introduction the following chapter will review: –overview –model assumptions –the cost...
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IntroductionIntroduction
The following chapter will review:
– Overview– Model assumptions– The Cost Proposal & Evaluation– Payments methodology– Financial Incentives/Disincentives – Savings Calculation & Profit
OverviewOverview
Financial Model – ObjectivesFinancial Model – Objectives
• Reduction of welfare expenditure
• Reduction in income assurance recipients
• Transfer of resources from welfare payments to work support services
• Allocation of risk in welfare expenditure growth to operators
Financial Model – GuidelinesFinancial Model – Guidelines
• Ability to measure and monitor the investment and expenditure
• Simple measurement of performance• Quality incentives• Enhancement of the employment test
Welfare
Payments
100%
Welfare
Payments
100%
Welfare
Payments
100%
Welfare
Payments
65%
Cost of Center
Cost of Center
SavingsGovernment
Investment
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%110%120%130%140%150%160%
Currentexpenditure
Full Cost - Nosavings
Requiredbudget - 35%
savings
Resources
Budget FrameBudget Frame
Financial Model – Financial Model – MethodologyMethodology
• Fixed budget frame• Financing the operation from the savings in
welfare payments• Managerial flexibility• Simplicity
– Performance measurement– Monitoring and control
Welfare
Operations and services
Start up
Financial Model – Methodology Financial Model – Methodology ContCont..
• Geographical responsibility• Focus on long-term solutions
– Risk Mitigation• Risk mitigation for the operator• Risk mitigation for the
government– Community impact
Geographical ResponsibilityGeographical Responsibility
1. We draw a line around 3,500 current recipients
2. A job center is given an area for operating
3. All Applicants in the area who are in the target population must claim their benefits at the job center
3,500 recipientsResponsibility area
Regional Risk ManagementRegional Risk Management
For each job center:• The operator is responsible for all participants
that reside in the area• All new applicants must apply for their benefits
at the job center• The operator is responsible for the
reduction/growth of income assurance payments to recipients in the area
• Failure to meet expenditure reduction objectives will result in penalties to the operator
Model AssumptionsModel Assumptions
AssumptionsAssumptions
• Population– Initial population - 3,500 income assurance
recipients who are subject to employment test. – Without reform, implementation growth in
recipients is - 0% annually• Welfare Payments
– Calculated at approximately NIS 138 million per job center for 24 months
Assumptions Assumptions ContCont..
• The program will include the following caseload reduction ingredients:– Personal details verification– Diversion– Mandatory full work week assimilation– Compliance as a condition for eligibility
Financial Model – Minimal Financial Model – Minimal RequirementsRequirements
• The Operators of the Job Centers must:
– Reduce expenditure on income assurance in region by at least 35%
– Meet monthly expenditure reduction goals
– Reduce the number of households dependent on income assurance in region by 40%
₪ 0
₪ 1,000,000
₪ 2,000,000
₪ 3,000,000
₪ 4,000,000
₪ 5,000,000
₪ 6,000,000
₪ 7,000,000
Benefit “Inventory”= 3,500 Participants X Average Benefit in the Region
Minimum expenditure reduction requirement
35%
Welfare Expenditure Reduction Welfare Expenditure Reduction GraphGraph
Maximum Benefits Paid NIS 4m
Resources and UtilizationResources and UtilizationResourcesResource Utilization
Income assurance Payments At the Signature Date
(according to NII figures)
+
Income assurance Payments to Participants
Start Up Costs
Operational Costs
Work Support Services
Balancing Budget(In order that
sufficient resources will be available for operation operator
must reduce government
expenditure by at least 35%)
Margin
Government Operator(Community)
Cost Proposal & EvaluationCost Proposal & Evaluation
Cost Proposal in the RFPCost Proposal in the RFPMonth12345678
Projected Welfare Payments
Reduction in Expenditure6%14%26%30%33%34%35%36%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
Month910111213141516
Projected Welfare Payments
Reduction in Expenditure36%37%38%38%39%39%39%40%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
Month1718192021222324
Projected Welfare Payments
Reduction in Expenditure40%40%40%40%40%40%40%40%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
Cost ProposalCost Proposal
EntryBid ABid BUpper Limit
Profit Sharing proposal (%)
103040
Start – Up costs₪5 M₪ 8 M₪ 10 M
Operational Costs₪ 20 M₪ 30 M₪ 33.5 M
Work Support Services₪ 20 M₪ 25 M₪ 27 M
Total₪ 45 M₪ 65 M₪ 70.5 M
Example
Cost Proposal EvaluationCost Proposal Evaluation
• Proposed allocation of savings between operator and government (rate)
• Proposed operating cost (operation + services)
• Bidder will not be able to exceed the figures in the proposal
Update At Contract Update At Contract SignatureSignature
• Regional income assurance payments adjustment–Adjustment of budgeted welfare payments to match regional data
–Conducted according to the average regional welfare expense of the three months preceding contract signature
Update Following Contract Signature – Update Following Contract Signature – Government Base Case ProjectionsGovernment Base Case Projections
Month12345678
Projected Welfare Payments
