Communications Technologies OECD Information Technology Outlook 2006:(Complete Edition - ISBN 9264026436)
Science & Information Technology , ©OECD, 2006
‡
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OECD
Countries Import and Export of Software Products
- by Country
JapanGermany
Osamu Sudoh 2007
Information and Communications Technologies OECD Information Technology Outlook 2006:(Complete Edition - ISBN 9264026436)
Science & Information Technology , ©OECD, 2006
‡
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“The world has become poor these past 15 years.”
Professor Joseph E.StiglitzProf. Stiglitz (Columbia Univ.)in Tokyo, photo taken in October 2007
2001 Nobel prize economist
New Delhi, photo taken in Dec. 2005)
Osamu Sudoh 2007
Figure removed due to copyright restrictions
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Social Innovation Founded the Grameen Bank, Micro Finance
Professor Muhammad Yunus (recipient of the 2006 Nobel Peace Prize)
Osamu Sudoh 2007
From Wikipedia
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New development must be soughtfeaturing ICT, bio- and nano-technology, and ecological science.
New development must be soughtfeaturing ICT, bio- and nano-technology, and ecological science.
Where is the market economy heading now?Where is the market economy heading now?
Osamu Sudoh 2007
copyright:MEXThttp://www.mext.go.jp/b_menu/shingi/gijyutu/gijyu tu11/siryo/05080501/001.pdf、p3
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Techno-Social Paradigm
1st stage ( late 18th - early 19th c)Railway infrastructures(steel, steam engines)
2nd stage ( late 19th – early 20th c)Road infrastructures(electricity, internal combustion)
3rd stage ( late 20th – 21st c)Information and telecommunication infrastructures (digital data processes,
semiconductors)
The 4th stage (21st c)
Ecological science:based on bio- and nano-technology, ICT !
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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What is Innovation?
Innovation is the creation of new values by associating production procedures, resources, and labor power in a new way.Joseph A. Schumpeter, The Theory of Economic Development,1926
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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What is Competition?
“Competition is a method by which a skillful association of machineries and human beings compete with other methods of association. A method of association is a success, in other words, a technology progresses, not only when it is brilliant, but also when it is simply healthy.”M. J. Piore and C. F. Sabel, The Second Industrial Divide, 1984
Multiple circuits for technology development are always needed.
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Open Innovation
Open innovation is different from innovation that uses only internal knowledge -- in the sense that it utilizes external knowledge via networks. It is innovation madepossible by the collaboration of several actors.choice:a strategy for acquiring specific propertiescoordination:how we coordinate information is important.competition:Network-versus-Network Competition
Open innovation is not a value created by one extraordinary talent. It is creating values by activating interactions between actors each of whom puts into practice the “architecture of participation” where actors who have the potential to collaborate with other talents work together.
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Innovation in America
Activating Innovation• Deepening science and technology• Promoting interactions with other
fields of knowledge• Supporting collaborative creativity• Constructing a global infrastructure
• Council on Competitiveness USA 2005
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Specialization in Research
Promotion of interaction is important.
Revolutionary activities are activated by interaction.
Universities andother research institutes
IAAresearch institutes
cooperative research fields
Applied Research
marketability
research institutes ofprivate companies
Osamu Sudoh 2007Fundamental Research
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Creative Destruction
Paradigm - Destroying InnovationParadigm - Sustaining InnovationEiichi Yamaguchi “InnovationーDestruction and Resonance” NTT Publishing, 2006
We aspire to “Paradigm-Destroying Innovation”.
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Creativity• Each people has several fields of activity, and they are
integrated by relating the essence of each different field of activity to other fields in a particular way.
• Individuality is defined by the properties of these integrated and multi-participating activity fields, and is expressed by how various information (factors) from those fields interact.
• On the premise that individuality is structured as outlined above, creativity is expressed as the activity of relating different fields of activity and changing the manner
• In which they interact.Osamu Sudoh “The Interactive Network Society”,1995
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Osamu Sudoh 2007
CreativityCreativity
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Problem 1
• A person who possesses deep knowledge of both economy/society and ICT is extremely rare.
