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  • 8/9/2019 internal versus external control of reinforcement.pdf

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    9 8 9 A P A A w a r d A d d r es s e s

    Internal V ersus E xterna l ontrol o f R einforcem ent

    Case H i s t o r y o f a Va r i abl e

    Julian B. Rotter

    University o f Connecticut

    II IIIIIII Iii II II

    AB ST RA C T: In this ar ticle the construc t o f general ized

    expectancies fo r in ternal versus exter nal control of rein-

    forc e me nt i s use d as a m ode l t o pre se n t a br i e f on t he

    importance o f broad theory a nd training in theory con-

    struction an d evaluation in psychology. Specif ically the

    extraordinary heuristic value of this construct is attrib uted

    to fo ur characterist ics: the nature o f the definition the

    careful im bed ding o f the construct in a theoretical context

    the use o f a b road behavior theory in construct ion o f a

    measu re of indiv idual dif ferences and the progra mm at ic

    nature o f the or iginal research a s wel l as the orm at o f the

    early publications. Reeva luation o f the characterist ic cri-

    ter ia for p ubl icat ion o f research s tudies a nd for the eval-

    ua t ion o f promo t ion or advancemen t fo r psychologists in-

    volved in research activities is also discussed.

    Internal versus external control of reinforcement, often

    referred to as locus of control, is currently one of t h e

    most studied variables in psychology and the other social

    sciences. Frequent studies have been done in fields as

    diverse as political science and public health, and a test

    of individual differences in locus of control has been

    translated into many different languages. Current research

    continues at approximately the same high rate as it did

    20 years ago. Perhaps even more surprising has been the

    relative success of a test o f individual differences in pre-

    dicting behavior for many different populations in a way

    that made good sense, rather than providing after-the-

    fact explanations that strained credulity.

    Briefly, internal versus external control refers to the

    degree to which persons expect that a reinforcement or

    an outcome o f their behavior is contingent on their own

    behavior or personal characteristics versus the degree to

    which persons expect that the reinforcement or outcome

    is a function of chance, luck, or fate, is under the control

    of powerful others, or is simply unpredictable. Such ex-

    pectancies may generalize along a gradient based on the

    degree of semantic similarity of the situational cues (Rot-

    ter, 1966).

    Numerous reviews of internal-external control re-

    search and applications (Lefcourt, 1976, 1981; Phares,

    1976) have been published, and last year Bonnie Strick-

    land's (1989) APA presidential address brought much of

    this literature up to date. I do not intend another review.

    But the enormous and somewhat surprising popularity

    of this variable is, in itself, interesting, and I will try in

    this article to speculate on the reasons for the widespread

    interest in locus of control.

    Naturally, I rejected luck as an explanation, but at

    first, I thought (Rotter, 1982b) that the social upheaval

    of the times might be responsible. The ~g~etnam War,

    Watergate, the inner-city riots, and political assassinations

    were disturbing in themselves, but were also concerning

    many people--including social scientists---because of the

    perceived lack o f control over their own lives. Such factors

    probably played some role in the interest in locus of con-

    trol, as did the interest in the F Scale, a measure of implicit

    antidemocratic or potentially fascist attitude (Adorno,

    Frenkel-Brunswick, Levinson, Sanford, 1950), follow-

    ing World War II. However, on further reflection I felt

    that there have frequently been such periods of social

    upheaval in the past and that the explanation for the many

    research studies published was probably due more to sci-

    entifically technical reasons.

    In the remainder of this article, I will discuss four

    propositions that may account for the heuristic value of

    interna l-external control, propositions that I believe are

    particularly relevant to the field of personality theory and

    personality measurement, but also to the study of psy-

    chology as a whole.

    The Importance of Precise Definition

    The first proposition I would suggest is that the heuristic

    value of a construct is partially dependent on the precision

    of its definition. One might wonder why so many social

    scientists in the last 30 years have been involved in study-

    ing a concept that could not be regarded as anything new.

    Surely in prerecorded history humans were concerned

    with ideas of causality, and early recorded history is re-

    plete with stories and myths describing events controlled

    by capricious gods and fate, as well as the results of one's

    own behavior. When social scientists emerged, they also

    dealt with interpretations o f causality, beliefs in luck, fate,

    notions of alienation (Seeman, 1959), and celestial inter-

    vention. An interest in the perception of causality has

    been present for a long time. What was needed was a

    April 1990 American Psychologist

    Copyright 1990 by the Am erican Psychologica l Associa tion, Inc . 0003-066X/90/ 00.75

    Vol. 45, No. 4, 489--493

    489

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    c o n c e p t t h a t w a s c l ea r e n o u g h t o l e a d t o a c c e p t a b l e m e a -

    s u r e m e n t .

    A g o o d d e f i n i t i o n , e sp e c i a l l y o f a c o g n i t i v e o r su b -

    j e c t i v e v a r i a b l e , m u s t b e s t a t e d i n l a n g u a g e t h a t i s c a r e f u l

    a n d p r e c i s e a n d l e ad s t o a c o m m o n u n d e r s t a n d i n g . I t

    n e e d s t o b e i l l u s t r a t e d w i t h m a n y b e h a v i o r a l e x a m p l e s

    o f it s c o n se q u e n c e s i f i t s p r e se n c e o r a b se n c e i s n o t d i r e c t l y

    o b se r v a b l e . I t sh o u l d b e s t a t e d i n su c h a w a y t h a t t h e

    o p e r a t i o n s f o r i ts m e a s u r e m e n t a r e n o t o n l y c le a r b u t a r e

    w i d e l y a c c e p t e d a s lo g i ca l a n d r e a s o n a b le . T e r m s s u c h a s

    self-actualization, coping, intrinsic

    v e r su s

    ex tr ins ic too-

    tivation, unconditional love , a n d cogni t ive psycholog y c r e -

    a t e i n t e r e s t a n d e n t h u s i a sm , b u t e a c h s c i e n t i s t r e a d s h i s

    o r h e r o w n m e a n i n g i n t o t h e c o n c e p t , a n d o p e r a t i o n s fo r

    m e a s u r e m e n t e i t h e r d o n o t e x i s t o r v a r y s o m u c h t h a t

    t h e r e s u l t in g r e s e a r c h p r o d u c e s a s e r ie s o f c o n t r a d i c t o r y

    o r n o n r e p l i c a b l e s t u d ie s . I n 1 9 4 5 , H e r b e r t F e i g l p r o v i d e d

    a s e t o f c r i t e r i a ( p . 2 5 8 ) f o r a g o o d o p e r a t i o n a l d e f i n i t i o n

    t h a t w o u l d s t i ll p r o v i d e d i v i d e n d s t o p sy c h o l o g y , i f e v e r y

    g r a d u a t e s t u d e n t i n p s y c h o l o g y w o u l d l e a r n a n d u n d e r -

    s t a n d t h e m .

