interstate pipelines | exploration & production | midstream www
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Interstate Pipelines | Exploration & Production | Midstream
www.elpaso.com | NYSE: EP
Fiji GeorgeFiji GeorgePresented to Carnegie EndowmentWashington D.C.May 19, 2011
D E P E N D A B L E N A T U R A L G A S
This presentation includes forward‐looking statements and projections, made in reliance on the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The company has made every reasonable effort to ensure that the information and assumptions on which these statements and projections are based are current, reasonable, and complete. However, a variety of factors could cause actual results to differ materially from the projections, anticipated results or other expectations expressed in this presentation including without limitation the successful implementation of the 2003expressed in this presentation, including, without limitation, the successful implementation of the 2003 operational and financial plan; the successful implementation of the settlement related to the western energy crisis; actions by the credit rating agencies; the successful close of financing transactions; our ability to successfully exit the energy trading business; our ability to divest of certain non‐core assets; changes in commodity prices for oil, natural gas, and power; general economic and weather conditions in geographic regions or markets served by El Paso Corporation and its affiliates, or where operations of the company and its affiliates are located; the uncertainties associated with governmental regulation;the company and its affiliates are located; the uncertainties associated with governmental regulation; the uncertainties associated with the outcome of governmental investigations; political and currency risks associated with international operations of the company and its affiliates; inability to realize anticipated synergies and cost savings associated with restructurings and divestitures on a timely basis; difficulty in integration of the operations of previously acquired companies, competition, and other factors described in the company's (and its affiliates') Securities and Exchange Commission filings. While h k h d j i i d f i h i h h ithe company makes these statements and projections in good faith, neither the company nor its management can guarantee that anticipated future results will be achieved. Reference must be made to those filings for additional important factors that may affect actual results. The company assumes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward‐looking statements made herein or any other forward‐looking statements made by the company, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.
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,
the place to work the neighbor to have the company to own
EL PASO PIPELINE GROUP—the nation's leading interstate natural gas pipeline franchise transporting more than a quarter of the natural gas consumed in the country each day through a 42,000 mile interstate natural gas pipeline system.g p p y
EL PASO EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION COMPANY—a leading domestic natural gas producer with a substantial footprint in the emerging shale plays across the U.S. and international developments in Brazil andinternational developments in Brazil and Egypt. Active in all phases of the E&P value chain: exploring for, acquiring, developing and producing natural gas and oil.
EL PASO MIDSTREAM GROUP—well iti d t t di id tpositioned to meet expanding midstream
needs by leveraging the extensive experience of El Paso's pipeline and E&P business units. Focused on optimizing the pace of infrastructure development in new plays, growing the asset portfolio through new projects and strategic acquisitions and
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new projects and strategic acquisitions, and delivering cost‐effective, execution‐focused midstream solutions.
