initiatives regarding sustainability of biofuels in europe and their potencial impacts on trade

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Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management Initiatives regarding sustainability of biofuels in Europe and their potential impacts on trade Martin Junginger, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University (Netherlands) & IEA Bioenergy Task 40 With contributions from Jinke van Dam and Andre Faaij 2 nd workshop on the impact of new technologies on the sustainability of the sugarcane / bioethanol production cycle Campinas, Brazil, 11 November 2009

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Presentation of Martin Junginger for the "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle"Apresentação de Martin Junginger realizada no "2nd Workshop on the Impact of New Technologies on the Sustainability of the Sugarcane/Bioethanol Production Cycle "Date / Data : Novr 11th - 12th 2009/ 11 e 12 de novembro de 2009 Place / Local: CTBE, Campinas, Brazil Event Website / Website do evento: http://www.bioetanol.org.br/workshop5

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Page 1: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Initiatives regarding sustainability of biofuels in Europe and their potential

impacts on trade

Martin Junginger, Copernicus Institute, Utrecht University (Netherlands) & IEA Bioenergy Task 40

With contributions from Jinke van Dam and Andre Faaij

2nd workshop on the impact of new technologies on the sustainability of the sugarcane / bioethanol production cycle

Campinas, Brazil, 11 November 2009

Page 2: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Presentation overview

1.  Background: the need for sustainability criteria and certification of (liquid) biofuels

2.  Comparison of current certification systems

3.  Barriers and boundary conditions of certification systems for biomass, impact on trade & market perspectives

4.  What research agenda is needed for the future?

Page 3: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Current bioenergy trade

Annual int. traded volumes of ethanol, biodiesel and wood pellets > 4 million tonnes in 2009 and increasing rapidly

Page 4: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

A future vision on global bioenergy…

[GIRACT/Faaij, 2008]

Page 5: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Brazilian ethanol trade 1970-2009

[Walter et al. 2009, T40 CR]

Data for 2009 is estimated

Page 6: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Why to guarantee the sustainability of biofuels?

•  Strong increase in production and trade

•  Criticism in the last years:

“GHG balances not OK” “Endless subsidies needed”.

“Increases food prices” “Contributes to deforestation”

Page 7: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

National

International

How can sustainability of biofuels be guaranteed?

Various approaches are possible:

Voluntary certification systems *

Regula-tions

Market parties

NGOs Government

(Combined with) policy

Page 8: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Key characteristics certification systems (1):

Sustainability requirements translated into:

Principles:

Criteria:

Indicators:

Verifiers:

“The GHG balance of the production chain and use of biomass is positive”

“There is a net GHG emission reduction over the whole biomass chain. This reduction is calculated with as reference system fossil fuels”.

“The GHG emission reduction is at least 30% for biofuels”.

Calculation results based on defined GHG methodology

Page 9: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Key characteristics certification systems (2) Three options traceability trade chains:

•  Track and trace The certified product is segregated from other products during processing and transport. Its origin can be traced from the end to the start of the value chain.

•  Mass Balance The certified product can be mixed with other, non-certified products. The certificate indicates the ratio of the sustainable product based on mass balance

•  Book and Claim The product traded is completely separate from the certificate. A certain amount of certified produce can be booked and sold to the market. The buyer can claim sustainability independently of the final product received.

Page 10: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Summary regulation European Commission (1):

Article Criterion 17.2 Full-chain GHG emission reduction >35% (increasing

over time) 17.3 Exclusion of lands with high biodiversity value 17.4 Exclusion of lands with high carbon stock that have

recently been converted into e.g. cropland 17.5 Exclusion of peat land unless proven that drainage of

previously un drained soil is not involved 17.6 Condition of good agricultural practice (EU) 17.7 Obligation to the Commission to report on soil, water and

air impacts and social impacts in regions that are a significant source of feedstock

Derived from the Provisional edition of the text adopted by the Parliament on 17-12-2008:

Page 11: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

European Commission and Meta-standard Approach (2):

•  European Commission (and also Netherlands, others) will follow meta-standard approach

•  Benchmarking of systems that meet requirements

FSC

Regulation European Commission

PEFC

RTRS

BSI

RSPO

ICSS

NTA-8080

Etc.

Forestry systems

Agricultural systems

Bioenergy systems

Page 12: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

THUS…..