    E v e n w i t h p r e c i s e d e f i n i t i o n s , i t i s u su a l l y n e c e s sa r y

    t o d i s t i n g u i s h b e t w e e n t h e c o n s t r u c t b e i n g d e f i n e d a n d

    o t h e r c o n s t r u c t s u s e d i n t h e p a s t o r p r e s e n t w i t h w h i c h

    i t c a n b e c o n f u se d , a s w e l l a s m a k i n g c l e a r t h e c o n n e c t i o n s

    t o o t h e r c o n s t r u c t s s o t h a t p r e v i o u s l y c o ll e c t e d d a t a c a n

    b e i n t e r p r e t e d a n d b u i l t o n .

    T h e I m p o r t a n c e o f I m b e d d i n g a C o n s t r u c t

    i n a B r o a d e r T h e o r y

    T h e s e c o n d p r o p o s i t i o n i s t h a t t h e h e u r i s ti c v a l u e o f a

    c o n s t r u c t i s c o n s i d e r a b l y e n h a n c e d i f i t i s i m b e d d e d i n a

    b r o a d e r t h e o r y o f b e h a v i o r. A l t h o u g h t h e m a j o r i t y o f

    s t u d ie s o f l o c u s o f c o n t r o l h a v e d e a l t w i t h a p p l i e d p r o b -

    l e m s , i t i s i m p o r t a n t t o r e c o g n i z e t h a t t h e c o n c e p t o r i g -

    i n a t e d b o t h f r o m t h e o r e t ic a l a n d c l in i c a l c o n c e r n s , w i t h

    s o c i a l l e a r n i n g t h e o r y o r g a n i z i n g o u r t h i n k i n g i n b o t h

    cases.

    M o r e sp e c if i ca l ly , i n s e v e r a l o f o u r s t u d i e s i n v o l v i n g

    i n c r e m e n t s a n d d e c r e m e n t s o f e x p e c t a n ci e s f o ll o w in g b o t h

    n e g a ti v e a n d p o s i t iv e o u t c o m e s , a l a rg e n u m b e r o f o u r

    su b j e c t s w e r e n o t r a i s i n g t h e i r e x p e c t a n c i e s a f t e r su c c e s s

    o r l o w e r i n g t h e m a f t e r f a i l u r e , a n d w e b e g a n t o s e e a

    p a t t e r n o f d i f fe r e n c e i n s i t u a ti o n s i n w h i c h t h e s u b j e c t

    b e l ie v e d t h a t s u c c e s s w as d e p e n d e n t o n o n e ' s o w n s k i ll

    v e r su s t h o se s i t u a t i o n s i n w h i c h i t w a s c l e a r t h a t t h e e x -

    p e r i m e n t e r w a s m a n i p u l a t i n g s u c c es s a n d f a i lu r e in d e -

    Editor s note.

    Th is article was originallypres ented as a Distinguished

    Scientific Contributions award address at the meetingof the Am erican

    PsychologicalAssociation n A tlanta in August 1988.

    Award-based man uscripts appearing n the America n Psychologist

    are scholarlyarticlesbased in part on earlieraward addressespresented

    at the APA convention. n keeping with the po licy of recognizing hese

    distinguished contributo rs o the field, hesesubmissionsare givenspecial

    consideration in the editorial selectionprocess.

    Author s note.

    Correspondenceconcerning his article should be

    addressed to Julian B . R otter, Departm ent of Psychology,U-20, Uni-

    versity of Connecticut, Storrs, CT 06269-1020.

    p e n d e n t l y o f th e s u b j e c t 's b e h a v i o r. M y i d e a s a b o u t t h e s e

    f i n d i n g s c r y s t a l i z e d i n d i s c u s s i n g a p sy c h o t h e r a p y c l i e n t

    w i t h J e r r y P h a r e s w h o I w a s s u p e r v is i n g . A s s u p e r v is o r ,

    I w a s tr y i n g t o u n d e r s t a n d a n d i n t e r p r e t t h e c l i e n t' s b e-

    h a v i o r f r o m a so c i a l l e a r n i n g p o i n t o f v ie w . T h i s c l i e n t ,

    w h o m w e h a d p e r s u a d e d t o t r y o u t s o m e n e w b e h a v io r s

    t h a t m e t w i t h s u c c e s s , p e r s i s t e n t l y e x p l a i n e d a w a y t h e

    s u c c es s e s a s a m a t t e r o f lu c k a n d n o t l i k e ly t o h a p p e n

    a g a in . H e a p p e a r e d , i n m o s t s i t u a ti o n s , t o f e el t h a t w h a t

    h a p p e n e d t o h i m w a s e n t i r e ly b e y o n d h i s c o n t ro l . T h i s

    l e d to o u r h y p o t h e s i s t h a t n o t o n l y d i d l e a rn i n g t a k e p l a c e

    d i f f e r e n t l y i n c h a n c e v e r su s sk i ll s it u a t i o n s , b u t i t t o o k

    p l a c e d i f f e r e n t ly a m o n g i n d i v i d u a l s i n s i t u a t i o n s t h a t

    m i g h t b e c o n s i d e r e d a m b i g u o u s o r n o v e l o r t h a t h a d e l e -

    m e n t s o f b o t h c h a n c e a n d s k il l.

