investor presentation€¦ · investor presentation | september 2016 cautionary statement by...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Presentation September 2016 (updated)
2
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Cautionary Statement
By attending or reading this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to be bound by the following limitations and restrictions. This presentation has been prepared by Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. (“Galp” or the “Company”) and may be amended and supplemented, but may not be relied upon for the purposes of entering into any transaction. This presentation is strictly confidential, is being distributed to a limited range of persons solely for their own information and may not (i) be distributed to the media or disclosed to any other person in any jurisdiction, nor (ii) be reproduced in any form, in whole or in part, without the prior written consent of the Company.
Although the Company has taken reasonable care in preparing the information contained herein, no representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein or any other material discussed at the presentation. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, shareholders, representatives, agents, employees or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (including in negligence or otherwise) for any loss or liability howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or any other material discussed at the presentation or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or otherwise acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever in any jurisdiction.
This presentation is made to and directed only at persons (i) who are outside the United Kingdom, (ii) having professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotions) Order 2005 (the "Order") or (iii) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as "Relevant Persons"). This presentation must not be acted or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons.
Neither this presentation nor any copy of it, nor the information contained herein, in whole or in part, may be taken or transmitted into, or distributed, directly or indirectly in or to the United States. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of U.S. securities laws. No securities of the Company have been registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933 or the securities laws of any state of the United States, and unless so registered may not be offered or sold except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and applicable state securities laws.
Matters discussed in this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements other than in respect of historical facts. The words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intends”, “estimate”, “will”, “may”, "continue”, “should” and similar expressions usually identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may include statements regarding: objectives, goals, strategies, outlook and growth prospects; future plans, events or performance and potential for future growth; liquidity, capital resources and capital expenditures; economic outlook and industry trends; energy demand and supply; developments of Galp’s markets; the impact of regulatory initiatives; and the strength of Galp’s competitors. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are based upon various assumptions, many of which are based, in turn, upon further assumptions, including without limitation, management’s examination of historical operating trends, data contained in the Company’s records and other data available from third parties. Although Galp believes that these assumptions were reasonable when made, these assumptions are inherently subject to significant known and unknown risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors which are difficult or impossible to predict and are beyond its control. No assurance, however, can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Important factors that may lead to significant differences between the actual results and the statements of expectations about future events or results include the Company’s business strategy, industry developments, financial market conditions, uncertainty of the results of future projects and operations, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, among others. Such risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other important factors could cause the actual results of Galp or the industry to differ materially from those results expressed or implied in this presentation by such forward-looking statements.
Actual future results, including financial and operating performance; demand growth and energy mix; Galp’s production growth and mix; the amount and mix of capital expenditures; future distributions; resource additions and recoveries; project plans, timing, costs, and capacities; efficiency gains; cost savings; integration benefits; product sales and mix; production rates; and the impact of technology could differ materially due to a number of factors. These include changes in oil or gas prices or other market conditions affecting the oil, gas, and petrochemical industries; reservoir performance; timely completion of development projects; war and other political or security disturbances; changes in law or government regulation, including environmental regulations and political sanctions; the outcome of commercial negotiations; the actions of competitors and customers; unexpected technological developments; general economic conditions, including the occurrence and duration of economic recessions; unforeseen technical difficulties; and other factors.
The information, opinions and forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as at the date of this presentation, and are subject to change without notice. Galp and its respective representatives, agents, employees or advisors do not intend to, and expressly disclaim any duty, undertaking or obligation to, make or disseminate any supplement, amendment, update or revision to any of the information, opinions or forward-looking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances.
3
Investor Presentation | September 2016
An integrated energy player
€10.8 bn Market Cap
€1.6 bn Ebitda
€1.3 bn Capex
6.8 k Employees
7% ROACE1
Exploration & Production
52 projects
701 mmboe 2P reserves
45.8 kboepd WI production
€356 m Ebitda
1 ROACE of 7% on capital employed of €8.6 bn as of YE2015, including work in progress (non-productive assets) of €2.1 bn. All figures relate to year end 2015, except market cap shown as end of August 2016.
