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Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8534-5985 [email protected]

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Page 1: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Is there anybody out there?Searching the social space for signs of

intelligence

Mike TaylorResearch Specialist

http://orcid.org/[email protected]

Page 2: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

For much of the the last century, our only measurement of the impact of scholarly research has been through the counting and analysis of citation: one authoring researcher acknowledging the contribution of another authoring researcher. Significant, certainly, given these caveats, but in a wider social context citation analysis begins to look like an edge case. Can the measurement of sharing on social networks provide a wider view of how research is consumed in society, or is it all chatter and noise – and how do we detect the conversations of true significance?

Page 3: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The world according to citation

• “I am writing an article and wish to cite another article”

Page 4: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The world according to alternative metrics

• “I’m writing an article and might cite this”• “You should read this article if you’re

interested in #thistopic”• “My PI wrote this paper”• “My daughter wrote this and I’m so proud”• “This article has a titivating title. Anyway, it

made me laugh”• “These scientists are going to cure cancer”

Page 5: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The phenomenally rich world of alternative metrics

• Social activity indicators: Twitter, Facebook, Delicious, Pintrest, Google+

• Scholarly activity indicators: Mendeley, Citeulike, Zotero

• Scholarly articles: blogs, reviews• Mass media: news papers, TV• Re-usage indicators: data, code, graphics

Page 6: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

An example from 2013

• Huge potential for social impact• Press campaign: front page story

on much of the UK press• Great publisher support from

Nature• 1000s of tweets• But what’s missing?

Page 7: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The phenomenally poor world of alternative metrics

Current alternative metrics don’t count or model:• Poorly referenced mass media• Stories about stories• The flow of the story• Social media about stories, replies, re-tweets• Influence on professional bodies• Representation to Government, Government

policy

Page 8: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Not only are alternative metrics bigger than citations, they’re also different

• Public vs private• Anonymous vs attributable• Persistent vs fleeting• Positive vs negative (counts and sentiment)• Real time vs slower• But article driven, formal links

Page 9: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The different characteristics of alternative metrics

• Citation: one class of activity, with many sub-classes

• Alternative metrics: several types of activity, with many classes and countless sub-classes (all vying with each other)

Page 10: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The power of intelligent conversation

• Elevator pitch > monograph• A word in the ear of a President

versus

• Engaging with millions• Patient-power• Lobbying interests

Page 11: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The chatter of (how shall we say this?) less than intelligent

conversation

• Not all communication is equal• Not all communication is between equals• Noise is not meritocratic• But is Twitter just meaningless noise?

Page 12: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The myth of social networks

• Often assumed to be trivial, with a focus on titillating articles

• An analysis of 13.5k papers revealed striking differences:

• Top 0.5% of social activity – strong emphasis on policy, funding, areas where science and government overlap (stem cells, CERN, etc)

• Top 0.5% of scholarly activity – primary research

Page 13: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The academic networks are building

• Orcid / ODIN / THOR• Data DOIs• RDA data citation• Data metrics• Usage APIs / data• Open data, open articles

Page 14: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Mapping academic influence is becoming easier

• Heading towards a paradigm shift in mapping academic influence

• Academics probably won’t create negative links

• This is a matter-of-fact network, flat, a statement of “what is”

• Insufficient to understand social impact

Page 15: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Science in society

• Open science, citizen science, open access, open data, cloud infrastructure, open source code, virtualization

• Social networks, easy access to scholars• Too hard => too easy? • Explosion in communication and access

Page 16: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

A partial view

• Moving towards a more complete scholarly network

• Data exists to get an idea of how research is being consumed in society

• Too much missing to extrapolate• Almost entirely devoid of political context

Page 17: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Correlations

• Not an even picture, there are threads of correlations – blogs – tweets – mass media

• We can’t make simple conclusions• We don’t have enough data to make complex

conclusions

Page 18: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Bigger data

• Deeper: Talking about people, departments, companies, movements

• More sensitive: Going from “being spoken about” to “what is being said”

• Wider: “who is speaking”, “to whom are they speaking”

• Further: “他們在中國說了什麼?”

Page 19: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

The role of sociologists and economists

• Social potential, professional and academic perspectives

• Is $$$ a good reflection of impact?• People like to think of the “return on

investment” model, but it’s not that easy, and the conclusions may be uncomfortable seen in isolation

Page 20: Is there anybody out there? Searching the social space for signs of intelligence Mike Taylor Research Specialist  mi.taylor@elsevier.com

Is a social impact index computable?

• Social impact index = f(social capacity), f(social accessibility), f(social reach)

• If has no capacity for effecting social change, if is incomprehensible, if no-one is aware of it…

• We need the data and the maths to identify the intelligent versus the influential