    A l t h o u g h t h e i m p l i c a t io n s f o r h u m a n l e a rn i n g t h e o r y

    w e r e o f p r i m e i m p o r t a n c e i n t h e d e v e l o p m e n t o f th i s c o n -

    s t r u c t, i t w a s a m e a s u r e o f re la t ive ly s t ab le , c ross- s i tua -

    t i o n a l, i n d i v i d u a l d i f f e r e n c es t h a t c a p t u r e d t h e i n t e r e s t o f

    m a n y a n d a c c o u n t e d f o r a t l e as t 9 0 o f t h e p u b l i c a t i o n s

    t h a t f o l l o w e d .

    T w o t h i n g s a b o u t t h i s p u z z l e d m e . O n e o f t h e s e w as

    t h a t a l t h o u g h m a n y s o c ia l s c ie n t is t s w e r e e ag e r to u s e t h e

    t e s t o f i n d i v i d u a l d i f f e r e n c e s , t h e y c l e a r l y d i d n o t u n d e r -

    s t a n d t h e t h e o r y i n w h i c h i t w a s i m b e d d e d . S p e c i f i c a l l y ,

    t h e y r e g a r d e d t h e se i n d i v i d u a l d i f f e r e n c e s a s f i x e d t r a i ts ,

    o r t y p e s . T h e n o t i o n o f a g e n e r a li z e d e x p e c t a n c y , o f

    c o u r s e , i n v o l v e s t h e l e a r n i n g t h e o r y p r i n c i p l e o f g en e r -

    a l i z a t io n a n d a g r a d i e n t o f g e n e r a l i z at i o n . S u c h a g r a d i e n t

    i m p l i e s b o t h g e n e r a l i t y a n d sp e c i fi c it y , b u t n e v e r t h e l e s s ,

    n u m e r o u s a r t ic l e s w e r e w r i t t e n a n d p u b l i sh e d c h a l le n g i n g

    t h e n o t i o n o f g e n e r a li t y b e c a u s e s o m e s p e c if i ci ty c o u l d

    b e d e m o n s t r a t e d ( R o t t e r, 1 9 7 5 ) . T h e t h e o r y d o e s n o t

    sp e c i f y i n d e p e n d e n t t ra i t s , f a c u l ti e s , o r t y p e s , b u t n u -

    m e r o u s p s y c h o l o gi s ts h a v e t a k e n a 2 3 - i t e m t e s t, s u b j e c t e d

    i t t o a n o r t h o g o n a l f a c t o r an a l ys i s, a n d c o n c l u d e d m i s -

    t a k e n l y t h a t th e c o n c e p t h a d n o g e n e r a l i t y b e c a u s e s o m e

    s p e c if i ci ty c o u l d b e d e m o n s t r a t e d . G e n e r a l i t y - s p e c i f i c i t y

    i s a m a t t e r o f d e g r e e , n o t k i n d .

    T h e s e c o n d t h i n g t h a t p u z z l e d m e w a s t h e r e a c t i o n

    t o t h e s t ud i es o f p e r f o r m a n c e . M a n y o f t h e o r i g i n al s t u d ie s

    o f i n t e rn a l - e x t e r n a l c o n t r o l w e r e d o n e c o m p a r i n g g r o u p s

    o n t h e i r p e r f o r m a n c e o n s k i l l a n d c h a n c e t a s k s . S o m e -

    t i m e s t h e t a s k s w e r e d if f e r e n t a n d s o m e t i m e s t h e s a m e

    a m b i g u o u s t a s k w a s d e s c r i b e d d i f f e re n t l y t o g r o u p s o f

    s u b je c ts . T h e s u b s t a n c e o f t h e s e s t u d ie s w a s t h a t c h a n g e s

    i n e x p e c t a n c i e s a n d , c o n s e q u e n t l y , b o t h a c q u i s i t i o n a n d

    p e r f o r m a n c e w e r e v e r y d i f fe r e n t f o r c h a n c e v e r s u s s k il l

    t a sk s , n o t m e r e l y i n d e g r e e b u t i n k i n d . F o r e x a m p l e , i n

    a n u m b e r o f r e p li c a t e d s tu d i es , w e d i s c o v e r e d t h a t t h e

    w e l l - k n o w n f i n d i n g t h a t 5 0 r e i n f o r c e m e n t i s m o r e re -

    s i s ta n t t o e x t i n c t i o n t h a n 1 00 r e i n f o r c e m e n t w a s t r u e

    o n ly

    i n c h a n c e o r e x p e r i m e n t e r - c o n t r o l l e d ta s k s. I n s k il l

    t a s k s i n w h i c h t h e s u b j e c t b e li e v es t h a t r e i n f o r c e m e n t i s

    c o n t i n g e n t o n h i s o r h e r o w n sk i l l , t h e o p p o s i t e i s t r u e

    ( B l a c k m a n , 1 9 6 2 ; H o l d e n & R o t t e r , 1 9 6 2 ; J a m e s & R o t t e r ,

    1 9 5 8; R o t te r , L i v e ra n t , & C r o w n e , 1 9 6 1) . O n e h u n d r e d

    p e r c e n t r e i n f o r c e m e n t is m o r e r e s i s t an t t o e x t i n c ti o n t h a n

    5 0 r e i n f o r c e m e n t .

    4 9 0 A p r i l 1 9 9 0 A m e r i c a n P s y c h o l o g is t

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    3/5

    T h e s iz e o f t h e i n c r e m e n t s a n d d e c r e m e n t s f o ll o w in g

    su c c e s s a n d f a i l u r e a l so d i f f e rs i n c h a n c e a n d sk i ll t ask s ,

    a s d o e s t h e g e n e r a l i z a t io n o f e x p e c t a n c i e s f o r m o n e t a s k

    t o a n o t h e r ( B e n n i o n , 1 9 6 1 ; B l a c k m a n , 1 9 6 2 ; P h a s e s ,

    1 9 5 7 ; R o t t e r e t a l . , 1 9 6 1 ) . W h a t w a s s u r p r i s i n g t o m e

    w a s t h a t t h e s e f i nd i n g s, r e p l i c a t e d w i t h a v a r i e t y o f t a sk s ,

    w e r e n o t g r e e t e d b y a c h o r u s o f h u z z a h s b y l e a r n i n g th e -

    o r i s ts a n d d i d n o t s t a r t u p a f l u r r y o f r e s e a r c h a s d i d t h e

    p u b l i c a t i o n o f a m e a s u r e o f i n d i v i d u a l d i ff e re n c e s.

