irr and npv.ppt

21
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Net Present Value (NPV) N etpresentvalue (N PV ): the sum ofthe presentvaluesofall cash inflow sm inusthe sum ofthe presentvaluesofall cash outflow s. The internalrate ofreturn (IR R ): (1) the discountrate that equatesthe sum ofthe presentvaluesofallcash inflow s to the sum ofthe presentvaluesofallcash outflow s; (2)the discountrate thatsetsthe netpresentvalue equalto zero. The internalrate ofreturn m easuresthe investm entyield.

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  • Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and
    Net Present Value (NPV)

    Net present value (NPV): the sum of the present values of all

    cash inflows minus the sum of the present values of all

    cash outflows.

    The internal rate of return (IRR): (1) the discount rate that

    equates the sum of the present values of all cash inflows

    to the sum of the present values of all cash outflows;

    (2) the discount rate that sets the net present value

    equal to zero.

    The internal rate of return measures the investment yield.

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: Yield on a single receipt.

    An investor can purchase a vacant lot for $28,371 and expects to sell it for $50,000 in 5 years. What is the expected IRR for this investment?

    EMBED Equation.2

    EMBED Equation.2

    d = 12%

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    One payment per year

    PV = -$ 28,371

    FV = $ 50,000

    FV in 5 years

    Solve for IRR

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: NPV for a single receipt.

    An investor can purchase a vacant lot for $28,371 and expects to sell it for $50,000 in 5 years. What is the expected NPV for this investment if the investor discounts future cash flows at 15%?

    EMBED Equation.2

    EMBED Equation.2

    NPV = -$28,371 + $24,858.84 = - $3,512.16

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    One payment per year

    $50,000 future value

    Discount rate = 15%

    FV in 5 years

    Compute present value

    Subtract $28,371

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: Yield on an Ordinary Annuity

    An investor has the opportunity to invest in real estate costing $28,371 today. The investment will provide $445.66 at the end of each month for the next 8 years. What is the (annual) IRR (compounded monthly) for this investment?

    EMBED Equation.2

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    Monthly compounding

    PV = - $28,371

    Monthly pmt = $445.66

    96 months

    Compute IRR

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: NPV for an Ordinary Annuity

    An investor has the opportunity to invest in real estate costing $28,371 today. The investment will provide $445.66 at the end of each month for the next 8 years. What is the NPV for this investment if the investor discounts future cash flows monthly at a 10% annual rate?

    EMBED Equation.2

    NPV = - $28,371 + $29,369.66 = $998.66

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    Monthly payments

    Monthly pmt = $445.66

    Annual discount rate = 10%

    96 monthly payments

    Compute PV

    Subtract $28,371

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: What is the IRR for an investment that costs $96,000 today and pays $1028.61 at the end of the month for the next 60 months and then pays an additional $97,662.97 at the end of the 60th month?

    EMBED Equation.2

    d/12 = 1.0921% ; d = 13.10%

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    Monthly payments

    PV = -$96,000

    Monthly pmt = $1,028.61

    FV = $97,662.97

    60 months

    Compute yield (IRR)

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: NPV for an ordinary annuity with an addition lump

    sum receipt at the end of the investment term.

    What is the NPV for an investment that costs $96,000 today and pays $1028.61 at the end of the month for the next 60 months and then pays an additional $97,662.97 at the end of the 60th month if the investor discounts expected future cash flows monthly at the annual rate of 13.1047%?

    EMBED Equation.2

    NPV = - $ 96,000 + $ 96,000 = $ 0

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    Monthly payments

    Monthly pmt = $1,028.61

    FV = $97,662.97

    60 months of payments

    Discount rate = 13.1047%

    Compute PV

    Subtract $96,000

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: IRR for uneven cash flows.

    What is the IRR for an investment that costs $100,000 today and pays $20,000 one year from today; $35,000 two years from today; and $75,000 three years from today?

    EMBED Equation.2

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystokes

    Clears registers

    One payment per year

    Initial CF = - $100,000

    1st CF = $ 20,000

    2nd CF = $ 35,000

    3rd CF = $ 75,000

    Compute yield (IRR)

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: NPV for uneven cash flows.

    What is the NPV for an investment that costs $10,000 today, $8,000 one year from today, $5,000 two years from today and pays $15,000 three years from today and $25,000 four years from today if future cash flows are discounted at 10%?

    EMBED Equation.2

    NPV = -$10,000 - $7,272.73 - $4,132.23 + $11,269.72 + $17,075.34

    = $ 6,940.10

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clear registers

    One payment per year

    Initial CF = - $ 10,000

    1st CF = - $ 8,000

    2nd CF = - $ 5,000

    3rd CF = $ 15,000

    4th CF = $ 25,000

    Discount rate = 10%

    Compute net present value

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: IRR for grouped cash flows.

    Compute the IRR for an investment that costs $92,725.60 today and is expected to pay $10,000 at the end of the year for the next three years; $15,000 at the end of years 4 and 5; and $100,000 at the end of year 6.

