introduction – dave leggett · europe's 'squeezed middle' premium brands encroach,...
TRANSCRIPT
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Introduction – Dave Leggett
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The 'growth paradox'
Global light vehicle sales forecast at
81m units in 2012, +5.5%. Another
record.
Growth of emerging markets, US
coming back
Western Europe in economic crisis and
car markets tanking; overcapacity
Fixing Europe's economy will take time
No shortage of gloom in Paris
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The European market 'problem'
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Car sales decline is uneven, but overall trend is down
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Europe's 'squeezed middle'
Premium brands encroach, Asians rise
Selected shares % 2001 2012 (H1)Groups
Fiat 9.6 6.8Ford 8.8 7.9GM 10.2 8.3PSA 14.4 12.3Renault 10.6 8.3VW 18.9 23.7BMW 3.7 6.3Japanese brands 10.4 11.9Korean brands 2.8 3.7
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“It is a question of survival for many manufacturers who are struggling to sustain the
same level of capacity as in pre-crisis times.”
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Where do we go from here?
More plant closures look inevitable
Other forms of industrial restructuring?
GM and PSA...
Scenario 1: Eurozone crisis eases...US-style 'pent-up demand' recovery?
2014 and beyond
Scenario 2: Eurozone crisis worsens
Currency break-up; banking sector problems; recovery put back further
OEMs also influence their future... with new product
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Glenn Brooks
Editor of New & Future Vehicle Programmes
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Jaguar
F-TYPE
2013:
C-X75 supercar?
XK replacement
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Land Rover
Range Rover
2013:
LWB Range Rover
Range Rover Sport
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Volvo
V40 Cross Country
2013:
V60 D6 (diesel hybrid), 1,000 cars to start with
S60 & V60 facelifts
S80 facelift
V70 facelift
XC70 facelift
C70 dies
XC60 facelift
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Suzuki
S-Cross concept
2013:
S-Cross production model
(Nissan Qashqai rival)
SX4 replacement
Swift facelift
Honda Mazda
CR-V
2013:
CR-V 1.6 i-DTEC
Civic wagon
Mazda6 wagon & diesel engine
MX-5 facelift
2013:
Mazda2
Mazda3
Mazda5 facelift
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Fiat
Freemont 2.4
Panda 4x4, Natural Power
& Trekking
2013:
500 & 500C facelifts
500e
500X
500XL
Bravo replacement
Punto replacement
Lancia Alfa Romeo
2013:
Flavia Cabrio replacement
D-Crossover?
Delta replacement?
2013:
4C
Kamal crossover (‘C-SUV’ / Audi Q5 rival)
MiTo facelift
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Jeep
2013:
Jeepster (‘B-SUV’/ twinned with Fiat 500X)
Cherokee
Grand Cherokee facelift
Wrangler facelift
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Hyundai
i30 three-door
ix35 Fuel Cell
2013:
i10 replacement
Volt / Prius PHEV rival
(range extender EV)
ix20 facelift
Veloster facelift
Rebodied Carens?
Kia
Carens
pro_cee’d
Sorento facelift
2013:
Soul
Optima & Optima Hybrid facelifts
Sportage facelift
Venga facelift
Picanto facelift
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Mercedes-Benz
B 200 Natural Gas Drive
B-Class Electric Drive concept
SLS AMG GT
SLS AMG Electric Drive
2013:
CLA-Class
GLA-Class
S-Class sedan, LWB & coupe
E-Class facelift
smart
forstars concept
2013:
fortwo & fortwo electric drive
forfour & forfour electric drive
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BMW
Concept Active Tourer
2013:
0 Series & 0 Series GT
2 Series (replacements for 1 Series Coupe & Convertible)
M3
4 Series (replacements for 3 Series Coupe & Convertible) & M4
5 Series & 5 Series GT facelifts
5 Series Plug-in Hybrid
M5 facelift
i3
i8
X3 facelift
X4
X5 & X7
Mini
John Cooper Works GP
Paceman
2013:
Mini
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Toyota
Auris five-door, hybrid & Tourer
Verso facelift
2013:
Auris Tourer (production from mid-2013)
Avensis
Aygo
RAV4
iQ facelift
Land Cruiser Prado facelift
Prius facelift
Verso-S facelift
Lexus
LF-CC concept
2013:
IS & IS C replacements
CT 200h facelift
GS 300h
PX (RAV4-based Audi Q5 rival)
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Renault
Clio
Espace & Grand Espace facelifts
2013:
Clio Captur (crossover, also replaces Modus)
Fluence & Z.E. facelifts
Latitude facelift
Mégane Scénic & Mégane Grand Scénic facelifts
Twingo & Twingo Z.E.
Wind facelift
Dacia
Logan & Sandero
2013:
Duster facelift
Logan MCV replacement
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Nissan
TeRRA SUV concept
2013:
Juke facelift
Leaf facelift
Micra facelift
Murano
Note
e-NV 200 (Barcelona-built from 2013)
(no new Pathfinder for Europe)
Qashqai
X-Trail
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Opel/Vauxhall
Adam
2013:
Adam cabriolet
Cascada
Insignia facelift
Meriva facelift
RAK e?
VXR8
Chevrolet Ford
Orlando Turbo
Spark facelift
Trax
2013:
Camaro facelift
Corvette
Orlando facelift
Spark BEV (plug-in)
Fiesta facelift
Mondeo (but will not be in
dealers until late 2014)
Tourneo Connect
2013:
C-MAX & Grand C-MAX facelift
(or delayed until 2014
production switch?)
EcoSport
Edge?
Focus facelift
Ka facelift
Mustang?
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Peugeot
208 GTI & 208 XY
301
807 facelift
2008 concept
Onyx concept
RCZ facelift & R concept
2013:
108
508 facelift
2008
3008 facelift
3008 HYbrid4 Plug-in
5008 facelift
BB1?
Citroën
C3 Picasso facelift
C8 facelift
C-Elysée
DS3 Cabrio
DS3 Electrum concept
2013:
C1
DS1?
C4 facelift
DS3 facelift
DS9 (C6 replacement)
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Audi
A3 Sportback
Q2 Crosslane Coupe concept
(previews new SUV for 2015)
RS 5 Cabriolet
S3
SQ5 TDI exclusive concept
2013:
A1 facelift
A3 sedan & cabrio
S3 Sportback
Q6
Q7
R8 e-tron?
TT
SEAT Škoda
Leon five-door
Toledo
2013:
Exeo
Leon three-door and ST
Alhambra facelift
Tribu
Rapid
2013:
Fabia facelift
Octavia
Roomster
Superb facelift
Yeti facelift
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Volkswagen
Golf
Golf GTI concept
Golf BlueMotion concept
2013:
Amarok facelift
e-Golf
Golf Hybrid
Passat
Passat Hybrid
Phaeton
Polo facelift
Scirocco facelift
Sharan facelift
Touran
Touareg facelift
Tiguan
XL1 (‘one litre car’)
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Q&A session
You will be emailed details of PLDB – just-auto's low-cost, model-level database showing the production life of 1563 current and future models produced globally by 189 brands from 98 OEMs.
An audio-visual version of the presentation will be available at: www.just-auto.com/webinars
Within 48 hours we will also email you a link to the recorded version of the webinar, including the Q&A session.
Please check www.just-auto.com/webinars for details of upcoming webinars.
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Thank you for joining us
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