Refining & Marketing
330 kbopd refining capacity
114.6 mmboe processed
9.1 mton sales to direct clients
€800 m Ebitda
Gas &
Power
7.665 mm3 NG/LNG sales
12,533 km NG distribution network
4.636 GWh electricity sales
€381 m Ebitda
4
Investor Presentation | September 2016
The 3E's approach
Focus on delivery and profitability
Screening new opportunities and
portfolio management
Unlock more value from current
portfolio
Execute Explore Extract
5
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Developing highly competitive upstream projects Extracting value from downstream and gas businesses Committed to a solid capital structure Delivering long term value to stakeholders Key takeaways Appendix
6
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Galp holds a unique upstream portfolio
Portugal
São Tomé and Príncipe
Angola
7 exploration licenses 6 sanctioned projects 4 non-sanctioned projects 17 exploration licenses
Santos basin (8) Potiguar basin (7) Barreirinhas basin (4) Parnaíba basin (4) Pernambuco basin (2) Amazonas basin (1) Sergipe Alagoas (1)
5 sanctioned projects 1 non-sanctioned project
6 exploration licenses
Brazil
1 exploration license
East Timor
1 exploration license
Mozambique
2 non-sanctioned projects
Namibia
2 exploration licenses
Op.
Op.
Op.
Op. Operated
Op.
7
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Executing world-class projects…
2006 2009 1999 2014 2010 2013 2015 2016
So
uth
Am
eri
ca
A
fric
a
FPSO #1 (CAR) Lula Pilot (100 kbopd)
FPSO #2 (CPY) Lula NE
(120 kbopd)
FPSO #3 (CMB) Iracema South
(150 kbopd)
FPSO #4 (CIT) Iracema North
(150 kbopd)
FPSO #5 (CMR) Lula Alto (150 kbopd)
Kuito field1
Block 14 BBLT CPT Block 14
(100 kbopd)
TL CPT Block 14
(130 kbopd)
Lianzi field Block 14k
(through BBLT CPT)
1Kuito FPSO decommissioned during 2013.
FPSO #6 (CSQ) Lula Central (150 kbopd)
8
Investor Presentation | September 2016
… and further to be delivered
2019
So
uth
Am
eri
ca
A
fric
a
2020
Sépia Leased FPSO
2018
Lula Ext South Replicant FPSO
150 kbopd
Berbigão/Sururu Replicant FPSO
150 kbopd
Kaombo South 125 kbopd
2017
Lula South Replicant FPSO
150 kbopd
Lula North Replicant FPSO
150 kbopd
Kaombo North 125 kbopd
2020+
Carcará
Coral
Mamba
Atapu 2
Replicant FPSO 150 kbopd
Júpiter
Lula West
Atapu 1 Replicant FPSO
150 kbopd
9
Investor Presentation | September 2016
46
2015 2016E 2020E Pre-sanctioned Upside/
Exploration
Potential
2020+
Premium assets delivering production growth
Working interest production (kboepd)
Sanctioned Projects
Execute + Extract Execute + Extract + Explore
CAGR 2015-20 25-30%
35-40%
Note: Breakeven NPV10.
Breakeven
<$30/bbl
10
Investor Presentation | September 2016
27
22< 20
2014 2015 2020E
Technical costs1 ($/boe)
Investing in competitive upstream projects
Reservoir characteristics and project scale driving Brazil technical costs close to $15/boe
Potential from further capex and cost optimisation
Lifting costs expected to be under $5/boe by 2020
1Technical costs based on group working interest production (excludes royalties, overheads and oil taxes).
