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NZSA Conference November 2016 Robert Cole Adrian Allott Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year

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Page 1: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

NZSA Conference

November 2016

Robert Cole

Adrian Allott

Insights from NZ solvency

returns for 2015 financial year

Page 2: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

Insights from NZ solvency

returns for 2015 financial year

• Introduction

• New Zealand solvency

- requirements

- analysis

- feedback on common issues

- strength?

• Home jurisdiction solvency

• Conclusions

Page 3: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

Introduction

• No comment on RBNZ’s policy or

supervision responses

• No discussion of individual insurers

• Information as reported (despite some

issues)

• Mix of year end dates during 2015

• Lots more detail in the paper – please

read it!

Page 4: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

Introduction

Page 5: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

requirements

Page 6: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (solvency result)

as reported adjusted for

licence

condition

All 2,397.0 1,812.0

General 1,272.3 702.3

Life 684.2 669.2

Health 440.5 440.5

Solvency Margin ($ million)Main type

of

insurance

as reported adjusted for

licence

condition

177% 149%

214% 142%

136% 135%

490% 490%

Solvency Ratio (%)

Page 7: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (effective requirement)

Page 8: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (general insurers)

Page 9: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (life insurers)

Page 10: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (health insurers)

Page 11: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (solvency ratio adjusted)

Page 12: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (general insurers 2015)

Page 13: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (life insurers 2015)

Page 14: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (health insurers 2015)

Page 15: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (capital target %)

Page 16: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

analysis (actual vs target)

Page 17: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

feedback on common issues

• Compliance with s121 requirements

- late, pdf, no sign-off, wrong version, email

• Completing incorrectly

- e.g. large insurer selecting small insurer

exemption, lack of comments, units, figures

in wrong boxes

• Applying solvency standards

- e.g. non-life cat. risk alternative method

• Solvency standard interpretation

- e.g. discretions, premium liabilities

Page 18: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

New Zealand solvency

strength?

Solvency Margin

Adjusted as % of Gross

Annual Premium

Solvency Margin

Adjusted as % of Net

Assets

All 23% 26%

General 14% 20%

Life 34% 23%

Health 40% 73%

Solvency Margin AdjustedMain type

of

insurance

Page 19: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

Home jurisdiction solvency

• Hard to directly compare (except

Australia)

• Australian solvency ratios slightly higher

than NZ?

• Some common issues

- compliance, currency, units, multiple

solvency requirements

Page 20: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

Home jurisdiction solvency

Australia

Page 21: Insights from NZ solvency returns for 2015 financial year · New Zealand solvency analysis (solvency result) as reported adjusted for licence condition All 2,397.0 1,812.0 General

Conclusions

• Considerations for insurers & actuaries

• Considerations for RBNZ

- policy

- supervision

- thematic review

- publication

• Invite insurers to follow up with RBNZ

• Questions?

• Thank you