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INVESTING IN THE FUTUREInnovations in thematic investing
Matthew Lovatt – Global Head of AXA IM Framlington Equities
18 June 2019
For professional clients only. Not to be relied upon by retail clients.
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Source: AXA IM, Visual Capitalist, BofAML Global Research, “Transforming the world – The 5 next years” October 2018.
Automotive Electricity Television Computer Mobile Internet Facebook WeChat
62
45
22
14 127 4 1
Years taken to hit 50 million users
Companies’ average lifespan in S&P500
1955: 61 years 2015: 17 years
Change…
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Evolving economy investment themes
For illustrative purposes only.
ConnectedConsumer
E-commerce & FinTech
Software & Cloud
AI & Analytics
Transitioning Societies
Ageing & Lifestyle
CleanTech
Clean Energy
Smart Grid
Sustainable resources
RoboticsInternet of Things
Energy efficiency
Silver spending
Wellness and prevention
HealthTech
Automation
Social mobilityBasic needs
Urbanisation
RESTRICTEDProperty of AXA IM. Reproduction prohibited without the prior consent of AXA IM
For illustrative purposes only.
Old economy investment themes
Fossil Fuels
Diesel Transport
Offshoring
Labour intensive processHardware
Desktop
Man made medicine
Shorter retiring life
Quantityover Quality
Disease related drugs
High StreetRetail
Shopping malls & physical payments
TraditionalManufacturing
Brown-outs
Dependant cities
ScarceResources
Polarised wealth
Extreme povertyRural isolation
Old World
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Historic performance of Evolving Economy vs Old Economy universe
Source: AXA IM, FactSet as at 31/12/2018. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance of the AXA IM constructed thematic universes are not a guide to future performance. The figures provided do not relate to actual portfolios in the strategy. Actual portfolios are subject to the risks of portfolio management and trading, including but not limited to trading costs, market impact and fill rates, and may not resemble the universes presented herein as a result. The strategy is not yet live and to the extent it becomes available for investment, an investor’s actual experience may vary. The relative benchmark for the thematic universes is the S&P Global Broad Market Index. The returns and fundamental characteristics presented are for thematic universes constructed by AXA IM – Ageing & Lifestyle, Connected Consumer, Automation, CleanTech and Transitioning Societies. Thematic universe inclusion is based on revenue exposure and constituent weightings of the S&P Global Broad Market Index. The “Evolving Economy” universe contains index constituents with high or medium exposure to our themes. The “Old Economy” universe contains constituents with low and no exposure, which accounted for 52% of the S&P Global Broad Market Index market capitalisation as of 31/12/2017. The weighted average of the universes will equal the S&P Global Broad Market Index. CR09360/05-19
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Mar-18 Sep-18 Mar-19
%
Evolving Economy vs Old EconomyRelative performance - 5 years to December 2018
Evolving Economy 8.08
Old Economy 4.98
Return - 5YR Ann
20+ %
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Thematics exposure by sector
Source: FactSet/AXA IM - Thematic exposure by GICS sector within the S&P Global BMI. Companies with high or medium exposure to a theme considered thematic as at 31/12/2018. CR09360/05-19
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
CommunicationServices
ConsumerDiscretionary
ConsumerStaples
Energy Financials Health Care Industrials InformationTechnology
Materials RealEstate
Utilities
Old Economy
Transitioning Societies
CleanTech
Automation
Connected Consumer
Ageing & Lifestyle
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Thematics: A growth investment philosophy
Source: AXA IM. For illustrative purposes only. Past and projected performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Investable growth themes
Thematic “Purity”
Company knowledge
1 2 3• +10% yoy revenue growth
potential
• Expanding investment universe with sufficient diversification
• High level of purity related to the themes
• >70% of the portfolio in high & medium exposure stocks
• Strong track record of adding value in Technology Investing
• Bias of small & mid cap opportunities
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TRANSITIONING SOCIETIES
Source: AXA IM / OECD. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. No guarantee or representation is made that investmentobjectives stated will be achieved Each specific client or investors’ experience may vary. CR09360/05-19
137
1152
181375341
1152
313
3078
Africa &Middle East
"Developed"World
Latin America DevelopingAsia
2010 2030
1.8bn to
4.9bnEM World’s Middle Class is growingP
op
ula
tio
n in
mill
ion
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45%
55%
AGEING & LIFESTYLE
Source: Top chart: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017).Bottom chart: McKinsey Global Institute. Urban World: The Global Consumers to Watch, April 2016.
