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Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper Basin EGS Stefan Baisch 1

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Page 1: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Insights from 75,000

earthquakes induced in the

Cooper Basin EGS

Stefan Baisch

1

Page 2: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Enhanced Geothermal System

Cooper Basin

(objective >100 MWel)

6 deep wells in granite

massive hydraulic

stimulations

The project

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Page 3: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Enhanced Geothermal System Cooper Basin

cum# events

2003 H#1 stimulation 28,102

2005 H#2 stimulation, H#1 re-stimulation 45,525

2008 H#3 stimulation, H#1 - H#3 circulation 46,242

2010 Jol#1 stimulation 46,476

2012 H#4 stimulation 74,013

2015 project abandoned 76,343

The project

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Page 4: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

What remains?

One of the largest and best controlled data sets of injection induced

seismicity

seismicity continuously monitored since 2005

magnitude range ML=-2 to ML=3.7

up to 24 local stations (surface seismometers, borehole geophones)

complete record of hydraulic activities

multi-well set up (cores, image logs, etc.) ‘ground truth’

The project

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Page 5: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

‚Hydraulic stimulations create complex, volumetric fracture

networks as evidenced by spatial seismicity distibutions‘

5Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

The ‘geothermal perspective’

prior to the Cooper Basin project

Soultz-sous-Forêts (Figure from Michelet & Töksöz, 2007. JGR.)

Page 6: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Habanero #1 stimulation

> 28,000 induced events, ML 3.7

planar reservoir structure

apparent thickness ~200 m vertical hypocenter location error (2s): 118 m

200m

number

dista

nc

e to

pla

ne

Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA

Habanero: A planar reservoir

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Page 7: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Habanero: A planar reservoir

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

20m

reservoir is dominated by a planar fault zone

(thickness: meter scale or less)

confirmed by subsequent wells (‘ground truth’)

200m

absolute hypocenter locations relative hypocenter locations

Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA

Page 8: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Are other geothermal reservoirs really volumetric?

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Re-processing of Soultz-sous-Forêts data sets

ill constrained data excluded

‘planar reservoir hypothesis’ cannot be rejected

Baisch et al., 2010. IJRMMS

Page 9: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Fault mechanisms

most FPS are consistent with slip driven by the regional stress field and

occurring on the planar structure as outlined by hypocenters

plane dips ~10° (optimum orientation ~30°)

Why did this plane shear? Because no other orientations were available!

Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

sH

Baisch et al., 2015. BSSA

Page 10: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

The role of natural fractures

similar ‚experiment‘ conducted at Jolokia , 10 km away from Habanero

no pre-existing flowing fractures at Jolokia

stimulation failed (14 days, 700 bar 1 l/s)

stimulation does not work everywhere!

10Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Baisch et al., 2015. BSSA

Jolokia stimulation

Page 11: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Spatio-temporal seismicity evolution:

Constrains triggering mechanisms

11Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

H#4 stimulation, map view

systematic in space/time

Baisch et al., 2015. BSSA

Page 12: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Kaiser Effect:

Constrains triggering mechanisms

12Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Baisch et al., 2009. BSSA

H#1 re-stimulation

Kaiser effect (stress memory): seismicity occurs at those

locations, where previous stress criticality is exceeded

Page 13: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

How stimulations change subsurface stresses

large shear stress concentration at outer rim

13Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Baisch et al., 2015. BSSA

cumulative slip [mm] modelled shear stresses

Page 14: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

How stimulations change subsurface stresses

14Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA

Teleseismic earthquake triggered ML=3.x earthquake at the outer rim of

previously stimulated reservoir (no hydraulic activities within 12 months)

a sequence of 84 aftershocks followed

after-deformation is likely to also play a role during stimulation

Page 15: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

Conclusions

Cooper Basin experiments provide one of the largest

and best controlled data sets of injection induced

seismicity.

Insights from these experiments improved our

conceptual understanding of geothermal reservoirs

and our understanding of the physical processes

associated with induced seismicity.

15Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Page 16: Insights from 75,000 earthquakes induced in the Cooper ... · Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos 14 Baisch et al., 2006. BSSA Teleseismic earthquake

16Schatzalp 2nd Induced Seismicity Workshop, 14-17 March 2017, Davos

Thank you!