Natural gas is the most environmentallyNatural gas is the most environmentally friendly fossil fuel
Uncertainty related to methane emissions
Incentive for all stakeholders to minimize th i imethane emissions
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Carbon Content
Increasing:Wood
C l
Carbon Content
Solid HighHigh Cleanliness
Energy efficiency
Technological
CoalSolid
Liquid
HighHigh
MediumMediumOilTechnologicalsophistication
Gas LowLow
ZeroZero
Natural gas
ZeroZeroHydrogen
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EconomyEconomy EnvironmentEnvironmentyy
EnergyEnergyEnergyEnergySecuritySecurity
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Renewables & Others14%
2035 US Energy Consumption (114 Quads) ‐ 79% Fossil Fuel Based Economy
2010 US Energy Consumption(97.7 Quads)‐ 84% Fossil Fuel Based Economy
Oil33%
Nuclear8%
14%
Emissions = 6311MMt CO2e
Natural Gas
Nuclear9%
Renewables & Others7%
Natural Gas24%
Coal21%
Consumption = 27.5 QBtu
Oil38%
Coal21%
Emissions = 5643 MM t CO2e
Natural Gas Consumption
2035 US Energy Consumption with GHG Pricing (107 Quads) ‐ 75% Fossil Fuel Based Economy
?Source: AEO2011, Reference Case
21% Natural Gas Consumption = 24.5 Q
Oil38%
Nuclear10%
Renewables & Others15%
Emissions = 4635Natural Gas
25%
Source: AEO 2011, April 2011 (Reference Case)
38%
Coal9%
10% Emissions = 4635 MMt CO2e
Natural Gas Consumption = 30.44 Q
Natural Gas28%
Source: AEO 2011, GHG Price Economywide case
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Quads or QBtu= Quadrillion Btus (1015 Btu)
Source: AEP May 2011
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Source: FERC, April 2011Source: AEP, May 2011
120 GW
140 GW
80 GW
100 GW
y at risk
47 GWMedian:
20 GW
40 GW
60 GW
Capacit
Up to 3P + Ash + Water + CO2
U t 3P A h W t
0 GW
20 GW
rren
t)
2020
)
2020
)
2017
)
2015
)
2015
)
2015
)
2030
)
2020
)
2015
)
2018
)
2020
)
2015
)
Up to 3P + Ash + Water
Up to 3P
INGAA (C
ur
EEI (2
onsultant A (2
redit Suisse (2
Bernstein (2
onsultant B (2
NERC (2
onsultant C (2
attle
Group
(2
CRA (2
onsultant D (2
EIA (2
EPA (2
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Source: El Paso compilation of individual reports
Co C Co C Bra
Co
Author (target date)
$300
$350 Transmission Investment
$200
$250
Wh
Variable O&M (including fuel)
Fixed O&M
Levelized Capital Cost
$100
$150 $/MW Levelized Capital Cost
$0
$50
CC CC ro CC
oal
nd mal CT oal ss ed
ar CT oal
PV re
mal
Advanced NGC
NGC
Hyd
Advanced NGC
with
CCS
onventional Co
Win
Geo
therm
Advanced C
Advanced Co
Biom
a
Advanc e
Nuclea
Conventio
nal C
Advanced Co
with
CCS
Solar P
Wind ‐o
ffsho
Solar Therm
10Source: EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2011Note: EIA projects Henry Hub gas prices of $4.5/MMBtu in 2011, rising to $7.2/MMBtu in 2035 in 2009 dollars
A A
Co
C
Production = Gathering and Processing =
Transportation and Storage
End‐users ~ 20 9 tcf
~20.5 tcf (dry)Processing =
~15.9 tcf
Storage 20.9 tcf delivered
Industrials and Power PlantsProcessing Plant
Compressor
Imports = ~3.7 tcf
Local Distribution Companies
Compressor Station
• Over 493,000 Gas Wells
• ~14,000 operators
•173 “large” operators account for ~78% of gas
• Gathering Pipelines• Pipelines
• 60 interstate
LNG/ Propane Air PlantUnderground
Storage Fields
LNG Terminals Exports‐ ~1 tcf
78% of gas production
• 467 “intermediate” operators ‐ ~15.6%
• ~ 13,000 ‐i i
• Processing Plants
•~530 plants
• ~720 MMbbl
• 60 interstate pipelines and 72 intrastate
•123 storage operators
• Over 1200 LDCs
•65% of gas delivered
• Utilities/ Power Plants
• Industrials
f f d k
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remaining • 0.6 tcf feedstock
100 Year‐SAR Natural Gas System20 Yr‐AR4
Natural Gas System Methane
Emissions3%
System Methane Emissions
9%
Other USOther US Other US Other US Other US Other US Total GHG Total GHG EmissionsEmissions
97%97%
