interim results 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 2009. AGENDA. Overview & Operating Environment Performance Long Haul Airline Short Haul Airline Domestic Tasman & Pacific Islands Other businesses Strategy Financial Management Outlook. OVERVIEW. Normalised earnings* $26m Operating revenue up 3.7% - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

INTERIM RESULTS 2009

Page 2: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20092

AGENDA

• Overview & Operating Environment

• Performance

– Long Haul Airline

– Short Haul Airline• Domestic

• Tasman & Pacific Islands

– Other businesses

• Strategy

• Financial Management

• Outlook

Page 3: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20093

OVERVIEW

• Normalised earnings* $26m

• Operating revenue up 3.7%

• Capacity reduced by 3.6%

• Net cash position of $1.4bn

• Domestic airport check in upgrade

* Normalised Earnings before taxation after excluding net gains and losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods

Page 4: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20094

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

• Average jet fuel spot price was 36% higher

• Weakening passenger demand across all markets

• Increased competition on the Tasman

• NZ dollar weakening

Page 5: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20095

KEY INFLUENCES ON PROFITABILITY

• Average hedged WTI fuel cost for the 6 months to December 2008 was US$100 per barrel.

$NZD (m)

26216135

(24)(48)

(199)

(27)

1674

(78)

159

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

NormalisedEarnings

Interim 2008

Traffic Yield Freight,Contract

Services &Other

Revenue

Labour Fuel Maintenance FinanceCosts

FX Gain onAcquisition

Other NormalisedEarnings

Interim 2009

14

(12)

