ipsos mori political monitor · johnson’s gov brown’s gov thatcher’s gov may’s gov tion...
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© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
IPSOS MORI POLITICAL MONITORDECEMBER 2019
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
VOTINGINTENTION
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public3
Voting Intention:December 2019
All giving a voting intentionHeadline voting intention
Conservative lead = +9Conservative lead = +12
44%
32%
13%
2%
3%
6%
Conservative
Labour
Lib Dems
Brexit Party
Green
Other
42%
33%
13%
2%
3%
7%
Conservative
Labour
Lib Dem
Brexit Party
Green
Other
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections, registered to vote and answers
reallocated to ensure parties standing in constituency = 1,244. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4% All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the
historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in
3 chance that they lie within 2 points. This is especially important to keep in mind when calculating party lead figures.
How do you intend to vote in the General Election? Will you vote…?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Ma
y 1
5
Ju
n 1
5
Ju
l 1
5
Au
g 1
5
Se
p 1
5
Oct 15
No
v 1
5
De
c 1
5
Ja
n 1
6
Fe
b 1
6
Ma
r 1
6
Ap
r 16
Ma
y 1
6
Ju
n 1
6
Ju
l 1
6
Au
g 1
6
Se
p 1
6
Oct 16
No
v 1
6
De
c 1
6
Ja
n 1
7
Fe
b 1
7
Ma
r 1
7
Ap
r 17
Ma
y 1
7
Ju
n 1
7
Ju
l 1
7
Au
g 1
7
Se
p 1
7
Oct 17
No
v 1
7
De
c 1
7
Ja
n 1
8
Fe
b 1
8
Ma
r 1
8
Ap
r 18
Ma
y 1
8
Ju
n 1
8
Ju
l 1
8
Au
g 1
8
Se
p 1
8
Oct 18
No
v 1
8
De
c 1
8
Ja
n 1
9
Fe
b 1
9
Ma
r 1
9
Ap
r 19
Ma
y 1
9
Ju
n 1
9
Ju
l 1
9
Au
g 1
9
Se
p 1
9
Oct 19
No
v 1
9
Corbyn elected
(Sept 15)May as PM
(July 16)
Headline voting intention:Since 2015 General Election
4
44%Conservative
%
December ‘19
Johnson as PM
(July 19)
De
c 1
9
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General
Elections. Note small change in methodology in approach to prompting Brexit Party in July 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
32%Labour
General Election
How do you intend to vote in the General Election? Will you vote…?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan 0
4
Ap
r 0
4
Jul 04
Oct 04
Jan 0
5
Ap
r 0
5
Jul 05
Oct 05
Jan 0
6
Ap
r 0
6
Jul 06
Oct 06
Jan 0
7
Ap
r 0
7
Jul 07
Oct 07
Jan 0
8
Ap
r 0
8
Jul 08
Oct 08
Jan 0
9
Ap
r 0
9
Jul 09
Oct 09
Jan 1
0
Ap
r 1
0
Jul 10
Oct 10
Jan 1
1
Ap
r 1
1
Jul 11
Oct 11
Jan 1
2
Ap
r 1
2
Jul 12
Oct 12
Jan 1
3
Ap
r 1
3
Jul 13
Oct 13
Jan 1
4
Ap
r 1
4
Jul 14
Oct 14
Jan 1
5
Ap
r 1
5
Jul 15
Oct 15
Jan 1
6
Ap
r 1
6
Jul 16
Oct 16
Jan 1
7
Ap
r 1
7
Jul 17
Oct 17
Jan 1
8
Ap
r 1
8
Jul 18
Oct 18
Jan 1
9
Ap
r 1
9
Jul 19
Oct 19
Miliband elected
(Sept 10)Corbyn elected
(Sept 15)
May as PM
(July 16)
Johnson as PM
(July 19)Cameron elected
(Dec 05)
Brown as PM
(June 07)
Headline voting intention:January ‘04 –December ’19
%
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General
Elections. Note small change in methodology in approach to prompting Brexit Party in July 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Dec ‘19
44% Conservative
32% Labour
13% Lib Dem
2% The Brexit Party
3% Green
0% UKIP
General Election
5
Dec 1
9
How do you intend to vote in the General Election? Will you vote…?