Total GHG Total GHG EmissionsEmissions
91%91%
Methane emissions from natural gas systems areMethane emissions from natural gas systems are
1233‐‐9% of the total U.S. GHG emissions9% of the total U.S. GHG emissions
Methane Emissions from Natural Gas Systems
Sources with the Largest Changes in Emissions1
221.2
Systems (MM tonnes CO2e)
2008 2009
in Emissions1
130.3 16%
Well Clean Up
Well Workovers
Unconventional Well
39.429.9
96.4
44.429
51%
7%2%
16%
Completions
Condensate Tanks
Compressors Seals
14.1 13 17.5
Production Processing Transmission and Storage
Distribution Natural Gas Systems Total
8%
7% Others
13Approximately a 130% increase in methane emissions from natural gas systems
1 Expressed as a percentage of the total methane emissions inventory for 2009 natural gas productionSource: EPA
Life‐Cycle Emissions (lbs. CO e/MWh)Lif l i i (lb
26722791
CO2e/MWh)New NGCC (6543 Btu/Kwh) or 52%
Inefficient Coal (11,377 Btu/kWh or 30%)
Life‐cycle Emissions (lbs. CO2e/MMBtu)
Natural Gas Coal
1349
2502
147
182206
222238
249
9631190
1349147
IPCC 4AR (25) IPCC 4AR(72) Shindell et al (105)IPCC 4AR (25) IPCC 4AR(72) Shindell et al (105)
Life cycle emissions for natural gas is A new gas‐fired plant emits about 50‐60
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Life cycle emissions for natural gas is about 17‐35 percent lower than coal on a heat input basis
g ppercent less GHGs than a coal plant on a life‐cycle basis
Source: El Paso analysis.
4 65.3
SO2 and NOx (NETL, 2010)PC SCPC NGCC
0.0001144
Mercury (NETL, 2010)NGCC PC SCPC
4.6
0 7 0.80 80.7 0.80.8
0.03
NOx SO2
1.298E‐079.9E‐06
Mercury
In addition to GHG benefits, NETL estimates the non‐GHG benefits of natural gas has over 99% lower SO2 and mercury life‐cycle intensities and about 82% lower
NOx relative to a pulverized coal unit
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2020
Methane Reductions (tonnes CO2e)
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18
16
18
10
12
14
10
12
14
dred
s
lions
4
6
8
4
6
8 Hun
d
Mil
0
2
0
2
Total EPA Gas STAR Total Efficiency Savings Aerial FLIR 2010 Savings
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Source: Emissions Computed based on a Global Warming Potential of 21 for Methane and 96% methane in natural gas
('93‐'10)y g
('04‐'11)g
('10 data)
0.50%
El Paso Pipeline LAUF - 2008 and 2009
0.30%
0.40% LAUF/Mo - All Pipes
0.10%
0.20%
LAUF
Dth
%
0.00%
-0.20%
-0.10%
Jan-
08
Feb-
08
Mar
-08
Apr-0
8
May
-08
Jun-
08
Jul-0
8
Aug-
08
Sep-
08
Oct
-08
Nov
-08
Dec
-08
Jan-
09
Feb-
09
Mar
-09
Apr-0
9
May
-09
Jun-
09
Jul-0
9
Aug-
09
Sep-
09
Oct
-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
2008 2009
17LAUF ≠ Emissions. A significant portion of the LAUF is associated with metering errors, not
emissions
-0.30%
M A M A
Abundant natural gas supplies have resulted in lower gas g pp gprices and therefore may gain a greater role in the future energy mix
EPA estimates indicate ~130% increase in methane emissions PA estimates indicate 30% increase in methane emissionsmainly due to revised accounting practices
Concerns about accuracy of estimates
N t l h 33% l GHG lif l GHG i i thNatural gas has 33% lower GHG life cycle GHG emissions than coal on a heat input basis
NGCC has 50‐60% lower GHG emissions than a coal plant
NGCC maintains its advantage with respect to otherair pollutants
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Companies like El Paso have expended significant effortsCompanies like El Paso have expended significant efforts in reducing methane
Emission estimates should improve with theEmission estimates should improve with theSubpart W compliance reports
Incentive for all stakeholders to minimize methane emissions
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Interstate Pipelines | Exploration & Production | Midstream
www.elpaso.com | NYSE: EP
Fiji GeorgeFiji GeorgePresented to Carnegie EndowmentWashington D.C.May 19, 2011
D E P E N D A B L E N A T U R A L G A S