intelligence memorandum, 7 feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability...

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·· •w. ·" ·· - "'L~ -o to -- 6l':)- lo--1- lo Approved for Release: 2019/01/17 C01165670 · . . . . . .. · ... ·5~ \ ,·.,, / i .~ DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE = ,. , ' .. ' ; , . . f . ·-- .. Intelligence Memorandum Construction and Logistic Activities in the Khe Sanh Area 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/01/17 C01165670 ?February 1968 EO 13526 3.3(h)(2) EO 13526 3.5(c) i ; 3.5(c) Approved for ReleaSe: 2019/01/17 CO1 1656-70' . b . _ H-._ - ; e_ ém€i//, 1 ' H -'13526 _-3.3(h)(2) EO - 13526 ' 3.5(c) DIRECTORATE-OF, - . _ _ __ In1telli ge nce Memorandum : ; -_ Construction and Logistic Ac‘tivztzes _ = in the Khe Sanh Area - - . | [1 - "’?*1 7-71r} f '747;ebfuary,1968 IE ' '- j 1 __ _ ._ 1 135(0) Approved'for'Re'Ieas'e:2019/0’1/17C01165670.31; -' - —- - .-

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Page 1: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

·· •w. ·" ·· - "'L~ -o to -- 6l':)- lo--1- lo Approved for Release: 2019/01/17 C01165670 · . . .

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DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE

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Intelligence Memorandum

Construction and Logistic Activities in the Khe Sanh Area

3.5(c)

Approved for Release: 2019/01/17 C01165670

?February 1968

EO 13526 3.3(h)(2) EO 13526 3.5(c)

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Approved for ReleaSe: 2019/01/17 CO1 1656-70' . b. _ H-._ - ; e_ émfl €i//, 1

' H -'13526_-3.3(h)(2)

EO- 13526' 3.5(c)

DIRECTORATE-OF, - . _ _ __

In1telligence Memorandum : ; -_

Construction and Logistic Ac‘tivztzes _ =in the Khe Sanh Area - - .

| [1 - "’?*1 7-71r} f '747;fiebfuary,1968 IE' '- j 1 __ _ ._ 1 135(0)

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Page 2: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

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WARNING This document contains classified information affrctir1g the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws. CS Code Title 18, Scc.:tions W3, 7!H, and 7H8.

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3.5(c)

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WARNING ‘—This document contains classified informatiOn affecting the "natimml Security“ ' _ml? the United States within the meaning of the espionage Iawg; I..?S._(.J_ode' I. - .'Title 18, Sections 793, T94,’ midi 798.

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Page 3: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

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~~~

CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Directorate of Intelligence

7 February 1968

INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM

Construction and Logistic Activities In the Khe Sanh Area

Summar¥

The deployment of more than 22,000 North Vietnam·· ese Army (NVA) troops in the Khe Sanh area and up­wards of 12,500 troops in the north-central DMZ area has been paralleled by a rapid acceleration of enemy logistic and construction activities. These activities point to the acquisition of a capability for sustained offensive operations.

The construction of two new roads from Laos toward the Khe Sanh area will facilitate the enemy's ability to susta.in the resupply of his forces. Con­struction of new fortified positions and weapons emplacements in the immediate vicinity of Khe Sanh appears to be well advanced. These emplacements will be extremely difficult to neutralize and will provide the enemy with an improved capability to defend areas he now holds and to interdict friendly :movement in and out of the Khe Sanh area. These a.c­tivities are hampered and disrupted by intensive US air strikes, but the enemy appears to be pressing his preparations and they could be nearing completion.

Information on logistic operations during the past five months indicates a sharp increase in the volume of supplies moved into the area. The esti­mated traffic has-been more than adequate to meet

Note: This memorandum was produced soZeZy by CIA • . It waa prepared jointly by the Offiae of Eaonomia .Researiah and the Vietnamese Affairs Staff and ao­ordinated with the Office of Current InteZZigenae • . It ehouZd be read in aonjunation with the CIA memo-· :r:iandum, "The Enemy Threat to Khe Banh" of 2 February 1968.

