iowa statewide gop caucus ballot press release crosstabs 110825

IOWA STATEWIDE GOP CAUCUS BALLOT

N=402 LIKELY VAUCUS GOERS

CONDUCTED: AUGUST 21-22, 2011

WILSON PERKINS ALLEN OPINION RESEARCH

WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 1

BANNER 1 012

2. MANY VOTERS TEND TO FALL INTO GROUPS THAT REFLECT THEIR OVERALL VALUES. WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS, IF YOU HAD TO CHOOSE JUST ONE, REFLECTS WHAT

YOU,

YOURSELF THINK?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA

TOTAL MALE FEMALE 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ CON CON MOD PARTY

------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

A SOCIAL

CONSERVATIVE

CONCERNED ABOUT

MORAL VALUES,

PROTECTING THE

FAMILY, AND PRO- 96 43 53 13 20 21 19 14 8 77 17 1 -

LIFE. 24% 19% 30% 28% 32% 27% 19% 23% 17% 35% 19% 1%

A NATIONAL DEFENSE

CONSERVATIVE

CONCERNED ABOUT

PROTECTING AMERICA

FROM TERRORISTS AND 18 11 7 1 2 1 6 5 3 10 4 4 -

FOREIGN ENEMIES. 4% 5% 4% 2% 3% 1% 6% 8% 6% 5% 4% 5%

AN ECONOMIC

CONSERVATIVE

CONCERNED ABOUT

JOBS, ECONOMIC

GROWTH, AND 157 94 63 15 25 30 47 24 16 53 40 61 -

INFLATION. 39% 42% 35% 32% 40% 38% 46% 39% 34% 24% 44% 75%

A TEA PARTY

CONSERVATIVE

CONCERNED ABOUT

SPENDING, THE

FEDERAL DEBT, AND

PROTECTING THE US 99 55 44 16 14 22 22 13 11 60 25 13 99

CONSTITUTION. 25% 25% 25% 34% 22% 28% 22% 21% 23% 27% 28% 16% 100%

NOT SURE DNR 23 16 7 2 2 3 7 2 6 17 3 2 -

6% 7% 4% 4% 3% 4% 7% 3% 13% 8% 3% 2%

REFUSED DNR 9 5 4 - - 1 1 4 3 5 1 - -

2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 6% 6% 2% 1%





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 2

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3. IF THE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY (ELECTION/CAUCUS) FOR UNITED STATES PRESIDENT WERE HELD TODAY, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE IF THE CANDIDATES WERE... RICK PERRY

MICHELE BACHMANN MITT ROMNEY NEWT GINGRICH HERMAN CAIN RON PAUL RICK SANTORUM THADDEUS MCCOTTER JON HUNTSMAN

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

TOTAL PERRY 93 57 36 5 14 23 20 17 13 67 18 7 30

23% 25% 20% 11% 22% 29% 20% 27% 28% 30% 20% 9% 30%

TOTAL BACHMANN 82 46 36 10 13 17 24 10 6 52 15 12 22

20% 21% 20% 21% 21% 22% 24% 16% 13% 23% 17% 15% 22%

TOTAL ROMNEY 63 33 30 5 7 10 21 8 12 20 21 21 9

16% 15% 17% 11% 11% 13% 21% 13% 26% 9% 23% 26% 9%

TOTAL GINGRICH 13 6 7 1 3 - 1 5 3 7 4 2 2

3% 3% 4% 2% 5% 1% 8% 6% 3% 4% 2% 2%

TOTAL CAIN 32 19 13 7 4 4 9 5 3 22 4 5 11

8% 8% 7% 15% 6% 5% 9% 8% 6% 10% 4% 6% 11%

TOTAL PAUL 38 24 14 8 8 7 8 2 5 16 14 8 13

9% 11% 8% 17% 13% 9% 8% 3% 11% 7% 16% 10% 13%

TOTAL SANTORUM 27 10 17 3 4 6 6 5 3 19 5 3 6

7% 4% 10% 6% 6% 8% 6% 8% 6% 9% 6% 4% 6%

TOTAL MCCOTTER - - - - - - - - - - - - -

TOTAL HUNTSMAN 7 5 2 2 1 - 3 1 - - - 6 -

2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 3% 2% 7%

NOT SURE DNR 35 19 16 4 8 8 8 6 1 14 7 12 5

9% 8% 9% 9% 13% 10% 8% 10% 2% 6% 8% 15% 5%

REFUSED DNR 12 5 7 2 1 3 2 3 1 5 2 5 1

3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2% 5% 2% 2% 2% 6% 1%

NOTE: PERCENTAGE LESS THAN 0.5 PRINTED AS *.





