introduction to analysys mason's m-payments market expertise

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June 2015 Introduction to Analysys Mason’s expertise in m-payments

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Page 1: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

June 2015

Introduction to Analysys Mason’s expertise in m-payments

Page 2: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Contents

Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice

The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials

2

Page 3: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Introduction to Analysys Mason

▪ Analysys Mason is a trusted adviser on telecoms, media

and technology

– design winning strategies that deliver measurable

results

– make informed decisions based on

market intelligence and analytical rigour

– develop innovative propositions to gain competitive

advantage

– implement operational solutions to improve business

efficiency

▪ 230 staff in 12 offices worldwide

▪ Respected for our exceptional quality of work,

independence and flexibility

▪ For 30 years, we have been helping clients in more than

100 countries to maximise their opportunities

3 Analysys Mason

Analysys Mason office locations

Offices located in Europe, the Middle East,

Africa, Asia and the Americas

Page 4: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are uniquely positioned to provide consulting and research to the

telecoms, media and technology sector

4 Analysys Mason

Our focus is exclusively on the TMT sector

We support multi-billion dollar investments, advise clients on

regulatory matters, provide spectrum valuation and auction

support, and advise on operational performance, business

planning and strategy

We have developed rigorous methodologies that deliver

tangible results for clients around the world

We analyse, track and forecast the different services

accessed by consumers and enterprises, as well as the

software, infrastructure and technology delivering those

services

Research clients benefit from regular and timely intelligence

in addition to direct access to our team of expert analysts

Our dedicated Custom Research team undertakes

specialised and bespoke projects for clients

Research

Consulting

Consumer services

Enterprise and M2M

Regional markets

Network technologies

Telecoms software

Strategy and planning

Transaction support

Operational consulting

Regulation and policy

Page 5: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We have two in-house research programmes focusing on m-payments,

and also conduct bespoke projects in this area

Key topics covered by our Digital Economy research

programmes are mobile wallets and payments, commerce,

financial services, identity management, advertising,

education and smart homes

The following are some of our publications related to

m-payments that will be published in 2015:

Mobile wallets and payments in MEA 2015-2020 (Forecast

report)

Mobile commerce APAC forecasts 2015-2020 (Forecast

report)

Mobile advertising worldwide forecasts 2015-2020

(Forecast report)

Strategy report: Identity management: exploring operators’

emerging opportunities in identity management

Digital Economy players: company strategy profiles

(Google, Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Tencent, Alibaba,

eBay/PayPal)

In addition to our ongoing research into market trends and

stakeholders’ strategies, we often conduct bespoke projects

commissioned by various players in the m-payments value

chain

5

Our Digital Economy research programmes

Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy practice

Source: Analysys Mason, 2015

Digital

Economy

research

Focuses on

software and

business unit

implementation

Focuses on the

‘what’ and ‘why’

of telco

involvement

Platforms Strategies

Page 6: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Contents

Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice

The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials

6

Page 7: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

7

NFC-based proximity m-payments M-commerce Mobile financial services

▪ NFC-based proximity m-payments allow

mobile users to make payments by using

their mobile phones in-store. This service

requires the mobile device and the point-of-

sale (PoS) terminal to be NFC-enabled

▪ Mobile operators’ NFC-based offerings

store customers’ confidential data in the

secure element (SE) located in the SIM

card (Apple Pay stores the confidential data

in the SE embedded in the hardware of the

iPhone)

▪ Most other in-store m-payment solutions are

cloud-based; another technology competing

with NFC is QR codes, popular in Asia

▪ M-commerce allows for digital and physical

goods to be purchased on mobile devices

▪ Users’ e-money accounts enable payment

to be made without the money having to

enter a bank account

▪ M-commerce is often classified as a

remote

m-payment service

▪ Especially prevalent in emerging markets,

MFS is a group of m-payment services

typically targeting mobile customers that do

not have a bank account

▪ The service uses SMS to enable money to

be transferred between mobile customers,

and also supports a number of other

services (e.g. airtime top-up, bill payment,

etc.)

Key use cases:

▪ Buying goods in-store by touching an NFC-

enabled PoS terminal with an NFC-enabled

mobile phone

▪ NFC-based identification at an event (e.g.

conference)

▪ Ticketing (e.g. for transportation)

▪ Storage and use of loyalty and membership

cards and coupons.

