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Brian Vaasjo, President & CEO Stuart Lee, SVP Finance & CFO January, 2014 CAPITAL POWER Investor Meetings

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Page 1: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Brian Vaasjo, President & CEO

Stuart Lee, SVP Finance & CFO

January, 2014

CAPITAL POWERInvestor Meetings

Page 2: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13

facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than 2,600MW(1)

Capital Power builds, owns and operates power plants

Significant contracted cash flow base and merchantinvestments in Alberta - the most attractive power market inNorth America

Trading on TSX (CPX); market cap of $2.2B

Dividend yield of ~5.6%

2

(1) Based on MW owned capacity as of Dec 31/13; excludes Sundance PPA (371 MW) and Clover Bar Landfill Gas (4.8 MW).

Page 3: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Capital Power strategy

3

Page 4: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Operational excellence Modern fleet

High fleet availability

Favourable cost trend

Alberta power market trading

Construction expertise

4

Page 5: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Genesee 2

Genesee 1

Genesee 3

Keephills 3

Roxboro

Southport

Joffre

Island Generation

Clover Bar Energy Centre Unit 1

Clover Bar Energy Centre Unit 2

Clover Bar Energy Centre Unit 3

Kingsbridge I

Quality Wind

Halkirk

Port Dover & Nanticoke

5

Modern fleetHelps keep availability high and reduces risk of unplanned outagesAverage weighted facility age of the current fleet is 12.3 years(1)

Shepard Energy Centre expected COD in early 2015 and K2 Wind in 2015

(1) Average facility age and remaining life weighted by owned capacity as of January 1/14.

Facility age

Remaining life

Gas(~26 years remaining life)

Wind

Canada coal(~34 yearsremaining life)

Solid fuels

Page 6: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

96% 90% 92% 91% 93% 95%

-

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

18,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014T

6

High fleet availability

Generation(GWh)

Operating availability consistently 90%+ since IPO in 2009

Generation Average plant availability

Page 7: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Favourable cost trend

7

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2012 2013T 2014T

Total non-fuel O&M and CAPEX spending excluding planned outages(1)

Adjusted O&M Adjusted CAPEX

(1) Adjusted for current fleet including Port Dover & Nanticoke, and adjusted to 2013 dollars.

In 2013, reduced annual G&A by $22 million

Significant cost improvements made in 2013 without negatively impactinghigh operating & maintenance (O&M) standards

Page 8: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

$0

$25

$50

$75

$100

$125

Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1Q4Q3Q2Q1

AB power average spot price Capital Power captured AB price

8

Alberta power market trading Hedging positions based primarily on generation from Genesee 3 and

Keephills 3 baseload coal plants and output from the Sundance PPA

Actively trading throughout various time periods to minimize portfolio risks,create incremental value, and reduce volatility

CPX’s average realized power price has exceeded spot power prices by~13% on average over past 3+ years

2010 2011 2012 2013

Page 9: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Construction expertise

9

Asset Capacity / fuel On-time On-budget In-Service

Genesee 3 516 MW / coal + 2005

Kingsbridge 1 40 MW / wind 2006

CBEC 200 MW / gas + 2009

Keephills 3 516 MW / coal - - 2011

Halkirk 150 MW / wind + 2012

Quality Wind 142 MW / wind + 2012

Port Dover &Nanticoke

105 MW / wind + 2013

Met expectations at full notice to proceed+ Better than expected- Worse than expected

Solid track record on completing 7 construction projects (supercriticalcoal, natural gas, wind) totaling 1,669 MW

Page 10: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Strong financial base Strong balance sheet and access to capital

Investment grade credit rating

No near-term financings

Strong cash flow generation

10

Page 11: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Financial strength

11

Financial strength

Investment grade credit ratings

Debt-to-capital ratio of ~33% at 2014year-end remains below long-termtarget of 40% - 50%

Debt to total capitalization

38% 34% 33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2012 2013T 2014T

Long-term target 40% - 50%

Strong balance sheet and investment grade credit rating

Agency Ratings Outlook

S&P BBB- / P-3 Stable

DBRS BBB / Pfd-3 (low) Stable

Page 12: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

12

Credit metrics(1)

Above DBRS financial criteria for current ratingEBITDA/Adj. Interest

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

2013T 2014T

Adj. Cash flow/Adj. Debt

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2013T 2014T

Above S&P financial criteria for investment grade ratingAdj. FFO/Adj. Debt(2)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2013T 2014T

(1) Metrics applicable to Capital Power L.P.(2) Based on S&P’s recently revised weighted average ratings methodology.