Lifting costs Leasing costs DD&A
11
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Lula/Iracema: delivering a world-class project
BM-S-11: Lula/Iracema Six out of 10 FPSOs producing in 2016
96 wells drilled out of c.150 planned
Consortium technical skills and experience supporting the development of this key asset
12
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Lula/Iracema: outstanding productivity
Each 1 p.p. increase in oil recovery results in incremental c.200 mmbbl gross
1Source: ANP Jun-16. 2Note: Galp view.
Top pre-salt producer wells1 (kboepd)
33.6
33.9
36.2
36.8
36.9
37.9
38.2
39.9
40.0
40.1
43.7
45.4
Lula
Lula
Lula
Lula
Sapinhoá
Sapinhoá
Lula
Jubarte
Lula
Sapinhoá
Lula
LulaPlateau ≈7 years
FPSO #1 production
(kbopd)
100
2010 2015 2020E
PoD 2010 Actual + Forecast
Oil recovery factor
(%)
28%
40%
Current recovery
factor
Ambition 2
13
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Increasing efficiency in Lula/Iracema Drilling and completion (#days)
Benefiting from learning curve and optimising well designs
Negotiating rig and subsea contracts
Ramp-up period of Lula/Iracema FPSOs (#months)
239
110
75
2010 2015 Best performance
and LT ambition
FPSO #4 already producing at plateau, having achieved full ramp-up in 13 months
FPSO #5 and FPSO #6 to reach full capacity during 2017
18
15
13 13
FPSO #1 FPSO #2 FPSO #3 FPSO #4
14
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Significant resource base in a challenging heterogeneous reservoir
Production in Berbigão/Sururu expected by 2018 and Atapu 1 by early 2019
DST in Carcará North proved excellent reservoir productivity
DoC expected to be submitted in 2018
Extension of the discovery into open area to the North
Sépia East DoC submitted and unitisation with Sépia (ToR, 100% Petrobras) being prepared
Júpiter appraisal campaign proved large oil, natural gas and condensates base, with DoC extended until 2021
Berbigão | Sururu | Atapu Carcará Júpiter | Sépia East
De-risking other relevant projects in Brazil
1
1Petrobras announced the farm-out to Statoil in July 16.
15
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Mozambique: Optimising initial development solutions
Area 4 total GIIP volumes of c.85 Tcf
Dry gas in high quality reservoir
EPCIC contract under negotiation
LNG long-term gas offtake contract being finalised
PoD approved in February 2016
Mamba onshore LNG - 2x5 mtpa LNG trains (1st phase)
Coral FLNG - 1 FLNG (3.0-3.7 mtpa)
Area 4
Unitisation process with Area 1 concluded in 2015
Finalising framework for common facilities development
EPC proposals being evaluated
16
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Angola: Optimising development projects
Four producing areas and two CPT platforms
Lianzi production started during 2015
Implementation of cost reduction initiatives
Ongoing drilling campaign
Two FPSO of 125 kbopd expected for 2017 and 2018
PSA fiscal terms renegotiated during 2015 and potential for further cost reduction
Blocks 14/14k Block 32
17
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Developing highly competitive upstream projects Extracting value from downstream and gas businesses Committed to a solid capital structure Delivering long term value to stakeholders Key takeaways Appendix
18
Investor Presentation | September 2016
An efficient refining system capable of meeting market needs
Production profile and consumption in Iberia
5% 3%
69% 83%
26%14%
Galp production yields Iberian oil market
Others Middle distillates Light distillates
Fully invested and competitive refining system after €1.4 bn upgrade
Focus on maximising energy efficiency and optimising refining processes to achieve higher refining margin
Leveraging refineries’ location (European SW), namely competitiveness to the U.S. market
19
Investor Presentation | September 2016
3rd largest player in Iberia and a growing presence in Africa
Service station in Portugal