Hedge TimingAdjustment

Reported NPBTInterim 2009

Page 6: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20096

GROUP OPERATING PERFORMANCE

Ch

an

ge

in

Yie

ld

Lo

ad

Fa

cto

r M

ov

em

en

t

Group Year-on-Year Load Factor & Year to Date Yield Movements

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

-4 ppt

-2 ppt

0 ppt

2 ppt

4 ppt

6 ppt

8 ppt

10 ppt

Load Factor ppt Movement

FX Adjusted Yield Change

Yield Change

Page 7: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20097

LONG HAUL PERFORMANCE

• Passenger numbers down 5.5%

• Capacity reduced by 5.7%

• Yields up 12.3%

• Load factor improved 1.3 percentage points

• Aggressive capacity management

Page 8: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20098

LONG HAUL CAPACITY MANAGEMENT

Ch

an

ge

in

Ca

pa

cit

y

Lo

ad

Fa

cto

r M

ov

em

en

t

Long Haul Y.O.Y Capacity Change & Load Factor Y.O.Y Percentage Point Movement

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

-20 ppt

-15 ppt

-10 ppt

-5 ppt

0 ppt

5 ppt

Load Factor ppt Movement

ASK Change

Projected ASK Change

Page 9: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 20099

DOMESTIC PERFORMANCE

• Passenger numbers down 2.9%

• Capacity decreased by 1.9%

• Yield increased by 0.3%

• Load factor decreased by 0.3 percentage points

• New commercial accounts won

• Domestic airport improvements well received

Page 10: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200910

TASMAN & PACIFIC ISLAND PERFORMANCE

• Passenger numbers decreased by 7.3%

• Capacity was held constant - 0.1% increase

• Yield increased by 6.4%

• Load factor down 5.3 percentage points

• Underlying market softening and increased competition

• In-flight entertainment upgrade programme complete

Page 11: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200911

OTHER BUSINESSES

• CARGO

– Volumes down 13%

– Yield increase and FX benefit

– Freighter to be withdrawn 31 March 2009

• TECH OPS

– Increased third party work

– Acquisition of Tenix and Masling

– Falling NZD has increased competitiveness

• OTHER

– Acquisition of VCubed

Page 12: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200912

COST FOCUS

• Reduced capacity in response to demand softness

• Labour initiatives

– Voluntary and compulsory redundancies

– Reduced working week and unpaid leave

– Reduction through attrition

• Reduced discretionary spend

• Reduced regional charter capacity

Page 13: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200913

STRATEGY

PRIORITIES

• Closely matching supply to demand remains a top priority

• Being the leader in chosen markets

• New generation interior design for 777-300ERs and 787-9s

• Growing non-airline revenue sources

• Being an industry leader on environmental initiatives

Page 14: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200914

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT

• $1.4bn cash on balance sheet excluding $190m restricted cash

• Gearing 52.7%, from 45.5% as at June 2008

• Limited debt repayments and no covenants or refinancing risk

• Interim dividend is 3.0 cents per share

Page 15: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200915

FLEET MANAGEMENT

• 2 x Boeing 747-400s sold and leased back

• Next jet aircraft not due until November 2010

• Additional Boeing 777-300ER confirmed for 2012

• New delivery date and terms for Boeing 787-9 agreed

• Average operating fleet age of 7 years

Page 16: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200916

CAPEX PROJECTION

1. Assumes NZD/USD = 0.53

2. 787-9 progress payments have shifted in line with announced delays

NZ

$ (m

)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12

Including Option Aircraft

Excluding Option Aircraft

Page 17: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200917

FUEL HEDGING*

• The second half of FY09 is approx. 72% hedged with the average

effective floor** at US$85.10 per barrel of WTI crude oil

• At current prices, average Singapore Jet fuel price would be

US$88 per barrel for the second half of FY09 compared with

US$123 in the first half

• The first half of FY10 is approx. 20% hedged with the average

ceiling of US$68.47 and average floor of US$45.20 per barrel of

WTI crude oil

* Fuel hedge position as at 22 January 2009

** The effective floor includes benefits from WTI bought put spreads

Page 18: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200918

CURRENCY HEDGING

• Operating cash flow exposure for the second half of 2009

is 99% hedged at an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.765

• The 2010 operating cash flow exposure is 71% hedged at

an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.703

• US$370m of future capex commitments are hedged at

NZ$/US$ rate of 0.720 spot

Page 19: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200919

OUTLOOK

• Competitive strength in core markets

• Greater benefit from lower fuel prices in second half of FY09

• Strong currency hedging position

• Global economic environment concerning

If current conditions and jet fuel prices continue, Air New Zealand expects to see financial performance significantly

improve in the second half of the financial year.

Page 20: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200920

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW

* Normalised Earnings before taxation after excluding net gains and losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods

INTERIM

2009INTERIM

2008Dollar movement

Percentage movement

Operating revenue $2,419m $2,332m $87m 4%

Normalised Earnings* $26m $159m $(133)m (84)%

Net profit after tax $24m $115m $(91)m (79)%

Adjusted operating cash flow $113m $320m $(207)m (65)%

Net cash $1,417m $1,222m $195m 16%

Gearing 52.7% 48.6% (4.1) pts

Interim dividend 3.0cps 5.0cps 2.0cps (40)%

Page 21: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200921INTERIM RESULTS 2009SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION

Page 22: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200922

INTERIM 2009 INTERIM 2008

Earnings before Taxation $14m $172m

Reverse net (gains) / losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods:

Fuel derivatives $101m $(14)m

Foreign exchange derivatives $(88)m $(2)m

Interest rate derivatives $(1)m $3m

Normalised Earnings before Taxation $26m $159m

HEDGES RELATING TO OTHER FINANCIAL PERIODS

Page 23: INTERIM RESULTS 2009

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INTERIM RESULTS 200923

NEW AIRCRAFT ARRIVALS

* Launch customer

** New delivery dates and terms agreed with Boeing for the 787-9s delivery

Aircraft Type FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

Boeing 777-300ER - - 3 2 - -

Boeing 787-9* - - - - 3** 2

Bombardier Q300 2 - - - - -

Beech 1900D 1 - - - - -