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 3

BANNER 1 023

6. IN POLITICS TODAY, DO YOU USUALLY THINK OF YOURSELF AS A REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT, OR DEMOCRAT?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

DIFFERENCE D/S 293 162 131 36 50 63 65 38 38 183 55 52 65

-------------- 73% 72% 74% 77% 79% 81% 64% 61% 81% 82% 61% 64% 66%

TOTAL REPUBLICAN 299 163 136 36 50 64 67 41 38 184 57 53 66

74% 73% 76% 77% 79% 82% 66% 66% 81% 83% 63% 65% 67%

TOTAL DEMOCRAT 6 1 5 - - 1 2 3 - 1 2 1 1

1% * 3% 1% 2% 5% * 2% 1% 1%

STRONG REPUBLICAN 224 115 109 29 37 51 44 33 28 155 40 26 52

56% 51% 61% 62% 59% 65% 43% 53% 60% 70% 44% 32% 53%

NOT-SO-STRONG 75 48 27 7 13 13 23 8 10 29 17 27 14

REPUBLICAN 19% 21% 15% 15% 21% 17% 23% 13% 21% 13% 19% 33% 14%

INDEPENDENT/ 93 56 37 11 13 13 30 18 8 36 30 26 32

SOMETHING ELSE 23% 25% 21% 23% 21% 17% 29% 29% 17% 16% 33% 32% 32%

NOT-SO-STRONG 3 - 3 - - - 1 2 - - 1 1 -

DEMOCRAT 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1%

STRONG DEMOCRAT 3 1 2 - - 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 1

1% * 1% 1% 1% 2% * 1% 1%

NOT SURE DNR 3 3 - - - - 2 - 1 - 1 1 -

1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%

REFUSED DNR 1 1 - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -

* * 1% *






WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 4

BANNER 1 024

7. (AND,) WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE A CONSERVATIVE, A MODERATE, OR A LIBERAL IN YOUR POLITICAL BELIEFS?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

DIFFERENCE D/S 307 169 138 37 51 58 76 47 35 222 90 - 85

-------------- 76% 75% 78% 79% 81% 74% 75% 76% 74% 100% 100% 86%

TOTAL CONSERVATIVE 312 171 141 37 51 60 79 47 35 222 90 - 85

78% 76% 79% 79% 81% 77% 77% 76% 74% 100% 100% 86%

TOTAL LIBERAL 5 2 3 - - 2 3 - - - - - -

1% 1% 2% 3% 3%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 222 124 98 24 36 50 53 33 23 222 - - 60

55% 55% 55% 51% 57% 64% 52% 53% 49% 100% 61%

SOMEWHAT 90 47 43 13 15 10 26 14 12 - 90 - 25

CONSERVATIVE 22% 21% 24% 28% 24% 13% 25% 23% 26% 100% 25%

MODERATE 81 48 33 10 12 16 19 14 10 - - 81 13

20% 21% 19% 21% 19% 21% 19% 23% 21% 100% 13%

SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 4 1 3 - - 1 3 - - - - - -

1% * 2% 1% 3%

VERY LIBERAL 1 1 - - - 1 - - - - - - -

* * 1%

NOT SURE DNR 3 2 1 - - - 1 1 1 - - - 1

1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%

REFUSED DNR 1 1 - - - - - - 1 - - - -

* * 2%






WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 5

BANNER 1 025

8. WHAT IS THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF FORMAL EDUCATION YOU HAVE COMPLETED?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

LESS THAN HIGH 8 6 2 2 - 1 1 2 2 2 1 4 2

SCHOOL GRADUATE 2% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3% 4% 1% 1% 5% 2%

HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE 73 39 34 8 6 13 12 14 20 46 18 8 19