84%
16%
+42% growth(+c.400m people)
USA
Consumptiongrowth
…and will dominate consumption growth in healthcare and multiple industries
Share of population
1.4bn
1.0bn
2030
2018
Over 60s population will grow 5 times faster than the under 60s population…
Bigger than the 3rd largest country
in the world
60+ yrs old population (bn)
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CONNECTED CONSUMER
Source: LH Chart: Global Online Consumer Report, KPMG International 2017. RH Chart: Euromonitor, William Blair, Retail in a digital world, 2018. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
Online continues to take market share
14% (2018)22% (2023,E)
17% (2018)
21% (2023,E)
24% (2018)
34% (2023,E)
5% (2018)9% (2023,E)12% (2023,E)
9% (2018)
eCommerce penetration by country(% of total sales)
Millenials are key
15.6 15.1
Millenials Baby Boomers
$173$203
Millenials Baby Boomers
Average amount spent per transaction(USD)
Average number of online transactions(per person per year)
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AUTOMATION
*Forecast. Source: AXA IM- chart: IFR World Robotics 2018. Performance results of the past are no indicator for any future returns or trends.
120 111 114 11360
121166 159 178
221254
294
381421
484
553
630
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018* 2019* 2020* 2021*
Worldwide annual supply of industrial robots(units in thousand)
2005-2013:+5% per year
on average
2014-2021:
+16% per year on average
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CLEAN TECH
Source: AXA IM, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, The Clean Revolution, December 2017.
Beijing
Cigarettes per day equivalent
0 5 10 15 20 25Hazardous
VeryUnhealthyUnhealthy
Unhealthy for sensitive groupsModerateGood
Governments
Social awareness
Corporate behaviour
Realising the urgency - Air pollution in Asia
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9%
3%
6%
3%
10%
8%
7%10%
9%
2%
6%
1%4%
6%
3%4% 3%
AGEING & LIFESTYLE
25%
CONNECTED CONSUMER
35%
AUTOMATION18%
CLEANTECH11%
TRANSITIONING SOCIETIES
10%
Aged Care (9%)
Silver Spending (3%)
Treatment (6%)
Wellness (3%)
Discovery (10%)
Decision (8%)
Delivery (7%)
Data & Enablers (10%)
Industrial Automation (9%)
Transport (2%)
Technology & Enablers (6%)
Recycling & Waste Reduction (1%)
Responsible Nutrition (4%)
Smart Energy (6%)
Basic needs (3%)
Changing consumption (4%)
Urbanisation and infrastructure (3%)
Global Thematic: bringing it all together
Source: AXA IM as at 31/05/2019. AXA WF Framlington Evolving Trends fund is the representative account of the Global Thematic strategy for illustration purposes. No assurance can be given that the strategy will be successful or that investors will not lose some or all of their capital. AXA IM reserves the right to modify any of the investment process described herein at its discretion. CR10177/08-19
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Global Thematic: ESG & Controversy
Source: Barra/FactSet/AXA IM as at 30/04/2019. CR11235/05-19
6.0 6.05.0 5.1
5.8 5.95.1 5.1
Regionally Adjusted ESGScore
Environment Social Governance
7%14%
48%
19%12%
0%8% 11%
33% 35%
10%2%
Level 0 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5
Controversy ExposureNo Level 5 controversy
ESG ScoreExclusion of ESG Score <2
RESTRICTEDProperty of AXA IM. Reproduction prohibited without the prior consent of AXA IM
Source: AXA IM for illustrative purposes only as of May 2019.
Thematic & Impact map
IMPACT THEMATICSOCIAL IMPACT
ECONOMIC IMPACT /TRANSITIONING SOCIETIES
ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT /CLEAN TECH
AGEING & LIFETYLE
CONNECTED CONSUMER
AUTOMATION
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Questions?
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APPENDIX
RESTRICTEDProperty of AXA IM. Reproduction prohibited without the prior consent of AXA IM
AXA IM Framlington Equities
1AXA IM as at 31/12/2018 unless otherwise stated. For illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. No assurance can be given that the strategy will be successful or achieve its objectives. Information may be provided for reference only and does not represent the experience of the strategy/fund nor is it intended as a representation or warranty by AXA IM or any other persons or entity as to the actual composition of or performance of any future investment.