1,435 service stations, of which 138 service stations across the African continent
Annual oil sales to direct clients of 9.1 mton, of which around 8% sold in Africa
Improving refining and marketing integration
Stable contribution to Ebitda
Launched innovative tri-fuel offer in Iberia (oil products, gas and electricity)
20
Investor Presentation | September 2016
100
80
15050
Previous targetby 2019
2015deliveredefficiency
Furtherefficiency
New targetby 2020
6.0
1.0
5.2
2.5 2.5
2015 2020 beforeimprovements
Improvementsimpact
(2018+)
2020E
Benchmark refining margin
Galp refining margin improvements ($/bbl)
Downstream efficiency and margin optimisation
Additional cost reduction in R&M (€m)
21
Investor Presentation | September 2016
NG and LNG portfolio breakdown (bcm)
Expand and leverage client base
Diversify and increase sourcing
Grow medium-term structured sales
Building a sustainable NG and LNG portfolio
Sourcing Sales
2015 volumes
7.7 bcm
Portfolio ambition
Other
Medium-term structured sales
Network trading
Contracted LNG
Contracted pipeline
Spot
NG Iberia demand
22
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Steady contribution from regulated activities
Extensive infrastructure in Iberia with regulated gas distribution network and stakes in Iberian pipelines
RAB of €1.05 bn, with 6.2% RoR between Jul’16 – Jul’17
173 MW of cogeneration capacity installed and expected c.4 TWh/yr of electrical power generation
3 TWh of electricity sold to direct clients in Iberia
NG Infrastructure Power
23
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Ring fencing regulated gas infrastructure business
Marubeni led consortium with Toho Gas to acquire a stake of 22.5% in GGND
Shared governance leading to accounting deconsolidation
€138 m equity transaction, implying c.€1.3 bn EV, a 27% premium over RAB and 11.5x Ebitda 2016E multiple
GGND to raise own funding to repay existing shareholder loans
Total cash proceeds of c.€700 m to Galp at completion
Highlights
Holding of nine local distribution concessionaries
€1.05 bn Regulated Asset Base, with RoR of 6.2% for the period Jul’16 - Jul’17
About GGND
Galp Energia, SGPS, SA
Total Assets: €13.0 bn
Net Debt: €2.5 bn
(GGND fully consolidated)
Galp Gás Natural Distribuição
(GGND)
Total Assets: €1.3 bn
Net Debt1: €0.6 bn
1 GGND will raise stand-alone funding to reimburse existing shareholder loans of €568 m.
Transaction structure
Galp Energia, SGPS, SA
Total Assets: €11.7 bn
Net Debt: €1.8 bn
Shareholder loans €568 m
€0 m
Equity 100%
77.5%
Values @ June 30, 2016
24
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Developing highly competitive upstream projects Extracting value from downstream and gas businesses Committed to a solid capital structure Delivering long term value to stakeholders Key takeaways Appendix
25
Investor Presentation | September 2016
0.0
1.5
2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
Capex profile (€bn)
Capex plan focused on developing key projects
2016-2020E capex estimated at €1.0 - €1.2 bn
E&P to account for c.85% of Group capex
First stage of BM-S-11 in Brazil to drive short term investments
Potential capex reduction from greater efficiency and contract renegotiation
Expected 2016 capex of €1.1 - €1.3 bn
Group capex
E&P Brazil development
E&P Mozambique
26
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Capex allocation 2016-2020
Capex flexibility
Around 60% of E&P capex already committed and focused on Brazil and Angola developments
E&P uncommitted capex relates to non-sanctioned projects with production to start after 2020
E&A1 capex accounting for 15% of E&P investment and more intensive from 2019 onwards
Downstream and gas capex mostly for energy efficiency projects and process optimisation
1 E&A – Exploration & Appraisal. Note: E&P committed capex considers Lula/Iracema and Iara in Brazil, Blocks 32 and 14/14k in Angola, and 2016 E&A.