• Many organizations are not utilizing ICT.
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Paulson, Services Science : A New Field for Today’s Economy, IBM Web Site
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Service Innovation Working Group
Division of University Corporate Relations
Research Promotion Team
UT DUCR Research Promotion Team, Service Innovation Research GroupUT DUCR Research Promotion Team, Service Innovation Working Group
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1
Working Group Launch - Background• Density Increase in the Service Industries→ GDP ratio 70%
• Palmisano Report(the U.S. Council on Competitiveness)Promotion of interdisciplinary science ⇒
Importance of Service Science
To gather knowledge about computing science, industrial technology, mathematics, management engineering, social science, laws, and search for methods to promote innovation in business and technology→ August, 2007 America COMPETES Act.* passed by Congress.
NSA is going to propose policies so that the government can deal with the service sciences strategically.
• Academic-industrial Alliance Research Started in the U.S and EUUC Berkley, MIT, The University of TexasThe University of North CarolinaOxford(Great Challenges in the Service Industries)
• The second computer science?
(*The Creating Opportunities to meaningfully Promote Excellence in Technology, Education, and Science Act.)
東京大学産学連携本部研究推進部サービスイノベーション研究会UT DUCR Research Promotion Team, Service Innovation Research GroupUT DUCR Research Promotion Team, Service Innovation Working Group
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Toward the Formal Launch of a Working Group The 7th Science and Technology Interchange Forum
• October 13, 2006• Open forum for members of the planning group• Theme: “Service-modeling to Co-create Values”• Panel discussion on the service sciences
Is there a science for service innovation?
・Participants 180Service industries 41%Manufacturing 38%Educational Service 7%
・Results of the SurveyIs a scientific approach to services meaningful?
Yes 56%No 7%Do not know 38%
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2
Working Group - Launch and Concept・Name: UCR-WG “Service Innovation Working Group”・Goal: A new service modeling method which would be a core in the service
sciences will be studied by universities and industries using a multidisciplinary approach including industry needs analysis and advanced scientific research in universities.Launching real academic-industrial collaborative research projects,
contributes to service industries, businesses and social systems in Japan.
・ActivitiesEstablishing service studies in the research domain, problem-solving academic-industrial research is to be conducted by sub-working groups.1) Visualization of service2) Optimization of service3) Creation of service
・
This research project is supposed to be a preparation for the following specific collaborative researches.
・
Working term: one year
・
Cultivation of multi-disciplinary research and collaboration is to be considered a long-term initiative.
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Members of the Working Committee・
president: Graduate School of Information Science and Technologies Prof. Masato Takeichivice-president:: Research into Artifacts, Center for Engineering Prof. Kanji Ueda
・
university members:School of Engineering, Prof. Hideaki Miyata
School of Engineering, Prof. Tamio AraiSchool of Engineering, Prof. Kazuo Furuta
Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, Prof. Atsuyoshi SugiharaGraduate School of Information Science and Technology , Prof. Kazuo MurotaInterfaculty Initiative in Information Studies, Prof. Osamu SudohResearch Center for Advanced Science and Technology, Prof. Takashi Nanya
industry members: Fujitsu Sanya Uehara: board member of Fujitsu LabsNEC Hiroshi Kasahara: manager of The Central Research InstituteIBM Japan Kazuyoshi Hidaka: manager of Tokyo Research LabsHitachi Masaharu Akatsu: manager of The Systems Development Lab.