Corporate Liquidity

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5

2013T

Page 13: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

13

Development projects – CAPEX

($M) Prior to 2013 2013T 2014T Project total

Port Dover & Nanticoke $68 $230 $17 $315

K2 Wind(1) $3 $26 $31 $291

Shepard Energy Centre(2) $50 $650 $121 $821

Continue strong execution of CAPEX program

(1) Represents Capital Power’s 1/3 share of project cost, including project financing.(2) Represents Capital Power’s 50% share of project cost.

Port Dover & Nanticoke Shepard Energy Centre

$906$121 $1,427$169

Page 14: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

14

Cash flow and financing outlook

Sources of cash flow ($M) 2013T 2014T

Funds from operations(1) ~$400 ~$380

Preferred share offering $200 -

Net proceeds from sale of US Northeast assets $556 -

Uses of cash flow

Dividends (net of DRIP) & distributions to NCI $100 $100

Dividends (Preferred shares) $20 $22

Development projects $906 $169

Sustaining capex $100 $85

Net change in cash ~$30 ~$4

Sufficient sources of cash flow to meet dividends, development projectsand sustaining CAPEX

(1) Represents mid-point of guidance range.

No primary common share equity required in 2013-14other than via DRIP

Page 15: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2011 2012 2013T 2014T

~39%

~22%

Continued strong cash flow generation

15

Expect to exceed target of $385M-$415M in FFO in 2013

FFO target for 2014 expected to belower than 2013 due to low Albertapower prices

35%+ of 2011-2014 FFO isexpected to be discretionary cashflow(1)

Additional cash flows in 2014 fromfull year operations for PD&N

No material cash taxes until 2018

31%

35%

34%

Gross dividends (common and preferred)

Sustaining capex

Discretionary cash flow

Funds from operations (FFO)

(1) Discretionary cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure, see slide 50.

35%

28%

37%

($M)

~27%

~36%

~37%

~39%

Page 16: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

$450

2012A 2013T 2014T 2015T 2016T 2017T

Genesee 1&2 Kingsbridge 1 North Carolina Island Generation Quality Wind

Halkirk PD&N Shepard K2 Wind

Improving contracted cash flow(1,2)

16

Substantial expansion of contracted operating margin from~$225M to $375M from 2012 to 2015 (66% increase)

$M

(1) Margins have been averaged over the periods except in the year of commissioning.(2) Only includes contracted portions of Halkirk and Shepard plants.

Page 17: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Dividends

17

Contracted cash flow basesupplemented with hedge positionprovide downside protection in lowerprice environment

>90% hedged in 2014. Minimum ABpower price of ~$11/MW for freecash flow to meet dividendcommitment in 2014

Relative to peers who use total freecash flow for financial obligationsand dividends, Capital Power hasupside with additional cash flow frommerchant assets

Well positioned for future dividend growth

Contracted operating margin tofinancial obligations(1) and dividends

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

2013T 2014T 2015T 2016T 2017T

Plan

(1) Based on existing plants plus committed development projects. Financial obligations include interest payments (incl. interest during construction),sustaining capital expenditure and general & administration expenses.

Page 18: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta power market upside Strong market demand fundamentals

Attractive pricing outlook

Retirement of coal units

Capital Power’s attractive fleet

Alberta upside

18

Page 19: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Real GDP – All Alberta industries (Chained $2007 millions)AIL – Alberta Internal Load measured in gigawatt hours (GWh)

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,0002

00

22

00

32

00

42

00

52

00

62

00

72

00

82

00

92

01

02

01

12

01

22

01

32

01

42

01

52

01

62

01

72

01

82

01

92

02

02

02

12

02

22

02

32

02

42

02

5

AIL (GWh)Real GDP ($M)

Alberta Demand and Alberta GDP(1)

AB GDP

Alberta Demand

Alberta market

(1) Source: AESO 2012 Long term Outlook Update

19

Page 20: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

0

5

10

15

0

25

50

75

100

125

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

$/M

MB

tu

$/M

Wh

Alberta Energy Prices(1)

Power Price

NG Price

ForecastHistoric ForecastHistoric ForecastHistoric ForecastHistoric

(1) Source: AESO and Capital Power estimates – Jan/14.