E&P excl. Mozambique D&G
E&P uncommitted
E&P Mozambique
27
Investor Presentation | September 2016
0
750
1,500
2,250
2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
E&P Ebitda (€m)
Group Ebitda CAGR 2015-20 of 15%
D&G Ebitda (€m)
2016 Group Ebitda expected at €1.2 - €1.3 bn
Ebitda CAGR >40%
R&M G&P1
1G&P Ebitda does not consider sale of regulated infrastructure.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
28
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Galp free cash flow1 (€m) FCF positive during 2018, assuming committed
and uncommitted capex
Testing at $45/bbl, FCF positive one year later, assuming no further capex reduction
Brazil FCF positive during 2017 at $45/bbl
Further upsides expected from upstream learning curve, higher productivity and contract renegotiation
Positive FCF of €215 m in 1H16 post-dividend and before expansion capex
Free cash flow breakeven during 2018
1IFRS post interest, taxes and dividends and excluding Sinopec reimbursements. Note: Does not consider sale of regulated infrastructure.
-600
0
600
2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
Base case Brent flat @ $45/bbl
29
Investor Presentation | September 2016
0
4
8
12
Sources Uses
Sources and uses 2016-2020 (€bn) Net Debt to Ebitda3
1Liquidity as of June 2016, including cash of €0.9 bn, credit lines of €1.2 bn and loan to Sinopec of €0.6 bn. 2Assumes €0.41472 DPS, related to 2015 fiscal year, and €0.50 flat DPS from 2016 onwards. 3Ratio considers net debt plus Sinopec MLT Shareholder Loan to Petrogal Brasil minus loan to Sinopec. Does not consider sale of regulated infrastructure.
Galp fully funded
Liquidity1
CFFO post-tax
Dividends2
Debt service
Capex
Not committed
Base case Brent flat @ $45/bbl
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
2014 2015 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
NG Inf. cash in
30
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Developing highly competitive upstream projects Extracting value from downstream and gas businesses Committed to a solid capital structure Delivering long term value to stakeholders Key takeaways Appendix
31
Investor Presentation | September 2016
33%
7%
60%
Galp in the capital markets
Galp shareholding structure
Free float evolution
1According to best available information, as of end of June 2016. Note: Parpública’s 7% stake placed through exchangeable bonds.
Geographic dispersion of institutional investors1:
23%
60%
67%
Free float@2006 (IPO)
Free float@Sept. 2016
PotentialFree float@2017North America Europe RoW
56% 38% 6%
Free Float o.w.:
2% - 5%
2% - 5%
2% - 5%
2% - 5%
32
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Adding value to shareholders
Source: Bloomberg. 1 Total shareholder return from October 23, 2006 to end August 2016.
European E&P: Africa Oil, Cairn, DNO, ENQuest, Genel, Lundin, Ophir, Premier, Soco and Tullow; European Integrated: Eni, MOL, OMV, Repsol and Statoil; European Majors: BP, Shell and Total; European refiners: Hellenic Petroleum, Lotos, MOH, Neste, Orlen, Saras and Turkish Petroleum.
