internet royale - i.imho.czi.imho.cz/files/akce/180/filip-pieczynski-1.pdf · source of data: iab...
TRANSCRIPT
INTERNET ROYALE
The landscape after the recession and the benchmarks for CEE markets
Agent 007 business online intelligence.
Filip Pieczyński
INTERNET ROYALE
3
CEE: Market size & potential //
internet population in the CEE region (June 2011); source of data: Ukraine: gemiusAudience; Hungary: gemius/Ipsos Fusion Data; Latvia: gemiusAudience; Czech Republic: NetMonitor - SPIR - Mediaresearch & Gemius; Romania: Mercury Research; Slovakia: AIMmonitor - AIM – Mediaresearch & Gemius; Bulgaria: gemiusAudience (data collected using Synovate research);Poland: Megapanel PBI/Gemius; Slovenia:
gemusAudience; Turkey: IpsosKMG (data for July 2011); Russia: Gemius estimation based on FOM statistics/gemiusFusion Data; Estonia: gemiusAudience (data collected using TURU-UURINGUTE AS research); Lithuania: gemiusAudience; Croatia: Gemius/Valicon; Belarus: gemiusAudience; Romania: Euromonitor; Bosnia: gemiusAudience; Serbia: www.internetworldstats.com (June 2010) [age groups –
Lithuania, Poland: 7+; Czech Rep.: 10+; Croatia, Turkey: 12+; Estonia, Latvia,Hungary: 15+; Ukraine: 16+ Russia: 18+; Slovenia: 10-75; Slovakia: 14-79;Bosnia: 15-65; Bulgaria: 15-69; Belarus: 15-74]
INTERNET POPULATION (mm internet users / 2011)
The biggest pure
CEE markets are:
Russia (53.7 million internet users)
Poland (18.9 million internet users)
Turkey takes the second place in this ranking (24.5 million internet users)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mill
ion
s
June 2010
June 2011
4
CEE: Market size & potential //
INTERNET POPULATION (2010-2011 growth)
the whole CEE +16 million new internet users
Ukraine= fastest
growing market:
44% increase in the number of internet users
internet population in the CEE region – growth (June 2010 – June 2011); source of data: Hungary: gemius/Ipsos Fusion Data; Latvia: gemiusAudience; Czech Republic: NetMonitor - SPIR - Mediaresearch & Gemius; Romania: Mercury Research; Slovakia: AIMmonitor - AIM – Mediaresearch & Gemius; Bulgaria: gemiusAudience (data collected using Synovate research);Poland: Megapanel PBI/Gemius; Slovenia:
gemiusAudience; Turkey: Ipsos KMG; Russia: Gemius estimation based on FOM statistics/gemiusFusion Data;Estonia: gemiusAudience (data collected using TURU-UURINGUTE AS research); Lithuania: gemiusAudience; Croatia: Gemius/Valicon; Belarus: gemiusAudience; Romania: Euromonitor; Bosnia: gemiusAudience; [age groups – Lithuania, Poland: 7+; Czech Rep.: 10+; Croatia, Turkey: 12+; Estonia,
Latvia, Hungary: 15+; Ukraine: 16+ Russia: 18+; Slovenia: 10-75; Slovakia: 14-79;Bosnia: 15-65; Bulgaria: 15-69; Belarus: 15-74]
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
5
CEE: Market size & potential //
INTERNET PENETRATION (2010-2011 change)
Smallest markets
the highest penetration level
Eastern markets
the lowest penetration level
Belarus
the greatest improvement:
+16 percentage points
Internet penetration in the CEE region (2010 – 2011); source of data: Ukraine: gemiusAudience; Hungary: gemius/Ipsos Fusion Data; Latvia: gemiusAudience; Czech Republic: NetMonitor - SPIR - Mediaresearch & Gemius; Romania: Mercury Research; Slovakia: AIMmonitor - AIM – Mediaresearch & Gemius; Bulgaria: gemiusAudience (data collected using Synovate research); Poland: Megapanel
PBI/Gemius; Slovenia: gemiusAudience; Turkey: Ipsos KMG; Russia: Gemius estimation based on FOM statistics/gemiusFusion Data; Estonia: gemiusAudience (data collected using TURU-UURINGUTE AS research); Lithuania: gemiusAudience; Croatia: Gemius/Valicon; Belarus: gemiusAudience; Romania: Euromonitor; Bosnia: gemiusAudience; Serbia: www.internetworldstats.com (June 2010) [age groups –
Lithuania, Poland: 7+; Czech Rep.: 10+; Croatia, Turkey: 12+; Estonia, Latvia, Hungary: 15+; Ukraine: 16+ Russia: 18+; Slovenia: 10-75; Slovakia: 14-79;Bosnia: 15-65; Bulgaria: 15-69; Belarus: 15-74]
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
2010
2011
6
CEE: Market size & potential //
BROADBAND PENETRATION
Data source: Eurostat
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Bro
db
and
co
nn
ect
ion
s p
er
10
0 in
hab
itan
ts
Broadband penetration 2010
Only a few CEE markets match the EU average when it comes to
broadband penetration.