Reduction in Expenditure6%14%26%30%33%34%35%36%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
Month910111213141516
Projected Welfare Payments
Reduction in Expenditure36%37%38%38%39%39%
39%40%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
Average expense on income assurance in the region for last 3 months= NIS 5.7 M
5,700 – 6%= 5358
5700
5358
Update Following Contract Signature – Update Following Contract Signature – Government Base Case ProjectionsGovernment Base Case Projections
Month910111213141516
Projected Welfare Payments
Reduction in Expenditure36%37%38%38%39%39%39%40%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
Month12345678
Projected Welfare Payments5700570
0570
0570
05700570
0570
0570
0
Reduction in Expenditure6%14%26%30%33%34%35%
36%
Target for actual Welfare Payments5358
4902
4218
39903819
3762
3705
3648
Update Following Contract Signature – Update Following Contract Signature – Government Base Case ProjectionsGovernment Base Case Projections
Month12345678
Projected Welfare Payments570
0570
0570
0570
0570
0570
0570
05700
Reduction in Expenditure6%14%26%30%33%34%35%36%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
5358
4902
4218
3990
3819
3762
37053648 Month910111213141516
Projected Welfare Payments5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
Reduction in Expenditure36%37
%38%38%39%39%39%40%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
3648
3591
3534
3534
3477
3477
3477
3420
Month1718192021222324
Projected Welfare Payments5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
5700
57005700
Reduction in Expenditure40
%40%40%40%40%40%40%40%
Target for actual Welfare Payments
3420
3420
3420
3420
3420
3420
34203420
PaymentsPayments
Payments of Start Up CostsPayments of Start Up Costs
• Payments are made according to the bid• Schedule:
– Down payment of 10% of the start up bid following contract signature
– Six equal monthly payments start at 3rd month– Down payment reduced from the sixth
payment– Payments are subject to withholding and
liquidated damages should the operator fail to meet milestones
Month No.
DatePayment
Start up period
11 January, 2005
Following Contract Signature Down payment - 10% of start up cost
according to bid
21
February,2005
No payment
31March,2005
1/6 of start up costs
41 April, 2005
1/6 of start up costs
51 May,2005
1/6 of start up costs
61 June, 2005
1/6 of start up costs
Operational period
11 July, 2005
1/6 of start up costs
21 August, 2005
1/6 of start up costs – reduction of down payment
Payments at Operational Payments at Operational PeriodPeriod• Payments for operational costs:
– Made according to the bid• Include:
– Placement & training– Personnel– Overhead
Payments at Operational Period Payments at Operational Period ContCont..
• Payment mechanism:– Down payment on first month of operations -
5% of the operational bid (excluding work support services)
– Equal monthly payments according to bid beginning with month three and onwards
– Down payment is reduced from last three payments
– Payments are subject to withholding and/or liquidation of damages
Payments at Operational Payments at Operational PeriodPeriod
• Work Support Services reimbursement– Reimbursement for use of services (actual).– Made 45 days after receipt of the report.– Total amount capped by bid– Monthly amount capped
Down Payment
5% of operational cost
No payme
nt
Submission of
receipts for
January work
support services
Payment for
January operatio
nal
Reimbursement for January services
Submission of receipts
for February
1/1 15/1 1/2 1/3 1/415/3 1/515/415/2
Payments Timeline to the Payments Timeline to the Operator Operator
Update at the End of Month 6 of Update at the End of Month 6 of OperationOperation
• Update to the operational cost proposal• Update to the welfare payments budget
Financial Financial Incentives/DisincentivesIncentives/Disincentives
Liquidated DamagesLiquidated Damages
•Start up period – failure to meet milestones •Operator must meet service level standards
– Quality standards– Appeals that have been accepted over a
certain rate
Withheld PaymentsWithheld Payments
• Should the operator fail to meet:– Key schedule milestones during the start up
period– Expenditure reduction objectives during
operational period
• Withheld payments during operational period:the amount of deviation from the expected income assurance payments
Withheld PaymentsWithheld Payments
₪ 0
₪ 1,000,000
₪ 2,000,000
₪ 3,000,000
₪ 4,000,000
₪ 5,000,000
₪ 6,000,000
₪ 7,000,000
Month 4-8: over-
pay of ₪ 1.4 M₪1.4 M
withheld
Back to the line, full month
payment
Month 8-12: ₪ 1.6 M saved
withheld sum (1.4) paid
Savings CalculationSavings Calculation
• The following formula will apply:G = (PIA – IA)– G = Gross savings– PIA = Maximum income assurance
payments– IA = Actual income assurance welfare
payments• Operator will receive 10% of saving in
services
Saving SharingSaving Sharing• Savings in Welfare Expenditure Sharing Formula:
Percent Reduced
Operators Share
Government Share
0% to 35%:0%100%Min. Requirement
35% - 40%70% 30%
40% - 50%X%100%-XAccording to Operators’ bid capped by 40%
50% - 60%X+5%100-X-5%
60% onwards10%90%Shared also with the Community
SavingsSavings
₪ 0
₪ 1,000,000
₪ 2,000,000
₪ 3,000,000
₪ 4,000,000
₪ 5,000,000
₪ 6,000,000
₪ 7,000,000
Minimum requirement - 35%
Savings to shareWelfare paid
UpdatesUpdates
• The government holds the option to top up the centers' caseload and maintain it on 3,500 ( the initial no. of participants)
• A financial update will be made