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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE'AGENCY vDirectorate_of-Intelligence '=

7 February 1968 '.' “ '

INTELLIGENCE MEMORANDUM’

conStruCtion'End~L°gistic_Activities; f;.V-

In the Khe.Sanh Area .j ;I '

Summary

The deployment of mOre than 22,000 NOrth Vietnam» _f 4_ese Army (NVA) trOOpS in the Khe Sanh area and upef;jv'_2-rwards of 12,500 tr00ps in the northécentral DMZ- ." * ; _area has been paralleled by.a rapid acceleratiOn},~*_ ff,}fof enemy logistic and construction activities.-_ ""” 'These activities point to the acquisition of a'f _ 4capability for sustained offensive'OperationS+flL;C'i

The construction of two new roads_from.Laos-*C”_,H-toward the Khe Sanh area will_facilitate the_enemyls;;f' wability to sustain the resupply of his forces. 2Coneiifflstruction of new fortified positions and Weapons 9. lfivw ’emplacements in the immediate vicinity-of_Khe Sanh_y¢;¥3appears to be well adVanced. 5TheSe emplaoements.:h 37__;1_y'will be extremely difficult to neutralize-and7wi11'7-yprovide the enemy with an improved-capability-to,gp *y_h_,-defend areas he now holds and to interdict friendly fi?_ré9“movement in and out of the Khe Sanh area,._These,ac&j,.m _ ,tivities are hampered and disruptedgby.intensiVéiUS¢eTgw' l'air strikes, but the enemy appears to be pressing ”.71'3_,.Jhis preparations and they could be nearing'completiong;gp;

Information on logistic Operations during the '5g; ».g ,past five months indicates a sharp increase in the] *“”j"“volume of supplies moved into the'area.“”The‘esti+u_ ;¢;mated traffic hase n more than adequate totmeet,ff gf'

hate: This memorandum was produced solely by'CIA;-V;7]n—It was prepared jointly by the Office of Eo0h0mio; q ,Research and the Vietnamese Affairs-Staff"andaooé5jif };gfij4ordinated with the Office of Current Intelligence;ylFIi'It should be read in conjunction with the_CIA memoéffgffl L,T,;-w Iggggum, "The Enemy Threat to Khe Sanh”V0f-2'February“3igifif'3 _

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~ the logistic requirements of these forces, particularly for ammunition, at greatly intensified rates of com­bat for a period of 60-90 days. There is no reason to doubt that the Communist rear service units can continue to move daily both the estimated 35 tons of supplies required by the forces at Khe Sanh and the additional 20 tons for the forces in the north-central DMZ area under heavy combat conditions.

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the logistic requirements of_these ferCes, particfi1ari§ 7 __for ammunition, at_greatly intensified rates of come~_ffl, ;”"bat for a period of_60—90 days.- There is no reaSonto doubt that the Communist rear Service unitsancontinue to move daily both the estimated.35 tons of}; raCH"supplies required by the forces at Khe Sanh and thej'additional 20_tons for the forces_in_the northecentral jo?.'fDMZ area under heavy combat conditions. . v

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~~~ NE!W Road Construction

1. Aerial photography has revealed two new r()ads being built by the North Vietnamese from a point near Ban Dong in Laos on Route 9 eastward to the Khe Sanh area. These roads, detected in the past month, parallel Route 9 to the north and s1::mth and converge on the Khe Sanh area from the north­W•3st and southwest. (See Figure 1) • Work on both rc:>ads has progressed to the Laos - South Vietnam b•:>rder, which is within 12 to 15 miles of Khe Sanh, a:nd probably is continuing into South Vietnam. This new road network significantly increases the N,orth Vietnamese logistic capability near the DMZ, and reflects the intensive nature of enemy prepara­tions for major operations in the Khe Sanh area.

2. The Communists have also gained the use of Route 9 at least as far as the Vietnamese border, having driven off in late January the Lao Army bat­talion (BV-33) which had controlled the Ban Houei Sane area and blocked the use of Route 9 to the Com­munists since mid-1961. Large bunkers and storage areas have been detected near the terminus of the southernmost of the two new routes, and numerous secondary explosions have followed B-52 strikes in the area.