Still there are CEE markets much worse in these terms than the worst Western markets.
7
CEE: Market size & potential //
ONLINE AS SHARE OF TOTAL
Source of data: ZenithOptimedia Group, AEF July 2011
The share of online in total adspend in CEE countries is
much lower than in most countries of
Western Europe.
Still, it is comparable or higher than
Meditteranean
markets, with Portugal as the best example.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
8
CEE: Market size & potential //
ONLINE ADSPENDS (mm € / 2009-2010 change)
Russians, Poles and Czechs spend the
biggest amount of money on internet advertising
Slovakia opens
the group of small markets
online adpends in the CEE region (2009-2010); source of data: IAB Europe, TNS LT, SPIR, ZenithOptimedia, Gemius. All countries except for Ukraine, Belarus and Serbia: gross values
€ 0
€ 100
€ 200
€ 300
€ 400
€ 500
€ 600
€ 700
€ 800
Mill
ion
s
2009
2010
9
CEE: Market size & potential //
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
ONLINE ADSPENDS PER INTERNET USER (€ / 2010)
Within the ranking of online adspends per user the Czech Republic is the undisputed leader
the least money per average user last year was spent in Serbia (2.04€)
online adpends per internet user in the CEE region (2010); source of data: IAB Europe, TNS LT, SPIR, ZenithOptimedia, Gemius. All countries except Ukraine, Belarus and Serbia: gross values
10
CEE: Market size & potential //
Scandinavian
countries have experienced the
biggest development
when it comes to online video ads.
Nevertheless, Poland
and Slovakia as typical
CEE countries are not left behind in terms of online video market size.
Source of data: IAB Europe, AdEx 2010
VIDEO ADSPENDS
0% 100% 200% 300% 400% 500%
Norway
Sweden
Poland
Spain
UK
Video spend increase 2009-2010
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%
Sweden
UK
Slovakia
Netherlands
Poland
Norway
Spain
Romania
Video spend as % of online display
11
CEE: Market size & potential //
ADSPENDS IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
According to
SPIR and IAB Europe, the online adspends in this market have experienced a big
2009-2010 growth of over 24.2% and now account to over
300 mio. €, which is
21 % of overall adspend.
Data source: IAB Europe, SPIR
56.9%
56.3%
6.1%
6.7%
12.3%
12.5%
24.8%
24.5%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2009
2010
Online adspend split: Czech Republic
standard display
non-standard display
directories
search & context
12
CEE: Market size & potential //
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
13
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
BROWSERS
The increase in
Chrome’s popularity is apparent in the CEE region. Firefox is still holding a stable good position with 1/3 share of the market. Chrome is similarly popular in Czech Republic, but the decrease pace of leading browsers (MSIE and Firefox) is slower than average.
Data source: gemiusTraffic
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Browsers in CEE
Firefox
MSIE
Chrome
Opera
Safari
0 5
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
%
Browsers in Czech Republic
MSIE
Opera
Firefox
Chrome
SafariMobile
14
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
SEARCH ENGINES – DOMINATION?
Boring… Data source: gemiusTraffic
0
20
40
60
80
100
Google MSN Yahoo
%
Hungary
0
20
40
60
80
100
Google MSN Yandex
Lithuania
0
20
40
60
80
100
Google NetSprint MSN
Poland
Search engines in:
15
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
MEANWHILE IN RUSSIA… Yandex – from Russia with love With large fundings acquired thanks to former successful stock investments, Yandex is
now entering CEE markets as a strong
player and a possible threat to Google. Among other markets, only in Czech Republic has a local player long remained successful –
Seznam is now in the middle of its struggle against Google.
Data source: gemiusTraffic
0
20
40
60
80
100
Yandex Google Rambler
Russia
0
20
40
60
80
100
Yandex Google MSN
%
Belarus
Search engines in:
16
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
MOBILE DEVICES
Mobile sector is still under development when compared to Western markets, but it is developing rapidly. The mobile boom is still yet to come in some of the CEE markets (e.g. Bulgaria).
