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Investing in a low yield world David Irwin

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Page 1: Investing in a low yield world David Irwin. 2 CTRL+ALT+DELETE

Investing in a low yield world

David Irwin

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EQUITABLE ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP

Insurance Managers Internal function of the company since 1920 $1.8 billion in assets under management – general

funds & segregated funds

History of Solid Investment Performance Solid investment portfolio, proven even through

weak economic conditions, which contributes to strong corporate earnings

Experienced in asset allocation Nimble, top-down management

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INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY

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94%

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LOOKING AT THE “BIG-PICTURE”

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The economy&

valuations

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ZIRPQE

LSAPWIT2

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HISTORICALLY LOW RATES

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INVESTORS NEED MORE YIELD

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CANADA SAVINGS BONDS

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US FED HAS DRIVEN EQUITY MARKETS HIGHER

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THE RETURN OF THE CONSUMER

Consumer

GDP

contribution

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CONSUMER DEBTDECREASING IN THE US

Source: Bloomberg

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Source: Bloomberg

US

Canada

HOUSING PERMITS > HOUSING STARTS

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SPENDING TRENDS IMPROVING

Consumer confidence

Personal consumption

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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

United States Canada

+2.9% +1.7%

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S&P 500 SOURCES OF RETURN

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S&P 500 RECORD PROFIT MARGINS

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US MARKET OVERVALUED?

15.8x

Source: Bloomberg

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EQUITIES LOOK BETTER THAN BONDS

Source: Merrill Lynch BBB Corporate credit yield, Bloomberg

Equities 6.0%

Corporate bonds 4.7%

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KEY INVESTMENT RULES

Asset class selection comes first

Low interest rates => equities

Inflation => equities

No silver bullet portfolio BUT diversification is the best way to protect against catastrophic losses

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A BALANCED APPROACH

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ACTIVE MANAGEMENT

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OUR TOP-DOWN APPROACH

Momentum

and sentiment

indicators

Thematic

drivers

Market valuation

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PAR - NOT YOUR TYPICAL BALANCED FUND

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USE OF ILLIQUID ASSETS

Commercial Mortgages: add diversification into an asset class challenging for clients to achieve on their own, by a team of experienced mortgage specialists.

Private Placement Loans: provide corporate bond type returns with reduced risk and/or higher yields.

Real Estate: adds equity-like returns with less volatility. Similar to commercial mortgages, a diversified portfolio of commercial real estate is challenging for clients to acquire and manage independently.

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A high quality fixed income portfolio, with long

duration, supports the dividend scale

Investment Mix

Government 50%

Corporate 50%

Investment by Term

Years to Maturity Percentage

0 to 5 years 23%

5 to 10 years 19%

Over 10 years 57%

FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO

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Performance is enhanced with a solid real

estate portfolio, as well as a common and

preferred equity program.

Investment Mix  

Equity Type Percentage

Common Stock 41.2%

Real Estate 41.8%

Preferred Shares 16.9%

Total Equity assets 100.0%

EQUITIES AND REAL ESTATE

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The real estate portfolio is comprised of high quality,

income producing properties which are diversified

geographically across Canada and by property type.

35%

23%

42%

REAL ESTATE PORTFOLIO

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-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

30

Net Par Account Yield

S&P/TSX Composite Index

5 Year GIC

Consumer Price Index

PAST PERFORMANCE

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EQUITABLE LIFE ACTIVE BALANCED PORTFOLIOS

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PORTFOLIO POSITIONING

Equitable Life

Active Balanced

Growth Portfolio

Equitable Life

Active Balanced

Portfolio

Equitable Life

Active Balanced

Income Portfolio

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Global Neutral

Balanced

Global Equity

Balanced

Canadian Neutral

Balanced

Category Average MER 3.12% 3.04% 2.85%

Equitable Life Active Balanced Portfolios

2.42% 2.35% 2.40%

Equitable Life Active Balanced cost advantage

+0.7% +0.7% +0.4%

COMPETITIVE MER’S

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YTD 1-YR 3-YR

Equitable Life Active Balanced Portfolio

8.2% 13.6% 6.8%

Global Neutral Balanced Peer Group

5.5% 12.3% 7.4%

Source: Morningstar, as of August 31 2014

PERFORMANCE

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1.Style diversification

2.“Core” funds

3.Cost & transparency

REASONS TO OWN

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