•  Wide range of ongoing initiatives

B Initiative A

Organizational structure

Criteria, indicators,

methodologies Organizational structure

Criteria, indicators,

methodologies

C

Initiative D Initiative E

F

Proliferation of Schemes and Differences in scope

Every scheme is developing principles, criteria… and organizational structure…

Page 13: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (1)

Preliminary results: 59 initiatives (regulation + systems) included •  All relevant for (some) sustainability issues and/or •  Various parts of the bioenergy value chain

* Substantially more forestry certification systems exist

Page 14: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Bioenergy initiatives on government level on different continents.

Notes: Initiatives to make agriculture / forestry in general more sustainable not included in

figure (e.g. sugar cane production Brazil)

Source: van Dam, Faaij, Junginger, forthcoming

Page 15: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Some of the Principles included in initiatives:

Initiative Human and labour rights

Biodiversity conservation

Soil carbon

European Commission* - X X IDB X X - GBEP X X X

BSI X X - FSC X X - Renewable Fuel Standard - - - NTA-8080 X X X SWAN label X X - ISCC X X - SEKAB X X - CO2 star label - - - Greenergy X X X

Page 16: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Proposals GHG reduction requirements:

Initiative Proposal

European Commission* 35% GHG reduction (to 60% over time)

RSPO In preparation

Better Sugarcane Initiative < 0.4 t CO2 / t sugar

RSB Significantly reduce GHG emissions

Renewable Fuel Standard 20% GHG reduction renewable fuels

LCFS California 10% GHG reduction in 2020 compared to baseline

SEKAB label 85% GHG reduction

CO2 label 60% GHG reduction biodiesel rapeseed

SWAN label 1/3 volume fuel gives < 50 g CO2eq/MJ fuel

Proposals Netherlands, Germany and UK for biofuels in line with EC

Page 17: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Measuring the indicators:

Initiative Biomass included Allocation matters ILUC LUC Calculated N2O emissions

Default values

EC Biofuels and bioliquids

By energy content for regulation

ILUC penalty under discussion

Formula soil carbon / default

(JEC 2007) in EU, IPCC outside EU

Conservative

UK-RTFO Biofuels Subtraction is 1st choice

Conversion forest only

Calculated, monitoring

IPCC approach Conservative

Germany Biofuels, Bioenergy for heating and power to be included

Allocation by energy content (LHV)

In discussion, risk adder approach?

Formula soil carbon, IPCC

Included, IPCC when data limited

Conservative

Netherlands Two tools: a) Biofuels and b) Bio-energy for heating and power

Allocation by energy content

Methodology proposed (monitoring)

Methodology based on IPCC

Included, IPCC when data limited

Conservative / typical / best practice

Wallonia (Belgium) Main biomass sources for bioenergy for power

Not included Not included Not included Not included Provided by Wallonia government

Electrabel / Laborelec

Bioenergy for heating and power

Not included Not included Not included Not included Some data provided

Swan label (Nordic countries)

Biofuels Subtraction is 1st choice

Not mentioned No negative balance is required

Included Yes. Not for production

RSB (based on draft standard 2008)

Biofuels Guidelines are under development

ILUC to be minimized. Under discussion.

Based on IPCC methodology and values

To be addressed Criteria for acceptable default values under development

Initiatives in development GHG methodologies for bioenergy in Europe (as of December 2008)

Page 18: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Proposals Chain of Custody:

Initiative Book and Claim

Track and trace

Mass balance

European Commission* X RSPO X X X FSC X X PEFC X X SEKAB label X ICSS X X X NTA-8080 Netherlands X X X

Page 19: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (2)

•  28 initiatives cover the sustainability of biofuels •  From which 17 are developing principles

* In some cases both development of principles and regulation in process

Page 20: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (3)

Initiatives in USA (preliminary) Principles Biofuels Biodiesel Bioethanol

Renewable Fuel Standard X LCFS California X Regulation State Massachusetts

X

Sustainable Biodiesel Alliance

X X

Council on Sustainable Biomass Production

Planned X*

National Biodiesel Board X x * Focus on cellulosic bioenergy facilities

Page 21: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

overview and comparison of sustainability certification schemes (3)

Initiatives in Europe Principles Biofuels Biodiesel Bioethanol

European Commission X X CEN TC 383 X X Netherlands – governm. X X Germany – government X X UK-RTFO – governm. X X Switzerland – governm. X SEKAB - label X X Greenergy – label X X (resource) SWAN label X X (resource) CO2 star label X CEO report (NGO) X

Page 22: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Example initiatives Greenergy and SEKAB label (1):

Greenergy: •  Scope: sugar cane production for bioethanol •  Coverage: biomass from Brazil, to be used in UK (by company

Greenergy) •  Intention: adaptation for the RTFO standard (will follow

principles Better Sugarcane Initiative)

SEKAB: •  Scope: ethanol from sugar cane in Brazil •  Coverage: biomass from Brazil, to be used in Sweden •  Intention: developed for Swedish market

Note: Principles for sugar cane are also in development by the Better Sugar Cane Initiative!

