investing in renewable energy

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Investing in Renewable Energy Tom Konrad, Ph.D. [email protected] 1556 Williams St, #203 Denver, CO 80238

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Investing in Renewable Energy. Tom Konrad, Ph.D. [email protected] 1556 Williams St, #203 Denver, CO 80238. Outline. How much to invest? Mutual Funds, Stocks, or ETFs? How to Pick Stocks Jargon RE = Renewable Energy. Disclaimers. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Investing in Renewable Energy

Investing in Renewable Energy

Tom Konrad, [email protected]

1556 Williams St, #203Denver, CO 80238

Page 3: Investing in Renewable Energy

Disclaimers

• This talk is intended as an overview and should not be interpreted as individual investment advice or financial planning.

• Individual needs vary, so you should carefully consider if and how the information presented here applies to your situation. No advice is appropriate for everyone.

Page 4: Investing in Renewable Energy

Disclaimer

No investment strategy can guarantee against loss in adverse market conditions, or against Global Warming in

periods of rising atmospheric greenhouse gasses.

Page 5: Investing in Renewable Energy

How Much to Invest?

• These stocks are very volatile• While the long term outlook for RE is

bright, there will be short term corrections.• 5-20% of your portfolio, depending on your

risk tolerance.• Don’t go in all at once, and buy on the dips.

Page 6: Investing in Renewable Energy

Mutual Funds, ETFs, or Stocks?

• Mutual Funds:– Easy, but have high fees.

• ETFs (“Exchange Traded Funds”)– Easy, lower fees.

• Individual Stocks:– This is work.– lowest cost for larger investments– Can use you knowledge of RE

Page 7: Investing in Renewable Energy

How toInvest

Where is the moneynow?

Sponsored 401Plan: k,

403c , etc.

Cash, Bank, Mutual fund family

(Vanguard, etc.) of Full Service broker.

Still employed by plan

sponsor?

Can't invest in RE

Discount Broker:Schwab,

*, .

IRA Rollover

Buy MutualFund Buy ETF

BuyIndividualStocks

>$20K toinvest?

Underst and RE?

No

YesNoYes

Yes

No

>$100K to invest?

Individual Stocks (Mimic mutual funds or hire advisor)

Yes

No

Accounttransfer

How toInvest

Where is the moneynow?

Sponsored : 401 ,Plan k

403c , etc.

Cash, Bank, Mutual fund family

(Vanguard, etc.) of Full Service broker.

Still employed by plan

sponsor?

Can't invest in RE

Discount Broker:Schwab,

*, .

IRA Rollover

Buy MutualFund Buy ETF

BuyIndividualStocks

>$20K toinvest?

Underst and RE?

No

YesNoYes

Yes

No

>$100K to invest?

Individual Stocks (Mimic mutual funds or hire advisor)

Yes

No

Accounttransfer

Buy SmartDraw!- purchased copies print this document without a watermark .

Visit www.smartdraw.com or call 1-800-768-3729.

Decision Tree

Note: numbers are approximate.

Page 8: Investing in Renewable Energy

Mutual Funds

• Generally very expensive in terms of fees.• BEST: Guinness Atkinson Alternative

Energy (GAAEX)– Most diverse portfolio among mutual funds.– Includes international companies.– No load, but very high expense ratio (1.98%)

Page 9: Investing in Renewable Energy

How toInvest

Where is the moneynow?

Sponsored : 401 ,Plan k

403c , etc.

Cash, Bank, Mutual fund family

(Vanguard, etc.) of Full Service broker.

Still employed by plan

sponsor?

Can't invest in RE

Discount Broker:Schwab,

*, .

IRA Rollover

Buy MutualFund Buy ETF

BuyIndividualStocks

>$20K toinvest?

Underst and RE?

No

YesNoYes

Yes

No

>$100K to invest?

Individual Stocks (Mimic mutual funds or hire advisor)

Yes

No

Accounttransfer

How toInvest

Where is the moneynow?

Sponsored : 401 ,Plan k

403c , etc.

Cash, Bank, Mutual fund family

(Vanguard, etc.) of Full Service broker.

Still employed by plan

sponsor?

Can't invest in RE

Discount Broker:Schwab,

*, .

IRA Rollover

Buy MutualFund Buy ETF

BuyIndividualStocks

>$20K toinvest?

Underst and RE?

No

YesNoYes

Yes

No

>$100K to invest?

Individual Stocks (Mimic mutual funds or hire advisor)

Yes

No

Accounttransfer

Buy SmartDraw!- purchased copies print this document without a watermark .

Visit www.smartdraw.com or call 1-800-768-3729.

Decision Tree

Note: numbers are approximate.

Page 10: Investing in Renewable Energy

ETFsPowershares Wilderhill Clean Energy

First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge US Liqiud

Market Vectors Global Alternative Energy

PBWExpense0.7%*

QCLNExp.0.6%*

GEXExpense0.65%*

Tracks index of US stocks

Tracks index of US stocks

Global index (world stocks)

* Includes temporary fee waiver.

Page 11: Investing in Renewable Energy

How toInvest

Where is the moneynow?

Sponsored : 401 ,Plan k

403c , etc.

Cash, Bank, Mutual fund family

(Vanguard, etc.) of Full Service broker.

