investor presentation · 2020. 10. 29. · mav beauty brands 7 01 unilever group 02 proctor &...
TRANSCRIPT
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
October 2020
Forward-looking statements
Certain information in this presentation, including statements relating to our growth strategies, including our ability to grow organically and make accretive acquisitions, our position in the NorthAmerican hair, our ability to leverage our operating platform to scale our business and improve gross margin, our ability to respond to shifting consumer habits, our ability to respond to global economiccircumstances, and expected industry-wide growth trends such as e-commerce sales, constitutes forward-looking information under applicable securities laws.
In some cases, but not necessarily in all cases, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “targets”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “isexpected”, “an opportunity exists”, “is positioned”, “estimates”, “intends”, “assumes”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate” or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or state that certainactions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might”, “will” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. In addition, any statements that refer to expectations, projections or othercharacterizations of future events or circumstances contain forward-looking information. Statements containing forward-looking information are not historical facts but instead represent management’sexpectations, estimates and projections regarding future events.
Forward-looking information is necessarily based on a number of opinions, assumptions and estimates that, while considered reasonable by MAV Beauty Brands as of the date of this presentation, aresubject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements to be materially different from thoseexpressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including but not limited to the factors described in greater detail in the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Information Formdated on or about March 30, 2020 for the year ended December 31, 2019, and the Company’s other periodic filings made available at www.sedar.com. These factors are not intended to represent acomplete list of the factors that could affect MAV Beauty Brands; however, these factors should be considered carefully. There can be no assurance that such estimates and assumptions will prove to becorrect. The forward-looking statements contained in this presentation are made as of the date of this presentation, and MAV Beauty Brands expressly disclaims any obligation to update or alterstatements containing any forward-looking information, or the factors or assumptions underlying them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by law.
Non-IFRS Measures
This presentation makes reference to certain non-IFRS measures. These measures are not recognized measures under IFRS, do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and are thereforeunlikely to be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. Rather, these measures are provided as additional information to complement those IFRS measures by providing furtherunderstanding of our results of operations from management’s perspective. Accordingly, these measures should not be considered in isolation nor as a substitute for analysis of our financial informationreported under IFRS. We use non-IFRS measures including “Adjusted EBITDA”, “Adjusted Net Income”, “Adjusted Diluted EPS”, “Adjusted Free Cash Flow” and “Net debt-to-Adjusted EBITDA”. Thesenon-IFRS measures are used to provide investors with supplemental measures of our operating performance and thus highlight trends in our core business that may not otherwise be apparent whenrelying solely on IFRS financial measures. We also believe that securities analysts, investors and other interested parties frequently use non-IFRS measures in the evaluation of issuers. Our managementalso uses non-IFRS measures in order to facilitate operating performance comparisons from period to period, to prepare annual operating budgets and to determine components of managementcompensation. Definitions and reconciliations of non-IFRS measures to the relevant reported measures can be found in our MD&A available at www.sedar.com.
Certain Other Matters
Unless otherwise stated herein, financial information in this presentation is presented in United States dollars.
MAV Beauty Brands 2
About MAV Beauty Brands
MAV Beauty Brands 3
About MAV Beauty Brands
01
Growth Strategy
02
FinancialOverview
03
01
Delivering robust growth in key metrics
103%Adjusted Diluted EPSCAGR (2018, 2019, LTM 2020)
21%3-Year Revenue CAGR (‘16-’19)
4MAV Beauty Brands
(1)
1) See Non-IFRS Measures
13%3-Year Adjusted EBITDA CAGR (‘16-’19)
(1)
Top-tier leadership team built to scale
MAV Beauty Brands 5
Tim BunchPresident & Chief Executive Officer
20+ years experience
Judy AdamChief Financial Officer
25+ years experience
Tom NestorChief Sales Officer
30+ years experience
Kimberly KonstantVP, Marketing, Brand and Innovation
20+ years experience
Alex MillerVP, Operations
25+ years experience
Supported by highly experienced Board of Directors
Charlene DanceVP, Multicultural
12+ years experience
MAV Beauty Brands 6
Acquired 2018 Acquired 2018 Acquired 2019
From one iconic brand To a diversified portfolio
• 25-year history, beginning with Shoppers Drug Mart
• Pioneering brand in the Masstige category
• Stable cash flow
• Highly secure shelfspace
• Exposure to high-growth categories
• Diversification by channel, hair care segments, and consumer base
• Scale with Retailers and Manufacturers
Diversification mitigates risk & provides stability
MAV Beauty Brands 7Source: Nielsen, Total US xAOC • BC SUPER CATEGORY : HAIR CARE • Latest 52 Wks - W/E 08/08/20.
