interim 2016 results presentation - rich 2016 results...interim 2016 results presentation presented...
TRANSCRIPT
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INTERIM 2016
RESULTS PRESENTATION Presented by Eng. Albert Mugo
Managing Director & CEO
29th February 2016
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KenGen's Market Share (MW) KenGen Installed Capacity
Energy Type
Installed
Capacity
(MW)
Hydro………………………… 820
Geothermal…………………. 514
Diesel &Gas………………… 258
Wind………………………….. 26
Total 1,618
KENGEN’S MARKET LEADERSHIP
KenGen1,618 MW
70%
IPP
KenGen is a market leader with an approximate 70% market share in Kenya
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STRATEGIC FOCUS AREAS
Good-To-Great (G2G)Remain committed to delivering our target of
844MW
Geothermal
Development
Sustaining current growth by stepping up
investments in geothermal generation
Funding
Secured required funding from development
partners for the next cycle of power projects
Rights issue on course, targeting June 2016
Revenue
Diversification
Continue to see high growth impact from
diversification into other revenue streams including
steam sales, and commercial drilling
Deliver capacity on
time and on budget
Geothermal and wind developments are at an
advanced stage
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2
1
4
AREA STATUS
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4
Note: Olkaria I Rehabilitation will add 6MW capacity to the existing 45MW capacity
2016 – 2020 720MW to be added
Estimated
Cost ($m)
GROWTH STRATEGY Planned Capacity Additions in the Medium Term
$57 $223 $439 $106 $ 439 $439 $ 130 $0 $1,833 $147 $25 $2,005
MW
2,339
25 70 1405.7 140
140 60 50 631 80 10
1,618
Medium Term Dominated with
Geothermal Development
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FINANCIAL & OPERATING PERFORMANCE
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Category
(Shillings, million)
1H
2015 (1)
1H
2016 (1)
%
Change
Revenue 12,183 18,52352%
EBITDA 8,069 14,23676%
EBIT 4,995 9,71795%
Profit Before tax 3,790 8,384121%
Profit After tax 4,928 5,66815%
Total Comprehensive Income 4,932 5,65315%
EPS 2.24 2.5815%
DELIVERED ON STRONG
FINANCIAL RESULTS
Strong financial performance, with a 76 % increase in EBITDA, compared to the previous period a year ago
(1) Revenue includes KShs 289m interest income in 1H 2016 and KShs 172m in 1H 2015
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Strong and increasing Revenue
CONTINUED REVENUE GROWTH
Shillings, million for the 6 months ended 31 December
12,183
18,523
1H 2015 IH 2016
+52%
REVENUE
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EBITDA EBIT
Profit Before Tax Profit After Tax
Strong and increasing profitability down the Income Statement
INCREASING PROFITABILITY
Shillings, million for the 6 months ended 31 December
8,069
14,236
1H 2015 1H 2016
4,995
9,717
1H 2015 1H 2016
3,790
8,384
1H 2015 1H 2016
4,928
5,668
1H 2015 1H 2016
+76%+95%
+121% +15%
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STRONG REVENUE GROWTH,
INCREASINGLY DIVERSIFIED
11,659
14,757
352
3,477
172
289
12,183
18,523
1H 2015 1H 2016
Electricity Revenue Other income
Interest Income
+52%
Growth
Shillings, million
1,941
538
617
191
296
161
85
352
3,477
1H 2015 1H 2016
+888%
Growth
Steam resource
maintenance services
Steam sales incomeDrilling services
Insurance compensation
Other Income
Total Revenue
Shillings, million
Other Sources of Revenue up 888%
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Capacity Revenue Growth Energy Revenue Growth
NEW GEOTHERMAL CAPACITY
DRIVING ELECTRICITY REVENUE
Shillings, million
3,764 3,840
2,971
5,036
1,566
1,5808,301
10,456
1H 2015 1H 2016
Hydro Geothermal Thermal
828 750