Alberta market

Alberta market design expected to continue to provide timelypricing signals for the addition of new supply

20

Page 21: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Expected coal unit retirements - CST

21

Retirements under the federal Capital Stock Turnover (CST) regulations

(1) Represents units that Capital Power has ownership/interests in.

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2013

2016

2019

2022

2025

2028

2031

2034

2037

2040

2043

2046

2049

2052

2055

2058

2061

Alberta coal generation (MW)

Facility

GenerationCapacity

(MW)

End of Life(Final

Regulations)

Battle River 3 149 2019Sundance 1 288 2019H.R. Milner 144 2019Sundance 2 288 2019Battle River 4 155 2025Sundance 3 362 2026Sundance 4 406 2027Sundance 5(1) 406 2028Sundance 6(1) 401 2029Battle River 5 385 2029Keephills 1 387 2029Keephills 2 406 2029Sheerness 1 390 2036Genesee 2(1) 430 2039Sheerness 2 390 2040Genesee 1(1) 430 2044Genesee 3(1) 516 2055Keephills 3(1) 466 2061

Page 22: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Jul/09IPO

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E+

Best fleet in the fastest growing powermarket in North America

22

With investments in Shepard and Genesee 4&5 facilities, Capital Power will ownhigh-quality baseload, mid-merit, renewable and peaking generation in Albertaproviding more flexibility than any other power portfolio in the province.

(MW)

Best peakingresponsiveness

Best coal fleetreliability

Low cost

Most competitivenatural gascombined cycle

Keephills 3Halkirk

Shepard

Genesee 4&5

CBEC

Page 23: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Diverse generation fleet in Alberta

23

Well positioned to capture value in Alberta’s merchant market

(1) Capital Power’s expected percentages reflect ownership interest and excludes Sundance PPA. Source: AESO

Expected AB power generation stack for 2015(1)

Clover Bar Energy Centre• Most responsive peaking facility in the AB market• Captures peak pricing, backstops position

Shepard Energy Centre• Under construction for COD in early 2015• 50% JV interest in 800 MW natural gas combined cycle facility• Most effective gas facility, with lowest heat rate

Joffre Cogen• 192 MW capacity from jointly-owned mid-merit natural gas

combined cycle facility

Genesee 1, 2, 3; Keephills 3• G1 & 2 provides 860 MW of low cost baseload coal under PPA

through 2020• G3 and K3 provides 506 MW of merchant capacity from jointly-

owned and operated plants. Cleanest coal units in Canada withthe longest average life remaining of 45 years.

Halkirk Wind• Largest wind farm in AB; provides Renewable Energy Credits

into California market under long term contract• Unique geographical location provides greater captured price

Wind

Hydro

Coal

GasCogen

Gas mid-merit

Gas peaking

Other

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

4%

30%

34%

20%

11%

Page 24: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

AB commercial portfolio positions

24

Alberta portfolio hedged positions for AB baseload plants and acquiredSundance PPA (% sold forward)

(1) The forecast average contracted prices may differ significantly from the future average realized prices as the hedged and unhedged positions have avarying mix of differently priced blocks of power. This impact is accentuated in 2014 which includes one contract-for-differences for 300 MW for the fullyear that is sold forward for peak periods only.

Sensitivity analysis to +/- $1/MWh change in Alberta power prices

• 2013: +/- $2M to Adjusted EBITDA

Oct-Dec, 2013 2014 2015

Percentage sold forward 81% 92% 77%

Average contractedprices(1) ($/MWh)

Mid-$60 High-$50 Mid-$50

Forward prices ($/MWh)(as of Sept 30/13)

$62 $58 $50

Page 25: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Merchant position in AB provides upside

25

Operating margin(1) to financial obligations(2)

and dividends

50%

75%

100%

125%

150%

175%

200%

225%

2014T 2015T 2016T 2017T

Contracted margin

Contracted + Merchant margin (@$50/MWh)

Contracted + Merchant margin (@ $80/MWh)

(1) Merchant margin is calculated using $50/MWh and $80/MWh and is based on hedge position as at December 31, 2013.(2) Based on existing plants plus committed development projects. Financial obligations include interest payments (incl. interest during construction),

sustaining capital expenditures and general & administration expenses.