*note: Noted members are representative members.・
organizers: Office of Collaborative Research Development, Division of University Corporate Relations
Proprius21
Program Officer: Masao Ebino
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Organization of the Working CommitteeInitiative Companies Leaders - Academia
SWG-1
Hitachi Prof. Sudoh
SWG-2
IBM Prof. Furuta
SWG-3
Fujitsu Prof. Murota
SWG-4
NEC Prof. Ueda
Working Committee SWG-1
SWG-2
SWG-3
Intellectual Property Boards
Open Research Group
(ad-hoc)
Research A
Research B
Committee Organization Chart
SWG-4
Individual Collaborative Research
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Characteristics of the Working Committee
• Collegium-type Collaborative Research Model(large-bone research- oriented)
From a collegium to a research model (engagement type)• Participation of 4 major IT vendors
NEC, Fujitsu, Hitachi, R&D section of IBM Japan• Participation of several university research departments
Research departments of engineering, information science and technology, economy, and other research centers
• “Service modeling to create values”- multi-disciplinary, based on mathematical science and
engineering• Experimental proof from case studies is important.
Especially, case studies conducted in public environments ( such as in universities)
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Application field
Fundamental field
Advances in Investigative Research
Character analysis
classification
service ontology
structural analysis
visualization
measures for evaluating service values
productivity evaluation
new IT investment- evaluation method
visualization of service knowledge
visualization of organization
visualization of activity
(quantification of clients’ satisfaction)
optimization
service creation
mathematical modeling
(hierarchical multivariate analysis)
mechanisms of creation
Methods for creating a new business model
complex system modeling
3 Research Domains
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Problem 2
• What will the future of ICT be?• What will the future of the network society
be?
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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resource:Council for Science and Technology Policy, Information-Communication Project Team, March,2006http://www8.cao.go.jp/cstp/project/bunyabetu/jyoho/4kai/siryo2.pdf
System of Strategic and Intensive Science and Technology
How can science, industry and
society collaborate?
Realization of scientific research development basis to realize ongoing innovation
(1) The world’s highest standard super computer drives science and technology
(10) Cultivation of leading IT specialists to create the next generation IT society.
(5) Supporting technology for world-standard software development
(4) Urban and domestic life- supporting robot-centered technology
(3) Core technology of display, storage and ultra high-speed devices to maintain the world leadership
(2) LSI ultra-miniaturaization, low- energy electrification, construction and production technology to revitalize the competitiveness of the semi-conductor industries
(9) Security technology for realizing the most secure and comfortable IT society in the world
(6) The next generation network technology for transmitting huge amounts of information and for anyone to use them conveniently
(8) Content creation and information- utilizing technology to share excitement with the World
(7) Technology to use ubiquitous networks which complement human abilities and support life.
Realization of the continuous development of innovative IT technology industries
Realization of a society where people can actually feel the benefits of IT
science industry society
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PDD-63Critical
Infrastructures
PDD-63Critical
Infrastructures
WaterWater
TransportationTransportation
Oil & GasOil & GasBanking & FinanceBanking & Finance
Electric PowerElectric Power
Emergency ServicesEmergency Services
Government ServicesGovernment Services
TelecommunicationsTelecommunications
Critical Infrastructures
by Mr. Dan Bart, Member of ANSI Board
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Osamu Sudoh 2007
Net-Centricity
Importance of risk management
• Need for total management of essential infrastructures.
Securement of visualization capability
• Invisible things cannot be managed.
• Network control of unstructured data
Importance of risk management
• Need for total management of essential infrastructures.
Securement of visualization capability
• Invisible things cannot be managed.
• Network control of unstructured data
Figures removeddue to copyright restrictions
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Social Infrastructure and Ubiquitous Networks 1
Social Infrastructure and Ubiquitous Social Infrastructure and Ubiquitous NetworksNetworks 11
Global increase in information flow causes a Global increase in information flow causes a global increase in material flow.global increase in material flow.Enlargement of smallEnlargement of small--lot material transportation.lot material transportation.Strict observance of delivery timesStrict observance of delivery times
•• maintenance of airports/ first rate highwaysmaintenance of airports/ first rate highways
•• development of transportation networks such as ITSdevelopment of transportation networks such as ITS
GPS, highGPS, high--sensitive vehicles (sensitive vehicles (robotizationrobotization) etc.) etc.
Those responsible forThose responsible for driving and manufacturing cars driving and manufacturing cars usingusing the ubiquitousthe ubiquitous networknetwork((RFIDRFID))and robotsand robots((Sensor ChipsSensor Chips)?)?Who is in charge of road managementWho is in charge of road management??