    EMBED Equation.2

    d = 12%

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clears registers

    One payment per year

    Initial CF = - $ 92,725.60

    1st grouped CF = $ 10,000

    Occurs three times

    2nd grouped CF = $ 15,000

    Occurs twice

    3rd CF = $ 100,000 (once)

    Compute the yield (IRR)

  • IRR and NPV

    Example: NPV for grouped cash flows.

    Compute the NPV for an investment that costs $98,000 today and is expected to pay $791.38 at the end of each month for 12 months; $850.73 at the end of each month for the following 12 months; $914.54 at the end of each month for the following 11 months and a balloon payment of $107,491.18 at the end of month 36 if the investor discounts future cash flows monthly at a 13% annual rate.

    NPV = - $554.17 = - $98,000 +

    EMBED Equation.2

  • IRR and NPV
    HP 10B Keystrokes

    Clear registers

    Monthly payments

    Initial CF = - $98,000

    1st grouped CF = $791.38

    Occurs 12 times

    2nd grouped CF = $850.73

    Occurs 12 times

    3rd grouped CF = $914.54

    Occurs 11 times

    4th CF = $107,491.18 (once)

    Discount rate = 13%

    Compute net present value

    Net present value (NPV):

    the sum of the present values of all

    cash inflows minus the sum of the present values of all

    cash outflows.

    The

    internal rate of return (IRR):

    (1) the discount rate that

    equates the sum of the present values of all cas

    h inflows

    to the sum of the present values of all cash outflows;

    (2) the discount rate that sets the

    net present value

    equal to zero.

    The

    internal rate of return

    measures the investment yield.

    Example: Yield on a single receipt.

    An investor can purchase a vacant lot for $28,371 and expects

    to sell it for $50,000 in 5 years. What is the expected

    IRR

    for

    this investment?

    d = 12%

    PV

    FV

    d

    n

    =

    +

    1

    1

    (

    )

    $28

    ,

    $50

    ,

    (

    )

    371

    000

    1

    1

    5

    =

    +

    d

    50000

    CLEAR ALL

    P/YR

    + / -

    PV

    28371

    1

    FV

    5

    N

    I/YR

    Example:

    NPV

    for a single receipt.

    An investor can purchase a vacant lot for $28,371 and expects to sell it for

    $50,000 in 5 years. What is the expected

    NPV

    for this investment if the

    investor discounts future cash flows at 15%?

    NPV = -$28,371 + $24,858.84 =

    - $3,512.16

    NPV

    PV

    FV

    d

    n

    =

    -

    +

    +

    1

    1

    (

    )

    NPV

    =

    -

    +

    +

    $28

    ,

    $50

    ,

    (

    .

    )

    371

    000

    1

    1

    0

    15

    5

    CLEAR ALL

    1

    P/YR

    50,000

    FV

    15

    I/YR

    5

    N

    PV

    +/-

    -

    28,371

    =

    Example: Yield on an Ordinary Annuity

    An investor has the opportunity to invest in real estate costing $28,371

    today. The investment will provide $445.66 at the end of each month for the

    next 8 years. What is the (annual)

    IRR

    (compounded monthly) for this

    investment?

    PV

    PMT

    d

    k

    d

    d

    d

    t

    t

    nk

    t

    t

    =

    +

    =

    +

    =

    =

    =

    =

    1

    1

    371

    445

    66

    1

    1

    12

    12

    0

    9167%;

    11

    0%

    1

    1

    96

    (

    )

    $28

    ,

    .

    (

    )

    .

    .

    12

    CLEAR ALL

    P/YR

    28,371

    +/-

    PV

    445.66

    PMT

    8

    I/YR

    x P/YR

    Example:

    NPV

    for an Ordinary Annuity

    An investor has the opportunity to invest in real estate costing

    $28,371 today. The investment will provide $445.66 at the end of

    each month for the next 8 years. What is the

    NPV

    for this

    investment if the investor discounts future cash flows monthly at a

    10% annual rate?

    NPV = - $28,371 + $29,369.66 = $998.66

    NPV

    t

    t

    =

    -

    +

    +

    =

    $28

    ,

    .

    (

    .

    )

    371

    445

    66

    1

    1

    0

    10

    12

    1

    96

    CLEAR ALL

    12

    P/YR

    445.66

    PMT

    10

    I/YR

    8

    PV

    +/-

    -

    28,371

    =

    x P/YR

    Example: What is the

    IRR

    for an investment that costs $96,000 today and

    pays $1028.61 at the end of the month for the next 60 months and then pays

    an additional $97,662.97 at the end of the 60th month?

    d/12 =

    1.0921% ; d = 13.10%

    PV

    PMT

    d

    k

    FV

    d

    k

    d

    d

    t

    t

    nk

    nk

    t

    t

    =

    +

    +

    +

    =

    +

    +

    +

    =

    =

    1

    1

    1

    000

    028

    61

    1

    1

    12

    662

    97

    1

    12

    1

    1

    60

    60

    (

    )

    (

    )

    $96

    ,

    $1

    ,

    .

