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Aluminium for the world INVESTOR RELATIONS PRESENTATION 2014

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Page 1: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

INVESTOR RELATIONSPRESENTATION

2014

Page 2: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

DISCLAIMER

2

This document has been prepared and issued by and is the sole responsibility of Aluminium Bahrain B.S.C. (the“Company”). The document is being supplied to you solely for your information and for use at the Company’s presentation.No information made available to you in connection with the presentation may be passed on, copied, reproduced, in wholeor in part, or otherwise disseminated, directly or indirectly, to any other person. This document and its contents aredirected only to the intended audience. It is being made on a confidential basis and is furnished to you solely for yourinformation. By accepting this material the recipient confirms that he or she is a relevant person. This document must notbe acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment activity to which this document relatesis available only to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. If you are not a relevant person youshould not attend the presentation and should immediately return any materials relating to it currently in your possession.Forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation and Aluminium Bahrain B.S.C. expresslydisclaims any obligations or undertaking to release any update of, or revisions to, any forward-looking statements in thispresentation. No statement in this presentation is intended to be a profit forecast. As a result, you are cautioned not toplace any undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. You should not base any behaviour in relation to financialinstruments related to the Company’s securities or any other securities and investments on such information until after it ismade publicly available by the Company or any of their respective advisers. Some of the information is still in draft formand has not been legally verified. The Company, its advisers and each of their respective members, directors, officers andemployees are under no obligation to update or keep current information contained in this presentation, to correct anyinaccuracies which may become apparent, or to publicly announce the result of any revision to the statements madeherein except where they would be required to do so under applicable law, and any opinions expressed in them are subjectto change without notice. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by the Company, its undertakings oraffiliates or directors, officers or any other person as to the fairness, accuracy or completeness of the information oropinions contained in this presentation and no liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of thispresentation or its contents otherwise arising in connection therewith is accepted by any such person in relation to suchinformation.

Aluminium

for the world

Page 3: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

3

01IndustryHighlights

CONTENTS

02ALBAHighlights

032014 Results

04IndustryPerspectivesin 2015

052015ALBA Priorities

Aluminium

for the world

Page 4: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

01INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTS

Page 5: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Industry Highlights - 2014

World consumption up by +8% YoY

Asian demand up by 10% YoY driven by robust growth in China (+13% YoY) on the back of government stimulus and infrastructure investment

Demand in North America remains strong (over 5% YoY) with the ramp-up of higher automotive consumption (new Ford F-150 truck model launch)

MENA demand is mainly driven by major infrastructure spending (+4% YoY)

Europe consumption up by 2% YoY on the back of the construction and packaging sectors

Aluminium

for the world

Global Physical Demand Remains Healthy

5

Page 6: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Industry Highlights - 2014

World production up by 7% YoY

China output at a record level (28.3 million metric tonnes, +14% YoY) supported by new capacity ramp-ups from both greenfield & brownfield expansions

World market in deficit (-12 Kt with China & -984 Kt without)

Aluminium

for the world

Production Evolution

6

Page 7: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Industry Highlights - 2014

LME inventories at 4.2 million metric tonnes in December

2014 cash-average was $1,866/t with LME ranging between $1,642/t on February 4 and $2,114/t on August 29

Physical premiums continue to be at record high across the globe:

US Mid West premiums at $510/t vs. $228/t in 4Q13

DDP Rotterdam at $500/t vs. $245/t in 4Q13

Major Japanese Ports (MJP) at $407/t vs. $240/t in 4Q13

Aluminium

for the world

LME & Premiums

7

Page 8: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

02ALBA HIGHLIGHTS

Page 9: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Alba Highlights - 2014

Continuous improvement in Safety performance (GAC Award)

Alba increased its sales to 931,526 metric tonnes (+1.3% YoY)

Production up by 2.1% YoY thanks to strong operational performance

Alba sustained its Value-Added Sales at 66% of total shipments

Physical premiums on an upward trend (+33% YoY) on the back of sound physical demand

Alba was notified that Natural gas price will increase to US$ 2.5 perMMBTU effective April 1, 2015 thereafter escalate at US$ .25 cents per yearuntil it reaches US$ 4.00 per MMBTU in April 2021

Aluminium

for the world

Operational Highlights & Achievements

9

Page 10: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Alba Highlights - 2014 & Q4 2014

Adjusted EBITDA up due to solid physical premiums, higher overall sales & favourable plant performance

