innovative mrv approaches in transport sector · zurich / switzerland • 2012: present on all...

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Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector Climate-KIC / PMR Workshop 3 June 2014, Bonn Patrick Bürgi Director Advisory Services Supported by

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Page 1: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

Innovative MRV approaches in Transport SectorClimate-KIC / PMR Workshop3 June 2014, Bonn

Patrick BürgiDirector Advisory Services

Supported by

Page 2: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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South Pole Group – developing solutions worldwide

Johannesburg

Zurich

Jakarta

Bangkok

Taipei

Beijing

Mexico City

• 2006: Incorporation in Zurich / Switzerland

• 2012: present on all continents

• About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries

• 2011, 2012 & 2013: Best Project Developer

• 2013: Runner-up Best Advisory Service

• Strong focus on NAMAs, MRV and design of new carbon markets

Stockholm

Local presence

as of Sept 2013

HanoiNew Delhi

Medellin

Satellite office

Head office

Kampala

Melbourne

London

Sydney

Kuala Lumpur

Page 3: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Selected advisory references

3

Carbon Pricing Policy Options and Pilot Case Study for the Cement Sector in Indonesia

Low Carbon Support to the Ministry of Finance (MoF) in Indonesia

Macro-economic assessment and modeling of price-based GHG instruments in Brazil

NAMA design for power generation and end-use in Peru

NAMA design targeting energy-efficiency in the Mexican SME sector

NAMA design in the agricultural and forestry sectors in Tunisia

Summer School on Tracking progress and MRV for GHG Emission Reductions in Viet Nam

Carbon Farming Initiative (CFI) Knowledge Platform in Australia

Market-based Instrument design for the transport sector in Colombia

Page 4: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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South Pole’s work package

• Identification of 2-3 business cases for innovative MRV approaches

• Builds upon previous work packages

• Looks into climate economy as a whole:

– UNFCCC framework • CDM/JI• NAMAs• NMM? / FVA?

– Other schemes• Emission trading schemes (e.g. EU, China)• Offset schemes (e.g. Gold Standard, VCS, California, Switzerland)• Carbon tax schemes• Other market-based and non-market based instruments

• Current carbon prices was the most limiting factor in the selection of the business cases

• Presentation focuses on one of the two identified cases studies in the transport sector

Page 5: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Introduction

Transportation; 28%

Industry; 20%

Agriculture; 10%

Commercial & Residential;

10%

Electricity; 32%

Total U.S. GHG Emissions in 2012

The majority of GHG emissions from transportation are CO2 emissions resulting from the combustion of fossil fuels .

The largest sources of transportation related GHG emissions include passenger cars which account for over half of the emissions from the sector.

In the U.S. GHG emissions from transportation account for about 28% of total emissions, making it the second largest after the electricity sector.

Page 6: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Reduce or avoid the need for travel

Improve the energy efficiency of transport modes

and vehicle technology

Shift to more environmental friendly transportation mode

Main types of mitigation action in transport sector

Improve

Trip Efficiency

Vehicle Efficiency

System Efficiency

Shift

Avoid

Page 7: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Status Quo of Climate Change Mitigation Programs

Type of climate action

Improve Shift AvoidShift and Improve

CDM projects 7 8 0 13

VCS projects 3 4 0 2

NAMAs 4 2 1 1

Total 14 14 1 16

Several PMR countries are implementing or considering climate change mitigation programs in the transport sector

Page 8: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Common MRV elements and challenges

MRV Parameter MRV approach Challenges

Number of passengers Survey, sample measurements

Time consuming and expensive

Occupation rate per vehicle category

Sample measurements (visual observation, ticketing, etc.)

Time consuming and expensive

Mode switch Surveys or specific studies on a local, national or international level

Time consuming and expensive

Share of fuels used per vehicle category

National or regional vehicle registration statistics

Publicly available data, however can be inaccurate sometimes

Specific fuel consumption Specific studies on a local, national or international level

Publicly available data, however can be inaccurate sometimes

Emission factors per fuel IPCC, studies on a local or national level

Publicly available data, however can be inaccurate sometimes

To define baseline and project scenarios, followings parameters are typically needed: Focus of proposed solution

Page 9: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Proposed Innovation Concept

Market Based Instruments/ Climate Policies

MRV systemData CentreGSM Antenna Data collected through surveys

Individual collecting the data

GSM antenna collecting the data

MRV Innovation Focus

Page 10: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Technological possibilities

Page 11: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

BaselineDetermination

Monitoring Verification

Year 2 (Before)

Year 2 (After)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

BaselineDetermination

Monitoring Verification

Year 1 (Before)

Year 1 (After)

Case Study: MRV costs for large-scale transport programs

400K USD reduction

20K USD reduction

270K USD reduction

20K USD reduction

Cost reductions are potentially very significant whilst increasing precision

Year 1 Year 2

Page 12: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Conclusion & next steps

This innovation offers:

• Easier (and cheaper) ways of MRV in the transport sector

• More accurate, complete and transparent dataset

• Higher rate of frequency for data collection (up to real-time monitoring)

• Scalable, reproducible and comparable solution

Moreover, it can be implemented in any country where mobile signals exist!

Next steps:

• Further assessment of technical and financial feasibility together with leading telecom company

• Potential pilot project in Paris with demonstration at COP21 in 2015

• Assessment of possible application of the approach in the context of national/sub-national GHG inventories, NAMAs, market-based instruments, etc.

Page 13: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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THANK YOU

Patrick BürgiDirector Advisory Services

South Pole [email protected]

Page 14: Innovative MRV approaches in Transport Sector · Zurich / Switzerland • 2012: present on all continents • About 100 carbon professionals from 22 countries • 2011, 2012 & 2013:

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Common MRV elements and challenges

MRV Parameter MRV approach Challenges

Number of passengers Surveys, sample measurements

Time consuming and expensive

Occupation rate per vehicle category

Sample measurements (visual observation, ticketing, etc.)

Time consuming and expensive

Mode switch Surveys or specific studies on a local, national or international level

Time consuming and expensive

Share of fuels used per vehicle category

National or regional vehicle registration statistics

Publicly available data, however can be inaccurate sometimes

Specific fuel consumption Specific studies on a local, national or international level

Publicly available data, however can be inaccurate sometimes

Emission factors per fuel IPCC, studies on a local or national level

Publicly available data, however can be inaccurate sometimes

To define baseline and project scenarios, followings parameters are needed: