israel's strategic value · israel: the first domino without the natural mountain defenses of...

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http://www.marklangfan.com/easterntheater1.html, www.MarkLangfan.com For more information, please contact Mark Langfan at (212) 832-0200 or email [email protected]. A demilitarized Palestinian West Bank / Gaza State will turn Israel from a U.S. Strategic Asset and Bulwark to Middle East Terror that is able to defend itself, into a defenseless U.S. liability, inviting attack - unable even to defend itself, let alone project American military power. 1. ISRAEL as a self-defensible U.S. strate- gic asset: With the Golan Heights (a), the West Bank mountain range (b) and the Gaza Strip (c) under Israeli military control, Israel is immune from a short- to medium- term existential threat. SUNNI IRAQ SHIA IRAQ (ISRAEL) SUNNISTAN SHIASTAN (ISRAEL) SUNNISTAN SHIASTAN (ISRAEL) 2. ISRAEL as an indefensible U.S. strategic liability, inviting attack: Without the Golan Heights, the West Bank mountain range and the Gaza Strip under Israeli control, but instead under hostile Arab control, Israel will be strategically vulnerable and exposed to a short-term existential threat. Such a conflict will be fueled by con- tinued Arab terrorism against Israel. 3. ISRAEL: the First Domino Without the natural mountain defenses of the Golan and West Bank mountains, and with Israel’s ability to mobilize degraded, Israel would be easily destroyed and occupied by Syria and Egypt. Even a heavily militarized Palestinian State will be unable to militarily contain either the Syrians or the Egyptians. Hezbollah, the Syrians and the Egyptians will all vie for the occupation of the coveted Jerusalem. 4. JORDAN: the Second Domino Without Israel as its strategic protector, Jordan would be easily encroached by the militarily powerful Hezbollah, Syrians, Egyptians and Shiastan/Iran. Syria currently sees Jordan as Southern Syria and will fulfill its vision of Manifest Destiny. 5. SAUDI ARABIA: the Third Domino With the militarily powerful but oil-poor Egyptians and Syrians, and Shiastan/Iran on Saudi Arabia's northern border, Saudi Arabia will cease to exist. Without the Suez Canal under friendly occupa- tional control, the Western powers will be unable to resupply or defend Saudi Arabia. ISRAEL'S STRATEGIC VALUE POST 9/11 TERROR WAR SCENARIO 1 2 3 4 5 BEFORE AFTER HEZBOLLAH

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Page 1: ISRAEL'S STRATEGIC VALUE · ISRAEL: the First Domino Without the natural mountain defenses of the Golan and West Bank mountains, and with Israel’s ability to mobilize degraded,

http://www.marklangfan.com/easterntheater1.html, www.MarkLangfan.comFor more information, please contact Mark Langfan at (212) 832-0200 or email [email protected].

A demilitarized Palestinian WestBank / Gaza State will turn Israelfrom a U.S. Strategic Asset and

Bulwark to Middle East Terror that isable to defend itself, into a defenselessU.S. liability, inviting attack - unableeven to defend itself, let alone project

American military power.

1. ISRAEL as a self-defensible U.S. strate-gic asset: With the Golan Heights (a), theWest Bank mountain range (b) and theGaza Strip (c) under Israeli military control,Israel is immune from a short- to medium-term existential threat.

SUNNIIRAQSHIAIRAQ(ISRAEL)

SUNNISTAN

SHIASTAN(ISRAEL)

SUNNISTAN

SHIASTAN(ISRAEL)

2. ISRAEL as an indefensible U.S. strategic liability, invitingattack: Without the Golan Heights, the West Bank mountain rangeand the Gaza Strip under Israeli control, but instead under hostileArab control, Israel will be strategically vulnerable and exposed toa short-term existential threat. Such a conflict will be fueled by con-tinued Arab terrorism against Israel.

3. ISRAEL: the First DominoWithout the natural mountain defenses of the Golan and West Bankmountains, and with Israel’s ability to mobilize degraded, Israel wouldbe easily destroyed and occupied by Syria and Egypt. Even a heavilymilitarized Palestinian State will be unable to militarily contain eitherthe Syrians or the Egyptians. Hezbollah, the Syrians and the Egyptianswill all vie for the occupation of the coveted Jerusalem.

4. JORDAN: the Second DominoWithout Israel as its strategic protector, Jordan would be easilyencroached by the militarily powerful Hezbollah, Syrians,Egyptians and Shiastan/Iran. Syria currently sees Jordan asSouthern Syria and will fulfill its vision of Manifest Destiny.

5. SAUDI ARABIA: the Third DominoWith the militarily powerful but oil-poor Egyptians and Syrians,and Shiastan/Iran on Saudi Arabia's northern border, Saudi Arabiawill cease to exist. Without the Suez Canal under friendly occupa-tional control, the Western powers will be unable to resupply ordefend Saudi Arabia.

ISRAEL'S STRATEGIC VALUE POST 9/11 TERROR WAR SCENARIO

1 2

3

4

5

BEFORE AFTER

HEZBOLLAH

Page 2: ISRAEL'S STRATEGIC VALUE · ISRAEL: the First Domino Without the natural mountain defenses of the Golan and West Bank mountains, and with Israel’s ability to mobilize degraded,

Can al

Su ez

Levan tBasin

Is tanbul

Incirlik

Benghazi

Tirane

Athens

Rome

Tripoli

Nicos ia

Cairo

ITALY

Rhodes

Wes tBank

Sicily

GREECE

CYPRUS

ALBANIA

CRETE

MACEDONIA

LIBYAISRAEL

LEBANONSYRIA

GREATERIRAN

MALTA

Turk is h Navy1 4 Su bmarines (1 8 0 0 Tons)