    P a r t o f t h e r e a so n f o r t h i s , I b e li e v e , w a s t h a t l e a r n i n g

    t h e o r y , o n c e t h e h e a r t o f p s y c ho l o gy , w a s b e i n g a b a n d o n e d

    a s m o r e a n d m o r e e x p e r i m e n t a l p s y ch o l o g is t s w e r e tu r n -

    i n g t o i n f o r m a t i o n t h e o r y , c o g n i t iv e p sy ch o l o g y , t h e s t u d y

    o f m e m o r y , a n d a r t i fi c i a l i n t e l li g e n c e .

    I b e l ie v e t h is w a s p a r t l y t h e r e s u l t o f p r e s s u re , f r o m

    s t u d e n t s a n d o t h e r s , t o m a k e t h e i r w o r k r e l e v a n t t o h u -

    m a n s , b u t t h e e m p h a s i s i n t h e l e a r n i n g th e o r i e s o f t h e

    t i m e w a s o n m o d e l s o f le a r n in g b a s e d o n a n i m a l s w h o

    h a d n o l an g u a g e to d e v e l o p c o n ce p t s a n d c o n s e q u e n t l y

    g e n e r a li z e d o v e r m a n y f e w e r d i m e n s i o n s a n d , p r e s u m a b l y ,

    d i d n o t e n g a g e i n c o m p l e x t h o u g h t p r o c e s se s . T h e p e n -

    d u l u m h a s s w u n g a w a y f r o m l e a r n i n g t h e o r i e s , b u t i t w i ll

    sw i n g b a c k w h e n p sy c h o l o g i s ts a r e w i l l in g t o f a c e t h e m o r e

    c o m p l e x p r o b l e m s o f u n d e r s ta n d i n g a c q u is i ti o n a n d p e r-

    f o r m a n c e i n h u m a n s . I t m a y w e l l b e t h a t t h e p r e s en t t r e n d

    t o w a r d s o m e t h i n g v a g u e l y c a l le d c o g n i t iv e t h e o r y b a s e d

    o n c o m p u t e r m o d e l s r a th e r th a n c o m p l e x h u m a n s , w h o

    i n f r e q u e n t l y b e h a v e r a t i o n a l l y , w i l l e v e n t u a l l y su f f e r t h e

    s a m e f a t e a s d i d t h e l e a r n i n g t h e o r i e s b a s e d o n a n i m a l

    m o d e l s .

    W h a t t h e s e l a s t t w o c o n c e r n s m e a n t o m e i s t h a t

    m a n y p s y c h ol o gi s ts a re i n a d e q u a t e l y t r a i n e d i n t h e o r y n

    n o t t h e m e m o r i z i n g o f s o m e p r i n c i p le s o r h y p o t h e s e s th a t

    g o b y t h e n a m e o f t h e o r y , b u t i n u n d e r s t a n d i n g t h e c h a r -

    a c t e ri s t ic s o f g o o d t h e o r y a n d b a d t h e o r y , p r in c i p l e s o f

    t h e o r y c o n s t r u c t i o n a n d t h e u s e o f t h e o r y t o t a c k l e a p p l ie d

    p r o b l e m s .

    M easu rem en t Pr in c ip les S h ou ld e Der ived

    From Psych olog i ca l Th eory

    T h e t h i r d p r o p o s i t i o n i s t h a t t h e p r e d i c t iv e v a l u e o f a te s t

    i s l ik e l y t o b e i n c r e a s e d i f t h e p r i n c i p l e s o f m e a s u r e m e n t

    a r e d e r i v e d f r o m t h e s a m e t h e o r y a s t h e c o n s t r u c t s t o b e

    m e a s u r e d . T h e r e s p o n s e t o t e s t it e m s o r s ti m u l i i s i n d e e d

    b e h a v i o r a n d , a s su c h , f o l l o w s p sy c h o l o g i c a l l a w s a s w e l l

    a s a n y o t h e r b e h a v i o r . S t a ti s ti c al m e t h o d s a r e u s e f u l to o l s

    b u t d o n o t s u b s t i t u t e f o r a t h e o r y o f b e h a v io r . F o r e x -

    a m p l e , m a n y p e r s o n a l i t y te s t s a re c o n s t r u c t e d u s i n g s ta -

    t is t ic a l t e c h n i q u e s d e v e l o p e d t o m e a s u r e i n d e p e n d e n t

    f a c u lt i es o f t h e m i n d , a l t h o u g h t h e a u t h o r s t h e m s e l v e s

    w o u l d d e n y b e i n g f a c u l t y p s y c h o l o g i s t s . C o r r e l a t i o n

    a m o n g r e l a ti v e s ta b l e p e r so n a l i t y c h a r a c t e r i s t ic s i s t h e r u l e

    n o t t h e e x c e p t i o n , a n d i t i s p r o b a b l e t h a t t h e u s e o f o r -

    t h o g o n a l f a c t o r a n a ly s i s t o b u i l d p e r so n a l i t y te s t s is u su a l l y

    m i s c o n c e i v e d .