Total shareholder return since Galp IPO1 (%) Last 12-month share performance (%)
11%
2% 1%
0%-5%
European
Majors
European
Refiners
European
Integrated
European
E&P
39%
7% 6% 4%
-3%-10%
European
Majors
European
Integrated
SXEP European
Refiners
European
E&P
33
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Galp DPS (€/share)
Current policy of 20% p.a. dividend growth until 2016
Business plan assumes €0.50/sh flat from 2017 onwards
Commitment to shareholder remuneration
0.240.29
0.35
0.41
0.50
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
34
Investor Presentation | September 2016
A corporate governance model which promotes transparency
Governing bodies
General Shareholders
Meeting
Board of Directors
Executive Committee
Company Secretary
Remuneration Committee
Supervisory Board
Statutory Auditor
The board of directors is composed of 19 members of which seven are executive members
Of the 12 non-executive directors, five are considered independent directors based on the independency criteria established by the Portuguese Securities Market Commission (CMVM)
A robust supervisory framework including the Supervisory Board and the Statutory Auditor
35
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Chief Financial Officer
Filipe Silva
Former CEO of Deutsche Bank in
Portugal
Over 25 years of experience in different industries, including Oil & Gas, energy and beverages. Member of Board of Directors of Galp since 2007
COO Exploration &
Production
Thore E.Kristiansen
Held positions as Senior Vice
President of Statoil for South America
and was also Chairman of Statoil
Brasil
COO Supply, Refining & Planning
Carlos Silva
More than 20 years of professional
experience in the areas of
procurement and engineering in the
automotive, hospitality and Oil &
Gas industries
COO Iberian Oil Marketing &
International Oil
Tiago Câmara Pestana
Former CEO of Dia Portugal, which
operates 640 stores in mainland Portugal
COO Gas & Power
Pedro Ricardo
Over 20 years of experience in the
Gas sector. Previously
responsible for supply and trading
of natural gas
Chief Corporate Officer / New
Energies
Carlos Costa Pina
Former Secretary of State for Treasury and Finance and
member of the BoD of the Portuguese Securities Market
Commission
Chief Executive Officer
Carlos Gomes da Silva
A focused and experienced executive team
36
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Galp corporate sustainability recognised internationally
Galp’s acknowledgements
1Climate Change Disclosure Leadership Index.
Galp was included for the forth consecutive year in the Iberia 125 CDLI1 by the Carbon Disclosure Project in 2015
Presence in the DJSI Europe and DJSI World for the third consecutive year
Considered one of the 100 most sustainable companies in the world by Corporate Knights, occupying the 30th place in the general ranking and the 2nd best in the sector
37
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Developing highly competitive upstream projects Extracting value from downstream and gas businesses Committed to a solid capital structure Delivering long term value to stakeholders Key takeaways Appendix
38
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Key takeaways
Unique growth profile
Financial discipline
Competitive position
<$30/bbl Projects breakeven
Resilient Integrated profile
FCF>0 During 2018 @$55/bbl
25-30% Production CAGR 2015-20
≈15% Ebitda CAGR 2015-20
≈15% ROACE @2020
15% Capex reduction1
≈1.0x Net debt/ Ebitda@2020
Commitment to shareholder remuneration
1From financial outlook presented in the CMD in Mar-15 to the one published in the CMD Mar-16.
39
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Developing highly competitive upstream projects Extracting value from downstream and gas businesses Committed to a solid capital structure Delivering long term value to stakeholders Key takeaways Appendix
40
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Key operating indicators
2Q16 2Q15 2Q16 YoY 1H15 1H16 YoY
Exploration & Production1
56.3 43.8 54.7 25% Average working interest production2 (kboepd) 42.7 55.5 30%
52.9 40.5 51.7 28% Oil production (kbopd) 39.4 52.3 33%
53.7 40.9 52.2 28% Average net entitlement production2 (kboepd) 39.8 53.0 33%
7.9 7.4 7.1 (3%) Angola 7.6 7.5 (1%)
45.8 33.5 45.0 34% Brazil 32.2 45.4 41%
26.2 53.0 38.3 (28%) Average realised sale price3 (USD/boe) 51.8 32.1 (38%)
8.9 7.6 9.8 29% Production costs (USD/boe) 9.6 9.3 (3%)
Refining & Marketing
4.1 7.3 4.6 (37%) Galp refining margin (USD/boe) 6.6 4.3 (35%)
2.0 1.4 1.7 25% Refining cash cost4 (USD/boe) 1.6 1.8 17%
25.2 29.8 26.3 (12%) Raw materials processed (mmboe) 56.0 51.5 (8%)
4.2 4.7 4.6 (4%) Total refined product sales (mton) 9.1 8.7 (4%)
2.1 2.3 2.3 (2%) Sales to direct clients (mton) 4.6 4.4 (3%)
Gas & Power
1,860 1,869 1,593 (15%) NG supply total sales volumes (mm3 ) 4,064 3,454 (15%)
901 919 882 (4%) Sales to direct clients (mm3) 1,918 1,782 (7%)
960 951 712 (25%) Trading (mm3) 2,146 1,672 (22%)
1,192 1,120 1,229 10% Sales of electricity (GWh) 2,247 2,421 8%
1 Unit figures based on net entitlement production. 2 Includes natural gas exported, excludes natural gas used or reinjected. 3 Galp average oil and gas realised sale price, including change in production effects. 4 Excluding impact of refining margin hedging operations.
