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  • 8/11/2019 International Financial Markets Final

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    PROJECT REPORT

    On

    INTERN TION L FIN NCI L M RKETS

    SUBMITTED BY

    RESHM VISHNU M LI

    ROLL NO 31

    M.COM B NKING ND FIN NCE

    SEMESTER IV (2013201!"

    UNDER THE GUID NCE OF

    P#$%. &' K)#n*'+)# .

    SUBMITTED TO

    S.K SOM IY DEGREE COLLEGE OF RTS,

    SCIENCE ND COMMERCE,

    VIDHY VIH R (E", MUMB I!000--

    FFILI TED TO UNIVERSITY OF MUMB I

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 1

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    CERTIFICATE

    This is to certify that (Reshma Mali) of M.Com Banking &Finance

    Semester I (!"#$%#) has s'ccessf'lly Comlete the ro*ect on(I+TER+ATI,+A- FI+A+CIA- MARETS) g'iance of /rof. A*it

    arnikar.

    Co'rse Co%orinator /rincial

    /ro*ect g'ie0Internal E1aminer

    E1ternal E1aminer

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 2

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    2EC-ARATI,+

    I (Reshma Mali) a st'ent of M.com Banking & Finance Semester I

    (!"#$%#) here3y eclare that I ha4e Comlete the ro*ect on

    (International Financial Markets).

    The information s'3mitte is tr'e an original to the 3est of my

    kno5lege.

    Signat're

    (Reshma Mali)

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 3

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    AC+,6-E7EME+T

    I 5o'l sincerely like to gi4e my heartfelt ackno5legement an

    thanks to my arents. Any amo'nt of thanks gi4en to them 5ill ne4er

    3e s'fficient.

    I 5o'l sincerely like to thank o'r /rincial 2r.Sangeeta ohli. I

    5o'l also like to thank my ro*ect g'ie for his 4al'a3le s'ort

    an g'iance 5hene4er neee.

    I also feel heartiest sense of o3ligation my li3rary staff mem3ers &

    seniors 5ho hele in collection of 2ata an materials an also in

    this rocessing as 5ell as in rafting man'scrit.-ast8 3't not the least8 I 5o'l like to thank my friens & colleag'es

    for al5ays 3eing there.

    (Reshma Mali)

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 4

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    I+TER+ATI,+A- FI+A+CIA- MARETS

    Sr.

    +o.

    Ine1 /age

    +o.

    #

    !

    $

    9

    :

    ;

    Ly stable distributions" *he scale of change, or olatility, depends on

    the length of the time unit to apowera bit more than 1H2" >arge changes

    up or down are more likely than what one would calculate using a

    =aussian distribution with an estimated standard deiation"

    new area of concern is the proper analysis of international market

    effects" s connected as today?s global financial markets are, it is

    important to reali$e that there are both benefits and conse+uences to a

    global financial network" s new opportunities appear due to integration,

    so do the possibilities of contagion" *his presents uni+ue issues when

    attempting to analy$e markets, as a problem can ripple through the entire

    connected global network ery +uickly" or e%ample, a bank failure in

    one country can spread +uickly to others, which makes proper analysis

    more difficult"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 15

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_analysis_of_financial_marketshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_financehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Dowhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_%26_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_%26_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_analysishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_trendshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_walk_hypothesishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volatility_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beno%C3%AEt_Mandelbrothttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_distributionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levy_functionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_lawhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_analysis_of_financial_marketshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_financehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Dowhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_%26_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Jones_%26_Companyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Wall_Street_Journalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dow_Theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_analysishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Market_trendshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Random_walk_hypothesishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volatility_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beno%C3%AEt_Mandelbrothttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_distributionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levy_functionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Power_lawhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation
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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    Financial market slang

    /oison ill, when a company issues more shares to preent being

    bought out by another company, thereby increasing the number of

    outstanding shares to be bought by the hostile company making the

    bid to establish maEority"

    'ant, a +uantitatie analyst with a

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    #oth bonds and credit (currency) financing hae their adantages and

    disadantages" or a gien company, under specific circumstances, one

    method of financing may be preferred to the other" *he maEor differences

    are6

    1. Cost of 3orro5ing

    #onds are issued in both fi%ed rate and floating rate forms" i%ed rate

    bonds are an attractie e%posure management tool since the known long!term currency inflows can be offset by the known long!term outflows in

    the same currency" In contrast, currency loans carry ariable

    rates"

