interagency whitebark pine health monitoring program for the greater yellowstone ecosystem...

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Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone Coordinating Committee (GYCC) Forest Health Protection USDI National Park Service Greater Yellowstone Inventory and Monitoring Network Yellowstone National Park Grand Teton National Park John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway USDI Geological Survey Interagency Grizzly Bear Study Team Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center Montana State University Department of Mathematical Sciences US Fish and Wildlife Service

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Page 1: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem

Cooperating Organizations:

USDA Forest Service

Greater Yellowstone Coordinating Committee (GYCC)

Forest Health Protection

USDI National Park ServiceGreater Yellowstone Inventory and Monitoring Network

Yellowstone National ParkGrand Teton National Park

John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway

USDI Geological SurveyInteragency Grizzly Bear Study Team

Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center

Montana State UniversityDepartment of Mathematical Sciences

US Fish and Wildlife Service

Cooperating Organizations:

USDA Forest Service

Greater Yellowstone Coordinating Committee (GYCC)

Forest Health Protection

USDI National Park ServiceGreater Yellowstone Inventory and Monitoring Network

Yellowstone National ParkGrand Teton National Park

John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway

USDI Geological SurveyInteragency Grizzly Bear Study Team

Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center

Montana State UniversityDepartment of Mathematical Sciences

US Fish and Wildlife Service

Page 2: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem

Acknowledgements and Credits:

USDI National Park Service

Dan ReinhartErin Shanahan

Rob DaleyRachel SimonsJohn Fothergill

USDI Geological Survey

Shannon PodruznyJonathan Ball

Acknowledgements and Credits:

USDI National Park Service

Dan ReinhartErin Shanahan

Rob DaleyRachel SimonsJohn Fothergill

USDI Geological Survey

Shannon PodruznyJonathan Ball

Page 3: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

• “Keystone” species of the subalpine zone

• Valuable food source for a variety of wildlife species (more than 17 species)

• Major predictor of grizzly bear annual survival and reproduction

• Alters microclimates in the harsh subalpine zone

•Whitebark Pine

•Why is whitebark pine a vital sign for the Greater Yellowstone Network

•Whitebark Pine

•Why is whitebark pine a vital sign for the Greater Yellowstone Network

Page 4: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

• To estimate the proportion of whitebark pine trees >1.4 m within the GYE infected with white pine blister rust and how it changes over time.

• To determine the relative severity of white pine blister rust infection in trees > 1.4 m in height.

• To estimate survival of individual whitebark pine trees > 1.4 m in height taking into account mountain pine beetle and blister rust infection.

Whitebark Pine Monitoring Metrics

Proportion of trees with blister rust

Relative severity of infection

Infection is indicated by a single canker or 3 canker indicators at the same spot

Severity is indicated by the number and location (truck or branch) blister rust cankers

Survival Indicated by lack of green needles

•Flagging•Flagging•Swelling•Swelling •Chewing•Chewing

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring Objectives

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring Objectives

Page 5: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

Peer Reviewed and approved by IMR I&M coordinator in 2007

Greater Yellowstone Whitebark Pine Monitoring Working Group. 2007 Interagency Whitebark Pine Monitoring Protocol for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, Version 1.0. Greater Yellowstone Coordinating Committee, Bozeman, MT.

•Whitebark Pine•Protocol Status

•Whitebark Pine•Protocol Status

Protocols are a key component of quality assurance helping to ensure that changes detected are actually occurring in nature and not simply a result of measurement differences

Protocols are a key component of quality assurance helping to ensure that changes detected are actually occurring in nature and not simply a result of measurement differences

Page 6: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Target population

•All whitebark pine in the GYE

• Sample frame

•Stratified inside & outside the Grizzly Bear PCA

• Sampling units

•Stands 2.5 hectares or larger

•Target population

•All whitebark pine in the GYE

• Sample frame

•Stratified inside & outside the Grizzly Bear PCA

• Sampling units

•Stands 2.5 hectares or larger

Probabilistic sample designProbabilistic sample design

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring background

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring background

Page 7: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•150 stands surveyed

• 176 permanent transects

• 4,774 trees tagged

• Over 4000 miles hiked

•150 stands surveyed

• 176 permanent transects

• 4,774 trees tagged

• Over 4000 miles hiked

Plot establishment 2004-2007Plot establishment 2004-2007

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring background

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring background

Page 8: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring background

•Whitebark Pine•Monitoring background

•Representative of the population

•Estimates of blister rust infection can be calculated annually

•Can accommodate a split panel design

•Representative of the population

•Estimates of blister rust infection can be calculated annually

•Can accommodate a split panel design

Panel DesignPanel Design

Page 9: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone
Page 10: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Table 1. Summary statistics for Greater Yellowstone

Ecosystem 2004-2006.