Key use cases:

▪ Buying digital and physical goods online

using a mobile device such as a

smartphone or tablet

▪ Offline-to-online purchases – i.e. online or

mobile purchase of an item that has been

advertised offline (e.g. in a magazine)

▪ Using coupons and loyalty cards

Key use cases:

▪ Transferring money to another individual or

entity via SMS (nationally and

internationally)

▪ Airtime top-up

▪ Bill payment*

▪ Bulk payments, micro-loans, savings,

insurance, etc.

Areas covered

We cover key m-payments areas: proximity m-payments, m-commerce and

mobile financial services

* Please note that there in an overlap between MFS and m-commerce. For instance bill-payment MFS could be considered a type of m-commerce

Page 8: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Our analysts and consultants cover m-payments topics and often write

about various players in the m-payments value chain

8 Our experts

Mobile financial services NFC proximity payments M-commerce

John Abraham

Enrique Velasco-Castillo

Google acquires Softcard mobile

payments joint venture

Apple Pay’s successful positioning

in the m-wallet market and CSP

strategic responses

Stela Bokun

Operators could still play a part in

the HCE-dominated m-payments

ecosystem

Patrick Rusby

Mobile point-of-sale solutions for

SMEs: strategies for mobile

operators and vendors

Mpho Moyo

Cross-border mobile financial

services in Africa: the next big

opportunity for mobile operators

Stela Bokun

M-money service providers should

encourage a more active usage of

basic m-money services

Karim Yaici

Airtel and MTN expand mobile

financial services in Sub-Saharan

Africa

Enrique Velasco-Castillo

Vodafone launches M-PESA in

Romania, where m-money services

have significant potential

Justin Van Der Lande

Direct carrier billing could help

operators to capture consumer

spending on mobile content

John Abraham

Payforit Summit 2013: direct carrier

billing gains momentum as

consumer and CSP interest grows

John Abraham

Telefónica announces plans to

monetise mobile content through

direct carrier billing

Tim Harrabin

Mobile financial services; the

evolution of payment

Nuno Afonso

Direct carrier billing has the

greatest potential for success in

emerging markets

Aris Xylouris

Facebook Messenger introduces

P2P money transfers to increase

user engagement on its platform

Aris Xylouris

Orange Polska and mBank’s joint

mobile banking service could be

successfully replicated elsewhere

Topics covered in recent research reports and articles (click to view articles)

Page 9: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Contents

Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice

The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials

9

Page 10: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We assist various stakeholders in the m-payments ecosystem

10 Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Analysys Mason’s

m-payments clients

Mobile operators

Govt. agencies

and financial

regulators

Content publishers/mercha

nts

Banks or other

financial entities

M-wallet platform vendors

M-payments start-ups

Page 11: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are an operator: How can Analysys Mason help us?

11

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Launching a new

mobile financial

service

Increasing usage

among registered

customers

Providing evidence

to support

discussions with

the regulator

Bundling MFS with

other services to

create a

“converged

m-wallet”

Understanding the

operator’s role in

the HCE*

dominated

m-payments

market

Mobile operators

* host card emulation

Page 12: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are a regulator or other government agency*: How can Analysys

Mason help us?

12

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Assessing the risks

associated with

MFS business

models** and key

risk mitigation

strategies

Assessing the

relationship

between MFS

adoption and

financial inclusion

Comparative

analysis of MFS

interoperability

policies in a range

of countries

Best practices in

regulating new

MFS (e.g. cross-

border P2P

m-money transfer)

Best practices in

offering NFC-

enabled public

services

Government agencies

and financial regulators

* E.g. public transport operator, municipal body providing public services, etc.

** Including operator-led, bank-led and hybrid business models

Page 13: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are a content publisher/merchant: How can Analysys Mason help us?

13

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Assessing the

potential of the

mobile channel and

best practices in

building an omni-

channel strategy

Choosing the

functionalities to

offer in the

merchant’s mobile

application*

Understanding the

benefits of

m-payments

services for your

customers

Assessment of the

available

m-payments

technologies and

their future**

Best practices in

offline-to-online

commerce

Content publishers or

merchants

* E.g. In-store product location, help function, product information, stock information etc.

**E.g. Bluetooth Low Energy – BLE, cloud, QR codes, near-field communication –NFC etc.

Page 14: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are a bank or other financial entity : How can Analysys Mason help us?

14

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Sizing the

opportunity for a

mobile banking app

Assessing the

available

technologies,

business models

and partnership

options

Best practices in

bank-driven

m-wallet launches

Comparative

analysis of existing

payments solutions

Assessing the

market landscape

in P2P mobile

remittances

Banks or other financial

entities

Page 15: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are an m-wallet platform vendor: How can Analysys Mason help us?