§UPJ21Y Depots

3. The Tchepone area of Laos, about 20 miles west of the Vietnamese border, has long been known to be a major staging point for the movement of supplies from North Vietnam through the southern .Laos panhandle. Numerous new depots and distribu-tion points in Laos and the DMZ area have been buiit in recent months to support combat preparations. A series of storage depots or way stations has been es­tablished on a north-south axis across the demili­tarized zone about 10 to 15 miles east of the Lao border. Additional storage areas have been detected near the eastern terminus of the southernmost of the two recently built roads. Other storage and distribu­tion points have been detected at points in the hiil mass northwest of the main US base at Khe Sanh. Jungle ,cover precludes estimating the capacity of these facilities, but they appear.to be extensive.

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New Road Construction

1. Aerial photography.has revealed two new f__.roads being built by the North VietnameSe'from_a=¢Trpoint near Ban Dong in Laos on ROute 9 eastWard' »* ,_to the Khe Sanh area.. These roads, detected in ;“ ;._;~the past month, parallel Route 9 to the north andaC wxwiq,south and converge on the Khe Sanh area frOm the northt *-, ._west and southwest, .(See Figure l);~ Work onfibOthf gpfisfiz,fl 77roads has progressed to the Laos ~ SOuth VietnamfiggfnTw*7”border, which is within 12 to 15 miles~odhe Sanh,--and probably is continuing into Scuth»Vietnam;xfigejgThis new road network significantly increases ther*¢;1;.. -North Vietnamese logistic capability near the DMZ, g-gg'**'and reflects the intensive nature of enemy prepare—'24tions for major Operations in the Khe Sanh area. * '

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2. The Communists have also gained the use" .»2~.--of Route 9 at least as far as the VietnameSe border, “f _having driven off in late January the Lao.Army bate ;;gg;*,_talion (EV—33) which had controlled the BaaOueif if,¢fl5tSane area and blocked the use of Route 9 to’theTCOm~ H _ ;munists since mid-1961.,_Large bunkers and Sterage§g.;s»'areas have been detected near the terminus cf thef;,j_,’wsouthernmost of the two new routes, and numerOus ._.f ifsecondary eXplosiOns have followed B—52 strikes in s.*the area. ' . * ’ i ..1 : ' -«»:>

Supply Depots

3. The Tchepone area of Least about 20 miles?“ '1‘west of the Vietnamese border, has long been known 7, .,., ,to be a major staging point for the movement 0f.é*[iplag “*supplies from North Vietnam through the'scuthern&, ; e.:_;.Laos panhandle; Numerous new depots and distribue 5,.Ey=" _;tion points in Laos and the DMZ area have been builtf”gfé; . ._in recent months to support combat preparations. fA [*Tl '*-. ”' ,series of storage depots or way stations has been eséfnfl‘} 5 "' 'tablished on a north—south axnacross the demilie __ '”tarized zone about 10 to 15 miles east of”thegLaoji ,‘;gs ,border. Additional storage areas have been detected? 57 -jnear the eastern terminus of the southernmost 0f the ._ ___two recently built roads. Other storage and distribuegg L;_.'tion points have been detected at points in the hill 3f -V'mass northwest of the main US base athe Sanh, gJunglej,;'cover precludes estimating the capacity of'thesef ¥;i}g.+;facilities, but they appear to be extensive, ; fit”f s§i?

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Fortifications

4. There are numerous indications of recent construction of fortifications ranging from groups of foxholes to entrenchments, bunkers, weapons emplacements, and large strongpoints. Some of those in the northwest quadrant from Khe Sanh had been built during the heavy Communist pressure in that sector in April and May 1967. One North Viet­namese regiment that has remained in•the area since then may have maintained some of these positions in usable condition. More recent construction includes a number of bunkers, entrenchments, and large strong­points in the hill mass south of Route 9 and extend­ing from the area southeast of Khe Sanh westward to the border of Laos. These positions have been built in some depth.