    2" Mat'rity

    #onds hae longer maturities while the period of borrowing in the

    currency market has tended to lengthen oer time"

    3" Si>e of the iss'e

    arlier, the funds aailable for lending at any time hae been much more

    in the inter!bank market than in the bond market" #ut of late, this

    situation does not hold true" &oreoer, although in the past the flotation

    costs of a uro currency loan hae been much lower than a uro bond

    (about ;"5 M of the total loan amount ersus about 2"25 M of the face

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 1-

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    alue of a uro bond issue), compensation has worked to lower uro

    bond flotation costs"

    4. Fle1i3ility

    In a uro bond issue, the funds must be drawn in one sum on a fi%ed date

    and repaid according to a fi%ed schedule, unless the borrower pays a

    substantial prepayment penalty" #y contrast, the drawdown in a floating

    rate loan can be staggered tosuit the borrowerNs needs and can be repaidin whole or in part at any time, often without penalty" &oreoer, a uro

    currency loan with a multi!currency clause enables the borrower to switch

    currencies on any roll!oer date, whereas switching the denomination of a

    uro bond from currency to currency # would re+uire a costly,

    combined, refunding and reissuing operation"

    9. See

    unds can be raised by a known borrower ery +uickly in the uro

    currency market" Cften, a period of two to three weeks should suffice"

    uro bond financing generally takes more time, though the difference is

    becoming less significant"

    !. Creit Market

    8redit or >oans are the loans e%tended for one year or longer" *he market

    that deals in such loans is called 8redit &arket"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 17

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    *he common maturity for credit loans is 5 years" 0ince banks accept

    short!term deposits and proide long!term loans, it is likely that assetliability mismatch may arise" *o aoid this banks often e%tend floating

    rate credit loans fi%ed to some market interest rate" *he >ondon Inter

    #ank Cffer Bate (>I#CB) is the most commonly used interest rate" It is

    the rate charged for loans between #anks"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 19

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    /articiants in creit Market

    *he maEor lending banks in the credit market are banks, merican,

    apanese, #ritish, 0wiss, rench, =erman and sian (specially that of0ingapore) banks, 8hemical #ank, < &organ, 8iticorp, #ankers *rust,

    8hase &anhattan #ank, irst .ational #ank of 8hicago, #arclay?s #ank,

    .ational :estminster, #.

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    O Pari!passu clause that preents the borrower from contracting new

    debts that subordinate the interest of lenders

    O "xchange option clause that allows the withdrawal of a part or totalityof loan in another currency

    O #egative guarantee clause that commits the borrower not to contract

    other debts that subordinate the interest of lenders"

    Characteristics of creit

    maEor part (more than 7; M) of the debts is made in @0 dollars" *he

    second (but far behind) is

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    generally renewable (roll oer credit) eery si% months, fi%ed with

    reference to >I#CB" *he >I#CB is the rate of money market applicable

    to short!term credits among the banks of >ondon" *he reference rate can

    e+ually be

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    bond markets in all currencies e%cept the apanese /en are +uite free

    from any regulation by the respectie goernments" 0traight bonds are

    priced with reference to a benchmark, typically treasury issues" *hus a

    dollar bond will be priced to a yield a /*& (/ield!to!&aturity)

    somewhat aboe the @0 treasury bonds of similar maturity, the spread

    depending upon the borrowers ratings and market conditions"

    loatation costs of the bond are comparatiely higher than costs indicated

    with syndicated credits"

    . Commercial aer(C/s)

    8ommercial paper is a corporate short!term, unsecured promissory

    note issued on a discount to yield basis" 8ommercial paper maturities

    generally do not e%ceed 2-; days" 8ommercial paper represents a cheap

    and fle%ible source of funds :hile 8

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    final holder is paid the face alue on maturity along with the interest" It is

    used by the commercial banks as short! term funding instruments"

    uro 8s are mainly issued in >ondon by banks" Interest on 8s withmaturity more than a year is paid annually than semi!annually"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 24

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    :. International Caital Markets