15

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Assessing the

potential of new

m-payments

features and

services

Support with

marketing: white

papers and

webinars

Assessing

investment

opportunities in

different

m-payments areas*

Assessing business

development

opportunities with

new clients and in

new markets

Providing evidence

in communications

with existing and

new clients

M-wallet platform

vendors

* E.g. In NFC-based proximity payments, m-commerce, mobile financial services or something

else.”

Page 16: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We are an m-payments start-up*: How can Analysys Mason help us?

16

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Assessing

opportunities in

new markets and

barriers to entry

Customer

segmentation and

pricing strategy

Support with

marketing: white

papers and

webinars

Assessing

competitive

landscape and

partnership options

Examination of

regulatory

requirements in

various markets

M-payments start-ups

* Application developers, mobile transfer organisations etc.

Page 17: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Market research

Market analysis

Market sizing Benchmarking

Marketing

Analysys Mason can help answer these questions through our unique

offering

17 Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

▪ End-user surveys

▪ Focus groups

▪ Real-time browser-based

mobile surveys

▪ Interviews with stakeholders

▪ Regulatory landscape

▪ Competitive environment

▪ Technology

▪ Distribution channels, etc.

▪ Adoption, usage, revenue

trends and forecasts

▪ Customisation of

periodically updated

in-house m-payments

forecast models

▪ Operational benchmarking

and best-practice analysis

▪ Tariff benchmarking and

analysis

▪ Client-sponsored white

papers and webinars

▪ Client satisfaction

surveys

▪ Insight articles and social

media

Key benefits we deliver

to clients:

Strong technical expertise

Understanding of the market,

competitive and regulatory

issues

Understanding of revenue,

gross margins and capex

projections and their key drivers

Global coverage and

multilingual team

Unmatched quality control

mechanisms

Page 18: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We conduct bespoke end-user research and interviews with

industry stakeholders

We often conduct client-sponsored, bespoke end-user

research

Furthermore, many of our projects involve extensive

interviews with industry stakeholders from all parts of the

m-payments value chain

Finally, custom m-payments projects often rely on data on

the adoption and usage of m-payments services by end

users

such data is collected by our syndicated research team on

a regular basis

the sample illustrated on the right comes from our most

recent Connected Consumer Survey, conducted in July

and August 2014 in 15 countries in Africa, Asia, Europe,

the Middle East and North America. The survey had a

minimum of 1000 respondents in each country, and the

total sample size was 22 174

18

Likelihood of smartphone users purchasing items using

mobile devices, by device and item type

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Source: Analysys Mason, Connected Consumer Survey, 2015

0% 20% 40% 60%

I am not sure/I don’t know

No, I have no real interest in thisservice

No, but I would be interested inthis service if it were available

Yes, occasionally (twice a monthor less)

Yes, regularly (roughly weekly ormore often)

Percentage of respondents

Non-Apple Apple

Non-Apple Apple

Digital items:

Physical items:

Questions: “Have you used your mobile phone to make a purchase of a physical

item, either online or at a point-of-sale, within the past 3 months? If so, how often?”

and “Have you used your mobile phone to make a purchase of a digital item – for

example, music, videos, apps or in-app purchases (such as upgrades)? This

excludes spend on subscription services such as Netflix or Spotify/Deezer.”; n = 700.

Page 19: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We offer robust and innovative market analysis and

competitor intelligence

19

Sample slides* from a project analysing the regulatory landscape in five markets in Africa

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

* Some content has been blurred as the research was delivered on a custom basis and sponsored by our client

Source: Analysys Mason Custom Research , 2015

Page 20: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We use in-house data, end-user surveys and third-party data

to develop market size estimates and forecasts

20

U-commerce breakdown into e-commerce, m-commerce

and TV-commerce (%)

Forecast of u-commerce sales in Malaysia (2014–2019)

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Some content has been blurred as the research was delivered on a custom basis and sponsored by our client

Source: Analysys Mason, 2015: a consulting project on the multi-channel or ubiquitous commerce (u-commerce) market in Malaysia

1.6

2019F

1.3

1.5

2.1

1.8

1.5

2.4

2018F

12.3

2017F

10.1

2016F

8.3

2015F

6.7

2014

5.3

Others

Toys & merchandise

FMCG

Movie/ event tickets

Fashion & accessories

Insurance

Education

Public transportation

Travel

Media

Electronics & appliances

5% 6% 7%100%

2019F

64%

2017F 2016F

66%

2018F

61%

30% 29% 32%

27%

69%

2015F

26%

71%

2014

24%

73%

Page 21: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Cloud-based services

Mobile commerce and

advertising

Mobile education

Mobile financial services

Mobile health

Smart homes Venture capital –accelerator

Cloud-based services

Mobile agriculture

Mobile commerce and

advertising

Mobile education

Mobile financial services

Mobile health

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Avera

ge r

eadin

ess s

core

Percentage of operators activeDVAP EMAP

We carry out benchmarking analyses that enable clients to

evaluate their performance relative to their peers

21

Source: Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI), 2015

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Average readiness score and percentage of operators active in the digital economy, by vertical

As with other projects, when conducting a benchmark analysis, we often customise existing in-house data to fit our client’s needs.