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
SATISFACTIONWITH GOVERNMENT AND PARTY LEADERS
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Boris Johnson Jeremy Corbyn The GovernmentJo Swinson
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government: December 2019
7
68%
8%
24%
51%
20%
29%
Dissatisfied
Don’t know
Satisfied
+8% swing from Oct 2019
-2% swing from Oct 2019
+3% swing from Oct 2019
Net=-44 Net= -22 Net=-49Net=-20%
56%
7%
36%23%
5%
72%
Nigel Farage
56%
14%
30%
Net=-26
-11% swing from Oct 2019
-5% swing from Oct 2019
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+ 2-4 December 2019. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and
% “dissatisfied”
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way…. is running the country / doing his/her job.
as Prime Minister /Leader of the Labour Party/Leader of the liberal democrats/ leader of the Brexit party?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Boris Johnson: Satisfaction
Net = -20
December 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Ju
l-19
Se
p-1
9
Oct-
19
De
c-1
9
36%Satisfied
7%Don’t know
56%Dissatisfied
July 2019 – December 2019
36%Satisfied
56%Dissatisfied
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
8
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Boris Johnson is doing his job as prime minister?
36%
7%
56%
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Boris Johnson: Satisfaction among Conservative supporters
Net = +68%
December 2019
82%Satisfied
7%Don’t know
14%Dissatisfied
July 2019 – December 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 574 Conservative party supporters 18+, 2-4 December 2019
9
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Boris Johnson is doing his job as prime minister?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Ju
l-19
Se
p-1
9
Oct-
19
De
c-1
9
82%Satisfied
14%Dissatisfied
82%
7%
14%
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2019)
10
Number of months after becoming prime minister
Ne
t sa
tisfa
ctio
n
Johnson
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
Blair
Major
Cameron
Johnson
Brown
Thatcher
May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as prime minister?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Net satisfaction with the Government (1979 – 2019)
11
Blair’s gov
Major’s gov
Cameron’s gov
Johnson’s gov
Brown’s gov
Thatcher’s gov
May’s gov Net s
atis
factio
n
Johnson
Number of months after assuming government
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way The government is running the country?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Se
p-1
5
De
c-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Ju
n-1
6
Se
p-1
6
De
c-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
Ju
n-1
7
Se
p-1
7
De
c-1
7
Ma
r-1
8
Ju
n-1
8
Se
p-1
8
De
c-1
8
Ma
r-1
9
Ju
n-1
9
Se
p-1
9
De
c-1
9
Jeremy Corbyn: Satisfaction
Net = -44%
December 2019
24%Satisfied
8%Don’t know
68%Dissatisfied
September 2015 – December 2019
24%Satisfied
68%Dissatisfied
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
12
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Jeremy Corbyn is doing his job as leader of the Labour
Party?
24%
8%
68%
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Corbyn
Corbyn
Blair
Smith
Kinnock
Miliband
Foot
Cameron
Duncan-smith
Hague
Howard
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2019)
Net
satisfa
ctio
n
Number of months after becoming opposition leader
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
13
How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his job as leader of the … Party?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Se
p-1
5
De
c-1
5
Ma
r-1
6
Ju
n-1
6
Se
p-1
6
De
c-1
6
Ma
r-1
7
Ju
n-1
7
Se
p-1
7
De
c-1
7
Ma
r-1
8
Ju
n-1
8
Se
p-1
8
De
c-1
8
Ma
r-1
9
Ju
n-1
9
Se
p-1
9
De
c-1
9
Jeremy Corbyn: Satisfaction amongst Labour supporters
Net = +24%
December 2019
57%Satisfied
8%Don’t know
33%Dissatisfied
September 2015 – December 2019
57%Satisfied
33%Dissatisfied
Base: 403 Labour Party supporters aged 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
14
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Jeremy Corbyn is doing his job as leader of the
Labour party?
De
c 1
9
57%
8%
33%
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Jo Swinson: Satisfaction
December 2019
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
15
Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Jo Swinson is doing his job as leader of the
Liberal Democrats?