Full-Year: US$465 million up by 28% YoY

Q4: US$140 million up by 82% YoY

Adjusted Net Income up driven by higher EBITDA levels

Full-Year: US$242 million up by 73% YoY

Q4: US$84 million up by 279% YoY

2014 Free-Cash Flow favourable due to higher EBITDA & working capital management

Full-Year: US$305 million up by 35% YoY

Q4: US$47 million down by 30% YoY

Alba Board recommends a final dividend of US$ 56 million to be paid in March 2015 (total dividend for 2014 was US$ 101 million)

Aluminium

for the world

Financial Key Performance Indicators

10

Page 11: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Alba Highlights - 2014

Aluminium

for the world

Project Titan - Improve Cash Cost of $150/t by January 2016Full-Year 2014: Project Titan on Track with Projected Savings of $102/t

11

102 100

150

Project Titan - US$ per MT

YTD December 2014 Target January 2016 2014 Final Target

1. Savings from Project Titan represent the annual $cost per mt improvement once all projects are fully implemented2. Actual project implementation dates are on a project by project basis

Page 12: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Alba Highlights - 2014

Aluminium

for the world

Operational Excellence Continues to Gain Momentum

12

1,000

2,500

4,000

2013 2014

2,991 2,907

647 631

3,638 3,538

Internal External

606 613

66% 66%

% of Total Sales Value Added Sales2013 2014

44 40

AR Days2013 2014

89 82

Inventory Days2013 2014

Value-Added Sales (MT’000) as a % of Total Sales

Head Count Management

Working Capital Streamlining AR & Inventory Days Trend

Page 13: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

032014 RESULTS

Page 14: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Sales Analysis FY14 vs. FY13 Higher Premium & Higher Sales Volume

14

1,500

1,800

2,100

1,944

2,034

176

25

12

YTD 2014 vs. YTD 2013 - Metal Sales Bridge (US$M)

Product MixLMEMetal SalesFY13

Pricing Power Metal Sales FY14

Volume

Page 15: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Maintain Optimum Product Mix Increase Value-Added Sales & Leverage Pricing Power

15

800

850

900

950

920 932

7 5 0

FY14 vs. FY13 - Sales by Product Line Bridge (MT’000)

Premium Above LME Trend US$ Per MT

50

200

350

246

328

FY Sales 2013

ValueAdded

FY Sales 2014

LiquidMetal

Commodity2013 2014

Page 16: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

16

FY14 vs. FY13 - Direct Cost Bridge (US$M)

Direct CostFY13

RMPrice

Alumina Sales Cost

RMConsumption

EnergyConsumption

Plant Spending

One-OffCosts

Cost Analysis FY14 vs. FY13

1000

1400

1800

1559

119

2

4

15 14 5

12

1653

Direct CostFY14

Line-6Costs

Page 17: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Adjusted EBITDA Bridge Gap Analysis - FY14 vs. FY13 Adjusted EBITDA Margin at 21.3%

17

FY14 vs. FY13 - EBITDA Bridge (US$M)

EBITDA FY13Adjusted

Metal Sales

DerivativesOther Sales Direct Cost Selling Expenses

EBITDA FY14Adjusted

200

400

600

362

465

90

10311

94

6

EBITDA 18.2%

EBITDA 21.3%

Adjusted EBITDA includes impact of actual realised derivative payments

Page 18: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Cash Flow Bridge - FY14 vs. FY13 Achieving a Constant Cash Flow Trend

18

FY13 to FY14 Cash Flow Bridge (US$M)

Cash Balance

FY13

CF from

Operations

Payment to

Shareholders

WCChanges

CAPEXSpent

Net Debt Service

Cash Balance

FY14

Free Cash Flow (US$M)

0

325

650

172

465

35

125

127

171

179

80

200

320

225

305

FY13 FY14

Operating & Investing Cash Flow

Page 19: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

19

Working Capital as Percentage of Sales

Working Capital Trend as Percentage of Sales - Stable Performance

18% 18%

12%

17%

22%

2013

2014

Page 20: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

20

Sound Management Performance with an Upward Trend in Sales

Financial Summary Q4 2014 Q4 2013 FY 2014 FY 2013

Average Cash LME (US$/MT) 1,968 1,767 1,866 1,846

Sales (US$M) 591 488 2,185 1,993

EBITDA (US$M) 140 77 465 362

EBITDA% 23.7% 15.8% 21.3% 18.2%

EBITDA (Excl. One-Off Costs) (US$M) 145 94 485 384

EBITDA% (Excl. One-Off Costs) 24.5% 19.2% 22.2% 19.3%

Net Income/ (Loss) (US$M) 92 36 257 212

Gain/ (Loss) Unrealised Derivatives (US$M) 8 14 15 73

Adjusted Net Income/ (Loss) (US$M) 84 22 242 139

Adjusted Net Income% 14.1% 4.5% 11.1% 7.0%

Page 21: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

21

Total Debt Trend (US$M)