Page 23: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Example initiatives Greenergy and SEKAB label (2):

PRINCIPLES GREENERGY LABEL 1.  Carbon Conservation 2.  Biodiversity Conservation 3.  Soil Conservation 4.  Sustainable Water Use 5.  Air Quality 6.  Workers Rights and Working Relationships 7.  Land Rights and Community Relations

PRINCIPLES SEKAB LABEL 1.  GHG emissions: At least 85% GHG reduction compared with petrol 2.  Efficiency harvest: At least 30% mechanization of the harvest now, plus a planned increase

in the decree of mechanization to 100% 3.  Biodiversity: Zero tolerance for felling of rain forest 4.  Workers rights: Zero tolerance for child labor 5.  Rights and safety measures for all employees 6.  Environment: Ecological consideration in accordance with UNICA environmental initiative 7.  Continuous monitoring that the criteria are being met

Includes: compliance national laws and regulations + various good agricultural practices (soil management plan)

Soil includes: implementation plan for soil conservation

Only in SEKAB label

In general: criteria Greenergy label more specified

High risk for shopping!

Page 24: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Potential barriers and boundary conditions

•  Sense of urgency – international production & trade is growing fast

•  But, with too many initiatives on various levels, a danger of fragmentation and incompatible certification systems exists – prevent proliferation of standards

•  Stakeholder involvement in producing countries often neglected, especially smallholders

Page 25: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Potential barriers and boundary conditions •  Compliance with WTO rules and international treaties •  Some sustainability criteria may actually conflict with

each other •  Additional costs of meeting the sustainability criteria

(and cost of certification) will have to be evaluated •  Inclusion of not enough/soft criteria will result in

“greenwashing” (fear of NGO’s) •  Inclusion of too many criteria will may in fact create

new market barriers (fear of industry and producers) •  Monitoring of compliance crucial, otherwise the

“cheaters” may win (fear of both NGO’s and industry)

Page 26: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Mandatory certification not the only option Several policy tools/strategies to pursue the sustainability: •  Certification: Only biomass that is certified according to

criteria derived from sustainability principles is allowed to be imported

•  Product-Land Combinations: Only biomass from regions that comply with sustainability principles allowed for import Government decides which products/regions are eligible for government support

•  Regionalization: In this strategy, Europe utilizes its own biomass resources before importing biomass from developing countries

•  Self-regulation: code-of practice defined by parties involved in production and trade

Page 27: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Fundamentals of the criteria (I) •  It is a process; developing, deploying and

optimising the required procedures takes time –  Deployment of monitoring –  Increasing share in total market –  Spillover to conventional agriculture

•  Dynamics (land-use, economic & technological development, infrastructure build-up) change over time. –  Increasing scale of production –  Improvement in agriculture and livestock (!) –  Improving quality of governance and oversight (!)

Page 28: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Fundamentals of the criteria (II) •  Merging the field level to macro-level; changes

in land-use affect about all other impacts –  Scenario (thus strategy/policy-) dependent. –  Good field level performance may be overruled by

macro-developments –  Water and biodiversity ‘somewhere in between’

•  From safeguard to stabilisation to positive side effects (e.g. Environmental Goods & Services and contributing to development): –  Soil preservation & restoration –  Opportunities for biodiverstiy –  Water retention functions

Page 29: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Concluding… Good insight in sustainability performance of bioenergy

chains is highly needed to guide development pathways. This requires:

 Unification of methodologies.  Harmonization of systems.  Development of methodologies, indicators and

related performance norms  Development of local and regional databases  Sound methodology to weigh individual criteria  Global convergence, dialogue and deployment

priority (leadership needed).