Net = -22
29%Satisfied
20%Don’t know
51%Dissatisfied
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Ju
l-19
Se
p-1
9
Oct-
19
No
v-1
9
De
c-1
9
July 2019 – December 2019
29%Satisfied
51%Dissatisfied
29%
20%
51%
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
ECONOMICOPTIMISM
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Economic Optimism Index
EOI = -29
December 2019 January 2007– December 2019
21%Get better
20%Stay the same
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-0
7
Jul-07
Dec-0
7
Ap
r-0
8
Au
g-0
8
Dec-0
8
Ap
r-0
9
Au
g-0
9
Dec-0
9
Ap
r-1
0
Se
p-1
0
Jan-1
1
May-1
1
Se
p-1
1
Jan-1
2
May-1
2
Se
p-1
2
Jan-1
3
May-1
3
Se
p-1
3
Jan-1
4
May-1
4
Se
p-1
4
Jan-1
5
Ap
r-1
5
Oct-
15
Feb
-16
Jun-1
6
Oct-
16
Feb
-17
Jul-17
Jan-1
8
Jun-1
8
Dec-1
8
Jun-1
9
Dec-1
9
50%Get worse
50%
20%
21%
9%
50%Get worse
20%Stay the
same
21%Improve
9%Don’t know
17
Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same or get
worse over the next 12 months?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Economic Optimism Index(1998-2019)
18
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Ja
n 1
99
8
Oct 19
98
Ju
l 1
999
Ap
r 20
00
Ja
n 2
00
1
Oct 20
01
Ju
l 2
002
Ap
r 20
03
Ja
n 2
00
4
Oct 20
04
Ju
l 2
005
Ap
r 20
06
Ja
n 2
00
7
Oct 20
07
Ju
l 2
008
Ap
r 20
09
Ja
n 2
01
0
Oct 20
10
Ju
l 2
011
Ap
r 20
12
Ja
n 2
01
3
Oct 20
13
Ju
l 2
014
Ap
r 20
15
Ja
n 2
01
6
Oct 20
16
Ju
l 2
017
Ap
r 20
18
Ja
n 2
01
9
Oct 20
19
Base: 1,545, British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Net optimism
-29%
Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same or get
worse over the next 12 months?
Dec 2
01
9
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
VOTINGDECISIONS
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Which party to vote for? % Definitely decided
Have you definitely decided to vote for one party or is there a chance you may change your mind before
you vote?
20
63%
67%
78%
80%
59%
72%
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Nov-19
Dec-19
56%
57%
76%
80%
54%
69%
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Nov-19
Dec-19
78%
77%
75%
86%
71%
80%
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Nov-19
Dec-19
63%
67%
78%
80%
40%
61%
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Nov-19
Dec-19
Among all
Among Labour party supporters Among Liberal Democrat supporters
Among Conservative party supporters
Dec-19
Dec-19 Dec-19
Dec-19
Base: All British adults 18+ giving a voting intention (1,371), Conservative supporters (574), Labour supporters (403), Lib Dem supporters (189), 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public21
Which party to vote for? % May change mind
49%
30%
56%
51% 50%
41%38%
34%36%
32%
20%
40%
27%
Apr-1
0
May-1
0
Au
g-1
4
Jan
-15
Feb-1
5
Mar-1
5
Apr-1
5
Apr-1
5
Apr-1
7
May-1
7
Jun
-17
Nov-1
9
Dec-1
9Have you definitely decided to vote for one party or is there a chance you
may change your mind before you vote?
Cameron re-elected
(May 15)
Cameron elected
(May 10)
May elected
(June 17)
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All British adults 18+ giving a voting intention (1,371)
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI General Election 2019 Campaign Tracker | December 2019 | Public
Who might you vote for instead?
Among all who might
change their mind
If you do change your mind about voting for this party, which party would you vote for instead?
22
Base: 379 British adults 18+ giving a voting intention who might change their mind, 122 Conservative party supporters who might change their mind, 124 Labour
supporters who might change their mind, Liberal Democrats who might change their mind (73) 2-4 December 2019
*Small base size
Among Conservative supporters
who might change their mindAmong Labour party supporters
who might change their mind
8%
17%
21%
7%
6%
4%
4%
28%
Conservative
Labour
Lib Dems
Brexit Party
Green
UKIP
Would not vote
Don't know
20%
15%
18%
5%
7%
6%
24%
Labour
Lib Dems
BrexitParty
Green
UKIP
Would notvote
Don't know
Among Lib Dem supporters who
might change their mind*
9%
41%
3%
6%
2%
4%
30%
Conservative
Lib Dems
Brexit Party
Green
UKIP
Would notvote
Don't know
13%
34%
-
9%
-
2%
33%
Conservative
Labour
Brexit Party
Green
UKIP
Would notvote
Don't know
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
KEY ISSUES
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Which issues will help decide your vote?