    International 8apital &arkets hae come into e%istence to cater to the

    need of international financing by economies in the form of short,

    medium or long!term securities or credits" *hese markets also called

    markets, are the markets on which currencies, bonds, shares and bills are

    tradedHe%changed" Cer the years, there has been a phenomenal growth

    both in olume and types of financial instruments transacted in these

    markets" currency deposits are the deposits made in a bank, situated

    outside the territory of the origin of currency" or e%ample, dollar is a

    deposit made in @0 dollars in a bank located outside the @0 banks are

    the banks in which currencies are deposited" *hey hae term deposits in

    currencies and offer credits in a currency other than that of the country in

    which they are located"

    distinctie feature of the financial strategy of multinational companies

    is the wide range of e%ternal serices of funds that they use on an ongoing

    basis" #ritish *elecommunication offers stock in >ondon, .ew /ork and

    *okyo, while 0wiss #ank 8orporation!, aided by Italian, #elgian,

    8anadian and =erman banks! helps corporations sell 0wiss franc bonds in

    urope and then swap the proceeds back into @0 dollars"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 25

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    irms hae three general sources of funds aailable6 (i) internally

    generatedcash, (ii) short!term e%ternal funds, and (iii) long!term e%ternal

    funds" %ternal inestment comes in the form of debt or e+uity, which are

    generally negotiable (tradable) instruments" *he pattern of financing

    aries from country to country" 8ompanies in the @A get an aerage of

    ;!-;M of their funds from internal sources" =erman companies get

    about 4;!5;M of their funds from e%ternal suppliers" In 19-5, apanese

    companies got more than -;M of their money from outside sources, but

    this pattern has since reersed maEor chunks of finances come from

    internal sources"

    nother significant aspect of financing behaiour is that debt accounts for

    the oerwhelming share of e%ternal finance" Industry sources of e%ternal

    finance also differ widely from country to country" =erman and apanese

    companies hae relied heaily on bank borrowing, while the @0 and

    #ritish industry raised much more money directly from financial markets

    by the sale of securities" Doweer, in all countries, bank borrowing is on

    a decline" *here is a growing tendency for corporate borrowing to take

    the form of negotiable securities issued in the public capital markets

    rather than in the form of commercial bank loans" *his process known as

    securitisation is most pronounced among the apanese companies"

    ;. /etro 2ollar

    uring the oil crises of 19-3, the 8apital markets hae played a ery

    important role" *hey accepted the dollar deposits from oil e%porters and

    channeled the funds to the borrowers in other countries" *his is called

    Qrecycling the petrodollarsN"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 2

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    issue, maturity and so forth" loatation costs tend to be high" ong!term

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    $. 6hat are the ifferent international financial markets

    *he international financial markets consist of the credit market, money

    market, bond market and e+uity market"

    *he international credit market, also called uro credit market, is the

    market that deals in medium term uro credit or uro loans"

    International banks and their clients comprise the urocurrency market

    and form the core of the international money market" *here are seeralother money market instruments such as the uro 8ommercial

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    and how preiously issued common stock is traded between inestors in

    the secondary markets"

    International Financial Market% (general% can 3e 'se in any)

    *he last two decades hae witnessed the emergence of a ast financial

    market across national boundaries enabling massie cross!border capital

    flows from those who hae surplus funds and a search of high returns to

    those seeking low!cost funding" *he degree of mobility of capital, the

    global dispersal of the finance industry and the enormous diersity of

    markets and instruments, which a firm seeking funds can tap, is

    something new"

    &aEor C8 (Crgani$ation for conomic 8o!operation and

    eelopment) countries had began deregulating and liberali$ing their

    financial markets towards the end of seenties" :hile the process was far

    from smooth, the oerall trend was in the direction of relaxation of

    controls, which till then had compartmentali$ed the global financial

    markets" %change and capital controls were gradually remoed, non!

    residents were allowed freer access to national capital markets and

    foreign banks and financial institutions were permitted to establish their

    presence in the arious national markets"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 3;