5. Other new fortifications and weapons em­placements have been detected in and behind the ridges east and north of the main complex. Consider­able fortification and entrenchment activity has also been observed north of Route 9 along the hills and .ridges west and southwest of the main US base. Pho­tography taken in late January shows several large hut unoccupied groups of foxholes--one numbering over 400--between Hill 861 and the main base. One group of foxholes is within 1,000 meters of the base. (See Figures 2 and 3)~

6. These activities suggest that the Communist forces are prepared to defend the areas they now hold, to encircle US positions completely, to extend their positions progressively closer toours in siege :fashion, and to prepare in advance assembly areas :from which assaults can be mounted. If these pos.i­·tions are subsequently connected by communications ·trenches, the Communists will be able to maneuver their :forces from one portion of the battiefield to another under cover from friendly fire. They would also be. :in position to block movement from the main base at the airfield to outlying US positions on the hills. ·to "the northwest. These techniques are similar to those ◄3mployed by the Communists in their prolonged siege cam­paign at Dien Bien Phu.

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Fortifications

4. There are numerous indications of recent-';construction of fortifications rangingjfrom groups: i;~*9"“'of foxholes to entrenchments, bunkers,.Weaponsiemplacements, and_largeustrongpoints. some of £310mf;0;100'”those in the northwest quadrant from Khe_Sanh had if.7ssfbeen built during the-heavy Communist pressure'in9mu17yfjfii_;that sector in April and May 1967. lOne“North;Vieté~fL,pg?namese regiment that has remained in the area Sincethen may have maintained some of these-positions inusable condition. -More recent construction includes ‘*” "‘a number of bunkers, entrenchments, and.1argef3trgngr 0»mpoints in the hill mass scuth odouteV9 and.extend-;_;Ting from the area_southeast of_Khe Sanh westward tbj . 0f;g,the border of Laos. These positions have_been built_f?'” 'in some depth.

5. Other new fortifiCations and weapOnsiem—f 'placements have been detected_in and behind thefyfi11CX ”:ridges east and north of'the_main-comp1ex,q¢COnsideri3ore_lable fortification and entrenchment activity has also“_d_'been observed north of Reute 9 along the hills andridges west and southwest of the main US base.'*Phoej.fHtography taken in late January shows several largef”;ht §but unoccupied groups of foxholes——one numbering "over 400--between Hill 861 and the main base. IOne: 3;. n'..group of foxholes is within l,000 meters of the baSe¢~ vs,5m(See Figures 2 and.3l; ' 7_

6. These activities suggest that the Communist, ;0mf1fforces are prepared to defend_the areas they now:hold, to encircle US positions Completely, to'eXtend17:“ r"their positions progressively-closer tocmus_infsiege;“.p,_fashion, and to prepare in advanCe assembly areas -; eff..“from which assaults can be mounted. "If these posi—tions are subsequently connected-by Communications: gfjf_;. atrenches, the Communists will be able to maneuver theirl_3 ,_‘__forces from one portion cf the battlefield to.anotherf j jf"'under cover from friendly fire. _They would_also befrffu»f Jin position to block movement frOm the main base at wim;,>q_the airfield to outlying_US positions oh the_hills;5 ;fV;.=to the northwest. 'TheSe techniques_are-similar tolthoSe_l _.__,employed by the Communists in their_prolonged siege came]? ;Vfi>paign at Dien Bien Phu..

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Location of Mortar and Rocket Sites

7. The selected weapons sites shown in Figures 2 and 3 are representative of many such sites in the ;Khe Sanh area. The circles drawn on the map indicate ranges from which weapons of various types can be fired on the base. These include some weapons (82-mm. mortars) which are organic to enemy infantry units. The 120-mm. mortar ring also approximates the range o:E 75-mm. pack howitzers which the enemy is believed to have in the area. The 160-mm. mortar ring approxi­m;3.tes the range of the 122-mm. rockets which the Com­munists. have already employed at Khe Sanh. · Thus far, a:ntiaircraft positions for 37-mm. weapons have been d,etected only at positions from which they can protect rear depot areas. Positions for 12.7-mm. antiaircraft machine guns, however, have been observed within 1,500 meters north and northeast of the airfield. Emplace­ments for 152-mm. artillery weapons have been detected at distances beyond maximum range of the main US base, although weapons in these emplacements could reach some of the outposts northwest of the airfield and the Special Forces camp at Lang Vei to the west.