Page 30: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Martin Junginger & Andre Faaij (UU), Simonetta Zarrilli (UNCTAD), Fatin Ali Mohamed (UNIDO),

Peter-Paul Schouwenberg (Nidera) (task leaders) and all T40 members

Barriers and Opportunities for International Bioenergy / Ethanol trade

Page 31: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Rationale: bioenergy trade is growing rapidly – many opportunities and barriers arising all the time

Aim: get an up-to-date overview of what market actors currently perceive as major opportunities and trade barriers

for the current and future development international bioenergy trade for three internationally-traded bioenergy commodities: 1) bioethanol 2) biodiesel 3) wood pellets.

Method: Online questionnaire at http://task40.questionpro.com

Approach stakeholder through Task 40 & UNIDO network

Page 32: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Results

Questionnaire: 105 fully completed + 87 partially completed questionnaires

Argentina: 9 & Brazil 4 responses

Page 33: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Results

Page 34: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Overview of barriers and opportunities for ethanol trade

(Major) barriers

Major opportunities

Page 35: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Some comments from the industry on sustainability criteria for liquid biofuels

•  Argentinian respondent: “..must be established by working jointly with the Emerging Market countries. Until now, most of it is being imposed on them…”

•  Australian respondent: “Complexity. Sustainability Standards required of Biofuels not required of other trade commodities with environmental, social and GHG impacts. Continuing future uncertainty due to ongoing review provisions of EU Renewable Energy Directive. Unclear which Standards, Certification and Chain of Custody procedures will be applied. Will be used as non-tariff barriers.”

•  Swedish respondent: Depending on how the criteria is constructed there is a risk that the criteria is used to protect domestic markets. We prefer definition of no-go areas and the same rules both for food and bioenergy production

Page 36: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Some comments from the industry on sustainability criteria for liquid biofuels

•  “sustainability criteria should be designed in a way that is workable for operators, especially considering that biofuels are commodities traded on a world-wide basis… efforts should be focused on drawing clear rules for the chain of custody and balances reporting requirements for individual operators (producers, traders, end-users…)”

•  “Discriminating against specific crops/producing regions: this would strongly contradict WTO principles and would not deliver the expected outcome of sustainability criteria, which is to protect biodiversity”

•  “… applying sustainability criteria to biofuels or bioenergy only can be considered as a first step. However, on a longer-term perspective, the certification of all biomass regardless of the final use should be considered…

Page 37: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Our wish list (I): improve key insights and data:

•  Embed technological learning of bioenergy systems properly in models (production, supply and conversion systems). [Bottom-up]

•  Learning of agricultural and livestock management (in relation to prices, settings and policies). [Bottom-up]

Page 38: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Our wish list (II): Biophysical models ~ environment:

•  Water [regional level; bottom-up] •  Biodiversity (resolve methodological

issues; management options and reference situations).

•  Proper incorporation of residues and wastes.

•  Marginal and degraded lands [data!!!]

Page 39: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Our wish list (III): modeling frameworks:

•  Integrate biophysical and macro-economic models (partly tackled: OECD, FAO, UU/LEI-IMAGE/GTAP, IFPRI-Stanford).

•  2nd (+) generation options •  Biomaterials •  Non-agricultural lands (forest, marginal,

degraded, etc.) •  Feedbacks prices (and policies) on learning

and intensification. •  Backed by concrete examples; model

verification.

Page 40: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Argentina; example full impact analysis

Different scenario’s for land-use and agricultural management

Compares soybean (biodiesel) to switchgrass (pellets)

Focus on more marginal area in one province (La Pampa)

Follows main principles of Cramer framework Van Dam et al., 2009

Page 41: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Net GHG balance in kg CO2 eq / tdm per year from Switchgrass

cultivation for bioenergy for different scenario’s

Van Dam et al., 2009

Page 42: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Soil erosion rates in t soil/ha/yr for Switchgrass and

Soybean

Van Dam et al., 2009

Page 43: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Model framework

Cost and supply of biomass

Technology database

Projections of final energy demand

Baseline situation

Top-down Economic modeling (LEITAP)

Bottom-up modeling

(Excel based)

Bottom-up results Top-down results

Biomass blending shares

Feedstock types Productivity factors

Split model specialty/bulk

chemicals

Page 44: Initiatives Regarding Sustainability of Biofuels in Europe and their Potencial Impacts on Trade

Copernicus Institute Sustainable Development and Innovation Management

Thank you for your attention!

• Much of this material will become available at: www.bioenergytrade.org

Questions / further work: [email protected]