1 7 Frig ates (3 4 0 0 Tons)7 Corvettes (1 2 5 0 Tons)

2 7 Fast Attack

TURKEY (Pop. 7 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

Turk is h Air Force2 2 0 F-1 6 -C, D, and 1 5 7 F-4 E

Total 3 7 7 combat aircraft8 1 C-1 3 0 , C-1 6 0 Tactical TransportTurk is h Army – 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 Standing

EGYPT(Pop. 8 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

3 0 0 miles

5 0 0 km

5

1

2

4

3

Jeru salem

Hadera

Netanya

Nablu s

HerzliyaTel-Aviv

RamlaAsh dod

Yafo

Jerich o

JORDAN

GREATERIRAN

WEST BANKHAMAS

Palestinian State

Is ra e l

Mediterran eanSea

RAMATDAVID

1 0 KM

LOD5 KM

9 mile s

Holds 7 0 % of Jewish Pop-u lation and 8 0 % of th e Indu s-trial Base

1. Now, Israel’s battle-ready Order of Battle givesNATO a dependable, cost-effective, NATO-friendlyshaped Battle Space to protect Greek Cyprus froma Turkish/Muslim Attack and devastation which

began with the Turkishinvasion in 1974.

2. Iran will first topple Jordan soon after a West BankState is created. Hamas will overthrow Fatah in theWest Bank, as they already have overthrown Fatahin Gaza. A West Bank Hamas Palestinian State willhave tens of thousands of smuggled Katyusha Rock-ets (including VX (persistent) and GB (Sarin) nerveagents (Janes)) ranging over Tel Aviv and 70% of Is-rael’s Jewish population. On Iranian orders, Hamaswill fire barrages of rockets into Tel Aviv andJerusalem, provoking an Israeli attempt to mobilizeto reinvade the West Bank which will trigger massiveArab/Iranian long-range missile strikes.

3. Such a simultaneous Muslim Scud/Katyusha at-tack from 5 different directions will annihilate Israel.Israel is NATO’s, and the West’s first, and only lineof defense, against the Westward advance of the Iran-ian Caliphate or a Turkish resurrection of its OttomanEmpire. Turkey is trying to steal billions of dollarsof Greek Cypriot and Israeli Eastern Mediterraneangas resources to fund billions of further IslamicMediterranean military build-up.

4. Without Israel’s Order of Battle protecting Cyprus’Southeastern Flank and Battle Space, with Turkishfrigates and subs infesting the Southern Cyprus wa-ters and cutting off any military reinforcements andwith Haifa as Iran’s New Eastern MediterraneanNaval Base, Cyprus, Crete, Rhodes and even Greecewill be lost to Turkey and the Iranian ShiiteCaliphate. Iranian now-existing Shahib medium-range missiles (1000 miles) will range and coversouthern Europe from their new bases in Yafo,Greater Iran. Greece will become indefensible. Iranand/or Turkey will be on Europe's doorstep.

Israel IS NATO’s South-Eastern Flank defending Cyprus, Rhodes, Crete,and even Greece, against Turkey and an Iranian-occupied Israel.

Su ezCan al

Levan tBasin

Istanbul

Incirlik

Benghazi

Tirane

Athens

Rome

Tripoli

Nicosia

Cairo

ITALY

TURKEY

Rhodes

WestBank

Sicily

GREECE

CYPRUS

ALBANIA

CRETE

MACEDONIA

EGYPTLIBYA J ORDAN

ISRAEL

LEBANONSYRIAMALTA

(Pop. 7 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

(Pop. 8 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

3 0 0 miles

5 0 0 km

UN buffer zoneUN bufferzone

Akrotiri (U.K.)

Dhekelia(U.K.)

Kyren ia

Greek Cypriot Area

Turkish Cypriot Area

Pap ho s

Mou nt Olympu s

NICOSIA

Levan tBasin

Su ezCan al

Is tanbul

Incirlik

Benghazi

Tirane

Athens

Rome

Tripoli

Nicos ia

Cairo

al Quds

ITALY

TURKEY (Pop. 7 5 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

Rhodes

Sicily

GREECE

CYPRUS

ALBANIA

CRETE

MACEDONIA

LIBYA

LEBANONSYRIA

GREATERIRAN

MALTA

Turk is h Navy1 4 Su bmarines (1 8 0 0 Tons)

1 7 Frig ates (3 4 0 0 Tons)7 Corvettes (1 2 5 0 Tons)

2 7 Fast Attack

Turk is h Air Force2 2 0 F-1 6 -C, D, and 1 5 7 F-4 E

Total 3 7 7 combat aircraft8 1 C-1 3 0 , C-1 6 0 Tactical TransportTurk is h Army – 4 0 0 ,0 0 0 Standing

EGYPT(Pop. 8 0 ,0 0 0 ,0 0 0 )

3 0 0 miles

5 0 0 km

11

1

23

33

1

CYPRUS

2

3

4

Leviathan 4.2 BBL(o), 16 Tcf(g)Tamar 1.2 BBL(o), 8.4 Tcf(g)

Levant Basin Israel/CyprusOil (o) and Gas (g) Reserves

U.S. Armychemical

weapons symbol.1 2 2 mm capableVX and GB nerve agents (Janes).

On September 13, 2011, PM Erdogan said: an Egypt-Turkishalliance would “form a force of150 million people strong” and“We are substantially surround-ing the Mediterranean.”

77% Greek18% Turkish

Pop. 300,000

Pop. 800,000

On September 27, 2011 at aTurkish Warship launching, Er-dogan threatened “I recommendthe international communitytake the necessary lessons fromthe Preveza victory.” (see insetin box #3 above)

Naval Battle of Preveza

28 September 1538Ottomans decisivelydefeated the Pan-Christian “HolyLeague” Alliance.