01 UNILEVER GROUP
02 PROCTOR & GAMBLE COMPANY, THE
03 L’OREAL SA
04 JOHNSON & JOHNSON
05 HENKEL KGAA
06 PARFUMS DE COEUR LTD
07 DEMERT BRANDS
08 MAV BEAUTY BRANDS INC
09 CLAYTON DUBILIER &RICE
10 CHURCH & DWIGHT COMPANY, INC.
largest hair care company in U.S. FDM channel
8th
Growing player in North American hair and body care
Delivering industry-leading growth and margins
MAV Beauty Brands 8Source: Company disclosures
27%MAV YTD 2020 ADJUSTED EBITDA MARGIN
21%AVERAGE PEER EBITDA MARGIN
1) See Non-IFRS Measures
L'Oreal
Beiersdorf
Revlon
Coty
HoT
ELFP&G
C&D
RB
KC
Colgate
Clorox
MAV ('16-'19)
(5.0%)
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
(5.0%) 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
EBIT
DA
CA
GR
(C
Y20
16
-C
Y20
19
)
Revenue CAGR (CY2016 - CY2019)
(1)
Delivering industry-leading growth
MAV Beauty Brands 9Source: Company disclosures
L'Oreal
Beiersdorf
Revlon
Coty
HoT
ELF
BWX
P&G
C&D
RB
KC
Colgate
Clorox
MAV ('16-'19)
(30.0%)
(20.0%)
(10.0%)
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
(10.0%) (5.0%) 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0%
EPS
CA
GR
(C
Y20
16
-C
Y20
19
)
Revenue CAGR (CY2016 - CY2019)
MAV (’16-’19)
Growth Strategy
About MAV Beauty Brands
01
Financial Overview
03
Growth Strategy
02
02MAV Beauty Brands 10
Above-category organic growth
Accretive acquisitions
13%
Building shareholder value
MAV Beauty Brands 111) See Non-IFRS Measures
3-Year Adjusted EBITDA CAGR (‘16-’19)
• Consistent revenue growth
• Drive scale & efficiencies
(1)
37%3-Year EPSCAGR (‘16-’19)
Delivering on strategy
MAV Beauty Brands 12
Above-category organic growth Accretive acquisitions
6.0%MAV YTD Q2 2020 ORGANIC GROWTH (NORTH AMERICA)
1.3%YTD2020 CATEGORY POS GROWTH ($)
41%
0.13
0.18
YTD 2019 YTD 2020
AD
JU
ST
ED
DI
LU
TE
D E
PS
(3
)
Gross Revenue increase since acquired= ~7x3-YR Gross Revenue CAGR= 28%
1) Does not include The Mane Choice acquisition (Nov 2019)2) Source: Nielsen - CYTD Wks - 32 W/E 09/05/203) See Non-IFRS Measures
(2)
(1)
Our organic growth strategy
Expand footprint
MAV Beauty Brands 13
01
Innovate
02
Amplify brand
03
100+ retailers
Longstanding relationships
Be early on trends
Act on retailer feedback
Dedicated brand management
Multiple channels
Build strong standalone brands on our platform
Drive efficiencies
04
COGS improvements
Operational synergies
MAV Beauty Brands 14
01
03
Expand footprint Innovate
Hair care only
Body care expansion
Skin care expansion
M A V B R A N D I M P R E S S I O N S ( 1 )
2018 2019
12BSept 2020
Drive efficiencies
G R O S S M A R G I N E X P A N S I O N
50%LTM
48%2018
SDM Canada2019: U.S. Drug 2020: Ulta, Across Canada
U.S. Mass 2019: Canada2020: U.S. Drug, Mexico
U.S. 2020: Canada, Ulta
2019 COGS reduction initiatives
• Renegotiated manufacturing contracts
• Redesigned Renpure formulas• Rebalanced across manufacturers
for optimal scale2017 2018 2019 Sept YTD 2020
Amplify brand
02
04
1) Various sources including CreatorIQ, Facebook, Instagram, Iconosquare, MNI, Meltwater