Expansion of contractedcash flows providestrong coverage offinancial obligations anddividends as Shepardand K2 begin COD

Increasing openmerchant position inAlberta providessignificant additionalupside

Page 26: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Growth Existing projects – Shepard Energy Centre, K2 Wind,

Genesee 4&5

Developing contracted opportunities in North America

Competitiveness of contracted acquisitions a challenge

Fuel type and financial discipline

26

Page 27: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Shepard Energy Centre

27

Shepard is a natural gas combined cycle facility located on thesoutheast edge of Calgary, with COD targeted in early 2015

50% joint venture agreement with ENMAX for the 800 MW facility

20-year tolling agreement on 50% of owned capacity with ENMAX

Additional 25% contracted for 2015, 2016 and 2017 which increasescash flow certainty during an expected period of recovering poolprices in Alberta

Additional cash flow certainty created by hedging Capital Power’sexisting portfolio with 100 MW (2013), 300 MW (2014) and 100 MW(2015)

Page 28: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Ontario wind project

28

K2 Wind

Kingsbridge 1

20-year PPA with Ontario Power Authority

270 MW (Siemens turbines); located insouthern Ontario

Equal one-third partnerships withSamsung and Pattern RenewableHoldings

REA received July/13; CODtargeted for 2015

$291M capex budget (CapitalPower’s portion)

Project financing to fund primarycapital requirements

K2 Wind – site rendering

Page 29: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Genesee 4&5

29

Capital Power will develop Genesee 4&5 in a 50/50 joint venture with ENMAX

Capital Power to lead construction and will be the operator

Definitive agreements expected in Q1, 2014

Genesee provides significant advantages for the development of a newcombined cycle unit given the access to existing infrastructure

Genesee 4&5 to be built on existingGenesee site west of Edmonton, AB

Up to 1,050 MW using the lateststate-of-the-art high efficiency gasturbine technology in a 2x1x1configuration

Regulatory application submittedto Alberta Utilities Commission(AUC) in Dec/13

Construction will be completed in2018 to 2020 timeframe dependingon load growth in the province

Page 30: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

30

Natural GasWind

Solar

Development Sites

Growth opportunitiesAll contracted opportunities outside Alberta

Page 31: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

2013T 2014T

31

2014 Corporate prioritiesOperational targets

Financial targetFunds from operations(1)

$360 to$400

$385 to$415

Base expectations

Range of expectations

($M)

(1) Funds from operations (FFO) target is based on a forecasted average Alberta power price of $57/MWh. FFO is a non-GAAP financial measure, see slide 50.

} }

Plant availability (reflects planned turnarounds at Genesee 2 & 3) 95%

Maintenance capital (plant maintenance capital and other capex) $85M

Plant operating and maintenance expense $165M to$185M

Page 32: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

32

2014 Corporate prioritiesDevelopment and construction targets

On-time, on-budget andsafe development ofcommitted projects

• Shepard Energy Centre project (completeconstruction with COD in early 2015)

• Genesee 4 & 5 (continue on track for Q1/15permitting approval)

• K2 Wind project (commence construction andcompletion of project financing)

Page 33: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Why invest in Capital Power

33

Excellent assets in good markets

Very good operating and trading performance

Recent reductions in risk, financial volatility & operating costbase

Near term growth funded from internal cash flow & DRIP

Well-positioned for disciplined longer term growth (G4&5)

Decreasing EPCOR overhang and greater contractedasset visibility should improve valuation multiples

Substantial growth in contracted cash flow to support dividendgrowth and credit metrics

Best fleet in Alberta, the best power market in North America

Operationalexcellence

Strongfinancial

base

Compellingvalue

proposition

Page 34: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta power market

34

Alberta (AB) has a competitive wholesale energy and ancillary services marketoperated by the Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO); market has aninstalled generation capacity of ~14,000 MW

No capacity market – power generators must recover all costs throughrevenue earned in AB’s energy and ancillary services market

Entire province is a single zone where power prices are determined by the bidprice of the incremental power generator (i.e. one with the highest acceptedbid sets hourly price) that is dispatched to balance demand and supply in real-time

