institut für physik der atmosphäre identification of convective hotspots in mountainous terrain...

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Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard DLR Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany Université de Clermont-Ferrand, France Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, Toulouse, France

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Page 1: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre

Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain

Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

DLR Oberpfaffenhofen, GermanyUniversité de Clermont-Ferrand, France

Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, Toulouse, France

Page 2: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

COPS

International field campaign in summer 2007 within the frame of the priority program 1167of the German Science Foundation (DFG) „Quantitative Precipitation Forecast“

Convective and Orographically-induced Precipitation Study

Page 3: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Radar coverage

COPS objectives require good radar coverage, polarimetric preferred several operational radars in the regionall are Doppler radarsnone of them (except Montancy) is polarimetricX-band (r = 20 km)two mobile DOW’sdeployment of DLR polarimetric C-band Doppler radar POLDIRAD

FrankfurtNeuheilenbach

Türk-heim

Montancy F/CH Albis CH

POLDIRAD

Page 4: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Deployment of DLR C-band polarimetric weather radar POLDIRAD at Waltenheim sur Zorn, Alsace, France

Photo: A. Behrendt

Page 5: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Climatology of Convection in the COPS region

number of 15 minute radar images where reflectivity was 46 dBZ or higher per pixel (out of total app. 23000 radar images)

Distribution of occurrence of air-mass convection (radar 2000-2008, May-August)

Page 6: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Orographic Effects on the Life Cycle of Convection

One of the main objectives of COPS is to study the orographic effect on the initiation and life cycle of convective precipitation.

R. Banta, 1990

Page 7: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

POLDIRAD observations during IOP 15 (daytime)

12 Aug. 2007 11-17 UTC every 10 minutes

Page 8: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

POLDIRAD observations during IOP 15 (daytime)

12 Aug. 2007 11-17 UTC 13 Aug. 2007 8-15 UTC every 10 minutes

Page 9: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Cell Tracking IOP 15 using POLDIRAD Observations

12 Aug. 2007 11-17 UTC 13 Aug. 2007 8-15 UTC

cell tracks cell tracks

first occurrence first occurrence

Page 10: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

First Occurrence of Small Cells on some other Days

“Ridge and upslope” days:June 8, 9, 10; Aug. 12, 23, 24

“Lee” days:June 5; July 18; Aug. 3, 6, 13, 17

Bischen-bergX-band radar

Page 11: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

X-Band Radar Bischenberg (30 km south of POLDIRAD)

POLDIRAD every 10 minutes X-Band 1246 – 1321 every 1 min.

1250 1300

1310 1320

13 August 2007

Page 12: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

12. Aug. 2007 15 UTC 13. Aug. 2007 11 UTC

wind field (1000m MSL) and rain rate

MesoNH Simulations

Page 13: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

MesoNH Simulations 12. Aug. 2007 15 UTC 13. Aug. 2007 10 UTC

Northerncross-section

Southerncross-section

U-componentreflectivity

Page 14: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Vos

ges

Wind Direction and Initiation of Cells

Wind from 12 UTC soundings- Nancy and Stuttgart - 850 hPa and 700 hPa (crest height) (1500 m above)

“Ridge” initiation related to weaker winds, and flow perpendicular or parallel to the Vosges

“Lee” initiation related to higher south-westerly (or NE, NW) winds

Nancy Stuttgart

Page 15: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Flow over Mountains

Froude Number indicates whether flow is over mountains or flow is diverted around mountains.

Theory: Fr < 1 around mountains Fr > 1 flow over mountains

How representative is the Nancy or Stuttgart sounding ?

NH

UFr

U = characteristic flow speedN = Brunt-Väisälä-FrequencyH = Height of obstacle

Aug13Aug12

NancyFroude Number

Brunt-Vaisala Frequency

Stuttgart

12 UTCsounding850 hPa

Page 16: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009

Conclusions

Major difference caused by the wind profile (stability is of minor role)

12 Aug. 13 Aug. weak winds perpendicular or strong winds from south-westparallel to Vosges around and over mountains

Models are able to simulate the situation and can provide additional information about the background fields of observed situation

Page 17: Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre Identification of Convective Hotspots in Mountainous Terrain Martin Hagen, Leslie Grebe, Joël van Baelen, Evelyne Richard

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Institut für Physik der AtmosphäreMartin Hagen, 8th COPS and CSIP Meeting, Madingley Hall, 26-28 Oct. 2009