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26&27 May 2011 World Conference on Intellectual Capital for Communities - Seventh Edition - 1 Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge Economy Nations, Regions, Cities and Emerging Communities

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Page 1: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

26&27 May 2011World Conference on Intellectual Capital for Communities

- Seventh Edition -

1

Intellectual Capital for Communities

in the Knowledge Economy

Nations, Regions, Cities and Emerging

Communities

Page 2: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

26&27 May 2011World Conference on Intellectual Capital for Communities

- Seventh Edition -

2

New Sources of Growth : Intangible

Assets

A 2-year OECD project

Alistair Nolan

Page 3: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Presentation Overview

–Project context : why analyse intangible assets ?

–Issues the NSG project will address.

3

Page 4: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

What are intangible assets ?

• What are intangible assets ?

– Claims on future benefits that do not have a physical or financialembodiment (Lev, 2001).

• Recent analyses focus on 3 types of intangible asset:

– Computerised information (software, data);

– Innovative property (patents, copyrights, trademarks, designs, etc).

– Economic competencies (brand equity, firm-specific human capital,business networks, organisational know-how that increases enterpriseefficiency, etc).

4

Page 5: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Project context : why analyse intangibles?

A relatively recent body of research, beginning with Nakamura (2001), and spurred in particular by Corrado, Hulten and Sichel (2005) has:

- Sought to quantify business spending on intangibles, and to placethese expenditures in a growth accounting framework - treatingthem as investments rather than spending on intermediates.

5

Page 6: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Project context : why analyse intangibles?

A relatively recent body of research, beginning with Nakamura (2001), and spurred in particular by Corrado, Hulten and Sichel (2005) has:

- Sought to quantify business spending on intangibles, and to place these expenditures in a growth accounting framework - treating them as investments rather than spending on intermediates.

6

By accounting convention, if an acquired good contributes to production longer than

the taxable year, the cost of the good is capitalised.

Corporate and national income accounting have historically treated intangible inputs

as an intermediate and not as capital.

Page 7: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Project context : why analyse intangibles?

A relatively recent body of r

7

Recent analyses focus on 3 types of intangible asset

Asset type Current status in nationalaccounts

Computerised information(software; databases)

Software is capitalised

Innovative property (patents,copyrights, trademarks, designs,etc)

R&D - on the way to being capitalised; Mineral exploration; Entertainment, literary or artistic originals.

Economic competencies(brand equity, firm-specifichuman capital, businessnetworks, organisational know-how that increases enterpriseefficiency, etc)

No items recognised as assets.

Page 8: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Project context : why analyse intangibles?

A relatively recent body of research, beginning with Nakamura (2001), and spurred in particular by Corrado Hulten and Sichel (2005) has:

• Sought to quantify business spending on intangibles, and to place these expenditures in a growth accounting framework - treating them as investments rather than spending on intermediates.

8

Some stylised findings of the research

Page 9: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Rising U.S. non-farm business investment in intangible assets

(% output)

Source: Corrado and Hulten (2010)

9

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

tangible investment

intangible investment

Many advanced economies have become progressively intensive in investment in intangible assets

Page 10: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Why this increased business investment in intangibles ?

Rising educational attainment in OECD economies.

Many products becoming more knowledge intensive.

With globalisation and deregulation, competitive advantage increasingly drivenby innovation….in turn driven by investments in intangibles.

Fragmentation of value chains – and increasing sophistication of production inmany industries – increase the importance of intangibles, particularlyorganisational capital.

New ICTs may itself increase the value of some intangibles to firms.

Growth of the services sector, as many service sector firms rely highly on the useof intangibles.

10

Page 11: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Why this increased business investment in intangibles ?

Rising educational attainment in OECD economies.

Many products becoming more knowledge intensive.

With globalisation and deregulation, competitive advantage increasingly drivenby innovation….in turn driven by investments in intangibles.

