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THE IOWA POLL

SELZER & COMPANY Study #2100

400 Likely Republican primary voters May 27-30, 2014

Margin of error: ± 4.9 percentage points Weighted by age and sex general population values

for all 1,869 contacts, both completes and terminates

How likely is it you will vote in the Republican primary election for U.S. Senate and some other offices to be held in

June—will you definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, probably not vote, or have you already voted?

9 Already voted Continue

91 Definitely vote

- Probably vote

Collect age and sex and terminate - Might or might not vote

- Probably not vote

- Refused/not sure

I'd like to begin by mentioning the names of some candidates running for or already holding statewide office. For each

name I read, please tell me if your feelings toward the person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable,

or very unfavorable. If you don’t know the person, just say so. (Record “don’t know” as “not sure.” Rotate list.).

Very

Favorable

Mostly

Favorable

Mostly

Unfavorable

Very

Unfavorable

Not

Sure

Sam Clovis, a professor of business

and public policy 10 15 7 5 63

Joni Ernst, a state senator 26 22 9 14 29

Mark Jacobs, a retired businessman 12 31 11 8 38

Scott Schaben, a car sales manager 2 7 8 8 75

Matt Whitaker, a former U.S.

attorney 7 29 7 7 50

If the Republican primary were held today, which one of the following Republican candidates for U.S. Senator

would you vote for? (If none of these or not sure:) Toward which candidate would you say you are leaning, or

support the most? (Read list. Rotate list.)

Sam Clovis 11

Joni Ernst 36

Mark Jacobs 18

Scott Schaben 2

Matt Whitaker 13

None of these/someone else (VOL) 4

Not sure 16

When it comes to your support of [CANDIDATE NAMED IN Q.3), would you say your mind is made up, or could you

still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice?

All Ernst Jacobs n=400 n=151 n=84

27 38 26 Mind is made up

72 61 73 Could still be persuaded

1 1 1 Not sure

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I’m going to mention some traits or experiences a U.S. Senate candidate might have. For each, please tell me if it

makes you more likely or less likely to support that kind of candidate. (Rotate list.)

More

Likely

Less

Likely

Not

Sure

Returned to Iowa to run for the Senate after living in Texas for

many years 18 61 21

If elected, would be the first woman from Iowa to serve in

Congress 46 21 33

Has been endorsed by Sarah Palin, a vice-presidential candidate

in 2008 45 39 16

Has a background in business and Wall Street finance 59 27 14

Is a trial lawyer 29 51 20

Is spending millions of his or her own money to fund the

campaign 47 33 20

Has served in the military 88 5 7

Has held elected office 58 25 17

Played football at the University of Iowa 21 43 36

Is part of the Christian conservative movement 61 24 15

Has said only judges who hold a Biblical view should be

confirmed to federal court 38 47 15

Has missed over 100 of the votes held in the Iowa Senate last

session 10 78 12

Has been endorsed by Rick Perry, the governor of Texas 37 41 22

Has been endorsed by Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican

nominee for president 50 34 16

I want to ask about your perception of how conservative or moderate you feel the candidates are. Thinking

about a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means extremely conservative, and 1 means moderate, where would you say

each of the following falls? If you don’t know enough to say, just tell me. (Record “don’t know” as “not

sure.” Rotate list.) Coded—Based on all

Base with

not sures

removed

Exact

number

(mean,

median)

More

conservative

8-10 4-7

More

moderate

1-3

Not

Sure

Sam Clovis (n=145) 6.312

6.895 14 13 7 66

Joni Ernst (n=260) 6.708

7.000 30 24 8 38

Mark Jacobs (n=234) 5.728

5.932 13 32 9 46

Scott Schaben (n=88) 4.953

5.000 4 11 6 79

Matt Whitaker (n=160) 6.125

6.410 13 23 4 60