Total Debt Reduction Trend - Continue to Strengthen

0

350

700

2013 2014

224171

310

192

534

363

Long-Term Short Term Total Debt

Page 22: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2014 Results

Aluminium

for the world

Alba Continues to Deliver Cash to its Shareholders

22

At Alba’s Board Meeting on February 09, 2015, the Directors recommended a total dividend of US$ 101 million (39% of 2014 Net Income), where US$ 45 million (interim dividend) were paid in September 2014 and US$ 56 million will be payable in March 2015 (subject to Bahrain Bourse and Alba Shareholders’ approval)

The Shareholders’ approval will be requested at March 01, 2015 Annual General Meeting

Page 23: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

04INDUSTRY PERSPECTIVES IN 2015

Page 24: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Industry Perspectives in 2015

Aluminium

for the world

Physical Demand to Remain Healthy

24

Key factors to be observed:

LME volatility will continue

US Midwest premiums to remain firm thanks to a sound physical demand

MENA infrastructure spending to continue

Strong US dollar will continue to weigh on commodities

Projecting LME price to range between $1,800/t - $1,900/t (1st half of 2015)

Page 25: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Industry Perspectives in 2015

Aluminium

for the world

Raw Materials Price Trends

25

Alumina spot index to remain relatively stable with minor fluctuations

Green Petroleum Coke prices may slightly increase if refineries cut oil production

Alumina Fluoride (ALF3) and Liquid Pitch prices to remain at current levels for the next 6 months

Page 26: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

052015 ALBA PRIORITIES

Page 27: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

2015 Alba Priorities

Aluminium

for the world

Sustainable Improvement & Preparation for Future Growth

27

Continuous Focus on Safety Initiatives & Talent Management

Deliver on Project Titan

Leverage Strong Physical Demand Conditions

Benefit from high physical premiums in 2015 new contracts

Sustained focus on Value-Added Sales

Increase Creep Capacity with Minimal Capital Investment

Line 6 Expansion

Page 28: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Aluminium

for the world

06APPENDIX

Page 29: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Q4 2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Sales Analysis 4Q14 vs. 4Q13 Higher Premium, Higher LME Prices & Higher Sales Volume

29

LMEMetal Sales4Q13

Pricing Power Metal Sales 4Q14

Volume300

400

500

600

482

565

51

0 23

10

4Q14 vs. 4Q13 - Metal Sales Bridge (US$M)

Product Mix

Page 30: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Q4 2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Maintain Optimum Product Mix Increase Value-Added Sales & Leverage Pricing Power

30

4Q14 vs. 4Q13 - Sales by Product Line Bridge (MT’000)

Premium Above LME Trend US$ Per MT

Sales 4Q13

ValueAdded

Sales 4Q14

LiquidMetal

Commodity 4Q13 4Q14200

225

250

238 242

21 2

50

200

350

256

350

Page 31: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Q4 2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

31

4Q14 vs. 4Q13 - Direct Cost Bridge (US$M)

Direct Cost4Q13

RMPrice

Alumina Sales Cost

RMConsumption

EnergyCons.

Plant Spending

One-OffCosts

Cost Analysis 4Q14 vs. 4Q13

Line-6Costs

200

325

450

395

431

7

0

17

330

8

11 1

InventoryChange

Direct Cost4Q14

Page 32: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Q4 2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Adjusted EBITDA Bridge Gap Analysis - 4Q14 vs. 4Q13 Adjusted EBITDA Margin at 23.7%

32

4Q14 vs. 4Q13 - EBITDA Bridge (US$M)

EBITDA 4Q13Adjusted

Metal Sales

DerivativesOther Sales Direct Cost Selling Expenses

EBITDA 4Q14Adjusted

0

90

180

77

140

84

1936

1 3

EBITDA 15.8%

EBITDA 23.7%

Adjusted EBITDA includes impact of actual realised derivative payments

Page 33: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

Q4 2014 ResultsFAVOURABLE MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE

Aluminium

for the world

Cash Flow Bridge - 3Q14 to 3Q14 Achieving Constant Cash Flow Trend

33

3Q14 to 4Q14 Cash Flow Bridge (US$M)

Cash Balance

3Q14

CF from

Operations

Payment to

Shareholders

WCChanges

CAPEXSpent

Net Debt Service

Cash Balance

4Q14

Free Cash Flow (US$M)

0

160

320

167

141

59

350

35

179

0

80

67

47

4Q13 4Q14

Operating & Investing Cash Flow

Page 34: INVESTORRELATIONS PRESENTATION

34

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Aluminium

for the world

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