8. It is evident from the terrain features and enemy positions that the Khe Sanh base and airfield a.re vulnerable to interdiction from these known emplace­ments. Prcifiles of the terrain in a straight line · from each indicated enemy position to the center of the Khe Sanh runway show that in nearly every case the enemy has the advantage of cover and concealment from friendly ground fire, although the positions may be more vulnerable to air attack. There is little doubt that for every location noted there are many more which cannot be detected from the air.

~~he Logistic Build-up

9. The deployment of more than 22,000 NVA troops in the Khe Sanh area and upwards of 12,500 in the · north-central DMZ area was accomplished by a rapid acceleration of enemy logistic activities. Intelligence cm logistic operations during the past five months also :Lndicates a sharp increase in the volume of supplies moved into the area. During January an estimated 120 tons of supplies or more per day were moved through the

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Location of Mortar and Rocket Sites

7. The selected weapons sites~shownfiiniFigureg'Qifffuf;_ i"and 3 are representative of many such Sites-in the Khe_s “' JSanh area. The circles drawn.on the map indiCate; ;ranges from which weapons of various.types can be? Ut¥~3__ ._fired on the base. _These-include some weapons (824mm._**fflmortars) which are organic-to enemy infantry Units. _f. ;1_,The lZO-mm. mortar ring also approximates the range ;Qfqp"of 75—mm. pack howitzers which the enemy is believedto have in the area. 'The l60—mm. mortar ring approxi;fi 79 - :mates the range of the 122—mm. rockets which the Com—_; _;11munists have already employed at Khe-Sanh. 'Thus faryfa‘antiaircraft positions for 37—mm. weapOns have been 'detected only at positions from which they can protect; 37§rear depot areas. Positions for 12.7—mm.-antiaircraftp~~machine guns, however, have been observed-Withinil,500uimeters north and northeast-of-the airfield.',EmplaCee'éfl;-ments for 152—mm. artillery weapons have been detected-fat distances beyond maximum range of the main US base, - _,although weapons in these emplacements could reachi',7j 1rf___-Jsome of the outposts northwest-of the airfield and_they :j..'Special Forces camp_at Lang Vei to the west._

8. It is evident from the terrainafeaturesnandguiienemy positions that the Khe Sanh base and airfield ,§_] _are vulnerable to_interdiction from these_known emplacefj7_ _ments. Prdfiles of the terrain in-a straight linei“hm~32+”from each indicated enemy position to the center offfthe Khe Sanh runway shew that in nearly eVEIY-CaSefgfl €;.,yIN-the enemy has the advantage of cover.and concealmentfrom friendly ground fire. although.the pesitions mayv_f_; 'be more vulnerable to air attack. .There.is littlefdoubt that for every location noted there_are manymore which cannot be deteCted from the air. . "WV

The Logistic Buildwup'

9. The deployment of_more than 22;00§_NVAttroOPSi§eif_: _in the Khe Sanh area and upwardS'of“12.500 in thefiw #2 ig~~=north—central DMZ area was accomplished by a rapid-

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acceleration of enemy logistic actiVities. gIntelligence E;;j,-:uon logistic operations during the past fiVe months else-indicates a sharp increase in the volume-cf supplies ~c [y ;_ _moved into the area. During January an estimatedtlZOffgpy,_

t°ns 0f supplies or more per day were moved.thr0ughuthe_g,g; :g

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Laos panhandle from North Vietnam. This volume is more than twice the supplies normally needed from North Vietnam by the Communist forces in Laos and South Vietnam. In addition, substantial amounts of ammunition are moved directly to the DMZ area. The estimated traffic during this period has been adequate to provide stockpiles sufficient for 60-90 days of com.bat at greatly intensified rates.

Traffic Through the Laos Panhandle

10. The volume of supplies moved into the.Laos panhandle from North Vietnam during the last five months has been significantly greater than that moved during comparable periods in the past. The observed increases in traffic have paralleled closely the heavy deployment of troops to the Khe Sanh area, and most of these supplies seem destined for these forces.