Data source: gemiusTraffic, 08.2011
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8%
Denmark
Slovakia
Poland
Russia
Czech Republic
Ukraine
Slovenia
Hungary
Bulgaria
% of pageviews from mobile devices
17
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
TOP 5 MOBILE DEVICES IN CZECH REPUBLIC
Apple iPad 22%
Apple iPhone
14.8%
Samsung Galaxy S II
3.45%
Samsung Galaxy S
2.5%
Samsung Galaxy Ace
2.5%
top 5 mobile devices in Czech Republic by the website-averaged percentage share of page views generated by internet users from Czech Republic,
who visit the Hungarian websites using gemiusTraffic (gemiusTraffic, October 2010)
iPad is the
most popular mobile device in Czech Republic
but market share of
Samsung
products is getting bigger
18
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
MORE MOBILE FACTS…
there is almost
2.5 mio. mobile
internet users in Czech Republic, which amounts
to appr. 20% of
population
2 out of 3 users
access mobile internet on a regular basis
Source of data: apms
most mobile users (40%)
are in T-Mobile web
19
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
FOR YOUR EYES ONLY… STREAM MEASUREMENT
63
80
20
40
60
80
100
08.2010 08.2011
Mill
ion
s
Opened streams The number of monthly opened streams has
significantly risen throughout the year. Time spent per
user is much bigger in gaming though
than in video.
01:50:00
00:40:11
00:23:17
00:06:20
10:09:53
00:00:00 01:12:00 02:24:00 03:36:00 04:48:00 06:00:00 07:12:00 08:24:00 09:36:00 10:48:00
Nova
Stream
Idnes
Sport
Geewa
Average time spent per user, 08.2011
Source: gemiusStream, SPIR – MEDIARESEARCH&Gemius. Opened streams: Geewa, Idnes, Nova, Stream taken into analysis.
20
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
FOR YOUR EYES ONLY… NOT FOR YOUR BOSS.
435
358
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Average weekday Average weekend day
Tho
usa
nd
s
Stream users, 08.2011 Apparently, streaming
attracts more users during a
regular
weekday
than on weekends. Any troubles with concentration
at work?
Source: gemiusStream, SPIR – MEDIARESEARCH&Gemius
21
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
SOCIAL MEDIA – FACEBOOK USERS IN EUROPE (mm users / 2011)
Surprisingly Turkey is
Facebook’s biggest European market according to Social Bakers.
Former East-block markets still have a growth potential
for Facebook but local players hold strong positions.
www.socialbakers.com
0
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30
35
April 2011
October 2011
22
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
0
5
10
15
20
25
FACEBOOK USERS GROWTH IN THE LAST 6 MONTHS (%)
Facebook’s growth pace is
way stronger in the east than in the west.
In Russia domestic social networks are prevailing.
www.socialbakers.com
23
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
Source of data: NetMonitor – SPIR/Mediaresearch/Gemius
In Czech Republic, the popularity of domestic social networks is on a decrease. According to Socialbakers,
Facebook gained more
than 200,000 Czech users in 5 months and is now reaching 3.5 mio. users.
SOCIAL NETWORKS – Czech Republic
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2,0
Mill
ion
s R
U
Social networks in Czech Republic
blog.cz
lide.cz
spoluzaci.cz
idnes.cz-Rajce.net
libimseti.cz
24
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
SOCIAL NETWORKS - Poland
Different situation in Poland.
The Polish giant, nk.pl, has managed to keep a stable position for a year.
On the other hand,
Facebook is rapidly gaining popularity – in a year it gained almost
50% users.
The winner will be for
sure known in 2012.
Source of data: Megapanel PBI/Gemius
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Mill
ion
s R
U
Poland - clash of the social titans
nk.pl
facebook.com
25
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
GOOGLE+
• Cost to build Google+: 585 million USD • 500 employees working to build • 50 million users in 88 days • Mark Zuckerberg is the most popular person on Google +
(almost 600,000 contacts)
Source of data: Identyme.com
26
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
ONLINE GAMING
In Poland, the online gaming sector has retained a stable strong position. Interestingly, despite very optimistic forecasts, no visible further growth was observed. The Czech gaming sector seems to have obtained
more dynamics.
Source of data: NetMonitor – SPIR/Mediaresearch/Gemius, Megapanel PBI/Gemius
10,0
10,2
10,4
10,6
10,8
11,0
11,2
11,4
11,6
07.2010 07.2011
Mill
ion
s R
U
Online gaming in Poland
750
800
850
900
950
1 000
07.2010 07.2011
Tho
usa
nd
s
Online gaming in Czech Republic
27
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
ANGRY BIRDS
• 350 million downloads • 300 million combined minutes each day playing on mobile platforms • short film series about Angry Birds was viewed over 170 million
times on YouTube • It all happened in just 23 months – first release of Angry Birds was in
December 2009
Source of data: rovio.com
28
INTERNET ROYALE
CEE: Market highlights //
Source of data: Grupon, Tweeter, Zynga
LICENCE TO KILL
COMMERCE
INFORMATION SHARING GAMING
51 MM Subscribers +25% Y/Y
253 MM Unique visitors +85% Y/Y 130 MM +
monthly active users +15% Y/Y
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1
0 1 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1
0 1 0 1 0 0 1
01101
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