Intel AnalysisDiscussion

Maj Ted Corbeill

This brief is: UNCLASSIFIED

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Agenda

• Leadership Philosophy• Expectations of a MAGTF Intel Analyst• Predicative Analysis 101 • Career Management 101

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Leadership Philosophy

• Mission Accomplishment

• Troop Welfare– Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.– Provide them the training and resources to meet

expectations.– Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not

meeting expectations.

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What is expected of a MAGTF Intel Analyst?

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Troop Welfare• Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.• Provide them the training and resources to meet expectations.• Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not meeting

expectations.

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MAGTF Intel Analyst• Job Description: Reduce commander’s uncertainty in

order to aid decision making.

• Required skills:– Conduct basic research on Weather, Enemy, and Terrain.– Excellent oral and written skills.– Teamwork, collaboration, and networking.– Proficiency with IOS FOS software, Microsoft Office (Word,

Excel, PowerPoint, Outlook), and Microsoft SharePoint.

• Preferred skills:– Develop and maintain an Analytic Line.– Predicative Analysis.– Leadership, Training, and Mentorship skills.

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What is analysis?

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Troop Welfare• Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.• Provide them the training and resources to meet

expectations.• Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not meeting

expectations.

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Types of Analysis

• Information (Some value)– Country briefs, weapons briefs, SIGACTs,

MISREPS, etc.

• Basic Analysis (More value)– Trend analysis, Threat Matrix, TTPs

• Predicative Analysis (Most value)– Enemy COA

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Capabilities + Intent = ThreatUNCLASSIFIED

Analysis Example

Event: Patrol receives indirect fire.

• Information (Some value)– Time, location of event, type of weapon system

• Basic Analysis (More value)– Pattern of activity in that area– What enemy unit?– What TTPs were used?

• Predicative Analysis (Most value)– What will the enemy do next time we patrol there?– When/where will the next attack occur?

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Predicative Analysis Example

“Capt Corbeill, when will the 2012 insurgent spring offensive in Helmand Provence begin?”

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Afghanistan

Pakistan

How should you evaluate an analyst?

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Troop Welfare• Provide your Marines clear guidance and expectations.• Provide them the training and resources to meet expectations.• Provide them feedback/hold them accountable for not

meeting expectations.

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Contribution to Mission

ContributesDetracts

Where are you on this scale?

Disciplinary Problem• Consumes leaders time• Useful for:

Working parties Converting chow into feces

Substandard/Incompetent• Consumes leaders time• Useful for:

Working parties Duty

Average• Useful for:

Basic research Basic production Working parties Duty

Proficient• Useful for:

Advanced research Advanced production Basic Analysis Briefing Conducting Training

SME• Useful for:

Predicative Analysis Final production Supporting OPTs Developing Training

No Value Some Value Most Value

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Career Management Advice• No one cares about your career more than you!

– If it’s not in your Official Military Personnel File (OMPF), then it didn’t happen.

• No excuses- it’s all a click away:– MoL, MyPay, MarineNet, www.usmc.mil (orders, MARADMINS)

• Advice– Marine first

• High first class PFT/CFT• PME (one grade up)• Seek out and pursue opportunities (don’t close doors)

– Intel analyst second• Master your tradecraft• Read, read, read• Inquisitive mind

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Life Advice

• Periodically reevaluate your priorities.

• Make a conscious decision where to allocate your limited time and resources.

• Own your decision.

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Personal Development

Professional Development

Relationships

Questions?

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