Clear acquisition criteria
MAV Beauty Brands 15
MAV becoming an active acquiror of choice
Large and resilient Personal Care categories
Growing brands in on-trend segments
Adds strategic capabilities to platform
Asset-light, high-margin models
Must be EPS accretive
Established platform
Culture
Great brand stewards
Embrace people contribution
Why founders choose MAV
Active M&A environment
MAV Beauty Brands 16
Reported Analyst Estimates/Other Sources
MAV Beauty Brands 17
Leverage our operating platform to scale independent brands
Top-tier leadership team
Established distribution channels
Scalable infrastructure
Flexible supply chain
Social-first marketing model
Trusted partners
Scalable Efficient channels
IT, Finance, OpsRigour & Resources
Platform built for $500mm+ in revenue and multiple brands
Innovation engineSpeed to market135+ years of experience on
leadership team
MAV Beauty Brands 18MAV Beauty Brands 18
100+ retailers
60k+ doors
We have a powerful North American distribution platform
Majority of sales from essential channels: food, drug, mass
Supported by a growing e-commerce presence
• Amazon• Direct-to-consumer• Retailer.com• E-commerce now
double-digit percentage of MAV’s sales
Investments have positioned MAV to capitalize on shifting consumer habits
MAV Beauty Brands 19
Significant e-commerce sales growth
2017 2018 2019 LTM 2020
1,000%CAGR
Note: Results only include acquisitions of Renpure, Cake, and The Mane Choice as of their respective acquisition dates
MAV Beauty Brands 20
Attractive model: strong free cash flow
Asset-light model
Outsourced supply chain
Low CAPEX (1% of sales)
High cash conversion
(1)
1) % of Revenue for trailing 12 months from June 30, 20202) See Non-IFRS Measures
$19.0mmLTM Q2 2020 Cash Flow from
Operations
$12.6mmLTM Q2 2020 Adjusted Free
Cash Flow (2)
BODY CARE36.0%
HAIR CARE15.8%
COLOUR COSMETICS14.3%
MEN'S GROOMING
10.4%
FRAGRANCES10.4%
ORAL CARE9.5%
BABY PRODUCTS3.6%
Attractive model: large and recession-resistant markets
MAV Beauty Brands 21
1) Euromonitor International, Beauty and Personal Care 2019 Edition2) Euromonitor International, Beauty and Personal Care 2019 Edition3) Nielsen - CYTD Wks - 32 W/E 09/05/20
R E S I L I E N T & R E C E S S I O N - R E S I S TA N T M A S S I V E G L O B A L M A R K E T
(US$ Billions)
$488B
3.7%15-YEAR CAGR RETAIL SALES GROWTH (2004-2018)
1.3%2020 YTD POS GROWTH WITH COVID-19
(1)
(2)
(3)
MAV Beauty Brands 22
Financial Overview
MAV Beauty Brands 22
About MAV Beauty Brands
01
Financial Overview
03
Growth Strategy
02
03
Strong financial track record
MAV Beauty Brands 23
(US$ Millions)
R E V E N U E
13.0%CAGR
94.0
108.5
120.2
2018 2019 LTM Q2 2020
G R O S S P R O F I T
$42.8
$51.8
$56.4
2018 2019 LTM Q2 2020
A D J U S T E D E B I T D A
$26.2
$29.5
$33.4
2018 2019 LTM Q2 2020
1) See Non-IFRS Measures Note: Results only include acquisitions of Renpure, Cake, and The Mane Choice as of their respective acquisition dates
14.8%CAGR
12.8%CAGR
A D J U S T E D D I L U T E D E P S
$0.08
$0.28
$0.33
2018 2019 LTM Q2 2020