    T h e I n t e r n a l - E x t e r n a l ( I - E ) S c a l e ( R o t t e r , 1 9 6 6 ) w a s

    c o n s t r u c t e d n o t o n l y b y k e e p i n g i n m i n d a t h e o r e ti c a l

    v a r i ab l e a n d i ts h y p o t h e s i z e d c h a r a c t e r is t i c s b u t a ls o s o m e

    i d e as o f t h e k i n d s o f b e h a v i o r s a n d s i t u a ti o n s w e w e r e

    i n t e r e s t e d i n s t u d y i n g a n d t h e s u b j e c t s o r p o p u l a t i o n s w e

    i n t e n d e d t o u se . I n so c i a l l e a r n i n g t h e o r y ( R o t t e r , 1 9 5 4 ,

    1 9 8 2 a ), a b a s i c a s su m p t i o n i s t h a t t h e u n i t o f i n v e s t ig a t i o n

    f o r th e s t u d y o f p e r s o n a l it y i s th e i n t e r a c t i o n o f t h e i n -

    d i v i d u al a n d h i s o r h e r m e a n i n g f u l e n v i r o n m e n t . B e h a v i o r

    i n d i f f e r e n t s i tu a t i o n s w i l l b e d i f f e r e n t , a l t h o u g h t h e r e m a y

    b e a g r a d i e n t o f g e n e r a l i z a ti o n f r o m o n e s i t u a t i o n t o a n -

    o t h e r .

    I n s t u d y i n g l o c u s o f c o n t r o l , b e c a u se w e w e r e d e a l i n g

    w i t h a b r o a d c o n s t r u c t i n t e n d e d t o s t u d y b e h a v i o r in a

    v a r i e t y o f s it u a ti o n s , w e w a n t e d t o s a m p l e m a n y d i f f er e n t

    s i tu a t io n s w i t h o u t m a k i n g t h e t o t a l s c o r e m o r e d e p e n d e n t

    o n o n e k i n d o f s it u a t i o n ( s u c h a s s c h o o l a c h i e v e m e n t )

    t h a n o n a n o t h e r ( s u c h a s p o l it i ca l in v o l v e m e n t ) . W e d i d

    n o t t r y f o r a h ig l~ a l p h a ( t h a t is , th e a c c e p t e d m e a s u r e o f

    i n t e r n a l c o n s i s t e n c y ) b e c a u s e w e a s s u m e d t h a t t h e c o r -

    r e l a t i o n s a m o n g d i f f e r e n t b e h a v i o r a l r e f e r e n t s f o r t h e

    c o n c e p t w e r e p o s i ti v e b u t l o w . O n e c a n g e t v e r y h i g h a l -

    p h a s b y a s k i n g t h e s a m e q u e s t i o n o v e r a n d o v e r a g a in ,

    b u t t h e p r e d i c t i v e li m i t a t io n s o f s u c h a t e s t a re o b v i o u s .

    N o t a l l , i n d e e d , n o t a n y , so - c a l l e d s t a b l e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s

    a r e t o t a l l y c r o s s - s i t u a t i o n a l a n d a t e s t w i t h a n a l p h a i n

    t h e h i g h . 9 0 s i s s u s p e c t i n t h a t i t m a y w e l l b e m e a s u r i n g

    r e s p o n s e s t y le m o r e t h a n p r o v i d i n g a r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s a m

    p l e o f t h e b e h a v i o r s a n d s i t u a ti o n s o n e w i s h es t o p r e d i c t

    o r i t m a y m e r e l y c o n si s t o f r e d u n d a n t i te m s .

    A l o n g t h e se s a m e l i n e s , i t s e e m s f o o l i sh t o f o l l o w

    t h e o f t e n u s e d p r o c e d u r e o f d o i n g a n i t e m s e l e ct io n o n

    t h e b a s i s o f s o m e s i ng l e c r it e r i o n o b t a i n e d i n o n e s p e c i fi c

    s i t u a t io n o n o n e h i g h l y h o m o g e n e o u s s a m p l e o f s u b j ec t s ,

    w h e n o n e w a n t s t h e t e s t t o p r e d i c t b e h a v i o r i n s e v e ra l

    d i f f e r e n t s i t u a t i o n s f o r d i f f e r e n t su b je c t s . I n c o n s t r u c t i n g

    t h e I - E S c a l e w e m a d e s e v e r a l a t t e m p t s a t u s i n g L i k e r t

    f o r m a t s , b u t t h e s e e a r l y m e a s u r e s w e r e f o u n d t o b e t o o

    h i g h l y c o r r e l a t e d w i t h t h e M a r l o w e - C r o w n e S o c i a l D e -

    s i r a b i l it y S c a l e ( C r o w n e M a r l o w e , 1 9 6 4 ) . C o n s i s t e n t

    w i t h s o c i a l l e a r n i n g t h e o r y t h e n , t h i s i n s t r u m e n t t r e a t s

    s o c i a l d e s i r a b i l i t y n o t a s e r r o r t o b e t o t a l l y e l i m i n a t e d

    b u t a s a m o t i v e a f f e c t in g c h o i c e b e h a v i o r i n t e s t -t a k i n g

    a s w e l l a s o t h e r b e h a v i o r s . W e , t h e r e f o r e , m o v e d t o a

    f o r c e d - c h o i c e f o r m a t t o b r i n g t h i s c o r r e l a t i o n d o w n t o a

    r e a s o n a b l e l e v el . I m u s t n o t e h e r e t h a t a z e r o c o r r e l a t i o n

    w i t h a m e a s u r e o f a n e e d f o r s o c ia l a p p r o v a l i s o n l y d e -

    s i ra b l e i f o n e ' s t h e o r y o r e x p e r i e n c e d i c ta t e s t h a t t h e n e e d

    f o r so c ia l a p p r o v a l i s i n f a c t u n c o r r e l a t e d w i t h t h e v a r i a b l e

    o n e i s s t u d y i n g - - a n u n l i k e l y p r o b a b i l i t y w i t h p e r s o n a li t y

    c h a r a c te r i s ti c s , w h i c h a l w a ys t e n d t o b e c o r r e l a t e d w i t h

    m a n y o t h e r v a r ia b l es .