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    :hile opening up of the domestic markets began only around the end of

    seenties, a truly international financial market had already been born in

    the mid!fifties and gradually grown in si$e and scope during si%ties and

    seenties" *his refers to the uro currencies &arket where borrower

    (inestor) from country could raise (place) funds from (with) financial

    institutions located in country #, denominated in the currency of country

    8" uring the eighties and nineties, this market grew further in si$e,

    geographical scope and diersity of funding instruments" It is no more a

    'euro' market but a part of the general category called Roffshore

    marketsS"

    longside liberali$ation, other +ualitatie changes hae been taking place

    in the global financial markets" Bemoal of restrictions has resulted into

    geographical integrationof the maEor financial markets in the C8

    countries" =radually this trend is spreading to deeloping countries many

    of which hae opened up their markets!at least partially!to non!resident

    inestors, borrowers and financial institutions"

    nother noticeable trend is functional integration" *he traditional

    distinctions between different financial institutions!commercial banks,

    inestment banks, finance companies, etc"! are giing way to diersified

    entities that offer the full range of financial serices" *he early part of

    eighties saw the process of disintermediation get underway" Dighly rated

    issuers began approaching inestors directly rather than going through the

    bank loan route"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 31

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    Cn the other side, debt crisis in the deeloping countries, adoption of

    capital ade+uacy norms and intense competition, forced commercial

    banks to reali$e that their traditional business of accepting deposits and

    making loans was not enough to guarantee their long!term surial and

    growth" *hey began looking for new products and markets" 8oncurrently,

    the international financial enironment was becoming more olatile!

    there were fluctuations in interest and e%change rates" *hese forces gae

    rise to innovative forms of funding instrumentsand tremendous adances

    in risk management" *he decade saw increasing actiity in and

    sophistication of the deriatiesN market, which had begun emerging in

    the seenties"

    *aken together, these deelopments hae gien rise to a globally

    integrated financial marketplace in which entities in need of short! or

    long!term funding hae a much wider choice than before in terms of

    market segment, maturity, currency of denomination, interest rate basis,

    incorporating special features and so forth" *he same fle%ibility is

    aailable to inestors to structure their portfolios in line with their risk!

    return tradeoffs and e%pectations regarding interest rates, e%change rates,

    stock markets andcommodity prices"

    . -ist o't the gro5th an f'nctions of c'rrency markets

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 32

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    :hile opening up of the domestic markets began only around the end of

    seenties, a truly international financial market had already been born in

    the mid!fifties and gradually grown in si$e and scope during si%ties and

    seenties" *his refers to the well!known Qurocurrencies &arketN" It is the

    largest offshore market"

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    1" uring the 195;s, the erstwhile @00B was earning dollars from the

    sale of gold and other commodities and wanted to use them to buy

    grain and other products from the :est, mainly from the @0"

    Doweer, they did not want to keep these dollars on deposit with

    banks in .ew /ork, as they were apprehensie that the @0

    goernment might free$e the deposits if the cold war intensified" *hey

    approached banks in #ritain and rance who accepted these dollar

    deposits and inested them partly in @0"

    2" omestic banks in @0 (as in many other countries) were subEected

    to resere re+uirements, which meant that a part of their deposits were

    locked up in relatiely low yielding assets"

    3" *he importance of the dollar as a ehicle currency in international

    trade and finance increased, so many uropean corporations had cash

    flows in dollars and hence temporary dollar surpluses" ue to distance

    and time $one problems as well as their greater familiarity with

    uropean banks, these companies preferred to keep their surplus

    dollars in uropean banks, a choice made more attractie by the

    higher rates offered by uro banks"

    *he main factors behind the emergence and strong growth of the

    urodollar markets were the regulations on borrowers and lenders

    imposed by the @0 authorities which motiated both banks and

    borrowers to eole urodollar deposits and loans" dded to this are the

    considerations mentioned aboe, i$" the ability of uro banks to offer

    better rates both to the depositors and the borrowers and conenience of

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 34

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    dealing with a bank that is closer to home, who is familiar with business

    culture and practices in urope"

    0DCB* .C*0

    #. /articiants in International /ro*ect Financing a) Sonsors 3)

    -eners

    0ponsors

    *hese are partners in the proEect who bring in the e+uity capital or risk

    capital" #eing so, they are keenly interested in the successful completion

    of the proEect and shoulder maEor responsibilities as regards its e%ecution"

    *he fact that they bring in the e+uity capital is an indication of their

    interest" lso the amount of e+uity that they bring has a marked bearing

    on the e%tent of debt that can be raised for the proEect"

    0ometimes people who bring in the e+uity capital are Eust the initiators of

    the proEect" Included in this category are multinational firms, future

    buyers of products or serices of the proEect, the public or priate

    inestors, international organisations, deelopment banks etc"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 35

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    >enders

    *hey bring in the debt capital" inancing of a big proEect necessitates

    interention of a banking pool consortium composed of banks, national orinternational financial institutions, e%port financing institutions etc"