GROWTH AT REASONABLE PRICE
ACTIVE MANAGEMENT
STOCK SELECTION
COMPANY MEETING
FUNDAMENTAL RESEARCH
HIGH ACTIVE SHARE
LONG-TERM CONVICTION
JUDGEMENTAL APPROACH
LOW TURNOVER
£44billion of assets
3global financial centres
50Investment Professionals
19Portfolio managers average
years’ experience
Key Figures
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Existing expertise in global and disruptive themes
Source AXA IM and FactSet as at 31/03/2019. 1: Performance of the Global Equity. Basis: Gross of Fees in USD. Comparative benchmark: MSCI AC World Net TR. 2: Performance of the Global Robotech. Basis: Gross of Fees in USD. Comparative benchmark: MSCI AC World Net TR. 3:Performance of the AXA Framlington Global Technology. Basis: Gross of Fees in USD. Comparative benchmark: MSCI World Information Technology Net TR. 4: Performance of the Digital Economy Equity. Source FactSet, Basis: Gross of Fees in USD. Comparative benchmark: MSCI AC World Net TR.. The deduction of fees reduces the level of return. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. AXA IM claims compliance with the *Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS). Please refer to the full GIPS Compliant Report attached at the end of this presentation for overall information.
+33%
+6%
+124%+108%
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
Aug-10 May-11 Feb-12 Nov-12 Aug-13 May-14 Feb-15 Nov-15 Aug-16 May-17 Feb-18 Nov-18
AXA Framlington Global Core Equity Composite, USD
MSCI AC World Total Return Net
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Jun-18 Dec-18
AXA Framlington Global Robotech Composite
MSCI AC World Net TR
+62%
+36%
Global Equity strategy1
Cumulative performance since inception on August 2010 Global Robotech strategy2
Cumulative performance since inception (08/12/2015)
Digital Economy strategy4
Cumulative performance since inception (24/10/2017)
+321%
+213%
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18
Global Technology strategy (Gross, USD)
MSCI World Information Technology Net TR
Global Technology strategy3
Cumulative performance since Jeremy Gleeson took over the strategy on June 07
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19
AXA Framlington Digital Economy strategy (Gross, USD)
MSCI AC World Net TR
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Our RI and Impact offering
Source : AXA IM as of 30/09/18. Non audited figures. 1AXA IM Joint Ventures have a specific approach with regards to ESG scoring and stewardship
• AXA IM’s exclusion policies• ESG scoring• Stewardship (voting and engagement)
• AXA IM ESG standard guidelinesAnd/Or
• ESG integration into investment decisions at the level which best fits client needs and objectives And/Or
• ESG Score/KPI Objectives
• AXA IM ESG standard guidelines• Eligible universe defined according to ESG criteria• Target a positive outcome on environment/social • Measure of key impact indicators• Active engagement with companies
SUSTAINABLE INVESTING ASSETS
ESG INTEGRATION
AXA IM’S ESG EMBEDDED
AV
OID
IDEN
TIFY
INV
EST
IMP
AC
TOUR OFFERING
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ESG Embedded
Source: AXA IM, for illustrative purpose only.
ControversiesVoting &
EngagementSpecialist ESG Research
IntegratedBroker
Research
QuantitativeSupport
External Qualitative Research
Framlington:CompanyResearch
RI Team: BlueSky /
Educational / Thematic
Internal Qualitative Research
PORTFOLIO MANAGERS
AXA IM’S ESG EMBEDDED
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ESG Integration
Source: AXA IM for illustrative purposes only. * Qualitative review & governance. ** Comply or Explain approach
• Companies with a revenue generated by thermal coal equal to 30%, or
• Companies with > 30% of coal in the energy mix, or
• Rising coal capacities (> 3000 MW), or
• Companies with an annual coal production > 20 Million Tones (MT)
• Companies with more than 20% of their revenue coming from tar sands extraction
• Pipeline developers with more than 20% of their revenues coming from tar sands
• Tobacco producers
• Companies breaching the United Nations Global Compact (ie. controversies)*
CLIMATE RISK POLICY
TOBACCO
DEFENSE
ESG QUALITY • Tight monitoring of AXA IM ESG scores below 2**
• White phosphorus weapons manufacturers
UNGC VIOLATIONS
In addition to AXA IM sectorial policies:
Controversial Weapons
Palm Oil
Soft Commodities
Coal
Exclusion of
ESG INTEGRATION
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