•Whitebark Pine•Status of blister rust in the GY E

•Whitebark Pine•Status of blister rust in the GY E

First time ecosystem wide resultsFirst time ecosystem wide results

Page 11: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Proportion of trees with blister rust is .20

•Ratio of trees with blister rust infection varies across ecosystem

•84% of the cankers are on branches

• High levels of mountain pine beetle

•Proportion of trees with blister rust is .20

•Ratio of trees with blister rust infection varies across ecosystem

•84% of the cankers are on branches

• High levels of mountain pine beetle

Ratio of trees with blister rust infection

•Whitebark Pine•Status of blister rust

•Whitebark Pine•Status of blister rust

Page 12: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Minor protocol amendment to include:• MPB indicators •Other agents contributing to mortality (fire, mechanical damage)

•Multi-agency training with Forest Health Protection entomologist held June 23

•In 2008 the USGS added 2-person crew to assist with transect monitoring

•Minor protocol amendment to include:• MPB indicators •Other agents contributing to mortality (fire, mechanical damage)

•Multi-agency training with Forest Health Protection entomologist held June 23

•In 2008 the USGS added 2-person crew to assist with transect monitoring

•Whitebark Pine•Status of Mountain pine beetle

•Whitebark Pine•Status of Mountain pine beetle

Objective: to estimate survival of whitebark pine trees > 1.4 m in height taking into account mountain pine beetle, etc.

Objective: to estimate survival of whitebark pine trees > 1.4 m in height taking into account mountain pine beetle, etc.

Page 13: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

Proposed analysis of 2008 data

What proportion of the whitebark pine sample is now dead or recently dead?

Of the dead, what proportion were burned or appeared killed by MPB or Blister rust?

Examine the tree characteristics (e.g. DBH) of the dead trees

Proposed analysis of 2008 data

What proportion of the whitebark pine sample is now dead or recently dead?

Of the dead, what proportion were burned or appeared killed by MPB or Blister rust?

Examine the tree characteristics (e.g. DBH) of the dead trees

•Whitebark Pine•Mountain pine beetle

•Whitebark Pine•Mountain pine beetle

Page 14: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Observer Variability•Observer Variability

•Data analysis (Huang 2006) show that :

•detection of blister rust cankers is different among observers

•A tendency toward increasing agreement over time.

•This indicates that training and experience may play a key role in obtaining consistent results.

•Whitebark Pine•Residual Issues

•Whitebark Pine•Residual Issues

Page 15: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Whitebark Pine•Next steps

•Whitebark Pine•Next steps

1. Inclusion of a “recruitment” objective

Estimate the number of juvenile WbP trees that become cone producing trees

• Student driven research component using existing data set

• Design field & data analysis methods

• May need to modify sample frame to include recently burned stands (20 years or less)

1. Inclusion of a “recruitment” objective

Estimate the number of juvenile WbP trees that become cone producing trees

• Student driven research component using existing data set

• Design field & data analysis methods

• May need to modify sample frame to include recently burned stands (20 years or less)

Page 16: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

•Whitebark Pine•Next steps

•Whitebark Pine•Next steps

1. IGBST applied for funding through the USGS Status & Trend program

Integrated analysis, modeling, and synthesis of the impacts of blister rust and mountain pine beetle mortality to whitebark pine in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem

2. Analysis of 2008 data • Report to be published with IGBST

annual report

3. In 2009, continue with higher frequency panel revisits to document mortality from Mountain Pine Beetle

1. IGBST applied for funding through the USGS Status & Trend program

Integrated analysis, modeling, and synthesis of the impacts of blister rust and mountain pine beetle mortality to whitebark pine in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem

2. Analysis of 2008 data • Report to be published with IGBST

annual report

3. In 2009, continue with higher frequency panel revisits to document mortality from Mountain Pine Beetle

Page 17: Interagency Whitebark Pine Health Monitoring Program for the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Cooperating Organizations: USDA Forest Service Greater Yellowstone

Greater Yellowstone Network

•Greater Yellowstone Science Learning Center (GYSLC):

•http://www.greateryellowstonescience.org/

•Whitebark Pine topic page from GYSLC:

•http://www.greateryellowstonescience.org/topics/biological/vegetation/whitebarkpine

•Annual reports from the Interagency Whitebark Pine Monitoring Program• http://www.greateryellowstonescience.org/topics/biological/vegetation/whitebarkpine/projects/healthmonitoring

•https://science1.nature.nps.gov/naturebib/biodiversity/2008-9-9/ID660051_GYE_WBP_2007_Annual_Report.pdf

•Main Greater Yellowstone Network:

•http://www.nature.nps.gov/im/units/gryn/