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Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003

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Page 1: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Internal Security Scene

VR RAGHAVAN2003

Page 2: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less

able to cope with terrorism? Changed notions of security. Security for whom? What is

being secured?

Page 3: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Components of Security. Military: State remains supreme.

Territorial defence. Legitimate user of coercive instruments.

Economy : The major source of power. “ The way we make wealth is also the way we make war.” -Toffler, War and Anti War.

Page 4: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Components of Security… Environmental : Energy,

Water, Forest cover. Migrations.

Societal : Identity and assimilation.

Political : State & Citizen relationship.

Page 5: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

New Security Perspectives Each region views security

differently. Security notions and priorities

are different in states and regions.

Comprehensive Security concept. Non Traditional Threats to

Security.

Page 6: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

IS & LICO Conceptual confusion. IS : Law & Order. Constabulary

role of military. Police & Para Military expansion.

Insurgency: Conflict thresholds. LICO: Vietnam. Limited War: Korea.

Page 7: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Indian Perspectives. All terms are used

interchangeably. Army used first and Armed

Forces Special Forces Act brought in later.

Command and Control challenges. Unified Commands. J&K and

Assam experience.

Page 8: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Indian Experience. Living with the problem. Preference for ‘capping’

violence rather than finding political solutions.

Ceilings on military – None on para military.

No improvement in on IS.

Page 9: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Police & PMF. Operational culture : Guards,

Check posts, Protection, Defensive Outlook.

Manpower oriented and not as Force – in - Being. Not pro-active.

CRPF : Strike Force? No central control.

Page 10: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

PMF BSF : multi role limitations.

Neither quite military nor police.

Others: ITBP, CISF, etc. Limited coercive value.

State Police & Armed Constabulary: Of little use.

Page 11: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Why IS failures? Mr. Vajpayee: August 5, 2000.

First ever conference of Chief Ministers on IS:-

Inadequate police forces, insensitive civic administration, and dilatory criminal justice system are the weaknesses.

Page 12: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

SYNERGY Mr. Padmanabhiah: GOI

does not have ‘corporate thinking’ in managing strategies with different departments & agencies working at cross purposes.

Page 13: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Why IS failures? PM :“ Need to manage the borders

in a far better manner… Need to effectively using the BSF for border management.”

Raise allocations from 2 billion to 10 Billion Rs.

“ Strengthen police in states so that personnel have greater courage.”

Page 14: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Comments …. Dy PM Mr. LK Advani : “ IS has

acquired serious proportions in view of Pakistan’s proxy war.”

Cross Border terrorism. Government funds into militant

hands. Corruption. J&K should adopt the NE

model !

Page 15: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Definition Dilemmas. Insurgent , Terrorist , Militant,

ANE, Mujahidin. Laws : TADA –POTA. Politics – Crime linkages. Where

does one end the other start? Politicisation of crime vs

criminalisation of politics.

Page 16: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Nature of threat. Techno terrorist. International networks. Narcotics and Small Arms links. International finance, banking

and weapons market. Failing states’ ruling

hierarchies involved. Crime mafia, even in India.

Page 17: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Cooperative Systems. Militant organisations

cooperate on training, leadership, and information.

Abu Sayyaf in Philippines to Al Qaeda to Russian mafia and Colombian drug lords.

Ease of weapons procurement and transportation.

Page 18: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

States must Collaborate. UK – Eire on Northern Ireland

with USA. Israel – Palestinians with USA. Indonesia with ASEAN and UN

on its problems. Myanmar – Thailand.

Page 19: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Impact on India. Afghanistan and Indian IS. Economic dimensions: Oil

Prices. Religions getting involved and

communal consequences. Political implications in India. Relations with Bangladesh,

Bhutan, Nepal and Sri Lanka.

Page 20: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Army’s Challenge

Guerillas do not lose wars; armies often do.

Page 21: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Army’s Challenge…. Diffused and uncertain political

guidance. Need to independently define pol-mil objectives.

Unify operational thought instead of unifying command arrangements.

There is no political hurry, hence use military instrument carefully.

Page 22: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Challenge ………… Actionable intelligence. It

won’t come but can be created from within army.

Intelligence data base. North East has problems. Can Army create it?

Networking by commanders and staff.

Page 23: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Challenges……………. Civil – Military Relations : Build

it, nurture it amongst officials. Speaking the language of

political economy and political costs.

‘Rent collection’ for military operations.

Page 24: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Operational Philosophy. Retain full operational

control at all levels. Let not civil administration

or political executive decide the operational response.

Page 25: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Operational Philo…. Demand political objectives to

be periodically defined. Put it into written form.

Demand that state plays a role in administrative support and facilities.

Page 26: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Operational Philo…. Understand the political

dimensions of IS. Insurgent today is tomorrow’s legitimate political leader.

Keep in touch with third and fourth rungs of cadres and leaders.

Inter –Agency cooperation.

Page 27: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Military Networking. Understand the Delhi

Perspective. This is often quite different from the state outlook. The army has often paid a price for this failure.

Work the MLAs and MPs of your area.

Page 28: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

The Use of Force. Know that like money ‘Force is

Fungible.’ Fungible = that which can serve or be replaced by another set of goods. Force is not therefore the only answer or means. Threat of force or denial of what the adversary seeks is often equally good as an instrument.

Page 29: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Military Opportunity in IS. The military holds things together. It has the best organisational

cohesion in the state. Military’s strength is as much in

giving confidence to the political executive in a crisis as in employing force. Use both effectively.

Page 30: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Military’s Opportunity. Remember: In India, IS/CI/LICO is

always a long haul. Therefore understand the time

and resource relationship. CMs may come and go, the military will remain. Take the long view.

Safeguard organisational assets.

Page 31: Internal Security Scene VR RAGHAVAN 2003. Security Spectrum – 9/11 Terrorism the new RMA. Are democracies better or less able to cope with terrorism?

Thank you.