    T o i m p r o v e o u r i t e m s e l e c t i o n , w e d i d i n d e e d u s e

    n o t o n e b u t t w o v e r y d i ff e r e n t c r i t e r ia a n d t w o p o p u l a -

    t i o n s . O n e w a s c r i t e r i o n p e r f o r m a n c e o r c h a n g e i n e x -

    p e c t a n c i e s o n a m b i g u o u s t a s k s u s i n g c o ll e ge s tu d e n t s

    ( R o t t e r e t a l. , 1 9 6 1 ) , a n d t h e o t h e r i n v o l v e d i n f o r m a t i o n -

    s e e k i n g b e h a v i o r o n t h e p a r t o f p a t i en t s , m o s t l y n o n c o l -

    l e g e - e d u c a t e d a d u l ts , i n a t u b e r c u l a r w a r d ( S e e m a n

    E v a n s , 1 9 6 1 ) . I f a n i t e m p r e d i c t e d e i t h e r c r i t e r i o n s i g-

    n i f ic a n t ly a n d c o r r e l a t e d w i t h t h e o t h e r i t e m s i n t h e s c a l e

    s i g n if i ca n t ly h i g h e r t h a n i t d id w i t h t h e M a r l o w e - C r o w n e

    m e a su r e , i t w a s r e t a i n e d . I n a l l, f iv e y e a r s o f r e se a r c h a n d

    A p r i l 1 9 9 0 A m e r i c a n P s y c h o l o g is t 4 9 1

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    f iv e f o r m s o f th e t e s t w e r e u s e d b e f o r e w e a t t e m p te d t o

    publ i sh th e sca le ( Jam es , 1957; Pha res , 1955; Rot te r , See-

    man, & Live ran t , 1962) . I be l ieve the impl ica t ions a re

    t h a t m u c h h a r d , t h o u g h t f u l , w o r k h a s t o g o i n t o d e v i s in g

    a u s e f u l me a s u r e o f a p e r s o n a l i t y v a r ia b l e . O n e h a s t o

    h a v e a t h e o r y o f b e h a v io r a n d , c o n s e q u e n t ly , o f te s t - ta k in g

    b e h a v io r, a s w e l l as s o m e n o t i o n s o f t h e t h e o r e t i c a l p r o p -

    e r t ie s o f t h e v a r i a b l e b e in g s t u d i e d i n o r d e r t o d e v i s e a

    c o n s t r u c t v a l i d me a s u r e .

    I s u p p o s e I c o u ld p u t t h e s e i d e a s i n t h e f o r m o f a

    q u e s t io n , H o w m a n y p s y c ho l o g is t s d o e s it ta k e t o c o n -

    s t r u c t a n e w t e st ? O n e o f m y c o l le a gu e s , D o r o t h y H o c h -

    r e i c h ( p e r s o n a l c o mmu n ic a t i o n , A p r i l 1 9 8 9 ) , s u g g e s t e d

    t h e a n sw e r o f a t l ea s t f o u r . . , o n e t o t h i n k u p an d

    d e f in e t h e v a r i a b l e , o n e t o c o l l e c t t h e d a t a , o n e t o d o t h e

    s t a ti s t ic s a n d a f o u r th t o k e e p t h e o th e r t h r e e f r o m p u b -

    l i s h in g p r e ma tu r e ly .

    T h e i s sem in a t io n o f K n o w led ge

    T h e f o u r t h p r o p o s i ti o n i s t h a t t h e r e s e a r ch m o n o g r a p h

    i s a n i d e a l f o r m o f p u b l ic a t i o n f o r th e d i s s e m i n a t i o n o f

    k n o w le d g e . A t t h i s t ime , Current Contents a j o u r n a l t h a t

    records c i ta t ions , r epor ts tha t s ince 1966 when I f i r s t

    p u b l i s h e d t h e m o n o g r a p h o n i n t e r n a l - e x t e r n a l c o n t r o l ,

    t h e r e h a v e b e e n a t l e a st 4 ,7 0 0 c i t a t i o n s t o t h a t mo n o g r a p h

    in t h e p s y c h o lo g i c a l a n d s o c i al s c i e n c e l i t e r a tu r e , a n u m -

    b e r f a r i n e x c e s s o f a n y o th e r a r t i c l e i n t h e p s y c h o lo g i c a l

    a n d s o c ia l s c ie n c e s f o r t h e s a me p e r io d o f t ime . I t w a s

    a l so o n e o f t h e l a s t m o n o g r a p h s t o b e p u b l i s h e d b y t h e

    A m e r i c a n P s y c h o lo g i c a l A s s o c i a t i o n ( A P A ). (I a m n o t

    s u r e w h e th e r t h i s w a s a c h a n c e o r c a u s a l r e l a t i o n s h ip . )

    H o w e v e r , A P A p u b l i c a t i o n s a p p e a r t o f a v o r s h o r t a r ti c l e s

    p r e s u m a b l y b e c a u se o f t h e p r e s s ur e o f n u m e r o u s s u b -

    m i t t e d m a n u s c r i p ts .

    I t i s m y b e l i e f t h a t t h e r a p id s p r e a d o f i n t e r e s t i n

    l o c u s o f c o n t r o l w o u l d h a v e b e e n m a r k e d l y t r u n c a t e d

    w i th o u t t h i s k in d o f p u b l i c a t i o n . I n f a c t, t h e f i r st f u l l d e -

    s c r i p t i o n o f t h e c o n s t r u c t a p p e a r e d i n 1 9 62 a s a c h a p t e r

    i n a t w o - v o l u m e b o o k e n t i t l e d

    Decisions Value s and

    Groups

    e d i t e d b y N . F . W a s h b u r n e a n d w r i t t e n b y my s e l f ,

    Me lv in S e e ma n , a n d S h e p h a r d L iv e r a n t . I n t h i s f o r ma t ,

    i t d id n o t s e e m to r e a c h m a n y s o c i a l sc i e nt i st s , a n d l a t e r

    a p p e a r in g a r t ic l e s ra r e ly c i te d i t . T h e m o n o g r a p h ( R o t t e r ,

    1966) r epo r ted the h is tory o f r e la ted cons t ruc ts , a ca re fu l ,

    e l a b o r a t e d e f i n i t i o n , a d e s c r i p t i o n o f t h e c o n s t r u c t ' s t h e o -

    re t ica l r e la t ion to o the r v a r iab les in soc ia l lea rn ing theory ,

    a s u m m a r y o f s t u d i e s o f c h a n c e a n d s k il l t a s k p e r f o r-

    m a n c e , m e t h o d s o f t es t c o n s t r u c t i o n f o r t h e t e st o f i n d i -

    v id u a l d i f f e r e n ce s , a v a r i e ty o f n o r m s f o r d i f fe r e n t p o p -

    u l a t i o n s , a n d a s u m m a r y o f r e s u l ts o f o v e r 2 0 v a l i d i t y

    s tu d i e s i n v o lv in g v e r y d i f f e re n t k in d s o f c ri t e r i a a n d s t u d -

    i es o f a n t ec e d e n t s a n d l o n g - te r m p r e d i c t io n s . M u c h o f

    th e d a t a p r e s e n t e d h a d n o t b e e n p r e v io u s ly p u b l i s h e d .