    (

    )

    $97

    ,

    .

    (

    )

    CLEAR ALL

    12

    P/YR

    96,000

    +/-

    PV

    1,028.61

    PMT

    97,662.97

    FV

    5

    I/YR

    x P/YR

    Example:

    NPV

    for an ordinary annuity with an addition lump

    sum receipt at the end of the investment term.

    What is the

    NPV

    for an investment that costs $96,000 today

    and pays $1028.61 at the end of the month for the next 60

    months and then pays an additional $97,662.97 at the end of

    the 60th month if the investor discounts expected future cash

    flows monthly at the annual rate of 13.1047%?

    NPV = - $ 96,000 + $ 96,000 = $ 0

    NPV

    PV

    PMT

    d

    k

    FV

    d

    k

    NPV

    t

    t

    nk

    nk

    t

    t

    =

    -

    +

    +

    +

    +

    =

    -

    +

    +

    +

    +

    =

    =

    1

    1

    1

    000

    028

    61

    1

    1

    0

    131047

    12

    662

    97

    1

    0

    131047

    12

    1

    1

    60

    60

    (

    )

    (

    )

    $96

    ,

    $1

    ,

    .

    (

    .

    )

    $97

    ,

    .

    (

    .

    )

    CLEAR ALL

    12

    P/YR

    1,028.61

    PMT

    97,662.97

    FV

    5

    13.1047

    I/YR

    PV

    +/-

    -

    96,000

    =

    x P/YR

    Example:

    IRR

    for uneven cash flows.

    What is the

    IRR

    for an investment that costs $100,000 today

    and pays $20,000 one year from today; $35,000 two years from

    today; and $75,000 three years from today?

    $100

    ,

    $20

    ,

    (

    )

    $35

    ,

    (

    )

    $75

    ,

    (

    )

    .

    000

    000

    1

    000

    1

    000

    1

    11

    59%

    2

    3

    =

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    =

    d

    d

    d

    d

    CLEAR ALL

    1

    100,000

    +/-

    CFj

    20,000

    CFj

    35,000

    CFj

    75,000

    CFj

    P/YR

    IRR/YR

    Example:

    NPV

    for uneven cash flows.

    What is the

    NPV

    for an investment that

    costs

    $10,000 today,

    $8,000 one year from today, $5,000 two years from today and

    pays

    $15,000 three years from today and $25,000 four years

    from today if future cash flows are discounted at 10%?

    NPV = -$10,000 - $7,272.73 - $4,132.23 + $11,269.72 + $17,075.34

    = $ 6,940.10

    NPV

    =

    -

    -

    -

    +

    +

    $10

    ,

    $8

    ,

    .

    $5

    ,

    .

    $15

    ,

    .

    $25

    ,

    .

    000

    000

    1

    1

    000

    1

    1

    000

    1

    1

    000

    1

    1

    2

    3

    4

    CLEAR ALL

    1

    P/YR

    10,000

    +/-

    +/-

    +/-

    8,000

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    5,000

    15,000

    25,000

    10

    I/YR

    NPV

    Example:

    IRR

    for grouped cash flows.

    Compute the

    IRR

    for an investment that costs $92,725.60

    today and is expected to pay $10,000 at the end of the year for

    the next three years; $15,000 at the end of years 4 and 5; and

    $100,000 at the end of year 6.

    d = 12%

    $92

    ,

    .

    $10

    ,

    (

    )

    $15

    ,

    (

    )

    $100

    ,

    (

    )

    725

    60

    000

    1

    000

    1

    000

    1

    1

    3

    4

    5

    6

    =

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    =

    =

    d

    d

    d

    t

    t

    t

    t

    CLEAR ALL

    1

    P/YR

    92,725.60

    +/-

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    10,000

    3

    15,000

    2

    100,000

    CFj

    IRR/YR

    N j

    N j

    Example:

    NPV

    for grouped cash flows.

    Compute the

    NPV

    for an investment that costs $98,000 today and is

    expected to pay $791.38 at the end of each month for 12 months; $850.73 at

    the end of each month for the following 12 months; $914.54 at the end of

    each month for the following 11 months and a balloon payment of

    $107,491.18 at the end of month 36 if the investor discounts future cash

    flows monthly at a 13% annual rate.

    NPV =

    - $554.17

    = - $98,000 +

    $791

    .

    (

    .

    )

    $850

    .

    (

    .

    )

    $914

    .

    (

    .

    )

    $107

    ,

    .

    (

    .

    )

    38

    1

    1

    0

    13

    12

    73

    1

    1

    0

    13

    12

    54

    1

    1

    0

    13

    12

    491

    18

    1

    0

    13

    12

    1

    12

    13

    24

    25

    35

    36

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    +

    =

    =

    =

    t

    t

    t

    t

    t

    t

    CLEAR ALL

    12

    P/YR

    98,000

    +/-

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    CFj

    I/YR

    NPV

    791.38

    12

    850.73

    12

    914.54

    11

    107,491.18

    13

    N j

    N j

    N j