Fragmentation of value chains – and increasing sophistication of production inmany industries – increase the importance of intangibles, particularlyorganisational capital.

New ICTs may itself increase the value of some intangibles to firms.

Growth of the services sector, as many service sector firms rely highly on the useof intangibles.

11

Automotive manufacturers view leadership in control software as vital

Chevrolet Volt has 10,000,000 lines of code.

Page 12: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Why this increased business investment in intangibles ?

Rising educational attainment in OECD economies.

Many products becoming more knowledge intensive.

With globalisation and deregulation, competitive advantage increasingly drivenby innovation….in turn driven by investments in intangibles…and not just R&D.

Fragmentation of value chains – and increasing sophistication of production inmany industries – increase the importance of intangibles, particularlyorganisational capital.

New ICTs may itself increase the value of some intangibles to firms.

Growth of the services sector, as many service sector firms rely highly on the useof intangibles.

12

E.g. patentable technology

is only about 25% of the

value of the iPhone

(Korkeamaki and Takalo (2010)

Page 13: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Why this increased business investment in intangibles ?

Rising educational attainment in OECD economies.

Many products becoming more knowledge intensive.

With globalisation and deregulation, competitive advantage increasingly drivenby innovation….in turn driven by investments in intangibles...and not just R&D.

Fragmentation of value chains – and increasing sophistication of production inmany industries – increase the importance of intangibles, particularlyorganisational capital.

New ICTs may itself increase the value of some intangibles to firms.

Growth of the services sector, as many service sector firms rely highly on the useof intangibles.

13

E.g. Wal-Mart‟s computerised

supply chains; Merck‟s multiple R&D

alliances; 100s of subcontractors

in aerospace.

Page 14: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Why this increased business investment in intangibles ?

Rising educational attainment in OECD economies.

Many products becoming more knowledge intensive.

With globalisation and deregulation, competitive advantage increasingly drivenby innovation….in turn driven by investments in intangibles...and not just R&D.

Fragmentation of value chains – and increasing sophistication of production inmany industries – increase the importance of intangibles, particularlyorganisational capital.

New ICTs may itself increase the value of some intangibles to firms.

Growth of the services sector, as many service sector firms rely highly on the useof intangibles.

14

99% of the time, at least one Internet bookseller

offers a lower price than Amazon ! But Amazon

retains a large market share due to reputation

for customer service.

(Brynjolfsson and Smith, 2000).

Page 15: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Why this increased business investment in intangibles ?

Rising educational attainment in OECD economies.

Many products becoming more knowledge intensive.

With globalisation and deregulation, competitive advantage increasingly drivenby innovation….in turn driven by investments in intangibles..and not just R&D.

Fragmentation of value chains – and increasing sophistication of production inmany industries – increase the importance of intangibles, particularlyorganisational capital.

New ICTs may itself increase the value of some intangibles to firms.

Growth of the services sector, as many service sector firms rely highly on the useof intangibles.

15

Page 16: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

In some countries business investment in intangibles exceeds that in machinery, equipment and buildings

16

Source: National estimates – see OECD Innovation Strategy (2010).

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

% Brand equity, firm specific human capital, organisational capital R&D and other intellectual property products

Software and databases Machinery and equipment

Investment in tangible and intangible assets as a share of GDP (2006)

Page 17: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Big differences across countries in share of investment in intangibles - positively correlated with income per capita

Source: Van Ark et al (2009)

17

0

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.1

0.12

0.14

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 50000

Inta

ng

ible

In

ve

stm

en

t (%

GD

P)

GDP per capita (PPP $)

Intangible Investment and GDP per Capita (2001-04)

SK

CZ

EL

USJP

UK

AU

SEFI

NL

DK

FR

DEAT

IT

ES

Page 18: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Included in national accounts, intangibles can significantly change the observed scale and sources of growth

• Corrado and Hulten (2010) – by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1trillion excluded from published national accounts data.