Analysys Mason’s Digital Economy Readiness Index (DERI) is an in-house tool that provides a good basis for many custom

research benchmarking m-payments projects

– DERI tracks 479 digital economy initiatives by 35 of the largest operators worldwide, and provides a ‘readiness score’ for the

initiatives. It presents a view of operators’ readiness to capitalise on emerging opportunities in the digital economy

Mobile financial services and mobile health are the most widely addressed verticals, accounting for 47% of deployments.

Page 22: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We produce client-sponsored white papers, and promote them

via webinars, campaigns and through social media

22

Source: Analysys Mason, 2015

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

White paper on mobile financial services, sponsored by

Amdocs

Webinar on customer and network analytics, sponsored by

Huawei

Page 23: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Contents

Introduction to Analysys Mason and our Digital Economy practice

The areas of m-payments we cover, and our team of experts

Analysys Mason’s m-payments proposition

Our recent experience in m-payments and client testimonials

23

Page 24: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

24

Strategy report regarding

opportunities in the

Japanese and South

Korean m-payments

markets, developed for a

global m-payments

vendor

We produced a study on m-payments market trends and operator strategies in Japan and South

Korea, to assist a global vendor in its business development in these markets

– The study provided an in-depth analysis of NFC-based proximity payments as well as the m-commerce

strategies of NTT DoCoMo, KDDI, SK Telecom and Korea Telecom

– We provided information on the services offered, their adoption and usage levels, and the revenues and

profits from these services. We also analysed operators’ m-wallet platform solutions(such as the one

provided by Gemalto), where these were not produced in-house. In Japan, we particularly focused on the

changes that the migration from FeliCa to NFC technologies has brought about

– Based on this information we advised our client on potential opportunities in the m-payments space in the

two countries

Analysis of the

regulatory landscape for

a mobile operator in

North Africa

We assisted our client in its discussions with the central bank regarding the country’s regulatory

environment for mobile financial services (MFS)

– Our client plans to launch MFS in the near future, but the regulator is reluctant to allow non-banks to own e-

money licences, or to launch and manage MFS without banks having full control over the MFS value chain

– We were asked to produce a report that would allow the operator to argue in favour of an operator-led MSF

business model. Our report provided a comparative analysis and case studies of MFS regulation in five

African markets

– The report demonstrated that operators are better able to scale MFS than banks, and can do this with low

risk to the integrity of the financial system. We also showed that some central banks have allowed

operators to launch MFS when the bank-led model previously championed by the banks had yielded

disappointing results

Recent project experience

We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments

players across the entire value chain [1/3]

Page 25: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

25

Strategy report for a

global m-payments

vendor

We helped a global m-payments vendor prioritise its investments in the MFS, NFC and m-commerce

segments, and advised on global trends in m-payments and relevant future developments

– Our study examined m-payments in both emerging and developed markets. Services in emerging markets

include peer-to-peer m-money transfer, airtime top-up, bill payment, savings and insurance products. In

developed markets services include NFC-based services (including proximity payments) and m-commerce

– We also looked at the importance of m-payments services for omni-channel retailers. We provided in-depth

case studies of Alipay, Apple Pay and Buyster

Strategy workshop and

report for a large South

Asian operator

We helped a South-East Asian OpCo within a major Asian group to conceptualise its commercial and

technical digital payment strategy, covering e-commerce, m-payments and digital currency

– The technical strategy was built on the commercial strategy, supported by market research and hypotheses

– We conducted an ‘as-is’ review of the operator’s technical payment systems, channels and

methods/processes, in addition to other technical transformation and systems upgrade projects. This

allowed us to develop a comprehensive view of the technical landscape of the operator

– After developing a commercial strategy and numerous technical use cases for e-payments and m-payments

we proposed an independent payment platform architecture, and produced a high-level roadmap for the

client to move from its current technical systems to the new platform

Market review of DCB for

a private equity firm

For a private equity firm considering an investment, we reviewed the market for direct carrier billing

(DCB), and assessed the target company

– We assessed the market potential for DCB and identified the risks and opportunities for the target company.