    T h e m o n o g r a p h i n c l u d e d s t a t e m e n t s o f l i m i t a t io n s f o r

    t h e me a s u r e o f i n d iv id u a l d i f fe r e n ce s n o t o n ly f o r d i f f e re n t

    s u b j e c t p o p u l a t i o n s b u t a l s o f o r t e s t i n g c o n d i t i o n s a n d

    b e h a v io r a l p r e d i c t i o n s . I d o n o t b e l i e v e t h a t a d o z e n o r

    mo r e s e p a r a t e a r t i cl e s s ca t t e re d t h r o u g h d i f f er e n t o u r n a l s

    o v e r a p e r i o d o f a t l e a s t e ig h t y e a r s w o u ld h a v e r e a c h e d

    a s m a n y p e o p le o r c r e a t e d n e a r l y a s m u c h i n te r es t .

    I f p s y c h o l o g y i s t o a d v a n c e i n u n d e r s t a n d i n g h u m a n

    b e h av i o r, i t n e e d s t o e m p h a s i z e p r o g r a m m a t i c r e s e a r c h

    ( w h e t h e r t h e o r e ti c a l o r a p p l ie d ) i n w h i c h t h e o r y a n d e m -

    p i r i c a l f i n d in g s a r e c o m b in e d . I t n e e d s a l s o t o b u i l d o n

    p a s t r e s e a rc h . T h e t e n d e n c y t o d i s mi s s t h e p a s t , e n c o u r -

    a g e d b y t h e p r e s s u r e t o k e e p p u b l i c a t i o n s b r ie f , d o e s n o t

    s p e e d u p t h e a c c u m u la t i o n o f s t a b le k n o w le d g e . O n e f o r m

    o f t h i s is p a r t i c u l a r l y p e r n i c io u s , t h a t i s , t h e t e n d e n c y t o

    u s e n e w t e r m s f o r o l d c o n c ep t s a n d t h e r e b y i g n o r e a ll t h e

    r e s e a r c h t h e o r y p r e v io u s ly a c c u mu la t e d . K i r s c h ( 1 9 8 5 ,

    1 9 8 6 ) h a s i l l u s t r a t e d t h e v a lu e o f s u c h a n a ly s e s i n h i s

    d iscuss ion of an teced ents to the concep t of se l f- e f ficacy , '

    a s h a v e Z u r o f f a n d R o t t e r ( 1 9 8 5) i n t h e i r h i s t o r y o f t h e

    e x p e c t a n c y c o n s t r u c t .

    I a m a w a r e t h a t t h e s t u m b l i n g b l o c k t o a c h ie v i n g

    s u c h a n a tmo s p h e r e f o r p u b l i c a t i o n i s t h e p r a c t ic e o f ma n y

    e mp lo y e r s , i n c lu d in g o u r b e s t u n iv e r si t ie s , o f me r e ly

    c o u n t in g p u b l i c a t io n s i n s t e a d o f e v a lu a ti n g t h e m f o r th e i r

    c rea tive , heur is t ic , o r sc ien t i f ic me r i t . P rom ot ion s , tenure ,

    a n d m e r i t r a is e s a re d e t e r m i n e d b y s u c h c o u n t s o f p u b -

    l ic a ti o n s. L o n g i t u d i n a l r e s e a rc h i n h u m a n d e v e l o p m e n t

    a n d p s y c h o p a th o lo g y h a s s u ff e r e d f o r t h e s a m e r e a s o n

    because su ch re sea rch usu a l ly r equi re s seve ral yea r s be fore

    th e r e s u l t s a r e a v a i l ab l e f o r p u b l i c a t i o n .

    I h a v e s ee n s e v e ra l i n s ta n c e s i n w h ic h a n a u th o r h a s

    tw o p u b l i c a t i o n s w h e n n o n e w o u ld h a v e b e e n p r e f er a b l e .

    T h e f i r s t a r t i c l e r e p o r t e d s o me f i n d in g , a n d t h e s e c o n d

    r e p o r t e d t h a t t h e f i n d in g d i s a p p e a r e d w h e n a n e w c o n t r o l

    o r d i f f e r e n t p o p u l a t i o n w a s u s e d . M o s t a r t i c l e s I se e i n

    th e j o u r n a l s a r e u n im p r e s s iv e b e c a u s e t h e y l a c k su f f ic i e n t

    cont ro ls , the th eor y or s ign i f icance of the f ind ings is e i the r

    n o t c l e a r o r n o t p r e s e n t , o r t h e r e i s n o t i e - i n w i th t h e

    l a rg e n u m b e r s o f st u d i e s t h a t h a v e p r e c e d e d i t. I n d e e d , i f

    t h e n u m b e r o f p u b l i c a t i o n s i n s c i e n t if i c j o u r n a l s w e r e a

    me a s u r e o f h o w a d v a n c e d a s c i en t i fi c f i e ld w a s , t h e n p s y -

    c h o lo g y m ig h t b e a t t h e f o r e f r o n t o f a ll t h e s c i en c e s . U n -

    f o r tu n a t e ly , t h a t d o e s n o t s e e m to b e t h e c a se .