11. According to reports of roadwatch teams along Route 15 in North Vietnam just north of the Laotian border, truck.traffic moving toward Laos dur­ing the last four months of 1967 averaged about 17 trucks a day compared with 15 a day during the com­parable period of 1966. These trucks could have de­livered over 5,000 tons of supplies for the Communist­held portions of Laos and South Vietnam, or over 40 tons per day during this period in 1967.* During January 1968, southbound-traffic on the same route increased to a daily average of 26 trucks compared with an average of 22 for January 1967. Over 1,900 tons could have been delivered during January 1968, or an average of about 60 tons per day.

12. Roadwatch reports are not available on Routes 137/912, the other truck route into the Laotian pan~ handle from North Vietnam. An analysis of reports of aerial reconnaissance over this route reveals a sub­stantial increase in truck activity on this route in 1967. Although there is no way to quantify the tonnage moving on Routes 137/912, it almost certainly equaled the tonnage moved on Route 15 and could have been more. Moreover, aerial reconnaissance reports show consider­able truck activity on Route 911 and on Route 9, which

*The estimates of suppties moved inalude an altohl­anae of 20 peraent for tosses in transit and tosses due to air operations.

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MLaos panhandle from North Vietnam. 'This v01ume is ?fflmore than twice the supplies normally.needed from f_ ' _. _.North Vietnam by the Communist forces in Laos and v f§,,KT_South Vietnam. In addition, substantial amounts of» As'ammunition are moved directly to_the DMZ area, wTheestimated traffic during this periOd has been adequate €”__to provide stockpiles sufficient_for 60590 daysaofip_;g¢__5gcombat at greatly intensified rates;-

Traffic Through the Laos Panhandle

10. The volume cf supplies moved.intojtheqLaosidfcf #-Panhandle from North Vietnam during the last fiVe"-months has been_significantly.greatertthan_thatfmovedjgpfm:""during comparable periods in the past.. The observed -}fgfi1 _increases in traffic have_paralle1ed close1y_the_heavy,;,i;deployment of troops to the Khe Sanh area, and most of ; ¥these supplies seem destined for these forces,_‘

11. EAccording to reports of roadWatch teamsfle""along Route 15 in North Vietnam just north of the“Laotian border, truck traffic moving_toWard Laos aura i'. aing the last four months of_1967 averaged about*17{ r.;ujjrtrucks a day compared-with-15'a.day_during'the.com«.g, g_1parable period of-l966, These trucks Could have deeqf ,”._livered over 5,000 tons of supplies.for the Communiste”g-i.held portions of Laos and South Vietnam, or over 4 ig: .“'tons per day during this period in l967,* .DuringJanuary 1963, southbound traffic on the_Same.r0utej*Tiletlincreased to a daily average of 26 trucks Compared.with an average of 22 for January 1967. 'Over,1,900iuigf*7tons could have been delivered during January-1968,.or j];x‘an average of about 60-tons per day._'.~.. :f_.

12. Roadwatch reports are not available on Routes~{, --137/912, the other_truck route intogthejLaOtianlpanrgixj:;; ;handle from North Vietnam.. An analysis of reports_ofg fi,-,_aerial reconnaissance over this-route.reveals-a sub+; 5,;j{stantial increase-in truck activity_on this reute_ingffi;fy—1967. Although there is no way'to‘quantify the tonnage. * ,~moving on Routes 137/912, it almost certainly equaledfiff?“;,_the tonnage moved on Route 15_and could have-been’more;TTj_Moreover, aerial reconnaissance reportsfshoWLconsideréud;5—able truck activity on Route 911 and on Route 9,~which1_¢;

”Tie estimates of supplies moved-include an az;aa+ fe,once of 20 percent for looses in'transit and lossesu fi_bto air operations.~

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Page 9: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

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~~-~ lead to the two new roads that now branch off from Route 9 to the border of South Vietnam in the direc­tion of Khe Sanh. Roadwatch teams consistently re­port a low level of truck traffic on Routes 92 and 96 south of Route 9, indicating that most trucks may have discharged their loads in the vicinity of Route 9. Furthermore, the increase in truck traffic in this area observed by aerial reconnaissance began after the first of November 1967.