18% 17% 19% 17% 10% 17% 12% 23% 43% 21% 20% 10% 19%

SOME COLLEGE / 100 55 45 10 19 19 25 17 8 68 18 10 22

ASSOCIATES DEGREE 25% 25% 25% 21% 30% 24% 25% 27% 17% 31% 20% 12% 22%

BACHELOR'S DEGREE 142 73 69 19 31 31 40 11 10 70 33 37 42

35% 33% 39% 40% 49% 40% 39% 18% 21% 32% 37% 46% 42%

POST GRADUATE 78 51 27 8 6 14 24 18 7 35 20 22 14

19% 23% 15% 17% 10% 18% 24% 29% 15% 16% 22% 27% 14%

NOT SURE DNR 1 - 1 - 1 - - - - 1 - - -

* 1% 2% *

REFUSED DNR - - - - - - - - - - - - -






WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 6

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9. HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND CHURCH OR RELIGIOUS SERVICES?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

MORE THAN ONCE A 87 46 41 14 18 14 22 13 6 62 15 8 14

WEEK 22% 21% 23% 30% 29% 18% 22% 21% 13% 28% 17% 10% 14%

ONCE A WEEK 189 91 98 20 19 39 46 35 28 110 42 33 44

47% 41% 55% 43% 30% 50% 45% 56% 60% 50% 47% 41% 44%

COUPLE OF TIMES A 38 21 17 5 10 11 8 3 - 14 12 12 10

MONTH 9% 9% 10% 11% 16% 14% 8% 5% 6% 13% 15% 10%

ONCE A MONTH 29 24 5 2 5 5 11 3 3 14 6 9 8

7% 11% 3% 4% 8% 6% 11% 5% 6% 6% 7% 11% 8%

ONCE/TWICE A YEAR 36 24 12 4 8 6 12 3 3 17 7 11 16

9% 11% 7% 9% 13% 8% 12% 5% 6% 8% 8% 14% 16%

NEVER 20 16 4 2 3 3 3 4 5 4 7 8 5

5% 7% 2% 4% 5% 4% 3% 6% 11% 2% 8% 10% 5%

NOT SURE DNR - - - - - - - - - - - - -

REFUSED DNR 3 2 1 - - - - 1 2 1 1 - 2

1% 1% 1% 2% 4% * 1% 2%






WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 7

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10. ARE YOU OR IS ANY MEMBER OF YOUR HOUSEHOLD CURRENTLY SERVING IN THE MILITARY OR A MILITARY VETERAN? IF YES SPECIFY

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

NO 277 148 129 36 52 58 69 37 23 152 63 56 68

69% 66% 72% 77% 83% 74% 68% 60% 49% 68% 70% 69% 69%

CURRENTLY SERVING IN 21 11 10 2 4 7 3 1 4 15 5 1 6

THE MILITARY 5% 5% 6% 4% 6% 9% 3% 2% 9% 7% 6% 1% 6%

A MILITARY VETERAN 104 65 39 9 7 13 30 24 20 55 22 24 25

26% 29% 22% 19% 11% 17% 29% 39% 43% 25% 24% 30% 25%

NOT SURE DNR - - - - - - - - - - - - -

REFUSED DNR - - - - - - - - - - - - -





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 8

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11. DO YOU OR DOES ANYBODY IN YOUR HOUSEHOLD OWN A GUN?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

DIFFERENCE D/S 85 56 29 9 21 20 25 19 -8 60 23 2 21

-------------- 21% 25% 16% 19% 33% 26% 25% 31% -17% 27% 26% 2% 21%

YES 233 135 98 28 40 48 61 38 18 133 55 41 57

58% 60% 55% 60% 63% 62% 60% 61% 38% 60% 61% 51% 58%

NO 148 79 69 19 19 28 36 19 26 73 32 39 36

37% 35% 39% 40% 30% 36% 35% 31% 55% 33% 36% 48% 36%

NOT SURE DNR 6 3 3 - 2 - 3 1 - 5 - 1 -

1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1%

REFUSED DNR 15 7 8 - 2 2 2 4 3 11 3 - 6

4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 6% 6% 5% 3% 6%





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 9

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12. NOW, THINKING ABOUT ABORTION, DO YOU CONSIDER YOURSELF TO BE PRO-LIFE OR PRO-CHOICE?