    C h a n g in g p u b l i c a t i o n p o l i c ie s i s e a si e r t h a n c h a n g in g

    the c r i te r ia for r ecogni t ion o f mer i t . S omew here , I be l ieve ,

    a s t a r t n e e d s t o b e m a d e . A l t h o u g h t h e i m p o r t a n c e , l o ng -

    t e r m s ig n i fi c a n c e, o r h e u r i s t i c v a lu e o f a r e s e a r c h p r o j e c t

    m a y b e h a r d t o e v a lu a t e a t t h e t ime o f it s p u b l i c a t i o n , i t

    i s n o t a s h a r d t o e v a l u a t e th e t h o r o u g h n e s s , t h e c o n c e r n

    f o r s c ie n t i fi c o b je c t i v it y , a n d t h e p r e s e n c e o r a b s e n c e o f

    r e p l i c a ti o n . I t ma y b e t ime t o s t o p c lu t t e r i n g t h e j o u r n a l s

    w i th h i t - a n d - r u n s t u d i e s t h a t a r e p r o p e r ly d e s ig n e d b u t

    a d d l i tt l e t o im p r o v in g t h e o r y o r h a v e n o s e r io u s p r a c ti c a l

    appl ica t ions .

    I a m a w a r e t h a t t h e s e i d ea s a r e n o t n e w . Ma n y p s y -

    c h o lo g i st s ha v e w r i t te n a b o u t o n e o r t h e o t h e r o f t h e m ,

    b u t w e a l l fe e l t h a t c h a n g e i s i n t h e h a n d s o f p o w e r f u l

    o th e r s a n d t h e r e i s l i t t l e o r n o th in g w e c a n d o a b o u t i t .

    B u t , p e r h a p s t h e r e i s , a n d t h e e f f o r t s o f ma n y c a n s t i l l

    b r i n g a b o u t c h a n g e .

    I w o u ld h o p e t h a t a s t r a t e g y o f g r a d u a l c h a n g e c o u ld

    b e w o r k e d o u t b y t h e e f f or ts o f s u c h g r o u p s a s t h e A P A

    a n d A m e r i c a n P s y c h o lo g i c a l S o c i e ty ( A P S ) B o a r d o f D i -

    4 9 2 A p r i l 1 99 0 A m e r i c a n P s y c h o lo g i s t

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    r e c t o r s , t h e A P A S c i e n c e D i r e c t o r a t e , t h e A P A P u b l i c a -

    t i o n s B o a r d , t h e C o u n c i l o f C h a i r p e r s o n s o f P s y ch o l o g y

    D e p a r t m e n t s , a n d t h e g r o u p s o f d i r e c t o r s o f p s y c h o l o g y

    t r a i n i n g p r o g r a m s .

    ummary

    I t i s p r o b a b l y c l e a r b y n o w t h a t I h a v e u s e d g e n e r a l i z e d

    e x p e c t a n c i e s o f i n t e r n a l v e r s u s e x t e r n a l c o n t r o l o f r e i n -

    f o r c e m e n t a s a m o d e l f o r a b r i e f o n t h e i m p o r t a n c e o f

    b r o a d t h e o r i e s i n p s y c h o l o g y . S u c h t h e o r i e s m a y h a v e s u f-

    f e r ed a d ec l i n e w i t h t h e a b a n d o n m e n t o f m o l e c u l a r l e ar n -

    i n g t h e o r ie s . T r a i n i n g i n u n d e r s t a n d i n g t h e n a t u r e o f th e -

    o r i e s a n d i n t h e e v a l u a t i o n o f t h e o r e t ic a l c o n s t r u c t s a n d

    t h e i r o p e r a t i o n s h a s a l s o d e c l i n e d . A s a r e s u l t , I b e l ie v e

    g e n u i n e p r o g r e s s i n p s y c h o l o g y s u ff e rs . M u c h o f t h e l i t-

    e r a t u r e f i l li n g o u r j o u r n a l s w i l l s o o n b e f o r g o t t e n a n d w i l l

    g i v e w a y t o n e w f a d s a n d e n t h u s i a s m s t h a t w i l l b e l i t t le

    b e t t e r t h a n t h e o n e s t h e y r e p l a c e .

    P e r h a p s n o o n e h a s s a i d th i s b e t t e r th a n E . R . G u t h -

    r i e i n h i s 1 9 4 6 p r e s i d e n t i a l a d d r e s s t o t h e A m e r i c a n P s y -

    c h o l o g i c a l A s s o c i a t i o n :

    F a c t s m a y a c c u m u l a t e w i t h o u t t h e o r y ; b u t t h e y w i l l p r o v e t o b e

    u n s t a b l e a n d o f l i t t le p r o f i t i n t h e e n d . T h e o r i e s m a y f l o u r i sh i f

    th e i r b a s i s l i e s n o t i n s c i e n t i f i c f a c t b u t i n o p in io n s a n d in t e r -

    p r e t a t i o n s a c c e p t a b l e o n l y t o t h e m e m b e r s o f a l i m i t e d f a c ti o n ;

    b u t t h e y w i l l b e b a d th e o r i e s . S c h o o l s flo u r i s h o n ly w h e n th e o r i e s

    a r e n o t c a r r i e d b a c k t o p u b l i c f a c ts . U n l e s s p s y ch o l o g i st s m a i n -

    t a in a n in t e re s t i n g e n e ra l t h e o ry th e f i e ld s o f p s y c h o lo g y w i l l

    i n c r e a s i n g ly b e c o m e i n d e p e n d e n t c o l l e c ti o n s o f u n d i g es t e d i n -

    f o r m a t i o n . ( p p . 1 9 - 2 0 )

    I c a n o n l y a d d t o G u t h r i e ' s p r o p h e t i c w a r n i n g t h a t

    i f t h e t h e o r i e s a r e g o i n g to a d d t o o u r u n d e r s t a n d i n g o f

    h u m a n s , t h e y m u s t b e r o o t e d i n o b s e r v a b le s b u t a l s o m u s t

    t a k e i n t o a c c o u n t t h e c o m p l e x i t y o f a n a n i m a l w h o i s

    h i g h l y d e p e n d e n t o n a ri c h l a n g u a g e , w h o o f t e n b e h a v e s

    i r r a ti o n a l ly , a n d w h o s e c o m p l e x t h o u g h t p r o ce s se s , m o -

    t i v a t i o n s , a n d e m o t i o n a l s t a t es s e r i o u s l y a ff e c t b e h a v i o r .

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