• BEA (2010) estimates GDP in the United States would have been, onaverage, 2.7 per cent higher between 1998 and 2007 if R&D was treated asinvestment in NIPA.

• Labour productivity growth increases – through capital deepening - and alower contribution to growth from increases in multi-factor productivity.

18

Page 19: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Intangibles can change observed sources of growth

Source: National estimates : see Measuring Innovation: A New Perspective (2010).

19

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-1

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2

3

4

5

6

7

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%Labour quality Physical capital deepening Multifactor productivity Intangible capital deepening

Conventional growth

accounting

Adding

intangibles

Labour productivity growth : adding intangibles (1995-2006)

Page 20: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

20

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

Page 21: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

21

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

STI (NESTI and WPIA) and STD

-Critically review the methods for measuring

flows and stocks of intangibles.

-Work to develop measurement guidelines

for selected intangibles at firm level.

-Review and produce new evidence on the

contribution of intangibles to firm, sectoral

and aggregate performance.

-Analyse value creation from intangibles.

e.g. relationship between investment in

intangibles and knowledge output (IP)

Page 22: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

22

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

CTPA

-Better assess the tax burden on knowledge

capital, factoring in the effects of tax policy

and MNE tax strategies.

-Drawing on the above, examine challenges

for policy in encouraging investment while

also taxing returns on mobile intangibles.

Page 23: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

23

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

STI/ICCP + EAS

-Personal data is now heavily processed,

analysed, shared and transferred across the

globe and around the clock.

-Explore measurement of investments in data.

-Explore broader policy implications of

the growing value of personal and public data.

E.g. Scope for spillovers ?(some commercial

data might be used for scientific purposes);

how to value public data ?; the balance

between privacy and innovation ?

Page 24: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

24

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

DAF/CA

-Review progress in reforms to corporate

reporting of intangibles since OECD‟s

most recent work in this area (2008);

-Identify where reforms have lagged and

explain factors retarding reform;

-Outline prospects for further reform and

how progress might best be realised.

Page 25: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

25

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

DAF/COMP

-Scope of work yet to be defined –

possibly a Roundtable on on-line Commerce

in autumn 2011.

Page 26: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

26

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

STI/EAS-CSTP

Which policy settings will best facilitate

the circulation (sharing, trading or joint

production) and exchange of knowledge

among independent parties ?

Shapes the conditions under which

companies access and generate the key

intangibles of knowledge and innovative

property.

Page 27: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

2. Issues the NSG Project will address

27

Measurement

Taxation

Data

Corporate Reporting

Competition

Knowledge networks

and markets

Global value

chains

STI/SPD

-iPod, „made in China‟, but most of the

value accrues to retail/distribution service

providers in the US and Apple, based on

innovations in design, marketing and supply-

chain management.

“Our clothes are Italian, French and German,

so the profits are all leaving China…We need

to create brands, and fast”.

SG, China Industrial Overseas

Development and Planning Assoc.

Page 28: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Upcoming events + project outputs

- Washington DC, May 16-17, “Building Blocks for Jobs and Economic Growth.”

- Policy-oriented conference in the autumn 2012.

Reports on:

• Measurement of intangibles and their effects on economic growth.

• Improving tax policy for intangible assets.

• Progress in reforming corporate reporting of intangible assets.

• The role of intangible assets in global value chains.

• Developing knowledge networks and markets (KNMs).

• The creation of economic value from new forms of data.

• Synthesis report, with prioritized recommendations for government.

28

Page 29: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Question ?

Are there other themes that CIIE suggests this project

should tackle ?

29

Page 31: Intellectual Capital for Communities in the Knowledge ... · • Corrado and Hulten (2010) –by omitting intangibles, in 2007 USD 4.1 trillion excluded from published national accounts

Estimated productive lives (years) of key intangible assets

in firms in the UK

Source: Haskel (www.coinvest.org.uk)

31

2.7

3.2

2.8

4.6

44.2

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5

Training Software Branding R&D Design Business process

improvement

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