AB’s economy expected to grow above national average rate due to the impactof continued oil sands development activities that is a fundamental driver toincreasing power demand

AESO forecasts average annual demand to grow by 4.3% for the next fiveyears(1)

AB Government announced in Jan/13, that it will continue with the RegulatedRate Option (RRO) and extend the procurement window to 120 days

(1) AESO 24-Month Reliability Outlook for 2013-2014, http://www.aeso.ca/downloads/AESO_24-Month_Reliability_Outlook_2013-2014_FINAL.pdf

Appendix

Page 35: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

35

(1) Source: IHS Inc. The use of this content was authorized in advance by IHS.Any further use or redistribution of this content is strictly prohibited withoutwritten permission by IHS. All rights reserved.

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Growth in total electricity sales (%)2012 to 2020(1) “Alberta’s future power

demand outlook is also fairlyrobust, especially comparedwith that of most otherjurisdictions in NorthAmerica, because of astrong provincial economy;a growing population frominward migration; andanticipated high growth inthe energy sector, especiallyfor shale gas, tight oil, andoil sands production.”

▬ IHS CERA, Sept/12

Alberta demand outlookAppendix

Page 36: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta generation and load mix

36

2012 Demand by end use(1)Current installed generation(1)

(MW and % of installed capacity)

Coal6,271 MW

43%

Cogen4,363 MW

30%

Gas-Fired1,529 MW

11%

Hydro894 MW

6%

Wind1,088 MW

7%

Biomass/Other404 MW

3%

Industrial46%

Oilsands19%

Commercial20%

Residential13%

Farm2%

Appendix

(1) Source: AESO (Dec, 2013)

Page 37: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta load factor

37

7600

7800

8000

8200

8400

8600

8800

9000

9200

9400

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Average Alberta load (MW)(1)

By hours ended (Jan 2012 – Oct 2013)

High load factor enables a higher realized pool price for peakingunits

Load factor is about 80% to 85%

Appendix

(1) Source: AESO (Dec, 2013)

Page 38: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

71.29

43.93

62.99

54.59

70.36

80.79

66.95

89.95

47.81 50.88

76.22

64.32

5.05

3.84

6.31

6.19

8.27

6.17 6.10

7.73

3.76 3.79 3.442.61

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

0

20

40

60

80

100

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Historical Alberta prices

38

0

200

400

600

800

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Daily average power prices

Annual average AB Power Price ($/MWh) Annual average AECO ($/GJ)

Annual average power prices and AECO

($/MWh)

($/MWh)

($/GJ)

Appendix

Page 39: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta pool price evolution

39

About 10% of hours have prices greater than $100

Market provides favourable pricing for peaking generation

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

0% 2% 3% 5% 7% 9% 10% 12% 14%

$/M

Wh

Percent of Hours

Pool price in top 15% of hours by year(1)

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Appendix

(1) Source: AESO (Dec, 2013)

Page 40: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta market design

40

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

ReserveMargin

Capacity(MW)

New capacity AESO's historical reserve margin

Stable market design has signalled the addition of 6 GW of new generation

Appendix

Page 41: Investor Presentation Final - Jan 2014...Investor Meetings. Capital Power Independent power producer with ownership interest in 13 facilities in Canada and the US totaling more than

Alberta power market summary

41

Alberta’s market design framework Has attracted continued investment by various parties for different fuel types

Ensures investment risk is borne by investors and not ratepayers/taxpayers

Provides participants with options and choices for managing theircommodity price risk

Capital Power believes Alberta’s market design is sustainable and willcontinue to attract investment

No major market reforms required

Effective implementation of existing policy directives, particularly newtransmission development

“…analysis confirms that, from a resource adequacy and generationinvestment perspective, the Alberta electricity market is generally wellfunctioning based on current market conditions and policies. The currentmarket design should be able to address the identified resource adequacychallenges and there is no compelling or immediate need for major designchanges to address these challenges.”