41
Investor Presentation | September 2016
1IFRS Figures. 2Does not include loan to Sinopec as cash.
Maintaining solid capital structure
Profit & Loss (€m)
Balance Sheet¹ (€m)
Dec.2015 Jun.2016 Jun-Dec
Net f ixed assets 7,892 7,304 (588)
Work in progress 2,077 2,347 +270
Working capital 510 365 (145)
Loan to Sinopec 723 576 (147)
Other assets (liabilities) (515) (335) +180
Non-current assets/liabilities
held for sale842 +842
Capital employed 8,610 8,752 +142
Net debt3 2,422 2,467 +45
Equity 6,188 6,285 +97
Net Debt + Equity 8,610 8,752 +142
1Q16 2Q15 2Q16 QoQ YoY 1H16 YoY
Turnover 2,829 4,247 3,267 +15% (23%) 6,095 (25%)
Ebitda 293 447 337 +15% (25%) 631 (23%)
E&P 48 119 86 +79% (27%) 135 (37%)
R&M 148 230 143 (3%) (38%) 291 (22%)
G&P 90 89 97 +9% +10% 187 (15%)
Ebit 137 304 185 +35% (39%) 323 (39%)
Associates 21 17 24 +14% +42% 45 +5%
Financial results 3 (10) 15 n.m. n.m. 18 n.m.
Taxes1 (39) (107) (79) +100% (26%) (118) (34%)
Non-controlling interests (9) (15) (12) +41% (16%) (21) (19%)
Net Income 114 189 133 +17% (29%) 247 (20%)
Net Income (IFRS) (58) 110 66 n.m. (40%) 8 (89%)
42
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Gross debt Cash Loan to
Sinopec
Net debt
Debt breakdown @30 June 2016 (€bn) Reimbursement profile (€m)
Balanced debt profile
Maintaining diversified sources of funding and reducing average cost
Average maturity of 2.7 years
3.4
0.9
0.7
1.9
c.60%
Bank loans
Multilaterals
Private placements
Public bonds
June 2016 YE2015
0
300
600
900
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022+
43
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Key indicators on Galp’s debt
2015 1H16
Gross debt €3.6 bn €3.4 bn
Cash and equivalents €1.1 bn €0.9 bn
Net Debt €2.4 bn €2.5 bn
Net Debt considering loan to Sinopec as cash €1.7 bn €1.9 bn
Net Debt to Ebitda Ratio1 1.2x 1.6x
Available credit lines €1.1 bn €1.2 bn
Average life of debt 3.1 2.7
Average interest rate 3.75% 3.50%
% Debt @ floating rate 58% 57%
1Ratio considers net debt plus Sinopec MLT Shareholder Loan to Petrogal Brasil minus loan to Sinopec.
44
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Outlook and business plan sensitivities
Galp assumptions 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E 2020E
Brent price ($/bbl) 35 45 55 65 70
Refining margin benchmark1 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.5
EUR:USD 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12
1Benchmark refining margin = 42.5% cracking margin + 45.0% hydrocracking margin + 5.5% aromatics margin + 7.0% base oils margin.
Ebitda sensitivities Change 2016E 2020E
Brent price $5.0/bbl €90 m €210 m
Refining margin benchmark1 $1.0/bbl €90 m €95 m
EUR:USD 0.05 (€45 m) (€115 m)
45
Investor Presentation | September 2016
Galp’s reserves and resources portfolio Reserves and resources (mmboe)1
Reserves 2014 2015 % Chg.