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

DIFFERENCE D/S 254 131 123 32 41 54 56 38 30 193 44 13 59

-------------- 63% 58% 69% 68% 65% 69% 55% 61% 64% 87% 49% 16% 60%

TOTAL PRO-LIFE 321 172 149 39 51 65 77 49 37 206 66 43 78

80% 77% 84% 83% 81% 83% 75% 79% 79% 93% 73% 53% 79%

TOTAL PRO-CHOICE 67 41 26 7 10 11 21 11 7 13 22 30 19

17% 18% 15% 15% 16% 14% 21% 18% 15% 6% 24% 37% 19%

STRONGLY PRO-LIFE 268 141 127 34 45 49 68 40 29 193 47 25 68

67% 63% 71% 72% 71% 63% 67% 65% 62% 87% 52% 31% 69%

SOMEWHAT PRO-LIFE 53 31 22 5 6 16 9 9 8 13 19 18 10

13% 14% 12% 11% 10% 21% 9% 15% 17% 6% 21% 22% 10%

SOMEWHAT PRO-CHOICE 37 26 11 3 4 4 13 9 4 8 13 15 12

9% 12% 6% 6% 6% 5% 13% 15% 9% 4% 14% 19% 12%

STRONGLY PRO-CHOICE 30 15 15 4 6 7 8 2 3 5 9 15 7

7% 7% 8% 9% 10% 9% 8% 3% 6% 2% 10% 19% 7%

NOT SURE DNR 10 9 1 1 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 6 1

2% 4% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 1% 7% 1%

REFUSED DNR 4 2 2 - 1 - 1 1 1 - 1 2 1

1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1%





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 10

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13. AGE GROUPS

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

18-34 47 27 20 47 - - - - - 24 13 10 16

12% 12% 11% 100% 11% 14% 12% 16%

35-44 63 34 29 - 63 - - - - 36 15 12 14

16% 15% 16% 100% 16% 17% 15% 14%

45-54 78 35 43 - - 78 - - - 50 10 16 22

19% 16% 24% 100% 23% 11% 20% 22%

55-64 102 60 42 - - - 102 - - 53 26 19 22

25% 27% 24% 100% 24% 29% 23% 22%

65+ 109 66 43 - - - - 62 47 56 26 24 24

27% 29% 24% 100% 100% 25% 29% 30% 24%

REFUSED DNR 3 2 1 - - - - - - 3 - - 1

1% 1% 1% 1% 1%





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 11

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14. SEX: BY OBSERVATION

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

MALE 224 224 - 27 34 35 60 35 31 124 47 48 55

56% 100% 57% 54% 45% 59% 56% 66% 56% 52% 59% 56%

FEMALE 178 - 178 20 29 43 42 27 16 98 43 33 44

44% 100% 43% 46% 55% 41% 44% 34% 44% 48% 41% 44%





WPA ID: 11-336

PAGE: 12

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15. “OLD” 2010 CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT: PRE-CODE

GENDER AGE IDEOLOGY

=============== =============================================== =======================

VRY SMWT TEA


------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- ------- -------

TOTAL 402 224 178 47 63 78 102 62 47 222 90 81 99

100% 56% 44% 12% 16% 19% 25% 15% 12% 55% 22% 20% 25%

CD 1 62 36 26 7 7 7 16 15 10 32 14 15 13

15% 16% 15% 15% 11% 9% 16% 24% 21% 14% 16% 19% 13%

CD 2 68 38 30 6 13 18 13 9 8 40 17 10 18

17% 17% 17% 13% 21% 23% 13% 15% 17% 18% 19% 12% 18%

CD 3 101 61 40 13 17 22 27 15 6 66 20 15 25

25% 27% 22% 28% 27% 28% 26% 24% 13% 30% 22% 19% 25%

CD 4 92 45 47 14 16 19 24 6 12 45 18 28 24

23% 20% 26% 30% 25% 24% 24% 10% 26% 20% 20% 35% 24%

CD 5 79 44 35 7 10 12 22 17 11 39 21 13 19

20% 20% 20% 15% 16% 15% 22% 27% 23% 18% 23% 16% 19%

iowa statewide gop caucus ballot press release crosstabs 110825

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