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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Social Infrastructure and Ubiquitous Network 2
Social Infrastructure and Ubiquitous Social Infrastructure and Ubiquitous NetworkNetwork 22
Universal society infrastructure ( selfUniversal society infrastructure ( self--supporting infrastructure) and nursing robotssupporting infrastructure) and nursing robotsUbiquitous networkUbiquitous network((RFIDRFID))and robotand robot((Sensor ChipSensor Chip))using houses and cities.using houses and cities.
Product liabilityProduct liability??
Administrative responsibilityAdministrative responsibility??
Relationship betweenRelationship between utilizing utilizing private informationprivate informationand protection?and protection?
Risk management andRisk management and insurance feesinsurance fees??
Osamu Sudoh 2007
Figure removeddue to copyright
restrictions
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Deepening Security RisksBot net attack
• An organized attack by Bot
Zombie attack• Spyware which
breaks into a computer terminal without leaving evidence
Path highjacking
Osamu Sudoh 2007
From Wikipedia
Figures removeddue to copyright restrictions
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China’s cyber army is preparing to march on America, says the Pentagon.
September 8, 2007. http://technology.timesonline.co.uk/
The U.S. Army pointed out that the biggest threat is China. Commander Lieutenant-General Robert Elder who is in charge of electronic warfare in the U.S. Army was assigned to head up a new 'cyber command' unit. General Elder says “China is the only country showing a willingness to win the cyberwars.”
2007.06.14, CNN/REUTERS
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The English newspaper, “Guardian”, reported on reported that several computer networks of British government institutions had been broken into by the Chinese army. A series of cyber-attacks considered to be from China were detected in the Pentagon and in German government institutions. (London, Sept.5th, JijiPress)
Director general, Delon, of the intelligence agency under the direct supervision of the prime minister of France, National Defense General Secretariat warned that there is evidence of hacker invasion into several computer systems in several national institutes.
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A Series of Cyber-Attacks
There were a series of cyber-attacks (spyware) probably directed by China on the Pentagon, British government, German government, French government, Australian government, and New Zealand government.
No attack on the Japanese has been reported to date, but this does not mean that there has been no attack.Implementation of tracking and detecting technology - Digital Forensics - is important!
Osamu Sudoh 2007
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A “New Generation Network Promotion Forum” has begun!
• The Limits of the Internet• Needs for Post-Internet research and development
http://nwgn-forum.nict.go.jp/gaiyo.html
‡
data communication network
land phone networkmobile phone
mobile phone land phone
internet
before now 2010 (next generation) 2015 (new generation)
Asia
EU
USA
Promotion of a new generation network
(academic-industry collaboration by the forum)
(research developments start from 2008)
Next-generation network
・collaboration/
・leadership・high-speed, diversity
・high possibility, high quality
・secure, energy-saving
・response to unknown issues
Limit of present technologies
・complexity by adding functions
・limits of performance
Increasing momentum toward a new generation network ( FIND, FP7, etc.)
Enhancement of international competitiveness
Strategic promotion of research development by academic-industrial collaboration
Re-planning an ideal network all over again
Social needs for network
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Professor Emeritas:Tadao Saito (UT)
Prof. Osamu Sudoh(UT)
Yuji Inoue(Telecommunication
Technology Committee )
Prof. Hideyuki Tokuda(Keio
University)
General assemblyPresident
Vice-president: fewNew Generation Network Promotion Board
President
Committee Chairman:
Prof. Tomonori Aoyama(Keio Univ.)
Executive Board
Research Development Strategy Working Group
consideration of strategies from fundamental research to application (direction, roadmap)
Prof. Masayuki Murata
(U. of Osaka)
Test Bed Network Promotion Working Group
test bed network, promotion of demonstrative experiments
Assessment Working Group
consideration of a new generation network society, economical aspects
Project Promotion Working Group
vision sharing, communication, promotion of a new generation network,
General affairs: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communication