▬ (The Brattle Group, Inc., Mar/13)

Appendix

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GHG emissions

SO2 emissions

NOx emissions

Mercury

Particulate matter

42

Certainty in air emissions regulations will provide fororderly retirements, development of replacement

generation, and improving environmental outcomes

Alberta emissions regulationsAppendix

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Proven ability to manage environmentalcommodity exposure

43

Capital Power has been actively involved in environmentalmarkets for over a decade and continues to be an industry leader

in managing environmental commodity exposure

Dedicated team of five focused on transforming environmental commodityrisk into an opportunity – success in doing this has created a competitiveadvantage through lower compliance costs in Alberta

This competitive advantage will be strengthened if the Alberta Specified GasEmitters Regulation (SGER) becomes more stringent, as expected in 2015

Over $100M has been committed to or invested in environmentalcommodities (e.g. GHG offsets and allowances, RECs, etc.)

Capital Power has neutralized its exposure to GHG regulations in Alberta inthe near-term and continues to procure GHG offsets

Projected value from trading environmental commodities in 2014 is $3.5M

Appendix

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$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

$45

$50

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

ComplianceCosts ($M)

Unhedged vs. hedged Capital Power Alberta SGERcompliance costs 2013-2017

Unhedged Hedged

Annual AB SGERcost savings for

Capital Power

44

Renewables and emissions portfolioAppendix

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0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 2032 2035 2038 2041 2044 2047 2050

Total coal capacity (MW)CASA Financial Compliance

Capital Stock Turnover2019: Sundance 1&2(576 MW); Battle River 3(149 MW); H.R. Milner(144 MW)

2025-29: Sundance 3-6 (1,563MW); Battle River 4&5 (540MW); Keephills 1&2 (790 MW)

45

Note: CASA Financial Compliance assumes coal-fired capacity retirements at the end of design life as per the Alberta Air EmissionsStandards for Electricity Generation CASA framework.

Expected coal unit retirements - CASAClean Air Strategic Alliance (CASA) regulations may result in coal unitsretiring sooner

Appendix

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$314

$255

$305

$19 $13

$144

$15

$179

US$230

US$65

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2026

EPCOR Debt Capital Markets Debt Bank Debt

46

Debt maturity schedule(1)

($M)

(1) As of Nov 30, 2013.

Term on credit facilities extended to 5 years

Well spread-out debt maturities are supported by long asset lives

Appendix

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47

Summary of assets

Genesee 1 Genesee 2 Genesee 3 Keephills 3 Joffre

Clover BarEnergyCentre

Clover BarLandfill Halkirk

Alberta Contracted Alberta Commercial

Capacity 430 MW 430 MW 516 MW 495 MW 480 MW 243 MW 4.8 MW 150 MW

% owned /operated

100 / 100 100 / 100 50 / 100 50 / 0 40 / 0 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100

Location Warburg,Alberta

Warburg,Alberta

Warburg,Alberta

Keephills,Alberta

Joffre,Alberta

Edmonton,Alberta

Edmonton,Alberta

Halkirk, Alberta

Fuel &equipment

Coal (50%ownership ofcoal mine)

Coal (50%ownershipof coalmine)

Coal (50%ownershipof coalmine)

Coal Naturalgas

Natural gas(Two 100MW GELMS100turbines; 43MW GELM6000)

Landfill gas Vestas windturbines

CommercialOperations

1994 1989 2005 2011 2000 Unit 1 in2008; units2&3 in 2009

2005 2012

PPA Expiry 2020 2020 Merchant Merchant Merchant Merchant Merchant ~40% - 45% oftotal revenuesfrom 20-yearREC saleagreement /Merchant

Appendix

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Summary of assets

48

Kingsbridge 1Island

GenerationQualityWind

Port Dover&

Nanticoke Roxboro Southport

Ontario & British Columbia Contracted Mid-Atlantic Contracted

Capacity 40 MW 275 MW 142 MW 105 MW 88 MW 46 MW

% owned /operated

100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100 100 / 100

Location Goderich,Ontario

CampbellRiver, BC

NearTumblerRidge, BC

Located inthe countiesof NorfolkandHaldimand,Ontario

Roxboro,North Carolina

Southport,NorthCarolina

Fuel &equipment

Vestas windturbines

Natural gas(AlstomGT24B gasturbine &Alstom steamturbine)

Vestas windturbines

Vestas windturbines

Mixture ofwoodresiduals, tire-derived fueland coal

Mixture ofwoodresiduals,tire-derivedfuel and coal

CommercialOperations

2006, 2001 2002 2012 2013 1987 1987

PPA Expiry 2026 / 2027 2022 2037 2033 2021 2021

Appendix

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Shepard Energy Centre Genesee 4 & 5 K2 Wind Ontario