1,7362,631
327
27257
2392,948
3,892
Hydro Geothermal Thermal Wind
+32%
Growth
+26%
Growth
Increase is a result of realizing the
full impact of Olkaria 280MW
Increase is a result of (i) full impact of
Olkaria 280MW (ii) additional wellhead units
(iii) Ngong Wind (iv) favourable hydrology
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ELECTRICITY REVENUE SHOWING
CONTINUED GROWTH
Note: the annualised 2016 figure for electivity revenue is the half year value, doubled
Note: the annualised 2016 figure for Revenue / MW assumes a constant capacity of 1,618MW
Electricity Revenue Over Time
11,548 12,652 10,998 14,389 15,999 16,451 17,424
25,602
14,757
11.49 12.43
10.41
12.54 12.00
13.28 12.97
15.83
9.12
18.24
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1H 2016(and FY 2016)
Electricity Revenue (Shillings, million)
Revenue/MW (shillings million / MW pa)Dotted lines represent
annualised figures
29,514
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ELECTRICITY REVENUE
DRIVEN BY GEOTHERMAL
Full Geothermal impact of 280MW at Olkaria is now being realised
Note: FX adjustment of KES409m not included. Based on 1,618Mw of installed capacity
Electricity Revenue for 6 Months Ended December 2015
239
1,852
4,590
7,667
9.19
7.18
5.60
14.92
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Wind Thermal Hydro Geothermal
Electricity Revenue (Shillings, million)
Revenue/MW (shillings million / MW pa)
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1,693 1,844
1,352
1,820
330
2203,383
3,914
1H 2015 1H 2016
Hydro Geothermal Thermal Wind
RENEWABLES DRIVING STRONG
ELECTRICITY SALES GROWTH
8
30
+16% Total
Growth
Geothermal
Generation grew from
40% to 47% of our
portfolio, with a 35%
growth in units sales
Wind unit sales grew
275%
Hydro unit sales
grew by 9% due to
favourable hydrology
Reduced expensive
thermal generation
Electricity Units Sales (GWh)
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INCOME STATEMENT BREAKDOWN
(1H 2016)
Shillings, million
Energy
Revenue
Capacity
Revenue10,456
14,236
9,7178,384
5,668
3,892
2,479
998
3,998
4,519289
1,622
2,716
409
14,757Net Forex
Adjustment
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CASH GENERATION BREAKDOWN
(1H 2016)
New Loans: Shs 4.5 billion
Loan repayments: Shs 3.8 billion
Shillings, million
3,2922,564
10,836
674
12,238
Balance(1 July 2015)
Net Cash fromOperating Activities
Net Cash fromFinancing Activities
Net Cash used inInvesting Activities
Balance(31 December 2015)
Capex:
Shs 12,233
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FINANCIAL POSITION
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Debt Mix as of December 2015
Weighted
Average
Maturity
15.40
years
Weighted
Average
Cost of Debt
4.09%
JPY – Kshs 34.6 bn
Euro – Kshs 32.5 bn
USD – Kshs 63.6 bn
Kshs – Kshs 19.3 bn
KenGen is able to source attractive debt financing packages
87.1%
12.9%
FINANCIAL POSITION
Looking at our Debt
Shillings, million
42,799(28.5%)
69,510 (46.3%)
37,731(25.2%)
Governmentof KenyaGuaranteedloans
Governmentof KenyaOn-lentloans
Direct loans
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FINANCIAL POSITION BREAKDOWN
(1H 2016)
Shillings, million
312,912
355,009
10,536
145,819
355,009
20,20721,891
57,662
77,621
122,418
20,152
45,342
9,874
11,405
209,191
Awaiting conversion in the
upcoming Rights Issue
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CONCLUSION
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WHY KENGEN?
Delivering
on
Mega
Capacity
Emerging
World
Geothermal
Leader
Large
Asset
Base
Serves as
a Solid
Growth
Platform
Strong
Growth &
Profitability
Consistent
&
Stable
Dividends
Market
Leader
1 32 4 5 6
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QUESTIONS ?