Looking ahead to the next
General Election, which, if any,
issues do you think will be very
important to you in helping you
decide which party to vote for?
24
7%
7%
7%
10%
10%
11%
22%
52%
55%
Don’t know
Asylum and immigration
Taxation
Crime and anti-social behaviour
Managing the economy / economic situation
Protecting the enviroment/climate change
Education / Schools
Healthcare / NHS / hospitals
Europe / EU / Brexit
Change
since Nov
-8
+11
+1
0
-4
+1
+3
0
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
0
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Which issues will help decide your vote?
Looking ahead to the next General Election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very important to
you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
25
10%
11%
22%
52%
55%
Crime
Environment
Education
Health
Brexit
11%
13%
29%
43%
71%
Poverty
Environment
Education
Brexit
Health
15%
16%
19%
45%
68%
Crime
Economy
Education
Health
Brexit
11%
20%
25%
52%
75%
Economy
Environment
Education
Health
Brexit
Among all
Among Labour party supporters Among Liberal Democrat supporters
Among Conservative party supporters
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All British adults 18+ (1,545), Conservative supporters (574), Labour supporters (403), Lib Dem supporters (189), 2-4 December 2019
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Looking ahead to the next General Election, which, if any, issues do you think will be very
important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for?
26
Which issues will help decide your vote?
14%
50%
39%
3%
7%
11%
6%
2%
26%
23%
5%
32%
12%14%
7%
47%
24%
5%
35%
16%
19%
42% 43%
22%
2%
16%
12% 12%
55%
52%
22%
11% 10%
7% 7%
Europe Healthcare Education Environment Managing theeconomy
Taxation Asylum andimmigration
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorGE2015GE2010GE2001 GE2017 GE2019
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019
© Ipsos | Doc Name | Month Year | Version # | Public | Internal/Client Use Only | Strictly Confidential
PARTIES AND ISSUES
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
Who would make the most capable Prime Minister?
Who do you think would make
the most capable Prime Minister,
the Conservatives’ Boris
Johnson, or Labour’s Jeremy
Corbyn?
28
Boris Johnson
57%
61%
56%
50%
47%
46%
46%
51%
52%
50%
49%
47%
28%
23%
29%
35%
36%
38%
37%
33%
27%
29%
30%
31%
Sept 2015
April 2017
May 2017
June 2017
June 2017
July 2017
Sept 2018
June 2019
July 2019
Sept 2019
Nov 2019
Dec 2019
Theresa May
David Cameron
Jeremy Corbyn
Jeremy Corbyn
Jeremy Corbyn
Dec 19
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public29
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019
15%
19%
19%
22%
24%
26%
28%
32%
34%
38%
38%
38%
44%
48%
16%
38%
43%
39%
42%
31%
40%
31%
23%
26%
23%
20%
20%
15%
Environment
Care for older and disabled people
Poverty and inequality
Housing
Benefits
Pensions
Healthcare
Education
Asylum and immigration
Taxation
Crime and anti-social behaviour
Handling Britain's future relationship with the EU
Managing the economy
Defence
Best party on key issues
Which party do you think
has the best policies on …
the Conservatives, Labour,
Liberal Democrats, or
some other party?