1P 232 276 19%
2P 638 701 10%
3P 833 960 15%
Contingent resources 2014 2015 % Chg.
1C 332 307 (8%)
2C 1,672 1,343 (20%)
3C 3,496 3,025 (13%)
Exploration resources 2014 2015 % Chg.
Unrisked 1,605 1,493 (7%)
Risked 217 226 4%
1Exploration resources and contingent resources on a working interest basis. Reserves figures on a net entitlement basis. All figures are based on DeGolyer and MacNaughton report as of 31.12.2015.
46
Investor Presentation | September 2016
First operatorship in deepwaters
Planning for broadband seismic 3D acquisition
First ever deepwater exploration well in Portugal
Main targets are Lower Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic sands
Pitu discovery appraised during 2015
Broadband 3D seismic across five blocks expected in 2016/2017
Potiguar basin (Brazil) Alentejo basin (Portugal) São Tomé and Príncipe
Ongoing exploration activities
47
Investor Presentation | September 2016
# Number DJSI Dow Jones Sustainability Indices m Million
≈ Approximately DoC Declaration of Commerciality mmbpd Million barrels per day
% Percentage DST Drill Stem Test mmboepd Million barrels of oil equivalent per day
& And E Exploration mmbbl Million barrels
€ Euros E&A Exploration and Appraisal mmboe Million barrels of oil equivalent
$ (or USD) Dollars E&P Exploration and Production MSc Master of Science
x Times Ebitda Earnings before interest and taxes, depreciation and amortisation mton Million tonnes
1C; 2C; 3C Contingent resources EIA U.S. Energy Information Administration mtpa Million tonnes per annum
4D Four Dimensional EOR Enhanced Oil Recovery NE Northeast
1P Proved reserves EPCIC Engineering Procurement Construction Installation Commissioning NG Natural Gas
2P Proved and probable reserves FEED Front-End Engineering Design NOCs National Oil Companies
3P Proved, probable and possible reserves FCF Free Cash Flow NPV Net Present Value
A Appraisal FID Final Investment Decision NLNG Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas
ANP Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels FLNG Floating Liquefied Natural Gas OPEC Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
bcm Billion cubic metres FPSO Floating Production Storage Offloading Opex Operational expenditure
bbl Barrel FOB Free On Board p.p. Percentage points
BBLT Benguela, Belize, Lobito and Tomboco FTE Full-time Equivalent PoD Plan of development
BoD Board of Directors GDP Gross Domestic Product PPSA Pré-Sal Petróleo S.A.
bn Billion cubic metres GeoER Reservoir geoengineering Q&A Questions and Answers
c. Circa GIIP Gas Initially in Place R&T Research and Technology
Capex Capital expenditure GIIGNL International group of liquefied natural gas importers R&M Refining and Marketing
CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate HSE Health, Safety and Environment RCA Replacement Cost Adjusted
CEO Chief Executive Officer ICE Intercontinental Exchange RDA Reservoir Data Acquisition
Cid. Cidade IEA International Energy Agency ROACE Return on Average Capital Employed
CIF Cost, Insurance and Freights IHS CERA Information Handling Services Cambridge Energy Research Associates RRR Reserve Replacement Ratio
CFO Chief Financial Officer IMF International Monetary Fund ToR Transfer of Rights
CNE Central North East IOR Improved Oil Recovery US United States of America
CO2 Carbon dioxide ISPG Instituto do Petróleo e Gás vs. Versus
CDP Carbon Disclosure Project kboepd Thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day WAG Water alternating gas
COO Chief Operating Officer kbopd Thousand barrels of oil per day YoY Year over Year
D&G Downstream and Gas LatAm Latin America YE Year End
DD&A Depreciation, Depletion and Amortisation LNG Liquefied Natural Gas Yr Year
Acronyms