Alberta Commercial Ontario Contracted

Capacity 800 MW Up to 1,050 MW 270 MW

% owned /operated

50 / 0 50 / 100 33.3% owned

Location Calgary, Alberta Warburg, Alberta Ashfield-Colborne-Wawanosh, Ontario

Fuel &equipment

Combined-cycle natural gas;6,900 – 7,100 mmbtu (effective heatrate)

Combined-cycle natural gas Siemens wind turbines

CommercialOperations

Expected early 2015 Targeting 2018-2020 Expected 2015

PPA Expiry Merchant / 75% of CPC’s share of theproject output under 20-year tollingarrangement for the 2015-17 period and50% thereafter until 2035.

Merchant 20-year PPA with OntarioPower Authority for$135/MWh

ExpectedCapital Cost

$821M Capital Power’s expectedportion

$291M (represents CapitalPower’s one-third share ofproject cost, includingproject financing)

Development projects

49

Appendix

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50

Non-GAAP financial measuresCapital Power uses (i) adjusted EBITDA, (ii) funds from operations, and (iii) discretionary cash flowas financial performance measures. These terms are not defined financial measures according togenerally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and do not have standardized meaning prescribedby GAAP and are, therefore, unlikely to be comparable to similar measures used by otherenterprises. These measures should not be considered alternatives to net income, net incomeattributable to Shareholders of the Company, net cash flows from operating activities or othermeasures of financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. Rather, these measures areprovided to complement GAAP measures in the analysis of the Company’s results of operations frommanagement’s perspective.

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51

Forward-looking informationCertain information in this presentation is forward-looking within the meaning of Canadian securities laws as it relates toanticipated financial and operating performance, events or strategies. The forward-looking information or statements areprovided to inform the Company’s shareholders and potential investors about management’s assessment of Capital Power’sfuture plans and operations. This information may not be appropriate for other purposes. The forward-looking information in thispresentation is generally identified by words such as will, anticipate, believe, plan, intend, target, and expect or similar wordsthat suggest future outcomes. Material forward-looking information includes, among other things, information relating to: (i)expectations regarding the finalization of agreements with ENMAX in respect of Genesee 4 & 5 and the timing and provisionsthereof; (ii) expectations regarding the timing of, funding of, permitting of, costs for, capacity of and technology selected forexisting and planned development projects, completed development projects, and acquisitions; (iii) expectations regarding plantavailability and planned outages; (iv) expectations regarding future Alberta power prices; (v) expectations regarding CapitalPower’s sources of funding and the financing of existing and planned development projects; and (vi) expectations regardingfuture plant maintenance capital and other capital expenditures, operating and maintenance expenses and funds fromoperations.

These statements are based on certain assumptions and analyses made by the Company in light of its experience andperception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, and other factors it believes areappropriate. The material factors and assumptions used to develop these forward-looking statements relate to: (i) electricity andother energy prices, (ii) performance, (iii) business prospects and opportunities including expected growth and capital projects,(iv) status and impact of policy, legislation and regulation, and (v) effective tax rates.

Whether actual results, performance or achievements will conform to the Company’s expectations and predictions is subject to anumber of known and unknown risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results and experience to differ materially fromthe Company’s expectations. Such material risks and uncertainties are: (i) changes in electricity prices in markets in which theCompany operates, (ii) changes in commodity prices in markets in which the Company operates and use of derivatives, (iii)regulatory and political environments including changes to environmental, financial reporting and tax legislation, (iv) power plantavailability and performance including maintenance expenditures, (v) ability to fund current and future capital and working capitalneeds, (vi) acquisitions and developments including timing and costs of regulatory approvals and construction, (vii) changes inmarket prices and availability of fuel, and (viii) changes in general economic and competitive conditions. See Risks and RiskManagement in the Company’s December 31, 2012 annual Management’s Discussion and Analysis for further discussion ofthese and other risks.

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Investor Relations Contact

Randy Mah

Senior Manager

(780) 392-5305

[email protected]

10th Floor

10423 – 101 Street NW

Edmonton, AB T5H 0E9

www.capitalpower.com