international collaboration in climate change …...international collaboration in climate change...

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International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin Jarzebski The University of Tokyo Japan 1

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Page 1: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local

Government

Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin Jarzebski

The University of TokyoJapan

1

Page 2: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

TEMPERATURE CURVE LAST FIFTEEN THOUSAND YEARS

-30

-35

-40

-45

-50200003000800013,000

Cold

er T

empe

ratu

re W

arm

er

in c

entr

al G

reen

land

ice

core

Date BCAD

Younger Dryas cooling

Gulf Stream shut down?

Present Temperature

Warming at end of Younger Dryas

8200 yrcooling

Little Ice AgePresent global

warming

Medieval Warm Period

Roman Warm Period

Holocene Warm Period

From the Central Greenland Ice Core record- https://www.pressdispensary.co.uk/q991593/images/20k.jpg (redraw) 2

Page 3: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Anthropocene

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Page 4: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Planetary boundary• In Anthropocene, not only resource

and financial limitation but also we have to consider planetary boundary for our economic activities

• Opportunity (innovation) of (renewable) energy distribution

• Tackle various problems caused by exceeding boundaries

4J. Rockstrom and W SteffenJohan Rockstrom

Page 5: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

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Two Countermeasures to Climate Change

MitigationA measure for reducing GHG emission toavoid “Unmanageable”

AdaptationA measure fore increasing preparedness for“Unavoidable”

Slide prepared by N. Mimura

Page 6: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Climate change adaptation

• To know the future impact• To know countermeasure against the

impact• To develop a climate-resilient society

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Page 7: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Co-design and co-production on climate change adaptation process

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米:1.83 兆円

フロー総額:4.16 兆円

産業連関表(2005年表)による米のキャッシュフロー解析

発酵飼料

Economic analyses (e.g, I/O table)

Project evaluation

Implementation

Fund source

Final discussion with local stake holdersKnowledge

database

Scientists

JICA

Gov

GCFADB

WBGEF

Various Options for adaptation

Impact assessment projectionAdaptation options

Feedback

Visualization (for communication)

Feedback

Stakeholders

Page 8: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Mainstreaming of CC Adaptation

Socity (2yrs)

XX

yea

rs

2 y

ear 5

yea

r1

0 y

ears

Society (5yrs)

Society (10yrs)

Society (20 yrs)

20

yea

rs

0.5

1.0

2.0

3.0

CC a

dapt

atio

n pl

anni

ng

8

Implementation to the society

Process of mainstreaming of CC adaptation in local development

Page 9: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Climate change adaptation initiative• Conducted in Indonesia and Vietnam• Leadership of Ministry of the Environment, Japan• Cooperation of representative governmental

counterpart in each country (BAPPENAS and MoNRE for Indonesia and Vietnam, respectively)

• Mainstreaming of CC adaptation in local policy and assisting capacity development

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Page 10: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Mainstreaming of CC adaptation in the local policy (example in Indonesia)• Description of CC adaptation in provincial

development plan (RPJMD)• Develop team(s) to promote implementation plan

(simulation)• Local government (BAPPEDA and related agencies)• Local experts with international/central experts• Stakeholder group

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Page 11: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

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International Climate-related Fund

Conference of Parties for Climate Change

IPCC

International Academic Associations

Central government

Local government Local academic institutes

International academic institutes

ODA or other foreign governmental

assistance

implementation

Climate changeRelated fund

Domestic budget for regular development

CC adaptation management system

Page 12: International Collaboration in Climate Change …...International Collaboration in Climate Change Adaptation for Local Government Kensuke Fukushi, Martiwi Diah Setiawati, and Marcin

Sustainability in Anthropocene

• The Master said: “At fifteen my heart was set on learning; at thirty I stood firm; at forty I was unperturbed; at fifty I knew the mandate of heaven; at sixty my ear was obedient; at seventy I could follow my heart's desire without transgressing the norm.” (from the Analects of Confucius)

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