Still employed by plan

sponsor?

Can't invest in RE

Discount Broker:Schwab,

*, .

IRA Rollover

Buy MutualFund Buy ETF

BuyIndividualStocks

>$20K toinvest?

Underst and RE?

No

YesNoYes

Yes

No

>$100K to invest?

Individual Stocks (Mimic mutual funds or hire advisor)

Yes

No

Accounttransfer

How toInvest

Where is the moneynow?

Sponsored : 401 ,Plan k

403c , etc.

Cash, Bank, Mutual fund family

(Vanguard, etc.) of Full Service broker.

Still employed by plan

sponsor?

Can't invest in RE

Discount Broker:Schwab,

*, .

IRA Rollover

Buy MutualFund Buy ETF

BuyIndividualStocks

>$20K toinvest?

Underst and RE?

No

YesNoYes

Yes

No

>$100K to invest?

Individual Stocks (Mimic mutual funds or hire advisor)

Yes

No

Accounttransfer

Buy SmartDraw!- purchased copies print this document without a watermark .

Visit www.smartdraw.com or call 1-800-768-3729.

Decision Tree

Note: numbers are approximate.

Page 12: Investing in Renewable Energy

Stocks: The Easy Way

• Look at the holdings of one of the ETFs or Mutual Funds, and buy the top 10 or 20.

• Expense ratio of QCLN per $10,000 per year is $60. That’s 4-6 trades per year a discount broker.

• Many brokers offer commission free trades to new accounts.

Page 13: Investing in Renewable Energy

ETF top holdings

• PBW– SPWR, ELON, CY,

CREE, FSLR, OM, PANL, KYO, STP, AMAT

– Source: Morningstar.com

• QCLN– LLTC, WFR, SPWR,

FSLR, HXL, AVX, BEZ, ONN, ITRI, MSCC

– Source: Morningstar.com

Page 14: Investing in Renewable Energy

Stocks: The Hard Way

• What do you know about RE that most people don’t?

• What did you learn at this conference?• Use what you know to pick between RE

sectors.

Page 15: Investing in Renewable Energy

Question 1

• Q: What is the first thing to do before you put solar panels on your roof?

• A: Improve energy efficiency• Investing: Buy energy efficiency companies

before you buy PV companies.• Some examples: JCI, AA, ELON, COMV,

ENOC, CREE, PHG

Page 16: Investing in Renewable Energy

Question 2

• Q:Which will you be able to buy in the next five years: A hydrogen fuel cell car, or a plug-in Hybrid?

• A:PHEV!• Investing: Dump the hydrogen fuel cell

stocks, and invest in batteries.• Some examples: ALTI, EEEI, JCI, MXWL,

VLNC

Page 17: Investing in Renewable Energy

Question 3

• Q: If the wind is always blowing somewhere, and there is enough sun in a square 100 miles to a side of Southwestern desert to power the whole country, what is the missing ingredient.

• A: Large scale electric transmission.• Invest: Transmission companies• Some examples: ABB, SI, ITRI, ITC, PWR

Page 18: Investing in Renewable Energy

Electricity Generation Technologies• Disclaimers:

– The following charts are based on my opinion from extensive reading in the field, is highly qualitative and represents a simplified picture.

– Don’t expect scientific accuracy.– Bubble size approximates the size of the

potential resource.

Page 19: Investing in Renewable Energy

Availability v Price

-$50$0$50$100$150$200$250

$/MWh

Disp

atch

abili

ty

Wind

Nuclear

Coal

IGCC

IGCC w/ CCS

CSP

Gas

PV

Geothermal

Biomass

Efficiency

Ocean

Old Hydro

New Hydro

Page 20: Investing in Renewable Energy

Emissions v Price

-$50$0$50$100$150$200$250

$/MWh

Emis

sion

s

Efficiency

PV

CSP

Wind

Nuclear

Gas

Coal

IGCC

IGCC w/ CCS

Biomass

Geothermal

Ocean

Old Hydro

New Hydro

Page 21: Investing in Renewable Energy

Transportation Fuels• Disclaimers:

– The following charts are based on my opinion from extensive reading in the field, is highly qualitative and represents a simplified picture.

– Don’t expect scientific accuracy.– Bubble size approximates the size (annual

output) of the potential resource.

Page 22: Investing in Renewable Energy

Current Transportation FuelCharacteristics

Availability

MPC

(E

cono

mic

)

GasolineDieselEthanol CornEthanol SugarcaneEthanol CellulosicBiodiesel Veg OilBiodiesel Waste OilBiodiesel AlgaeElectricity CoalElectricity RenewableHydrogen FossilHydrogen RenewableLNG

Page 23: Investing in Renewable Energy

Future Transport Fuels

Availability

MPC

Econ

omic

& S

ocia

l

Gasoline

DieselEthanol Corn

Ethanol Cellulosic

Ethanol SugarcaneBiodiesel Veg Oil

Biodiesel Waste Oil

Biodiesel Algae

Electricity CoalElectricity Renewable

Hydrogen Renewable

Hydrogen FossilLNG

Page 24: Investing in Renewable Energy

Questions?

Tom Konrad, Ph.D.www.AltEnergyStocks.comPartner / Investment [email protected]