103.1%CAGR
(1) (1)
Reported Net Income ($10.4) $4.2 $4.6
Reported Diluted EPS ($0.43) $0.10 $0.14
Steadily improving gross margins
MAV Beauty Brands 24
(US$ Millions)
48.0%49.0%
50.0%
2018 2019 LTM Q2 2020
G R O S S M A R G I N ( a s % o f r e v e n u e )
1) Excluding purchase accounting adjustments
(1)
• Cost reduction program implemented in 2019 showing results through 2020
• Continued scale through efficient integration of acquired businesses
MAV Beauty Brands 25
(US$ Millions)
A D J U S T E D F R E E C A S H F L O W ( 1 )
N E T D E B T /A D J U S T E D E B I T D A ( 1 , 2 )
4.5x
4.0x
December 31-19 June 30-20
Free Cash Flow & Debt
1) See Non-IFRS Measures2) Based on reported results; does not include results of The Mane Choice for trailing 12 months
• Solid free cash flow YTD 2020
–Used to satisfy $4.5mm earnout payments in respect of FY2019
• Ample and sufficient liquidity
–Cash of $14.9mm and undrawn balance of $10.0mm on revolver (at June 30, 2020)
• Headroom under primary covenant (Total Net Leverage Ratio)
$2.8
$9.8
$12.6
2018 2019 LTM Q2 2020
26Source: Company filings, Bloomberg, FactSet, and analyst research.
Attractive relative valuation
Source: Company filings, Bloomberg, FactSet, and analyst research
Valuation
Share Price (Local) EV / EBITDA P / EPS Revenue CAGR
23-Oct-20 23-Oct-20 23-Oct-20
(EV / LTM EBITDA) (P / LTM EPS) 2018A - 2019A
$4.00 8.0x 8.0x 15.4%
US$235.23 32.8x nmf 11.4%
€ 288.60 23.3x 40.2x 10.9%
US$3.39 22.0x nmf (7.4%)
US$41.30 18.6x 36.5x 5.6%
US$21.62 18.6x 32.8x 9.6%
€ 99.32 18.3x 37.9x 5.8%
Average 22.3x 36.9x 6.0%
$98.61 17.6x 39.5x 6.2%
$39.77 17.4x 38.6x 22.8%
$30.52 16.0x nmf (7.0%)
$46.61 14.6x nmf 33.5%
Average 16.4x 39.1x 13.9%
Company
26
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MAV Beauty Brands
Investment highlights
MAV Beauty Brands 27
01 Growing player in North American hair care market – #8 in U.S. FDM channel
02 Operating in large, valuable and recession-resistant categories
03 Established operating platform unlocks value from independent brands
04 Highly attractive financial model and fundamentals
05 Attractive relative valuation
Additional financial highlights & market facts
MAV Beauty Brands 28
Total Debt (June 30, 2020) $148.5 mm
Cash (at June 30, 2020) $14.9 mm
Net Debt (at June 30, 2020) $133.6 mm
Shares o/s (Basic)(1) 36.8 mm
Shares o/s (Fully Diluted)(1)(2) 42.4 mm
Insider Ownership ~58%
TA Associates 31.2%
Marc Anthony Venere Group 25.9%
Ticker Symbol MAV (TSX)
52-week High/Low CAD$6.37 /CAD $1.78
Market Cap (at 28/10/20) (1) ~CAD$144 mm
1) Assumes conversion of 3,178 proportionate shares to 3,178,000 common shares2) Calculated using treasury method. Does not include the impact of 2,463,963 shares issuable upon the exchange of the units issued as part of The Mane Choice acquisition3) Assumes results for The Mane Choice for the trailing 12 months ended June 30, 2020
ANALYST COVERAGE
Canaccord Genuity
CIBC World Markets
Jefferies
National Bank Financial
Raymond James
RBC Capital Markets