We also conducted interviews with industry stakeholders (e.g. operators, merchants, vendors) and

incorporated the findings in the report

– We identified three possible strategies, as well as the corresponding benefits and disadvantages. The

findings allowed our client to improve its understanding of the DCB market, and fed into its assessment of

the target company. Our report was the key input into the client’s investment decision

Recent project experience

We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments

players across the entire value chain [2/3]

Page 26: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

26

Assessment of

m-payments

opportunities for a

global financial services

provider

For a global financial services provider, we assessed the m-payments opportunities in a selection of

emerging markets in Russia, Ukraine, South Africa and the Middle East

– The study covered a broad range of services, including m-banking, m-wallets and NFC-based payments,

with a view to analysing market evolution, key players, entry routes and potential partners

– We carried out interviews with stakeholders including mobile operators, payment platform providers and

financial institutions. This work, supported by desk research and market-size modelling, provided our client

with a comprehensive view of the opportunities in each market, and our results were used to support the

client’s business development activity.

Strategy report for a

large pay-TV service

provider in Asia

We determined the size of the u-commerce market in Malaysia, and assessed future growth and trends

in the market

– Our report covered the following areas: (a) overview and outlook of the retail market in Malaysia; (b) current

state of the u-commerce market; and (c) growth forecast of the u-commerce market over 2014–2019

– Having gained a detailed understanding of the retail and u-commerce markets in Malaysia, we then

identified and assessed opportunities for the client in the u-commerce market

Annual market

landscape report for

PhonepayPlus

We were hired by PhonepayPlus, the regulator of premium-rate services in the UK, to produce a study

on micropayment services

– The study was based on a large survey of UK users of premium-rate services and a set of focus groups

– The research focused specifically on the role of vulnerable consumers in the premium-rate market

– PhonepayPlus made the study publicly available on its website

Recent project experience

We have extensive experience serving a wide variety of m-payments

players across the entire value chain [3/3]

Page 27: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

We keep our clients’ objectives at the centre of our work and are ready to

go the extra mile to exceed clients’ expectations

27 Client testimonials

From the beginning, I felt I was in good, professional

hands, and I knew that my needs were fully understood,

and that I would receive the best analysis that can be

gotten in the field

Delivered a complex model suited to our needs in time

and scope, was flexible and “went the extra mile” in

response to new and changing requirements

Very helpful input outside the scope of the main project,

alerting me to wider developments and sharing their

perspective on them Communication was very good, Analysys Mason did not

make any promises that they could not deliver;

timescales were consistently met, which was especially

appreciated given that we had a very tight schedule

Regulator in the Middle East

Integrated operator in Asia

Content developer and

broadcaster in W. Europe

Regulator of premium-

rate services in W. Europe

Analysys Mason was selected due to: “Good mix of qual

and quant research … to provide statistical robustness

and wider contextual narrative; other bids didn't to the

same degree. The cost was very reasonable and honest”

Page 28: Introduction to Analysys Mason's m-payments market expertise

Thank you

28

Stela Bokun

Manager, Custom Research

[email protected]

0)1223 460866

Cambridge

Tel: +44 (0)1223 460600

Fax: +44 (0)1223 460866

[email protected]

Dubai

Tel: +971 (0)4 446 7473

Fax: +971 (0)4 446 9827

[email protected]

Dublin

Tel: +353 (0)1 602 4755

Fax: +353 (0)1 602 4777

[email protected]

Johannesburg

Tel: +27 (0)10 596 8000

Fax: +27 (0)86 504 4764

[email protected]

London

Tel: +44 (0)20 7395 9000

Fax: +44 (0)20 7395 9001

[email protected]

Madrid

Tel: +34 91 399 5016

Fax: +34 91 451 8071

[email protected]

Milan

Tel: +39 02 76 31 88 34

Fax: +39 02 36 50 45 50

[email protected]

New Delhi

Tel: +91 124 4501860

[email protected]

Paris

Tel: +33 (0)1 72 71 96 96

Fax: +33 (0)1 72 71 96 97

[email protected]

Singapore

Tel: +65 6493 6038

Fax: +65 6720 6038

[email protected]

Boston

Tel: +1 202 331 3080

Fax: +1 202 331 3083

[email protected]

Manchester

Tel: +44 (0)161 877 7808

Fax: +44 (0)161 877 7810

[email protected]