Conservative party Labour party
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Ap
r 1
7
Jun 1
7
Au
g 1
7
Oct 17
Dec 1
7
Feb
18
Ap
r 1
8
Jun 1
8
Au
g 1
8
Oct 18
Dec 1
8
Feb
19
Ap
r 1
9
Jun 1
9
Au
g 1
9
Oct 19
Dec 1
9
Best Party on Brexit
%
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Dec ‘19
38% Conservative
20% Labour
8% Lib Dem
30
Which party do you think has the best policies on handling Britain's future
relationship with the European Union?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Mar
88
Mar
89
Mar
90
Mar
91
Mar
92
Mar
93
Mar
94
Mar
95
Mar
96
Mar
97
Mar
98
Mar
99
Mar
00
Mar
01
Mar
02
Mar
03
Mar
04
Mar
05
Mar
06
Mar
07
Mar
08
Mar
09
Mar
10
Mar
11
Mar
12
Mar
13
Mar
14
Mar
15
Mar
16
Mar
17
Mar
18
Mar
19
Blair re-elected
(June 2001)
Blair elected for 3rd time
(May 2005)Cameron elected
(May 2010)
Cameron re-elected
(May 2015)
Major elected
(Apr 1992)
Blair elected
(May 1997)
May elected
(June 2017)
Dec19
Best Party on Healthcare
%
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Dec ‘19
28% Conservative
40% Labour
8% Lib Dem
31
Which party do you think has the best policies on healthcare, the Conservatives,
Labour, Liberal Democrats or some other party?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Oct 77
Oct 78
Oct 79
Oct 80
Oct 81
Oct 82
Oct 83
Oct 84
Oct 85
Oct 86
Oct 87
Oct 88
Oct 89
Oct 90
Oct 91
Oct 92
Oct 93
Oct 94
Oct 95
Oct 96
Oct 97
Oct 98
Oct 99
Oct 00
Oct 01
Oct 02
Oct 03
Oct 04
Oct 05
Oct 06
Oct 07
Oct 08
Oct 09
Oct 10
Oct 11
Oct 12
Oct 13
Oct 14
Oct 15
Oct 16
Oct 17
Oct 18
Oct 19
Blair re-elected
(June 2001)
Blair 2nd re-election
(May 2005)
Cameron elected
(May 2010)
Cameron re-elected
(May 2015)
Major elected
(Apr 1992)
Blair elected
(May 1997)
May elected
(June 2017)
Dec1
9
Thatcher 2nd re-election
(Jun 1987)
Thatcher re-elected
(Jun 1987)
Thatcher elected
(May 1979)
Best Party on Education
%
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Dec ‘19
32% Conservative
31% Labour
9% Lib Dem
32
Which party do you think has the best policies on education, the Conservatives,
Labour, Liberal Democrats or some other party?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mar
90
Mar
91
Mar
92
Mar
93
Mar
94
Mar
95
Mar
96
Mar
97
Mar
98
Mar
99
Mar
00
Mar
01
Mar
02
Mar
03
Mar
04
Mar
05
Mar
06
Mar
07
Mar
08
Mar
09
Mar
10
Mar
11
Mar
12
Mar
13
Mar
14
Mar
15
Mar
16
Mar
17
Mar
18
Mar
19
Blair re-elected
(June 2001)Blair 2nd re-election
(May 2005)
Cameron elected
(May 2010)
Cameron re-elected
(May 2015)
Major elected
(Apr 1992)
Blair elected
(May 1997)
May elected
(June 2017)
Dec 1
9
Best Party on the Economy
%
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Dec ‘19
44% Conservative
20% Labour
8% Lib Dem
33
Which party do you think has the best policies on managing the economy?
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public34
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019
Best party at looking after various interests
Which political party,
if any, do you think
would be best at….
11%
21%
24%
17%
Other
LiberalDemocrats
Labour
Conservatives
Looking after
the interests of
women
5%
8%
44%
26%
Other
LiberalDemocrats
Labour
Conservatives
Looking after
the interests of
working people
6%
18%
23%
25%
Other
LiberalDemocrats
Labour
Conservatives
Protecting
people against
prejudice and
discrimination
© Ipsos | Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | December 2019 | Version 1 | Public35
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
31% 24% 40%
Second referendum on Scottish Independence
If the Scottish National
Party wins most seats in
Scotland in the General
Election, do you think
there should or should not
be a second referendum
on Scottish independence
next year, or do you have
no feelings either way?
There should be one There should not be one
Base: 1,545 British adults 18+, 2-4 December 2019
No feelings either way
Gideon Skinner
Research Director
Glenn Gottfried
Research Manager
Keiran Pedley
Research Director
Ipsos MORIDecember 2019 Political Monitor
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