Traffic to the DMZ Area

13. I I the movement of ammunition to Communist units believed to be located just north or south of the DMZ reached a high level in November and continued high in December and January.

I j it is estimated that at least 500 tons of ammunition we+e shipped to the area of the DMZ in November, about 420 tons in De­cember, and about 250 tons during 1-22 January. Data for earlier months show much lower volumes,

14. During November and December nearly two thirds of the identified tonnage shipped was artil­lery ammunition. Shipments of antiaircraft ammuni­tion ranked second. The small shipments of mortar ammunition cannot be explained, but there is a large volume of unidentified ammunition. The identified shipments are shown in the following tabulation:

Total ( rounded)

Artillery (152 and 122 mm., and 85 mm. antitank)

Antiaircraft (100, 85, 57, 37, and 12.7 mm.)

Mortar (82 mm.)

Rocket (140 mm.)

Recoilless rifle (122.4 and 82 mm.)

Explosives, mines, grenades, and unidentified

-7-

Short Tons 1967

November

500

320

41

3

7

3

120

December

420

240

83

0

0

3

94

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lead to the two néw roads that new branch off fromiy ..JU;'Route 9 to the border Of Scuth Vietnam in the direcation of Khe Sanh._ Roadwatch teams consistently_re+ .port a low level cf_truck traffic on_Routes 927and396;ffgt'f;isouth of Route 9, indicating_that most trucks may,have discharged their loads in the vicinity_oiouterii‘-9. Furthermore, the increase_in truck_traffioiin_-this area °bserV6d bY.aerial-reconnaissanceqbegan'13?;ufii; J‘"after the first of'Novemberj1967;'¢_~

Traffic to the DMZ Area'_: I I'd13. 1 _ _ ._

K: :Jthe movement of amNUnition to .Communist units believed to be located just north orf"'" _

south of the DMZ reached a high level in NoVember-'and continued high in December and.January;;i

least 500 tons of ammunition_were shipped'to_thef7area of the DMZ in Nevember, about 420-tons in Des =f ej9V¥ =camber, and about 250.tens_duringr1922=JanuarYa rData for earlier months show mush'lower.volume5,

shipments are shoWn_in the follOWing'tabulation:, _a

Short T¢hsi-.-»»—1967, F?

I .- I NOVembEr .' ._ _. _ {December} f _

Total (rounded) _ 'ffi . :f_ 500 _ “420o."IArtillery (152 and 122 mm., ' "' ""'

and 85 mm. antitank} : ,320; ' .,-;_240 ff"

Antiaircraft (100,-85, 57,37, and 12.7 mm.) _ ._- _ 41 - IHeiS3 5 tH5

M°rtar (82 mm-1 1 .I;__}_II;T: '31’.; ;=j7;;9Lgf;};;;;:4R°°ket (140 mm-) ‘_" a‘_ '- . 7‘- ; °1 ;;o,'.1”“Recoilless rifle.(122;4i'

and 82 mm.) ' .

Explosives, minesg-grenades,.'and unidentified: _ . 120 =I.j*T '_94:f ff;*f

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14. During NoVember and_December“nearlYLtwofeff*ffw,thirds of the identified tonnage shipped was artile,"]lery ammunition. ,Shipments-of:antiaircraftgammuniéW.¢<1 ___tion ranked second,--The-small shipments of mortar gqif "ammunition cannot_be explained, but there is_aglargejfp1volume of unidentified ammunition. .The identified _gJ

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Page 10: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

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· Logistic Requirements for Forces

15. Communist forces currently deployed in the Khe Sanh area would require on the order of 32 .to 37 tons of supplies per day under sustained heavy combat conditions.* Ammunition supplies would ac­count for 6 to 10 tons of the total daily resupply requirement. Actual consumption of ammunition would depend of course upon combat intensity. The require­ments given above are for two NVA divisions--the 325C and the 304th--comprising at least six infantry regiments with artillery support. These forces for the most part probably receive their supplies from those delivered by truck into Laos.

