instant chemistry venture capital - sample
TRANSCRIPT
2
Overview - Instant Chemistry
Viability Assessment Market & Competition Product & Strategy Management Team
Deals Terms Sought Current and Desired Financing, and Financing Efforts Valuation Assessment
Financing Structure Recommendations & Risks
Agenda
3
Instant Chemistry - Overview
Instant Chemistry is seeking to become a leader in the Non-Health Genomics space
Need- Plethora of dating websites but low success rates of 10 –
15%- Research shows that 40% of physical attraction can be
predicted based on genetic factors
Solution- Products to determine your genetic match based on cheek
swabs- Kits sold both via matchmakers/dating sites and directly to
consumers Scope outside Dating Industry- Idea can be extended to :
• corporate team building • military individual/team effectiveness tests
5
Dating Industry - Market Size
$2 B
Size of North American Dating Market
• Number of Singles – 60M• People who have used dating service - 40M• Average $ spent by a dating site user- $238/year
$4 B Size of Global Dating Market
Assistive technologies becoming less taboo, may drive sales
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Personal Genomics
Market Research Methodology
• Dependant on own research – Surveys through Google Ads and Social Media
• Supplementary research - data from 100 relationship kits
Personal Genomics Space
• Our research shows no mention of non-health genomics, only Health-based genomics - an industry worth approximately $3.3 billion
Non-Health Genomics?
• Offers Gene testing kit similar to Instant Chemistry’s relationship kit, priced at $249
• Research on 6 of its dating company partners revealed that the product wasn’t viable
• Lacks a good business model. Poor marketing
Competition
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Viability - Market
• Novel product idea, attempts to solve an industry wide problem
• No big competitors
Assessment Red Flag! Potentially High Adoption and Education Costs.
• Preliminary research indicates high marketing costs for increasing adoption and educating consumers.
• Lacks data on commercialization potential
• Unreliable market research methodology
• Bad precedent in GenePartner
Positives Negatives
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Product
Relationship Kit
Get kit via matchmakers
/dating websites
Collect Sample Send it to the lab who analyzes your
DNA (Time?)
Register Kit &view your results
on IC’s website
1
Rapid Home Test Kit - test for compatibility genes on the spot
Instant Chemistry needs money for the Rapid Home Test kit which makes genomic testing simple and affordable
Order kit via dating websites or buy it at
a pharmacy
Place cotton pad in mouth to get your
Genetic Score
(Under Development)
OIEQ
Feed the code into an app or website to
view results
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Business Model
Relationship Kit Rapid Home Test
• Sold via Matchmakers + Dating platforms
• Sold via partner dating websites as a value added service and via drug stores
• Also co-branded and sold with Wendy Walsh’s books
Pack of 2 for $x (tentative) $y(tentative)
Go-to-Market
Strategy
Pricing
B2B B2C + B2BBusines
sModel
$x with scale $y with scaleCost
1 2
IPApplied for 2 utility patents : 1. Matching algorithm based on genes
and 2. Speedier method for gene evaluation in lab
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Viability - Product
• Low cost product – rapid test
• Cost control advantage
Potential due to partnerships. Some perceived redundancy & product risk associated with relationship kit.
• Possible redundancy and risks in dual product offering.
• Both require huge infrastructure investments ($260K for relationship kit and $360K for rapid test)
Positives Negatives
Assessment
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Management Team
Core Management Team
Scientific Advisory Board
All PhDsJeremy Bluvol
Full Time Huan Xie, CFO
Full Time
Ron GonzalezFounder
Mariana G. ConiPart-time
Carmelia Ray, CMOSara Seabrooke, Founder
MBABioengineering
MBA
Accounting
MBA
PhDNeuroscience
Biz Dev
Biz Dev
Biz Dev
20+ yrs dating
industry
Industrial Design
PhDGenetics
Viability – Management Team
• Strong Executive Team & Scientific Board with industry connections
• Pertinent Scientific knowledge and business expertise
• Investments from founders total $67k ( 61% of total investments) – shows commitment
• Carmelia Ray - conduit for further partnerships
Good Potential.
• Direct entrepreneurial/ startup experience lacking
Positives Negatives
Assessment
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Current Deal Terms
Instant Chemistry is looking for funds to develop its rapid test kit and commercialize it
Now
13
Founded in 2013 To transition to full commercialization, IC needs
Capital Requirement :$xM over 16 months
Type of financing : Convertible Note
4 Months
16 MonthsPhase I : $yK Phase II : $zK
Total Current Investments :
$xK
Valuation Cap : $yM
OwnershipInstant
Chemistry
100%
14
Valuation : Using Tool developed by Bill Payne
Approach 1 : Pre-revenue business valuation tool developed by renowned Angel Investor Bill Payne
$X M
MeanPre-Money Valuation
$y M
MeanPost-Money Valuation
After Market Research this Pre-Money Valuation went up by $xk to yM and share preserved by 15% (detail in appendix)
Strength of Management
Team
Product /Technology
Competitive Environment
Marketing/Sales
/Partnerships
Need for additional
Investment
Size of Opportunity
(Market Validation/Brand
)
75%
50%
50%
25%
100%
50%
50%
Factors impacted by Market Research
% Percent of Ideal
Cash Flows : Monte-Carlo Simulation
Approach 2 : Monte Carlo Simulations for Cash Flows
Our Simulations indicate that Instant Chemistry without Market research would require an additional $xK in cash flows due to
higher variability in the initial deal terms assumptions
Assessment
Poor. Deal terms do not correspond with pre-money valuation.
• Clear that the deal terms requested are not suitable
• Valuation Cap ($xM) of approximately 26% much too low
• A pre-money valuation cap would require at least a 68%
valuation cap based purely on financials alone
Negatives
Assessment
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Scenario 1: Adjust Valuation Cap
Raise Funds with the Company As-Is Using a Convertible Note, however with Adjusted Pre-Money Valuation Cap of $xM
Deal RiskVery High
Now 4 Months
16 Months
First Tranche: $xK Second Tranche: $yM
• Significant risk - requires VC to believe in idea despite lack of market research
• Costs to educate and incite adoption may too high• Risks of dilution due to business uncertainty
Capital Requirement :$xM over 16 months
Type of financing : Convertible Note
Valuation Cap (Post Money) : $y M
Funding Source: Seed VC Investor
32%
68%
VC
New OwnershipInstant
Chemistry
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Scenario 2 : Conduct Professional Research to Validate Concept
Use Professional Research to Validate Concept, After Which Raise Funds through Convertible Note
Deal RiskMedium
• IC doesn’t need the additional $600K here because the initial assumptions hold• Better pre-money valuation cap of $1.1M• Risk of potential cash burnout and $$ to fund market research• Mitigate some risk by tying up with a dating partner & using their customer base
4 Months
16 Months
Second Tranche: $yK
Third Tranche: $zK
First Tranche:
$xK
Capital Requirement :$x M over 16 months
Type of financing : Convertible Note
Valuation Cap (Post Money) : $y M Funding Source: Seed VC Investor
Now
Internal Investment$x
K
1-2 Months
We recommend convertible note post market research approach due to its medium risk and ability to achieve a better valuation cap
47%53%
Instant Chemistry
VC
New Ownership
20
Summary
We recommend that Instant Chemistry perform Market Research, Adjust Valuation Cap to $ X M and then seek funds This enables Instant chemistry to retain higher share of
company (Increase of y%) in the case of further needed financing or exit
If third-party market research is deemed unfeasible, we recommend term Scenario 1.