ipsos mori scotland: public opinion monitor june 2012

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Page 1: Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

18.06.12

Page 2: Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

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Version 1 | Public (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) Version 1 | Internal Use Only Version 1 | Confidential Version 1 | Strictly Confidential © Ipsos MORI

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here Technical details

• This presents the topline results from Scotland

• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents conducted by telephone

• Fieldwork dates: 7th June – 13th June 2012

• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data

• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories

• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless otherwise stated

Page 3: Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

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Q: Do you agree that Scotland should be an independent country?

Around a third support independence for Scotland while over half are opposed

All All who are certain to vote

Base: All (1,003); All certain to vote (795). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012

‘Yes’ change since January: -5% ‘Yes’ change since January: -4%

Page 4: Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives?

Base: 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 7-13 June 2012

15

28

32

29

70

40

27

24

26

38

24

53

-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60

Patrick Harvie

Willie Rennie

Ruth Davidson

Johann Lamont

David Cameron

Alex Salmond

Dissatisfied Satisfied Don’t know Net satisfaction Net satisfaction

change (Jan ’12)

7% +13% -9%

6% -46% -18%

33% +9% +15%

42% -7% +5%

48% -4% +7%

58% +12% N/A

Alex Salmond remains the most popular party leader though his approval rating has fallen by 9 points

Page 5: Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

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Q. How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way … is doing his/her job as First Minister//Prime Minister/Leader of Scottish Labour/the Scottish Liberal Democrats/the Scottish Conservatives/the Scottish Green Party?

Satisfaction with party leaders - trends

53%

38%

26% 24% 24%

Base: Adults (18+) in Scotland. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.

27%

Page 6: Ipsos MORI Scotland: Public Opinion Monitor June 2012

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Thank you [email protected] | 0131 240 3269 [email protected] | 0131 240 3264

18.6.12

This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006. © Ipsos MORI

@IpsosMORIScot