Issues Concerning the Aging Population

Presented by Jan Figart, Associate Director, Community Service Council

To the Tulsa Regional Chamber of CommerceApril 11, 2013

Population Trends and Projections by Age GroupTulsa County, 1970 - 2030

Source: US Census Bureau, 1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 & 2010 Censuses; US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Division, Population Projections, 2000 - 2030.

6.3

6.6

7.4

7.4

7.7

7.7

8.5

16.6

17.1

18.2

18.9

18.4

19.8

25.9

9.2

9.7

9.7

10

10.1

13.5

10.7

47.8

50.5

52.6

51.9

52.2

49.1

46.2

17.5

14.1

10.4

10.4

10.4

9

8.1

2030

2020

2010

2000

1990

1980

1970

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent of population

0-4 5-17 18-24 25-64 65-84 85+

1.9

1.4

1.2

.9

.6

Pro

ject

ions 2.5

2.1

Apache

96th

66th

121st

91st

Admiral

31st

61st

Peor

ia

Min

go

49t h

W

151st

145t

h E

Garn

ett

Mem

oria

l

Yale

181st

Pine

36th

65th

W

193r

d E

Sher

idan

Harv

ard

Lew

is

129 t

h E

177t

h E

161s

t E

33rd

W

Uni

on

Elw

o od

97t h

W

81st

W

113t

h W

126th

95

55

59

78.02

56

77.02

58.08

66

54.0254.01

111

78.01

93

2

75.16

58.07

67.07

67.08

1

73.08

67.05

92

49

94.01

91.04

75.13

94.0290.03

65.07

29

77.01

91.01

34

76.24

76.38

65.06

75.15

90.07

62

90.09

67.03

27

57

88

79

67.01

25

58.05 58.06

75.0675.08

48

5

47

12 821614 6015

6

58.01

84

87

38

52

53

37

40

86

70

42 39

7

30

51

9

75.1176.35

17

85.02

76.37

74.09

76.36

90.08

8372

75.24

75.20

8

89

74.07

73.11

13

80.01

76.34

4546

80.02

76.25

44

31

10

71.0232 3635

3334

76.11

21

73.05

23.01

75.03

76.14 76.19

69.07

76.39

71.01

76.30

18

75.22

76.32

76.09

69.06

76.33

76.15

69.05

74.1574.1274.11 74.08

76.16

75.12

73.10

76.13

19

69.02

73.06

69.03

90.06

74.14

69.01

75.10

73.12

41.01

75.07

75.19

76.17

76.31

76.18

75.18

75.23

76.29

76.20 74.13 74.02

43.02

50.02

90.04

74.10

43.01

76.12

85.01

73.0920

73.04

68.01

50.01

76.4176.42

68.0368.04

76.08

9400.05

9400.06

Population Age 65 and Over, 2010Tulsa County and part Osage County by Census Tract

City of Tulsa

Population age 65 & over

Less than 250

250 to 349

350 to 449

450 to 599

600 or more

Source: US Census Bureau, 2010 Census.Prepared by the Community Service Council,

with support from the Metropolitan Human Services Commission (11/21/2011)

1,039

1,033

1,031

1,005

985

892

941 918

862

853

25% of persons age 65 and over live in just 12% (22) of the area census tracts.

830789

782

775

761

755

748

728

724

723

715

674

The aging population in Tulsa County is predominantly female, many live alone and

over a third have a disability

Female Live Alone Live in Group

Quarters

Veteran In Labor Force

Have a Disability

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%58.4%

28.7%

3.8%

23.5%20.7%

36.6%

Source: US Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey.

9400.05

9400.06

95

55

78.02

59

77.02

56

58.08

66

54.0254.01

111

78.01

93

75.16

58.07

67.07

67.08

73.08

67.05

2

94.01

91.04

75.13

92

49

1

94.0290.03

65.07

77.01

91.01

29

76.24

76.38

65.06

75.15

90.07

90.09

67.03

62

27

57

67.01

34

88

58.05 58.06

75.0675.08

79

25

4847

12

58.01

821614 6015

5

75.1176.35

85.02

76.37

74.09

76.36

90.08

75.24

84

87

38

52

53

37

40

86

70

42 39

75.20

73.11

74.07

30

51

17

80.01

76.34

8372 89

6

13

7

45

9

80.02

76.25

8

71.02

44

10

76.11

73.05

23.01

75.03

76.14 76.19 74.11

69.07

76.39

71.01

76.30

75.22

76.32

76.09

69.06

76.33

76.15

69.05

74.1574.12 74.08

76.16

75.12

73.10

76.13

69.02

73.06

69.03

90.06

74.14

69.01

75.10

73.12

41.01

75.07

75.19

76.17

76.31

76.18

75.18

75.23

76.29

76.20 74.13 74.02

43.02

50.02

90.04

74.10

43.01

18 73.0919

4631 32 36

35

76.12

3334

85.01

2120

68.01

50.01

76.4176.42

68.03

76.08

Percent 65+ below 185% PovertyLess than 10%

10 to 24%

25 to 39%

40 to 49%

50% or greater

City of Tulsa

Apache

96th

66th

121st

91st

Admiral

31st

61st

49th

W

151st

Mem

oria

l

181st

Pine

36th

65th

W

193r

d E

177t

h E

161s

t E

97t h

W

81st

W

113t

h W

126th

Source: US Census Bureau, 2007-11 American Community Survey.Prepared by the Community Service Council with support from the Metropolitan Human Services Commission (4/9/13)

Estimated Percentage of Persons Age 65 and Over Living Below 185% of Poverty, 2007-11

Tulsa County and Part Osage County by Census Tract

Note: Data estimates used for this map are based on a sample survey, and due to the small geographicarea, margins of error are very high.

Peo r

i a

Min

go

145 t

h E

Garn

ettYale

Sher

idan

Harv

ard

Lew

is

129 t

h E

33rd

W

Uni

on

Elw

o od

2013 poverty guidelinesfor family of 3:

100% = $19,530130% = $25,389185% = $36,131

Inadequate assisted living and other housing services available to meet growing needs of elderly

AND

Inadequate health care workforce available to serve growing needs of the elderly

Selected Health Indicators for Persons 65+ in Tulsa County, 2007-2009

Heart At-tack Di-agnosis

Stroke Diagnosis

Diabetes Diagnosis

Use Special Equipment

Activities Limited

(disability)

Fair or Poor Health

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

14.5%

10.3%

20.5%18.6%

34.4%

25.0%

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health, OK2SHARE, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance Survey Data.

Cancer Diabetes Heart Disease Stroke Chronic Lower Resp.

Disease

Accidents0

50

100

150

200

250

180.7

18.6

223.3

57.5 60.5 60.1

Mortality Rates by Cause for Persons 65+, Tulsa County, 2009

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health, OK2SHARE, Mortality Data.