16. In addition to these forces, at least two infantry regiments of the North Vietnamese 320th Division have been deployed in an area in the north­central DMZ. The role of the 320th Division is prob­ably to harass and interdict allied reinforcements moving from the east toward Khe Sanh. In this role their logistic requirements would probably be rela­tively less than those of the forces in the immediate Khe Sanh area. On this basis, the requirements of the 320th Division are calculated at between 17 and 21 tons of supplies a day, with ammunition accounting for 3 to 6 tons of the total. These forces probably receive their supplies from across the DMZ.

17. Since the deployment of these divisions in the Khe Sanh and DMZ areas and the logistic build-up were parallel developments, Communist forces prob­ably began stockpiling of weapons, ammunition, and equipment possibly by mid-November or earlier. With due allowance for materials already consumed, the estimated flow of traffic has been sufficient to pro­vide a stockpile of from 60 to 90 days. On the basis of past experience it is. estimated that the Communists have a daily resupply capability to main­tain these stockpiles at that level.

*The infantry battalions are given a rate of aombat of 1 day in 10. The artillery regiment and the two AAA battalions are given a support role of 1 day in 3. These rates of combat are significantly higher than the 1 in JO day rate used by MACV as representative of the 196? campaigns.

-8-

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W"‘Logistic Requirements for Forces

15. Communist forces.currently deployed in thegifily t .Khe Sanh area would require on the_order of 325:9; ,;g;p;;,_.37 tons of supplies per day under sustained heavY ._5 =3combat conditions.* Ammunition supplies would ace-count for 6 to 10 tons of-the total daily resupply fi;f;1H59’requirement. Actual consumptiOn of ammunition would ,depend of course upon combat.intensity.i*The_requireeffl g f7ments given abOve are for two NVA divisionseethe j==-. _0325C and the 304th--comprising at least six infantry~+ 9'regiments with artillery support. _These forces e.j+f=;' 3-_the most part probably receive their_supplies-from. uj;;m..-those delivered by truck into Laos.

16. In addition_to,theSe forces, at least tWo_fp; ;;yf; __yinfantry regiments of the North Vietnamese 320thTe%gifWiff “Division have been deplbyed in_an.areafin the'north#=. -‘;“..central DMZ. The role of the 320th Division is.prob+ 25*-ably to harass and interdict allied reinforcementsjmoving from the east toward_Khe Sanh.- In_thisgr01etheir logistic requirements would probably be-relaey -'t”j?tively less than_those of the.forces in the_immediateirgj ;_.Khe Sanh area. On this basis.-the requirements of the} g]320th Division are calculated at between-l7 and 21- iVtons of supplies a day, with ammunition-accounting. [f . f;'for 3 to 6 tons of'the_total. These forceSVprobablya; ; 3,, -receive their supplies_from across the-DMZ..ey;f;; psggj__j;;

17. Since the deployment of these divisions in j[ff,ygthe Khe Sanh and_DMZ areas-and the logisticlbuildeup‘ 1* V”were parallel developments.'Communist forCes prob~_?;ably began stockpiling cf weapons, ammunition..and<=equipment possibly by.mideNovember or earlier.'*With_31'due allowance for materials already consumed, thez,*ownwivestimated flow of traffic has been suffiCient to pro+;x*”vide a stockpile 0f from 60 to 90 days. “on the; ,-_u=€basis of past experience it is estimated-that thenCommunists have a.daily.resupply-capability.to.mainag; g?5 ;}etain these stockpiles at that level.

*The infantry battalions are given a faté.bffio0mbatifi“r"of 1 day in 10. The artillery regiment_and-the'two hAAA battalions are given_a support role_of Igday;tnj,b;gq;3;; '3. These rates of combat are significantly.higherflthafiil_-.=~the 1 in 30 day rate used by MACV as_representati99 of affv4the 1967 campaigns.

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Page 11: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

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Page 12: Intelligence Memorandum, 7 Feb 68 › assets › documents › tet-documents › c… · capability for sustained offensive operations. The construction of two new roads from Laos

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