    =uarantors

    =uarantees maybe proided by banks, public financing organisations,

    international financial institutions, priate insurance companies etc"

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    financial risk are degree of indebtedness, the terms and conditions of

    repayment of debt and currency used"

    0ome proEects will hae e%penses and reenues that inole seeral

    currencies" s a result the e%change rate risk is ery high"

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    consumer preferences, etc" Ideally, a pure domestic firm is affected only

    by domestic economic conditions ! the domestic economic risk" Doweer,

    in today?s integrated world economy, the concept of a pure domestic firm

    has less practical releance" &any firms that appear strictly pure domestic

    confront foreign economic risk indirectly" ("g"6 local restaurantHdept

    store, real estate agent)

    4"

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    ! Identifying political risk and its likely conse+uences

    ! eeloping policies in adance to cope with the possibility of political

    risk

    ! 0trengthening a firm?s bargaining position

    ! eising measures to ma%imi$e compensation in the eent of

    e%propriation

    8ountry Bisk6 It refers to elements of risk inherent in doing business in

    the economic, social, and political enironment of another country"

    5" 8ounter party Bisk ! *he risk that a counter party will default on a

    financial obligation"

    " >i+uidity Bisk !*he risk that a financial position cannot be sold

    +uickly at preailing prices"

    -" eliery Bisk ! *he risk that a buyer will not delier payment of

    funds after a seller has deliered securities or foreign e%change that

    were purchased"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 39

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    7" Bolloer Bisk ! *he risk of being closed out from a financial market

    and unable to renew (or roll oer) a short!term contract"

    =. Cther risks ! Cther risks relate to the risk of cost oerruns and bad

    management"

    $. Financing of M+Cs in local or international market

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    2" In another type of financing, both the lender and the promoter share

    the risk" *he problem sometimes encountered in this method is todecide the proportion in which the risk is to be shared between two

    parties"

    2omestic 40s offshore markets

    inancial assets and liabilities denominated in a particular currency ! say

    the 0wiss ranc ! are traded are primarily in the national financial

    markets of that country" *hese financial markets are known as Qomestic

    &arketsN"

    In case of many conertible currencies they are traded in the financial

    markets outside the country of that currency" *hese financial markets are

    known as QCffshore &arketsN"

    :hile it is true that neither both markets will offer both the financing

    options nor any entity can access all segments of a particular market, it is

    true generally that a gien entity has an access to both the segments of the

    markets for placing as well as raising funds"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 41

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    *here are theories by e%perts that suggest that there are no two types of

    financial markets (vi$'omestic and offshore markets) but eerything is apart of single Q=lobal inancial &arketN"

    0imilarity

    %perts suggest that QarbitrageN will ensure that both these markets will be

    closely linked together in terms of costs of funding and returns on assets'

    ifferences

    #oth of these markets significantly differ on the QBegulatory dimensionN"

    &aEor segments of the domestic markets are subEect to strict superision

    by the releant authorities such as 08 in @0, &inistry of inance in

    apan and the 0wiss .ational #ank in 0wit$erland" *hese authorities

    regulate foreign (non!resident) entitiesN access to the public capital

    markets in their countries by laying down eligibility criteria, disclosure J

    accounting norms and registration J rating re+uirements (similarly for

    domestic banks, resere re+uirements and deposit insurance)"

    *he offshore markets on the other hand hae minimal regulation and

    often no registration"

    inally it must be noted that though the nature of regulation continues to

    distinguish omestic from the offshore markets, there are segments like

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 42

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    Cer the years, these markets hae eoled a ariety of instruments other

    than time deposits and short!term loans, e"g" certificates of deposit (8s),

    euro commercial paper (8

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS

    oreign #ond &arket and

    #ond &arket

    oreign #ond6 issue is one offered by a foreign borrower to the inestors

    in a national capital market and denominated in that nations currency" n

    e%ample is =erman &.8 issuing dollar denominated bonds to the @"0"

    inestors"

    #ond6 issue is one denominated in a particular currency but sold to

    inestors in national capital markets other than the country that issued the

    denominating currency" n e%ample is a utch borrower issuing &!

    denominated bonds to inestors in the @A, 0wit$erland and the

    .etherlands"

    MCOM B & F SEM-IV Page 45

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    INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS